A new process-based vertical advection/diffusion theoretical model of ocean heat uptake

The vertical upwelling/diffusion model (VUDM) has historically played a key role in shaping our ideas about how the heat balance is achieved in the ocean. Its has been and is still widely used in many applications ranging from the estimation of transfer coefficients to the parameterisation of ocean heat uptake in Simple Climate Models (SCMs). Its conceptual value as a realistic theoretical model of the ocean heat balance has become increasingly unclear over the years however, because: 1) the different ways in which upwelling has been linked to high-latitude deep water formation and downgradient diffusion linked to vertical/diapycnal mixing have remained imprecise and somewhat ad-hoc so far; 2) other effects such as isopycnal mixing, density-compensated temperature anomalies, meso-scale eddy-induced advection and the depth-varying ocean area have all be demonstrated to affect actual ocean heat uptake as well, but their incorporation into existing VUDM frameworks has been problematic. In this paper, a new process-based vertical advection/diffusion theoretical model of ocean heat uptake is constructed that resolve all above difficulties. This new model is obtained by coarse-graining the full three-dimensional advection/diffusion for potential temperature carried by ocean climate models, by using the same isopycnal analysis as in the theory of ocean water masses. The resulting model describes the temporal evolution of the isopycnally-averaged thickness-weighted potential temperature in terms of an effective velocity that depends uniquely on the surface heating conditionally integrated in density classes, an effective diapycnal diffusivity controlled by isoneutral and dianeutral mixing, and an additional term linked to the meridional transport of density-compensated temperature anomalies by the diabatic residual overturning circulation.
Comment: 13 pages, preliminary draft of paper to be submitted to Geoscience Model Development