AI-based prediction of protein–ligand binding affinity and discovery of potential natural product inhibitors against ERK2

Abstract Determination of protein–ligand binding affinity (PLA) is a key technological tool in hit discovery and lead optimization, which is critical to the drug development process. PLA can be determined directly by experimental methods, but it is time-consuming and costly. In recent years, deep learning has been widely applied to PLA prediction, the key of which lies in the comprehensive and accurate representation of proteins and ligands. In this study, we proposed a multi-modal deep learning model based on the early fusion strategy, called DeepLIP, to improve PLA prediction by integrating multi-level information, and further used it for virtual screening of extracellular signal-regulated protein kinase 2 (ERK2), an ideal target for cancer treatment. Experimental results from model evaluation showed that DeepLIP achieved superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on the widely used benchmark dataset. In addition, by combining previously developed machine learning models and molecular dynamics simulation, we screened three novel hits from a drug-like natural product library. These compounds not only had favorable physicochemical properties, but also bound stably to the target protein. We believe they have the potential to serve as starting molecules for the development of ERK2 inhibitors.