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Independent Approximates provide a maximum likelihood estimate for heavy-tailed distributions

Authors :
AL-Najafi, Amenah
Tirnakli, Ugur
Nelson, Kenric P.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

Heavy-tailed distributions are infamously difficult to estimate because their moments tend to infinity as the shape of the tail decay increases. Nevertheless, this study shows the utilization of a modified group of moments for estimating a heavy-tailed distribution. These modified moments are determined from powers of the original distribution. The nth-power distribution is guaranteed to have finite moments up to n-1. Samples from the nth-power distribution are drawn from n-tuple Independent Approximates, which are the set of independent samples grouped into n-tuples and sub-selected to be approximately equal to each other. We show that Independent Approximates are a maximum likelihood estimator for the generalized Pareto and the Student's t distributions, which are members of the family of coupled exponential distributions. We use the first (original), second, and third power distributions to estimate their zeroth (geometric mean), first, and second power-moments respectively. In turn, these power-moments are used to estimate the scale and shape of the distributions. A least absolute deviation criteria is used to select the optimal set of Independent Approximates. Estimates using higher powers and moments are possible though the number of n-tuples that are approximately equal may be limited.<br />Comment: 23 pages, 2 figures

Subjects

Subjects :
Statistics - Methodology

Details

Database :
arXiv
Publication Type :
Report
Accession number :
edsarx.2407.06522
Document Type :
Working Paper