1,372 results
Search Results
2. Effects of using a portable navigation system and paper map in real driving
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Lee, Wen-Chen and Cheng, Bor-Wen
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AUTOMOBILE driving , *LOCOMOTION , *WIRELESS communications , *MOTOR vehicle driving - Abstract
Abstract: Navigation systems are very useful tools because they display a user''s location and guide them to a destination using graphics, text and voice information. Recent work has revealed that millions of consumers received driving directions using their cell phone or PDA. This present work aimed to explore whether the efficiency to destination and driver behavior were distinguishable when using a portable navigation system compared to a paper map. Thirty-two subjects were paid to participate in this research, with field experiments being carried out in both urban and rural environments. A smart phone was adopted as the portable navigation system in the study. The results revealed that the drivers performed better when using a portable navigation system compared to those using a paper map, in terms of efficiency to destination and driving performance. In addition, drivers could save time and gasoline using a portable navigation system when in an unfamiliar region, and driving performance may be safer, despite the fact that the display screen of the phone is small. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
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- 2008
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3. ⋆This paper has been handled by associate editor Tony Sze.The application of novel connected vehicles emulated data on real-time crash potential prediction for arterials.
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Li, Pei, Abdel-Aty, Mohamed, Cai, Qing, and Yuan, Cheng
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FORECASTING , *DATA scrubbing , *DATA libraries , *CLEANING compounds , *ACQUISITION of data - Abstract
• This paper utilizes novel connected vehicle (CV) emulated data to predict real-time crash potential for arterials. • The CV emulated data are flexible to obtain. Different speed-related variables are estimated based on the CV emulated data to depict continuous traffic conditions • The results proved the feasibility of using CV emulated data for real-time crash potential prediction • The proposed methods can be applied to other types of vehicles Real-time crash potential prediction could provide valuable information for Active Traffic Management Systems. Fixed infrastructure-based vehicle detection devices were widely used in the previous studies to obtain different types of data for crash potential prediction. However, it was difficult to obtain data in large range through these devices due to the costs of installation and maintenance. This paper introduced a novel connected vehicle (CV) emulated data for real-time crash potential prediction. Different from the fixed devices' data, CV emulated data have high flexibility and can be obtained continuously with relatively low cost. Crash and CV emulated data were collected from two urban arterials in Orlando, USA. Crash data were archived by the Signal for Analytics system (S4A), while the CV emulated data were obtained through the data collection API with a high frequency. Different data cleaning and preparation techniques were implemented, while various speed-related variables were generated from the CV emulated data. A Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) neural network was trained to predict the crash potential in the next 5−10 min. The results from the model illustrated the feasibility of using a novel CV emulated data to predict real-time crash potential. The average and 50th percentile speed were the two most important variables for the crash potential prediction. In addition, the proposed LSTM outperformed Bayesian logistics regression and XGBoost in terms of sensitivity, Area under Curve (AUC), and false alarm rate. With the rapid development of the connected vehicle systems, the results from this paper can be extended to other types of vehicles and data, which can significantly enhance traffic safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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4. Controlling fatigue risk in safety-critical workplaces: A summary of selected papers from the 9th International Conference on Managing Fatigue in Transportation, Resources and Health.
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Roach, Gregory D., Roberts, Paul, Dawson, Drew, Ferguson, Sally, Meuleners, Lynn, Brook, Libby, and Sargent, Charli
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FATIGUE prevention , *INDUSTRIAL safety , *TRANSPORTATION industry workers , *SHIFT systems ,FATIGUE risk factors - Published
- 2017
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5. Trajectory planning framework for autonomous vehicles based on collision injury prediction for vulnerable road users.
