E-scooter effects on public transport demand: a case study in Santiago, Chile

As cities adopt sustainable mobility solutions, electric scooters (e-scooters) offer both challenges and opportunities for public transportation systems. This study, the first in Latin America, examines the effects of e-scooters on public transport demand in Santiago, Chile, focusing on two scenarios: "generation" of trips (trips starting in study zones) and "attraction" of trips (trips ending in study zones). A negative binomial regression model was applied to data from public transport smart cards and e-scooter GPS. The methodology included urban area clustering and a differences-in-differences approach. The findings reveal significant regional differences: in the Central Region, public transport trips decreased by 21.38% in the generation scenario, while bus trips increased by 76.39%. In the Intermediate Region, metro trips increased by 70.05%, and in the Peripheral Region, bus trips increased by 84.64%. These results suggest that e-scooters reduce public transport usage in highly accessible areas but increase it in less accessible regions.
Comment: 62 pages, 12 figures. Submitted to Transport Research Part D