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ARMA Models for Mortality Forecast

Authors :
Natalja Šiškina
Jonas Šiaulys
Source :
Lithuanian Journal of Statistics, Vol 55, Iss 1 (2016)
Publication Year :
2016
Publisher :
Lietuvos statistikų sąjunga, Lietuvos statistikos departamentas, 2016.

Abstract

In the last several decades, many countries have been paying a lot of attention to mortality forecastingbecause of high longevity risk. The purpose of this paper is to analyze mortality characteristics of Baltic countries andmake predictions using ARMA models. Research shoved that mortality rate distribution is almost the same in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia and all of them represent longevity trends. It means that men and women, children and adults have thesame mortality structure in all Baltic countries and live longer than before.

Details

Language :
English, Lithuanian
ISSN :
1392642X and 20297262
Volume :
55
Issue :
1
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Lithuanian Journal of Statistics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.3ee6b67535f483493c847d98b1cd74b
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.15388/LJS.2016.13865