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Guo, Yage, Liu, Yu, Wang, Botao, Huang, Peifeng, Xu, Hailan, and Bai, Zhonghao
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ROAD users , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *HEAD injuries , *ELECTRICAL injuries , *COLLISIONS at sea , *MOTORCYCLING accidents , *WOUNDS & injuries , *TRAFFIC flow - Abstract
• Construct a multi-parameter collision automated simulation framework, integrate the Monte Carlo sampling algorithm, and create a collision damage dataset. • The MLP + XGBoost fusion regression algorithm is used to predict and analyze the cyclist's head collision injury dataset. • The NCP model is introduced to replace the traditional trajectory prediction algorithm based on LSTM and GRU to reduce the complexity of the network model. • An autonomous vehicle trajectory planning algorithm based on cyclist head injury prediction was developed. Due to the escalating occurrence and high casualty rates of accidents involving Electric Two-Wheelers (E2Ws), it has become a major safety concern on the roads. Additionally, with the widespread adoption of current autonomous driving technology, a greater challenge has arisen for the safety of vulnerable road participants. Most existing trajectory planning methods primarily focus on the safety, comfort, and dynamics of autonomous vehicles themselves, often overlooking the protection of vulnerable road users (VRUs), typically E2W riders. This paper aims to investigate the kinematic response of E2Ws in vehicle collisions, including the 15 ms Head Injury Criterion (HIC 15). It analyzes the impact of key collision parameters on head injuries, establishes injury prediction models for anticipated scenarios, and proposes a trajectory planning framework for autonomous vehicles based on predicting head injuries of VRUs. Firstly, a multi-rigid-body model of two-wheeler-vehicle collision was established based on a real accident database, incorporating four critical collision parameters (initial collision velocity, initial collision position, and collision angle). The accuracy of the multi-rigid-body model was validated through verifications with real fatal accidents to parameterize the collision scenario. Secondly, a large-scale effective crash dataset has been established by the multi-parameterized crash simulation automation framework combined with Monte Carlo sampling algorithm. The training and testing of the injury prediction model were implemented based on the MLP + XGBoost regression algorithm on this dataset to explore the potential relationship between the head injuries of the E2W riders and the crash variables. Finally, based on the proposed injury prediction model, this paper generated a trajectory planning framework for autonomous vehicles based on head collision injury prediction for VRUs, aiming to achieve a fair distribution of collision risks among road users. The accident reconstruction results show that the maximum error in the final relative positions of the E2W, the car, and the E2W rider compared to the real accident scene is 11 %, demonstrating the reliability of the reconstructed model. The injury prediction results indicate that the MLP + XGBoost regression prediction model used in this article achieved an R2 of 0.92 on the test set. Additionally, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed trajectory planning algorithm were validated in a manually designed autonomous driving traffic flow scenario. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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6. A freeway vehicle early warning method based on risk map: Enhancing traffic safety through global perspective characterization of driving risk.
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Cui, Chuang, An, Bocheng, Li, Linheng, Qu, Xu, Manda, Huhe, and Ran, Bin
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TRAFFIC safety , *MOTOR vehicle driving , *EXPRESS highways , *TRAFFIC accidents , *LANE changing , *WARNINGS - Abstract
• In this paper, multiple driving risks are uniformly characterized as cumulative risks. • A risk map is established to visualize and characterize freeway driving risks. • The risk map in this paper stands for a global view that can warn drivers. • A freeway vehicle early warning method based on risk map is proposed. In the era of rapid advancements in intelligent transportation, utilizing vehicle operating data to evaluate the risk of freeway vehicles and study on vehicle early warning methods not only lays a theoretical foundation for improving the active safety of vehicles, but also provides the technical support for reducing accident rate. This paper proposes a freeway vehicle early warning method based on risk map to enhance vehicle safety. Firstly, Modified Time-to-Collision (MTTC), a two-dimensional indicator that describes the risk of inter-vehicle travel, is used as an indicator of road traffic risk. This paper designs a transformation function to probabilistically transform MTTC into Risk Indicators (RI). The single-vehicle risk map is generated based on the mapping relationship between the risk values and the corresponding roadway segments. These single-vehicle risk maps of all vehicles on the road are superimposed to construct the risk map, which is used to describe the risk distribution in the freeway. Then, a vehicle early warning framework is built based on the risk map. The risk values in the risk map are compared with predefined early warning thresholds to alert the vehicle when it enters a high-risk state. Finally, VISSIM is used to carry out simulation experiments. The experiment simulates a freeway accident stopping situation. This scenario includes sub-scenarios such as unplanned stopping and lane-changing, continuous lane-changing, and adjacent lane overtaking. We analyze the risk map and vehicle warning results in different sub-scenarios, evaluate the risk changes of the vehicles before and after receiving the warning, and compare the warning results of the method in this paper with other alternative methods. The method is applied to 17 vehicles in the simulation to adjust their motion states. The results show that the total warning time is reduced by 29.6% and 73.3% of vehicles change lanes away from the accident vehicle. The overall results validate the effectiveness of the vehicle early warning method based on risk map proposed in this paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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7. Crash causation, countermeasures, and policy – Editorial.
