Projections of Education Statistics to 2011. Thirtieth Edition.

This report, 30th in a series begun in 1964, provides revisions to projections shown in "Projections of Education Statistics to 2010." It includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and degree-granting institutions. Included are projections for enrollment, graduates, teachers, and expenditures to the year 2011. The report also included projections of public elementary and secondary enrollment and high school graduates to the year 2011 at the high school level. The projections in this report reflect revisions influenced by the 1990 Census, but exclude the net undercount of 4 to 5 million. Most of the projections include three alternatives, based on different assumptions about demographic and economic growth paths. The middle alternative, the first set of projections, is considered to represent the most likely scenario. Total public and private elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase from 52.9 million in 1999 to 53.4 million in 2005. Total enrollment is then projected to decrease to 53.0 million by 2011, resulting in a less than 1% increase from 1999 to 2011. Enrollment in degree-granting institutions is projected to increase by 20% over the period. Five appendixes contain a discussion of projection methodology, supplementary tables, data sources, a glossary, and a discussion of methodology for the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System. (Contains 59 figures and 61 tables.) (SLD)