The epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of key population-led PrEP delivery to prevent HIV among men who have sex with men in Thailand: A modelling studyResearch in context

Summary: Background: Although key populations (KPs), such as men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) are disproportionately affected by HIV, many prevention and treatment services are not easily accessible for KP members. To address the needs of KPs, Thailand established pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) service delivery together with and led by KP members. This study determines the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of key population-led (KP-led) PrEP. Methods: We calibrated a compartmental deterministic HIV transmission model to the HIV epidemic among Thai MSM. Besides KP-led PrEP, we included other Thai service delivery models of PrEP (fee-based PrEP, the government PrEP program).Data on consistent PrEP use (5 years daily use, 95% effectiveness for preventing HIV) came from Thai PrEP delivery models. For the period 2015–2032, we ranged the number of PrEP starters (40,000–120,000), effectiveness of PrEP (45%–95%), and proportion of consistent users (10%–50%). The analysis started in 2015 when PrEP was introduced. A cost-effectiveness ratio of