An interpretable radiomics model to select patients for radiotherapy after surgery for WHO grade 2 meningiomas

Abstract Objectives This study investigated whether radiomic features can improve the prediction accuracy for tumor recurrence over clinicopathological features and if these features can be used to identify high-risk patients requiring adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) in WHO grade 2 meningiomas. Methods Preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of 155 grade 2 meningioma patients with a median follow-up of 63.8 months were included and allocated to training (n = 92) and test sets (n = 63). After radiomic feature extraction (n = 200), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator feature selection with logistic regression classifier was performed to develop two models: (1) a clinicopathological model and (2) a combined clinicopathological and radiomic model. The probability of recurrence using the combined model was analyzed to identify candidates for ART. Results The combined clinicopathological and radiomics model exhibited superior performance for the prediction of recurrence compared with the clinicopathological model in the training set (area under the curve [AUC] 0.78 vs. 0.67, P = 0.042), which was also validated in the test set (AUC 0.77 vs. 0.61, P = 0.192). In patients with a high probability of recurrence by the combined model, the 5-year progression-free survival was significantly improved with ART (92% vs. 57%, P = 0.024), and the median time to recurrence was longer (54 vs. 17 months after surgery). Conclusions Radiomics significantly contributes added value in predicting recurrence when integrated with the clinicopathological features in patients with grade 2 meningiomas. Furthermore, the combined model can be applied to identify high-risk patients who require ART.