Comprehensive analysis of clinical data and radiomic features from contrast enhanced CT for differentiating benign and malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

Abstract The primary aim of this investigation was to leverage radiomics features derived from contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomography (CT) scans to devise a predictive model to discern the benign and malignant nature of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Radiomic signatures were meticulously crafted to delineate benign from malignant IPMNs by extracting pertinent features from contrast-enhanced CT images within a designated training cohort (n = 84). Subsequent validation was conducted with data from an independent test cohort (n = 37). The discriminative ability of the model was quantitatively evaluated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, with the integration of carefully selected clinical features to improve the comparative analysis. Arterial-phase images were utilized to construct a model comprising 8 features for distinguishing between benign and malignant cases. The model achieved an accuracy of 0.891 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.816–0.996] in the cross-validation set and 0.553 (95% CI 0.360–0.745) in the test set. Conversely, employing 9 features from the venous-phase resulted in a model with a cross-validation accuracy of 0.862 (95%CI 0.777–0.946) and a test set accuracy of 0.801 (95% CI 0.653–0.950).Integrating the identified clinical features with imaging features yielded a model with a cross-validation accuracy of 0.934 (95% CI 0.879–0.990) and a test set accuracy of 0.904 (95% CI 0.808–0.999), thereby further improving its discriminatory ability. Our findings distinctly illustrate that venous-phase radiomics features eclipse arterial-phase radiomic features in terms of predictive accuracy regarding the nature of IPMNs. Furthermore, the synthesis and meticulous screening of clinical features with radiomic data significantly increased the diagnostic efficacy of our model, underscoring the pivotal importance of a comprehensive and integrated approach for accurate risk stratification in IPMN management.