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Formiranje i komparacija scenarija geopolitičkoga razvoja Zapadnog Balkana
- Source :
- Hrvatski geografski glasnik; ISSN 1331-5854 (Print); ISSN 1848-6401 (Online); Volume 85; Issue 1
- Publication Year :
- 2023
-
Abstract
- U radu se problematiziraju geopolitičke prilike Zapadnog Balkana, regije koju je državnim granicama odredila Europska unija. U regiju spadaju Albanija, Bosna i Hercegovina, Crna Gora, Kosovo, Sjeverna Makedonija i Srbija. U svrhu istraživanja provedena je anketa među studentima geografije u osam gradova Zapadnog Balkana i u Zagrebu. Na anketu se nastavila metoda Delfi u dva kruga. Provođenjem istraživanja putem tih dviju metoda stvorena su tri scenarija geopolitičkoga razvoja do 2031. godine: euroatlantska integracija, status quo i rekonstrukcija Zapadnog Balkana. Usporedbom scenarija došlo se do spoznaje da se geopolitički razvoj regije narednih deset godina može očekivati prema scenariju status quo, odnosno prema sadašnjim geopolitičkim obrascima regije.<br />The paper examines the geopolitical situation of the Western Balkans, a region defined along state borders by the European Union. The region includes Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Kosovo, North Macedonia and Serbia. For the purpose of the research, a survey was conducted among geography students in eight cities of the Western Balkans and in Zagreb. The survey was conducted according to the Delphi method in two rounds. By conducting research using a survey and the Delphi method, three scenarios of geopolitical development through 2031 were formed: "Euro-Atlantic integration", "Status quo" and "Reconstruction of the Western Balkans". By comparing the scenarios, it is apparent that the geopolitical development of the region in the next ten years will mostly follow the "Status quo" scenario, that is, according to the current geopolitical patterns of the region.
Details
- Database :
- OAIster
- Journal :
- Hrvatski geografski glasnik; ISSN 1331-5854 (Print); ISSN 1848-6401 (Online); Volume 85; Issue 1
- Notes :
- Bačan, Danijel
- Publication Type :
- Electronic Resource
- Accession number :
- edsoai.on1393040151
- Document Type :
- Electronic Resource