Birth characteristics, sibling patterns, and acute leukemia risk in childhood: a population-based cohort study

Background: The occurrence of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) during childhood may be influenced by factors operating in fetal life. Furthermore, childhood ALL has been suggested to be linked to patterns of infection during infancy. Purpose: To explore these hypotheses and other associations, we studied the impact of sibling patterns (e.g., birth order) and birth characteristics (e.g., birth weight) on the risk of childhood ALL and AML. Methods: By linkage of records of population-based registries, a cohort of all children whose mothers were born in Denmark from April 1935 through March 1978 was established. Children who developed ALL or AML during the period from April 1968 through December 1992 were identified by linkage with the Danish Cancer Registry. Birth weights were obtained for children born during the period from January 1973 through December 1992 by linkage with the Medical Birth Registry. Results: The cohort of approximately 2.0 million children was followed for the diagnosis of ALL or AML for 20.9 million person-years. A total of 704 cases of childhood ALL were identified. Among 0-4 year olds, the relative risks (RRs) of ALL for birth order positions 1, 2, 3, and 4+ were 1.00 (reference), 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.68-1.07), 0.91 (95% CI = 0.66-1.25), and 0.57 (95% CI = 0.30-1.06), respectively (P for trend = .09). A decreasing trend was not observed among 5-14 year olds. A significant log-linear association between birth weight and the risk of ALL was observed for both age groups. Overall, the RR of ALL increased by a factor of 1.46 (95% CI = 1.18-1.81) (P = .0005) for each kilogram of increase in birth weight. A total of 114 cases of childhood AML were identified. Children born second or later in the birth order had an increased risk of AML (RR = 1.53; 95% CI = 1.01-2.32) compared with firstborns. A particularly high risk of AML at ages 2 (RR = 2.53; 95% CI = 1.46-4.40) and 3 years was associated with having siblings compared with being an only child at those ages. Similar to the findings for ALL risk, there was a significant association between birth weight and AML risk. The relative increase in AML risk per 1-kg increase in birth weight was 2.14 (95% CI = 1.19-3.85; P = .009). Conclusion and Implications: The association between birth weight and childhood leukemia suggests the importance of intrauterine factors. A plausible explanation may be that increasing birth weight is associated with a higher rate of cell proliferation and/or a larger number of precursor cells being at risk of malignant transformation. The inverse association between birth order and ALL risk among 0-4 year olds was weak, but it was compatible with the hypothesis that delayed exposure to infection may increase the risk of ALL in this age group. The association of childhood AML with birth order and sibship size at young ages deserves further attention in the search for environmental factors that affect childhood AML risk. [J Natl Cancer Inst 1997; 89:939-47]