Integrating quantitative morphological and intratumoural textural characteristics in FDG-PET for the prediction of prognosis in pharynx squamous cell carcinoma patients

Aim: To assess potential prognostic factors in pharynx squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) patients by quantitative morphological and intratumoural characteristics obtained by 2-[18F]-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron-emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT). Materials and methods: The cases of 54 patients with pharynx SCC who underwent chemoradiation therapy were analysed retrospectively. Using their FDG-PET data, the quantitative morphological and intratumoural characteristics of 14 parameters were calculated. The progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) information was obtained from patient medical records. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the 14 quantitative parameters as well as the T-stage, N-stage, and tumour location data for their relation to PFS and OS. When an independent predictor was suggested in the multivariate analysis, the parameter was further assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: In the assessment of PFS, the univariate and multivariate analyses indicated the following as independent predictors: the texture parameter of homogeneity and the morphological parameter of sphericity. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the PFS rate was significantly improved in the patients who had both a higher value of homogeneity (p=0.01) and a higher value of sphericity (p=0.002). With the combined use of homogeneity and sphericity, the patients with different PFS rates could be divided more clearly. Conclusion: The quantitative parameters of homogeneity and sphericity obtained by FDG-PET can be useful for the prediction of the PFS of pharynx SCC patients, especially when used in combination.