Reservoir ecological operation by quantifying outflow disturbance to aquatic community dynamics

Reservoir operation causes spatiotemporal variations in outflow, which influence the dynamics of downstream aquatic communities. However, empirical evidence of community responses to hydrological alteration remains limited for dam-regulated rivers. This study focused on quantifying the streamflow disturbance to multi-population dynamics in downstream of the China’s Danjiangkou Reservoir. First, the stochastic population dynamics model (PDM) was used to simulate aquatic community dynamics. Then, the flow–ecology relationship was established to identify community response to reservoir outflow. Third, two novel ecological indicators, stable time (ST) and coefficient of variation at stable time (CVST), were proposed to evaluate the resilience and resistance of multi-population systems, respectively. Finally, the reservoir operating rule curves were optimized by considering tradeoffs between socioeconomic and ecological objectives. The coevolution processes of multi-population systems (fish, phytoplankton, zooplankton, zoobenthos, and macrophytes) were simulated by stochastic PDMs. The population densities of stable states showed continuous downward trends with increasing degree of hydrological alteration for multi-population systems, and aquatic community systems could be destroyed when alteration reached its acceptable maximum. The greater the degree of hydrological alteration, the longer the recovery time from an unstable to a stable state, and the weaker resistance for each population system. The resilience and resistance of downstream multi-population systems were enhanced by optimizing reservoir outflow. The optimization results illustrated that the performances of the multiple objectives of water supply, hydropower generation, and ST were improved by 2.37%, 2.40%, and 2.67%, respectively, whereas the performance of CVST was the same as the conventional operation. The flow–ecology relationship provided an approach to quantify the impacts of reservoir outflow on an aquatic community, which is helpful in guiding ecological flow strategies.