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Shinar, David and Hauer, Ezra
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CRASH injuries , *PREVENTION of injury , *PUBLIC safety , *ARRAIGNMENT - Abstract
This editorial is both an introduction to the papers that make up this special issue (on the Relationship between Crash Causation, Countermeasures, and Policy) and an attempt at drawing conclusions. To assist the reader, we begin with a brief description of the subject matter of each paper. As expected, the authors tackle different aspects of this general topic and often differ in their conclusions. We follow up by asking: Are in-depth crash causation studies helpful? Can the need for understanding causation be defended? Does the Swiss Cheese Metaphor require revision? What are the building blocks on which the crash injury prevention programs rest? Can one really avoid comparing costs and benefits? These are some of the issues we raise and discuss. We end by offering for consideration a realistic model to link causes, countermeasures, policy, and responsibility for public safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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8. Enhancing intersection safety in autonomous traffic: A grid-based approach with risk quantification.
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Wu, Wei, Chen, Siyu, Xiong, Mengfei, and Xing, Lu
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TRAFFIC conflicts , *TRAFFIC engineering , *KINETIC energy , *TRAFFIC safety , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles - Abstract
• This paper proposes the Grid-Based Conflict Index (GBCI) to quantify the collision risks and severity among the vehicles. • This paper introduced a calculation method for the grid-based Post Encroachment Time (PET) and the total kinetic energy change. • This paper proposed a traffic-safety-based AIM model aimed at minimizing the weighted sum of total delay and conflict risk at the intersection. Existing studies on autonomous intersection management (AIM) primarily focus on traffic efficiency, often overlooking the overall intersection safety, where conflict separation is simplified and traffic conflicts are inadequately assessed. In this paper, we introduce a calculation method for the grid-based Post Encroachment Time (PET) and the total kinetic energy change before and after collisions. The improved grid-based PET metric provides a more accurate estimation of collision probability, and the total kinetic energy change serves as a precise measure of collision severity. Consequently, we establish the Grid-Based Conflict Index (GBCI) to systematically quantify collision risks between vehicles at an autonomous intersection. Then, we propose a traffic-safety-based AIM model aimed at minimizing the weighted sum of total delay and conflict risk at the intersection. This entails the optimization of entry time and trajectory for each vehicle within the intersection, achieving traffic control that prioritizes overall intersection safety. Our results demonstrate that GBCI effectively assesses conflict risks within the intersection, and the proposed AIM model significantly reduces conflict risks between vehicles and enhances traffic safety while ensuring intersection efficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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9. The role of driver head pose dynamics and instantaneous driving in safety critical events: Application of computer vision in naturalistic driving.
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Khattak, Zulqarnain H., Li, Wan, Karnowski, Thomas, and Khattak, Asad J.
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COMPUTER vision , *ERGONOMICS , *DRIVER assistance systems , *APPLICATION software , *LANE changing , *MOTOR vehicle driving , *TRAFFIC safety , *TRAFFIC accidents - Abstract
• How does driver behavior expressed through head pose dynamics relate to involvement in safety critical events. • Computer vision and mixed logit techniques used to identify patterns and relationships between drivers' head pose dynamics and crash involvement. • Angular deviation for head pose dynamics indicated by yaw, pitch and roll increase the likelihood of crash intensity by 4.56%, 4.92% and 8.26% respectively. This paper investigates the role of driver behavior especially head pose dynamics in safety–critical events (SCEs). Using a large dataset collected in a naturalistic driving study, this paper analyzes the head pose dynamics and driving behavior in moments leading up to crashes or near-crashes. The study uses advanced computer vision and mixed logit modeling techniques to identify patterns and relationships between drivers' head pose dynamics and crash involvement. The results suggest that driver-head pose dynamics, especially poses that indicate distraction and movement volatility, are important factors that can contribute to undesirable safety outcomes. Marginal effects show that angular deviation for head pose dynamics indicated by yaw, pitch and roll increase the likelihood of crash intensity by 4.56%, 4.92% and 8.26% respectively. Furthermore, traffic flow and lane changing also contribute to increase in likelihood of crash intensity. These findings provide new insights into pre-crash factors, especially human factors and safety–critical events. The study highlights the importance of considering human factors in designing driver assistance systems and developing safer vehicles. This research contributes by examining naturalistic driving data at the microscopic level with early detection of behaviors that lead to SCEs and provides a basis for future research on automation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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10. A generic optimization-based enhancement method for trajectory data: Two plus one.
