Review of Space Debris Modeling Methods and Development Direction of the Korean Space Debris Models

Space debris poses significant threats to spacecraft and human activities in space. Accurate modeling of space debris is crucial for understanding and mitigating these risks, ensuring the sustainability of the space environment. This paper discusses the importance of space debris modeling in the space environment, highlighting its critical role in safeguarding assets in orbit. Two primary methods of space debris modeling, namely the 1D and 3D approaches, are discussed in detail, and their respective strengths and limitations are elucidated. Furthermore, a comprehensive review of existing models, including the space debris evolutionary model (MOCAT, SOLEM, DAMAGE, LEODEEM & GEODEEM, DELTA, and LEGEND) and engineering models (MOCAT-MC, NEODEEM, MASTER, ORDEM), are presented. These models offer valuable insights into the dynamics and characteristics of space debris populations, aiding in formulating effective debris mitigation strategies and orbital capacity problems for reducing the possibilities of Kessler’s syndrome. Additionally, the paper provides insights into the ongoing development of the Korean space debris model, focusing on its methodology and space debris cataloging techniques for modeling space debris environments.