Fault Prediction of Rolling Element Bearings Using the Optimized MCKD–LSTM Model

The reliability and safety of rotating equipment depend on the performance of bearings. For complex systems with high reliability and safety needs, effectively predicting the fault data in the use stage has important guiding significance for reasonably formulating reliability plans and carrying out reliability maintenance activities. Many methods have been used to solve the problem of reliability prediction. Due to its convenience and efficiency, the data-driven method is increasingly widely used in practical reliability prediction. In order to ensure the reliability of bearing operation, the main objective of the present study is to establish a novel model based on the optimized maximum correlation kurtosis deconvolution (MCKD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network to realize early bearing fault warnings by predicting bearing fault time series. The proposed model is based on the lifecycle vibration signal of the bearing. In the first step, the cuckoo search (CS) is utilized to optimize the parameter filter length and deconvolution period of MCKD, considering the influence of periodic bearing time series, and to improve the fault impact component of the optimized MCKD deconvolution time series. Then the LSTM learning rate is selected according to the deconvolution time series. Finally, the dataset obtained through various preprocessing approaches is used to train and predict the LSTM model. The analyses performed using the XJTU-SY bearing dataset demonstrate that the prediction results are in good consistency with real fault data, and the average prediction accuracy of the optimized MCKD–LSTM model is 26% higher than that of the original time series.