MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF FORECASTING FOR OUTCOMES IN VICTIMS OF METHANE-COAL MIXTURE EXPLOSION

BACKGROUND. The severity of the victims’ state in the early period after the combined trauma (with the prevalence of a thermal injury) is associated with the development of numerous changes in all organs and systems which make proper diagnosis of complications and estimation of lethal outcome probability extremely difficult to be performed.MATERIAL AND METHODS. The article presents a mathematical model for predicting lethal outcomes in victims of methanecoal mixture explosion, based on case histories of 220 miners who were treated at the Donetsk Burn Center in 1994–2012.RESULTS. It was revealed that the probability of lethal outcomes in victims of methane-coal mixture explosion was statistically significantly affected with the area of deep burns (p