Teacher Cost Models. Educational Planning Occasional Papers No. 5/72.

This report describes the development of a teacher cost model for the Ontario secondary school system that allows educational officials, using a specified set of input information, to forecast the provincial wage-bill for a period of up to five years. The model is composed of two sub-models -- the teacher manpower sub-model and the teacher salary sub-model. A grid of teacher headcounts by category and experience and a grid of salary entries corresponding to the teacher salary schedule are generated from data obtained from the Ontario Secondary School Teachers' Federation. Methods for the estimation of teacher leaving and hiring rates and the estimation of teacher salary schedules are developed and applied to the model thereby generating estimates of future manpower distributions and salary schedules for the school years 1971-76. The model thus created calculates the teacher wage-bill for a selected set of parameters. Various implications of these projections for decisionmaking and policy analysis are discussed. Related documents are EA 005 254 and EA 005 255. (Author)