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Zhu, Feng, Chang, Cheng, Li, Zhiheng, Li, Boqi, and Li, Li
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BILEVEL programming , *TRAFFIC flow , *TRAFFIC safety , *DATA quality , *PREDICTION models , *RESEARCH personnel , *KALMAN filtering - Abstract
• To address the issues of inconsistency and loss of abrupt changes that existing methods fail to solve, we propose a bilevel optimization method. For a thorough resolution of the data inconsistency, we utilize the ℓ l 2 trend filter to merge the raw position and velocity data. To preserve abrupt changes in trajectory, we utilize the ℓ l 1 trend filter to make the trajectory physically feasible and preserve driving characteristics. • To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, we design experiments and calculate the metrics to verify it. We discuss the trend filtering order and demonstrate that the optimization order we proposed is optimal through experiments. We also calculate metrics such as RMSE and jerk value and also compare the other trajectory enhancement methods and the result of the trajectory prediction model before and after our processing method. Our method achieves superior performance on most of them. This approach is essential to ensure the reliability and accuracy of the results. • We provide a detailed explanation of the algorithm workflow and present examples. In our work, we take the latest trajectory dataset: CitySim dataset as an example to show how our method processes data and its effectiveness in handling trajectory data. It can serve as a reference and enable researchers to easily understand the method. What's more, the processing methods proposed are also applicable to other trajectory datasets. Trajectory data play a vital role in the field of traffic research such as vehicle safety, traffic flow, and intelligent vehicles. The quality of trajectory data will determine the safety effectiveness of both research and practical applications. Effectively filtering out noise and errors from trajectory data is crucial for improving data quality and further research. However, most enhancement methods only focus on the smoothness of trajectory but overlook abrupt changes. The processed trajectory still exist issues such as incomplete elimination of inconsistency and loss of driving characteristics. In this paper, we propose a generic optimization-based enhancement method to address the issues above. We propose a bilevel optimization method combined with ℓ l 1 and ℓ l 2 trend filter. First, we design a l ℓ 2 trend filter to fuse raw trajectory data and eliminate the inconsistency. Next, we utilize the l ℓ 1 trend filter to optimize the data, ensuring physical feasibility and preserving abrupt changes (emergency driving characteristics). Then, we validate the effectiveness of the method through evaluation metrics and prediction models. The generic optimization-based enhancement method proposed in this paper ensures the safety of both research and application by providing high-quality trajectory data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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11. A review of truck driver persona construction for safety management.
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Li, Haijian, Wang, Weijie, Yao, Ying, Zhao, Xiaohua, and Zhang, Xiangdong
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TRANSPORTATION safety measures , *TRUCK drivers , *TRANSPORTATION management , *AUTOMOTIVE transportation , *TRAFFIC accidents - Abstract
• Using bibliometric methods, the main factors affecting the safety of truck drivers in terms of drivers, vehicles, roads, environment, and management were comprehensively sorted out. • This paper summarizes the method of constructing a user persona and proposes a theoretical framework for a truck driver persona. • Current management interventions are reviewed and intervention processes and methods covering pre-post, in-transit and on-post sessions are proposed. • This paper summarizes the limitations of the existing research base and proposes future directions for research. The trucking industry urgently requires comprehensive methods to evaluate driver safety, given the high incidence of serious traffic accidents involving trucks. The concept of a "truck driver persona" emerges as a crucial tool in enhancing driver safety and enabling precise management of road transportation safety. Currently, the road transport sector is only beginning to adopt the user persona approach, and thus the development of such personas for road transport remains an exploratory endeavor. This paper delves into three key aspects: identifying safety risk characteristic parameters, exploring methods for constructing personas and designing safety management interventions. Initially, bibliometric methods are employed to analyze safety risk factors across five domains: truck drivers, vehicles, roads, the environment, and management. This analysis provides the variables necessary to develop personas for road transportation drivers. Existing methods for constructing user personas are then reviewed, with a particular focus on their application in the context of road transportation. Integrating contemporary ideas in persona creation, we propose a framework for developing safety risk personas specific to road transportation drivers. These personas are intended to inform and guide safety management interventions. Moreover, the four stages of driver post-evaluation are integrated into the persona development process, outlining tailored safety management interventions for each stage: pre-post, pre-transit, in-transit, and on-post. These interventions are designed to be orderly and finely tuned. Lastly, we offer optimization recommendations and suggest future research directions based on safety risk factors, persona construction, and safety management interventions. Overall, this paper presents a safety management-oriented research technology system for constructing safety risk personas for truck drivers. We argue that improving the design of the persona index system, driven by big data, and encompassing the entire driver duty cycle—from pre-post to on-post—will significantly enhance truck driver safety. This represents a vital direction for future development in the field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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12. Assessing the Negative Binomial-Lindley model for crash hotspot identification: Insights from Monte Carlo simulation analysis.
