Water-agriculture-ecology nexus synergetic management based on spatiotemporal equilibrium and water transformation: A case study in Aksu River Basin, China

The temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity characteristics of the water-agriculture-ecology (WAE) nexus system have aggravated the difficulties in its synergetic management. Besides, in the inland river basin, the surface water and groundwater are tightly linked by the combination of canal and well irrigation. To address these issues, a spatiotemporal equilibrium-water transformation based water-agriculture-ecology nexus synergetic management (SEWT-WAE) model was proposed by incorporating a spatio-temporal robust optimization method and linear water transformation model. The SEWT-WAE model was then applied to the Aksu River Basin, an inland river basin of Xinjiang, China. The results indicated that the SEWT-WAE model was highly effective in achieving spatiotemporal equilibrium in groundwater balance and ecological water utilization, as well as in the integrated management of surface water and groundwater across upstream and downstream regions. The optimal synergetic management scheme was obtained based on the coordinated development degree. Compared to the current situation: (i) the irrigation amount provided by the surface water (groundwater) in the Tabei (Tanan) irrigation district was increased (decreased) by 21.4 % (70.2 %); (ii) the irrigated areas of grain crops and gardens were increased by 30.4 % and 20.1 %, respectively, while the irrigated area of cotton was decreased by 19.4 %; (iii) the ecological water utilization of the Populus euphratica forest was increased by 17.81 %. Overall, this study presents a new optimization model for achieving spatiotemporal equilibrium and conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater and provides decision support for WAE nexus synergetic management in the inland river basin.