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Fuzzy seasonal time series for forecasting the production value of the mechanical industry in Taiwan

Authors :
Tseng, Fang Mei
Tzeng, Gwo-Hshiung
Yu, Hsiao-Cheng
Source :
Technological Forecasting & Social Change. March, 1999, Vol. 60 Issue 3, p263, 1 p.
Publication Year :
1999

Abstract

The production value of the mechanical industry in Taiwan was forecasted using fuzzy seasonal time series. A potential benefit of the study was providing enterprises with a method to conduct short-term predictions that will serve as an aid to accurate planning. The fuzzy seasonal time series method included interval models with interval parameters which makes the distribution of future value a possibility. The results of the application of the method showed that the method can be relied on to make good forecasts.

Details

ISSN :
00401625
Volume :
60
Issue :
3
Database :
Gale General OneFile
Journal :
Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
edsgcl.54546616