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Gil-Marin, Jhan Kevin, Shirazi, Mohammadali, and Ivan, John N.
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TRAFFIC safety , *BUDGET , *MONTE Carlo method - Abstract
• This paper explores the performance of the NB-L model in hotspot identification. • A Monte Carlo simulation protocol is designed to generate various simulated scenarios. • The findings reveal a trade-off between the NB-L and NB models in hotspot identification. • For dispersed data, the NB-L exhibits better specificity, and the NB better sensitivity in hotspot identification. Identifying hazardous crash sites (or hotspots) is a crucial step in highway safety management. The Negative Binomial (NB) model is the most common model used in safety analyses and evaluations - including hotspot identification. The NB model, however, is not without limitations. In fact, this model does not perform well when data are highly dispersed, include excess zero observations, or have a long tail. Recently, the Negative Binomial-Lindley (NB-L) model has been proposed as an alternative to the NB. The NB-L model overcomes several limitations related to the NB, such as addressing the issue of excess zero observations in highly dispersed data. However, it is not clear how the NB-L model performs regarding the hotspot identification. In this paper, an innovative Monte Carlo simulation protocol was designed to generate a wide range of simulated data characterized by different means, dispersions, and percentage of zeros. Next, the NB-L model was written as a Full-Bayes hierarchical model and compared with the Full-Bayes NB model for hotspot identification using extensive simulation scenarios. Most previous studies focused on statistical fit, and showed that the NB-L model fits the data better than the NB. In this research, however, we investigated the performance of the NB-L model in identifying the hazardous sites. We showed that there is a trade-off between the NB-L and NB when it comes to hotspot identification. Multiple performance metrics were used for the assessment. Among those, the results show that the NB-L model provides a better specificity in identifying hotspots, while the NB model provides a better sensitivity, especially for highly dispersed data. In other words, while the NB model performs better in identifying hazardous sites, the NB-L model performs better, when budget is limited, by not selecting non-hazardous sites as hazardous. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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13. Police and hospital data linkage for traffic injury surveillance: A systematic review.
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Soltani, Ali, Edward Harrison, James, Ryder, Courtney, Flavel, Joanne, and Watson, Angela
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COMPUTER network traffic , *TRAFFIC monitoring , *ROAD safety measures , *ROAD users , *CRASH injuries , *MIDDLE-income countries - Abstract
• Use of multiple data sources can enable more complete and informative road injury statistics. • The papers reviewed lack consistency in what was reported and how. • Probabilistic methods are more common when linking administrative data on crash injuries. • Linkage studies can identify topics and case types that warrant more attention in road safety programs, commonly including vulnerable road users. This systematic review examines studies of traffic injury that involved linkage of police crash data and hospital data and were published from 1994 to 2023 worldwide in English. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were the basis for selecting papers from PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus, and for identifying additional relevant papers using PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) and supplementary snowballing (n = 60). The selected papers were reviewed in terms of research objectives, data items and sample size included, temporal and spatial coverage, linkage methods and software tools, as well as linkage rates and most significant findings. Many studies found that the number of clinically significant road injury cases was much higher according to hospital data than crash data. Under-estimation of cases in crash data differs by road user type, pedestrian cases commonly being highly under-counted. A limited number of the papers were from low- and middle-income countries. The papers reviewed lack consistency in what was reported and how, which limited comparability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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14. How drivers perform under different scenarios: Ability-related driving style extraction for large-scale dataset.
