Long-Term Prognosis and Antimycobacterial Glycolipid Antibody as Biomarker in Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare Complex Pulmonary Disease

ABSTRACT Clinical characteristics and outcomes of multidrug chemotherapy have been used as the main prognostic factors for Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare complex pulmonary disease (MAC-PD) over the last decade; however, no useful prognostic biomarkers have been reported. The aim is to ascertain whether the serum antibody titers could include useful prognostic predictors of MAC-PD. Ninety-four patients with MAC-PD were enrolled and regularly followed up with for more than 5 years or until death. Cox proportional hazard regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to identify predictors of mortality in this prospective observational study. According to treatment outcomes, 85 patients completed follow-up and were classified into four groups. Seventeen patients (20%) died during follow-up (median, 10.1 years; interquartile range, 8.1 to 12.4 years). All 11 patients with MAC-PD-specific death were included in the 14 patients of the group nonresponsive to the multidrug chemotherapy. They had significantly higher anti-Mycobacterium glycolipid (MBGL) antibody titers than those in the other groups and a significantly (P