Combined associations of physical activity, diet quality and their changes over time with mortality: findings from the EPIC-Norfolk study, United Kingdom

Abstract Background Physical activity (PA) and diet quality have each been shown to be inversely associated with mortality but their combined impact on longevity has been less explored, particularly when considering their changes over time. This study aimed to examine the separate and combined associations of PA, diet quality and their changes over time with mortality outcomes. Methods A prospective cohort study was performed on 9349 adults aged 40 to 79 years from the population-based European Prospective Investigation into Cancer in Norfolk Study, with repeated measurements of PA and diet (from 1993 till 2004) and subsequent follow-up till 2022 (median follow-up 18.8 years). Validated questionnaires were used to derive physical activity energy expenditure (PAEE) as a proxy of total PA and adherence to the Mediterranean diet score (MDS, range 0–15 points) as an indicator of overall diet quality, and their changes over time (∆PAEE and ∆MDS). Cox regression models adjusted for potential confounders and mediators were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results Over 149,681 person-years of follow-up, there were 3534 deaths. In adjusted models, for each 1-SD difference in baseline PAEE (4.64 kJ/kg/day), ∆PAEE (0.65 kJ/kg/day per year), baseline MDS (1.30 points) and ∆MDS (0.32 points per year), HRs (95% CI) for all-cause mortality were 0.90 (0.86 to 0.94), 0.89 (0.85 to 0.93), 0.95 (0.91 to 0.99) and 0.93 (0.90 to 0.97), respectively. Compared with participants with sustained low PAEE (