Characterizing the double-sided cascade of care for adolescents living with HIV transitioning to adulthood across Southern Africa

Introduction: As adolescents and young people living with HIV (AYLH) age, they face a 'transition cascade,' a series of steps associated with transitions in their care as they become responsible for their own healthcare. In high-income countries, this usually includes transfer from predominantly paediatric/adolescent to adult clinics. In sub-Saharan Africa, paediatric HIV care is mostly provided in decentralized, non-specialist primary care clinics, where 'transition' may not necessarily include transfer of care but entails becoming more autonomous for one's HIV care. Using different age thresholds as proxies for when 'transition' to autonomy might occur, we evaluated pre- and post-transition outcomes among AYLH. Methods: We included AYLH aged Results: A total of 5516 AYLH from 16 sites were included at 'transition' age 16 (transition-16y), 3864 at 18 (transition-18y), 1463 at 20 (transition-20y) and 440 at 22 years (transition-22y). At transition-18y in the 12 months pre- and post-transition, 83% versus 74% of AYLH had no gap in care (difference 9.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) 7.8 to 10.9)); while 65% versus 62% were virally suppressed (difference 2.7 (-1.0 to 6.5%)). The strongest predictor of being retained post-transition was having no gap in the preceding year, across all transition age thresholds (transition-16y adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.72; 95% CI (1.60 to 1.86); transition-18y: aRR 1.76 (1.61 to 1.92); transition-20y: aRR 1.75 (1.53 to 2.01); transition-22y: aRR 1.47; (1.21 to 1.78)). Conclusions: AYLH with gaps in care need targeted support to prevent non-retention as they take on greater responsibility for their healthcare. Interventions to increase virologic suppression rates are necessary for all AYLH ageing to adulthood. Keywords: HIV; adolescents; youth; healthcare transition; retention; viral suppression; cascade of care
1 | INTRODUCTION There is a growing cohort of adolescents and young adults living with HIV (AYLH), largely due to the increasing number of children with perinatally acquired HIV surviving [...]