Improved prediction of radiation-induced hypothyroidism in nasopharyngeal carcinoma using pre-treatment CT radiomics

Abstract When planning radiation therapy, late effects due to the treatment should be considered. One of the most common complications of head and neck radiation therapy is hypothyroidism. Although clinical and dosimetric data are routinely used to assess the risk of hypothyroidism after radiation, the outcome is still unsatisfactory. Medical imaging can provide additional information that improves the prediction of hypothyroidism. In this study, pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) radiomics features of the thyroid gland were combined with clinical and dosimetric data from 220 participants to predict the occurrence of hypothyroidism within 2 years after radiation therapy. The findings demonstrated that the addition of CT radiomics consistently and significantly improves upon conventional model, achieving the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of 0.81 ± 0.06 with a random forest model. Hence, pre-treatment thyroid CT imaging provides useful information that have the potential to improve the ability to predict hypothyroidism after nasopharyngeal radiation therapy.