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Stationary populations with below-replacement fertility

Authors :
Carl Schmertmann
Source :
Demographic Research, Vol 26, p 14 (2012)
Publication Year :
2012
Publisher :
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 2012.

Abstract

BACKGROUND A population with sustained below-replacement fertility and constant immigration eventually becomes stationary. Stationary-through-immigration (SI) populations have unusual age structures that depend on the distribution of immigrants' arrival ages. OBJECTIVE I summarize known formal relationships between the distribution of immigrants' entry ages and the long-run size and structure of SI populations. I clarify a previously published result about SI dependency ratios. RESULTS The long-run size and age structure of an SI population depend on the remaining life expectancies of arriving immigrants, but are also sensitive to the expected numbers of native children born after arrival. Numerical calculations with contemporary Austrian data show (1) contrary to previously published results, immigration flows need not be concentrated in early working ages in order to ensure low overall dependency, and (2) the SI dependency ratio is minimized when all immigrants are in their mid-30s.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
14359871
Volume :
26
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Demographic Research
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.34fd6509a67a498a9590d9fd75c45f46
Document Type :
article