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Zang, Yingbang, Wen, Licheng, Cai, Pinlong, Fu, Daocheng, Mao, Song, Shi, Botian, Li, Yikang, and Lu, Guangquan
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MOTOR vehicle driving , *TRAJECTORY optimization , *GAUSSIAN mixture models , *DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) - Abstract
The extraction and analysis of driving style are essential for a comprehensive understanding of human driving behaviours. Most existing studies rely on subjective questionnaires and specific experiments, posing challenges in accurately capturing authentic characteristics of group drivers in naturalistic driving scenarios. As scenario-oriented naturalistic driving data collected by advanced sensors becomes increasingly available, the application of data-driven methods allows for a exhaustive analysis of driving styles across multiple drivers. Following a theoretical differentiation of driving ability, driving performance, and driving style with essential clarifications, this paper proposes a quantitative determination method grounded in large-scale naturalistic driving data. Initially, this paper defines and derives driving ability and driving performance through trajectory optimisation modelling considering various cost indicators. Subsequently, this paper proposes an objective driving style extraction method grounded in the Gaussian mixture model. In the experimental phase, this study employs the proposed framework to extract both driving abilities and performances from the Waymo motion dataset, subsequently determining driving styles. This determination is accomplished through the establishment of quantifiable statistical distributions designed to mirror data characteristics. Furthermore, the paper investigates the distinctions between driving styles in different scenarios, utilising the Jensen–Shannon divergence and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. The empirical findings substantiate correlations between driving styles and specific scenarios, encompassing both congestion and non-congestion as well as intersection and non-intersection scenarios. • A quantitative method of driving performance through trajectory costs is proposed. • A general driving style extraction method for the large-scale dataset is proposed. • Driving styles of different traffic scenarios are significantly different. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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15. The role of traffic conflicts in roundabout safety evaluation: A review.
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Li, Li, Zhang, Zai, Xu, Zhi-Gang, Yang, Wen-Chen, and Lu, Qing-Chang
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TRAFFIC conflicts , *TRAFFIC circles , *ROAD markings , *ROAD users , *TRAFFIC signs & signals , *TRAFFIC flow , *TRAFFIC safety - Abstract
• This review synthesizes the literature on the role of traffic conflicts in roundabout safety evaluation. • Current surrogate safety indicators are not appropriate for measuring roundabout conflicts involving in three or more road users. • The configuration and geometry elements of a roundabout are related to the types and frequency of the conflicts. • The conflicts involving more than two vehicles or vulnerable road users need more studies in future research. • Traffic signs, signals and technologies of intelligent connected vehicles should be used comprehensively to control roundabout conflicts. The roundabout is one type of at-grade intersection commonly seen in many countries. The evaluation of roundabout safety is usually counted on conflict analysis of the roundabout traffic due to random and limited records of real accidents. This paper surveyed published papers and reports that investigate the role of traffic conflicts in roundabout safety evaluation. It summarized the definitions and observation methods of roundabout conflicts and classified the attributing factors of roundabout conflicts and the countermeasures to control the conflicts. This study found that although unique traffic flow movements at roundabouts create special patterns of roundabout conflicts, the methods of roundabout conflict analysis used in most existing studies were inherited from the studies of highway or cross-intersection conflicts, including conflict definitions, conflict measurements, and thresholds of conflict severity. Special or improper designs of roundabout configurations or basic geometry elements could arouse roundabout conflicts. The most common vehicle-to-vehicle conflicts were entering-circulating conflicts, sideswipe conflicts, and exiting-circulating conflicts. The conflicts among vehicles and vulnerable road users (VRUs) easily evolved into serious collisions, but these conflicts did not get deserved attention in previous studies. Drivers' familiarity with roundabouts also affected road users' safety. Traffic signs and pavement markings were commonly used to control roundabout conflicts, while traffic signals were more effective methods for the roundabouts with uneven distribution of approaching traffic or high traffic volume. Based on the analysis of existing studies, this paper pointed out seven future directions of further research in term of conflict measurement, data collection, infrastructure and access management, geometry, drivers and VRUs, signal control, and vehicle control. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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16. Coupling intention and actions of vehicle–pedestrian interaction: A virtual reality experiment study.
