BGV theorem, Geodesic deviation, and Quantum fluctuations

I point out a simple expression for the "Hubble" parameter $\mathscr{H}$, defined by Borde, Guth and Vilenkin (BGV) in their proof of past incompleteness of inflationary spacetimes. I show that the parameter $\mathscr{H}$ which an observer $O$ with four-velocity $\bf v$ will associate with a congruence $\bf u$ is equal to the fractional rate of change of the magnitude $\xi$ of the Jacobi field associated with $\bf u$, measured along the points of intersection of $O$ with $\bf u$, with its direction determined by $\bf v$. I then analyse the time dependence of $\mathscr{H}$ and $\xi$ using the geodesic deviation equation, computing these exactly for some simple spacetimes, and perturbatively for spacetimes close to maximally symmetric ones. The perturbative solutions are used to characterise the rms fluctuations in these quantities arising due to possible fluctuations in the curvature tensor.
Comment: 9 pages, 3 figures, mathematical details added in appendix, matches final published version