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Deep learning time pattern attention mechanism-based short-term load forecasting method

Authors :
Wei Liao
Jiaqi Ruan
Yinghua Xie
Qingwei Wang
Jing Li
Ruoyu Wang
Junhua Zhao
Source :
Frontiers in Energy Research, Vol 11 (2023)
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Frontiers Media S.A., 2023.

Abstract

Accurate load forecasting is crucial to improve the stability and cost-efficiency of smart grid operations. However, how to integrate multiple significant factors for enhancing load forecasting performance is insufficiently investigated in previous studies. To fill the gap, this study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning model for short-term load forecasting. First, the long short-term memory network is utilized to capture patterns from historical load data. Second, a time pattern attention (TPA) mechanism is incorporated to improve feature extraction and learning capabilities. By discerning valuable features and eliminating irrelevant ones, the TPA mechanism enhances the learning process. Third, fully-connected layers are employed to integrate external factors such as climatic conditions, economic indicators, and temporal aspects. This comprehensive approach facilitates a deeper understanding of the impact of these factors on load profiles, leading to the development of a highly accurate load forecasting model. Rigorous experimental evaluations demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed approach in comparison to existing state-of-the-art load forecasting methodologies.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
2296598X
Volume :
11
Database :
Directory of Open Access Journals
Journal :
Frontiers in Energy Research
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsdoj.7924dad5ca940cabb0da60d597e996d
Document Type :
article
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1227979