Baseline serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 as a biomarker for the disease progression in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Abstract Disease progression (DP) is an important parameter for the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This study aimed to evaluate the baseline serum biomarkers for predicting the DP in IPF. Seventy-four patients who were diagnosed with IPF and had their serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) and monocyte count, which might be associated with prognosis of IPF, checked more than twice were included. KL-6 ≥ 1000 U/mL and monocyte ≥ 600/μL were arbitrarily set as the cut-off values for DP. The DP was defined as a 10% reduction in forced vital capacity, a 15% reduction in diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide relative to the baseline, or disease-related mortality. Of the 74 patients, 18 (24.3%) were defined as having DP. The baseline KL-6 level was significantly increased in the DP group compared to the stable disease group (median, 1228.0 U/mL vs. 605.5 U/mL, P = 0.019). Multivariate Cox analyses demonstrated that a high KL-6 level (KL-6 ≥ 1000 U/mL; hazard ratio, 2.761 or 2.845; P = 0.040 or 0.045) was independently associated with DP in each model. The baseline serum KL-6 level might be a useful biomarker for DP in IPF.