Integrating Learning-Driven Model Behavior and Data Representation for Enhanced Remaining Useful Life Prediction in Rotating Machinery

The increasing complexity of modern mechanical systems, especially rotating machinery, demands effective condition monitoring techniques, particularly deep learning, to predict potential failures in a timely manner and enable preventative maintenance strategies. Health monitoring data analysis, a widely used approach, faces challenges due to data randomness and interpretation difficulties, highlighting the importance of robust data quality analysis for reliable monitoring. This paper presents a two-part approach to address these challenges. The first part focuses on comprehensive data preprocessing using only feature scaling and selection via random forest (RF) algorithm, streamlining the process by minimizing human intervention while managing data complexity. The second part introduces a Recurrent Expansion Network (RexNet) composed of multiple layers built on recursive expansion theories from multi-model deep learning. Unlike traditional Rex architectures, this unified framework allows fine tuning of RexNet hyperparameters, simplifying their application. By combining data quality analysis with RexNet, this methodology explores multi-model behaviors and deeper interactions between dependent (e.g., health and condition indicators) and independent variables (e.g., Remaining Useful Life (RUL)), offering richer insights than conventional methods. Both RF and RexNet undergo hyperparameter optimization using Bayesian methods under variability reduction (i.e., standard deviation) of residuals, allowing the algorithms to reach optimal solutions and enabling fair comparisons with state-of-the-art approaches. Applied to high-speed bearings using a large wind turbine dataset, this approach achieves a coefficient of determination of 0.9504, enhancing RUL prediction. This allows for more precise maintenance scheduling from imperfect predictions, reducing downtime and operational costs while improving system reliability under varying conditions.