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Dang, Meiting, Jin, Yan, Hang, Peng, Crosato, Luca, Sun, Yuzhu, and Wei, Chongfeng
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VIRTUAL reality , *PEDESTRIANS , *PEDESTRIAN crosswalks , *BEHAVIORAL assessment , *SENSATION seeking , *VALUE orientations , *INTENTION - Abstract
The interactions between vehicles and pedestrians are complex due to their interdependence and coupling. Understanding these interactions is crucial for the development of autonomous vehicles, as it enables accurate prediction of pedestrian crossing intentions, more reasonable decision-making, and human-like motion planning at unsignalized intersections. Previous studies have devoted considerable effort to analyzing vehicle and pedestrian behavior and developing models to forecast pedestrian crossing intentions. However, these studies have two limitations. First, they mainly focus on investigating variables that explain pedestrian crossing behavior rather than predicting pedestrian crossing intentions. Moreover, some factors such as age, sensation seeking and social value orientation, used to establish decision-making models in these studies are not easily accessible in real-world scenarios. In this paper, we explored the critical factors influencing the decision-making processes of human drivers and pedestrians respectively by using virtual reality technology. To do this, we considered available kinematic variables and analyzed the internal relationship between motion parameters and pedestrian behavior. The analysis results indicate that longitudinal distance and vehicle acceleration are the most influential factors in pedestrian decision-making, while pedestrian speed and longitudinal distance also play a crucial role in determining whether the vehicle yields or not. Furthermore, a mathematical relationship between a pedestrian's intention and kinematic variables is established for the first time, which can help dynamically assess when pedestrians desire to cross. Finally, the results obtained in driver-yielding behavior analysis provide valuable insights for autonomous vehicle decision-making and motion planning. • Using virtual reality technology to explore key factors in decision-making • Identifying distance and vehicle acceleration as key factors in pedestrian decisions • Discovering a mathematical link between pedestrian intent and kinematic variables • Analyzing driver-yielding behavior based on pedestrian intent and time-to-arrival [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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17. Enhancing rail safety through real-time defect detection: A novel lightweight network approach.
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Cao, Yuan, Liu, Yue, Sun, Yongkui, Su, Shuai, and Wang, Feng
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INDUSTRIAL capacity , *SPINE - Abstract
The rapid detection of internal rail defects is critical to maintaining railway safety, but this task faces a significant challenge due to the limited computational resources of onboard detection systems. This paper presents YOLOv8n-LiteCBAM, an advanced network designed to enhance the efficiency of rail defect detection. The network designs a lightweight DepthStackNet backbone to replace the existing CSPDarkNet backbone. Further optimization is achieved through model pruning techniques and the incorporation of a novel Bidirectional Convolutional Block Attention Module (BiCBAM). Additionally, inference acceleration is realized via ONNX Runtime. Experimental results on the rail defect dataset demonstrate that our model achieves 92.9% mAP with inference speeds of 136.79 FPS on the GPU and 38.36 FPS on the CPU. The model's inference speed outperforms that of other lightweight models and ensures that it meets the real-time detection requirements of Rail Flaw Detection (RFD) vehicles traveling at 80 km/h. Consequently, the YOLOv8n-LiteCBAM network is with some potential for industrial application in the expedited detection of internal rail defects. • Introducing a DepthStackNet backbone and model pruning to improve detection speed. • Designing a Bidirectional Convolutional Block Attention Module to boost performance. • Ensuring real-time detection meets the 80 km/h speed requirement for RFD vehicles. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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18. An enhanced method for evaluating the effectiveness of protective devices for road safety application.
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Perticone, A., Barbani, D., and Baldanzini, N.
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SAFETY appliances , *ROAD safety measures , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *VIRTUAL reality , *SYSTEM safety - Abstract
• Innovative Rider-Centric Safety Assessment: Addresses riders' multiple injury concerns. • Global Potential Damage (GPD): Introduces a versatile injury assessment indicator. • Holistic Safety Equipment: the Belted Safety Jacket (BSJ) for riders. • Enhanced Probabilistic Assessment: Expands beyond single-point evaluations. • Real Data Correlation: Combines simulations with global accident data. This paper presents an enhanced probabilistic approach to estimate the real-world safety performance of new device concepts for road safety applications from the perspective of Powered Two-Wheeler (PTW) riders who suffer multiple injuries in different body regions. The proposed method estimates the overall effectiveness of safety devices for PTW riders by correlating computer simulations with various levels of actual injuries collected worldwide from accident databases. The study further develops the methodology initially presented by Johnny Korner in 1989 by introducing a new indicator, Global Potential Damage (GPD), that overcomes the limitations of the original method, encompassing six biomechanical injury indices estimated in five body regions. A Weibull regression model was fit to the field data using the Maximum Likelihood Method with boundaries at the 90% confidence level for the construction of novel injury risk curves for PTW riders. The modified methodology was applied for the holistic evaluation of the effectiveness of a new safety system, the Belted Safety Jacket (BSJ), in head-on collisions across multiple injury indices, body regions, vehicle types, and speed pairs without sub-optimizing it at specific crash severities. A virtual multi-body environment was employed to reproduce a selected set of crashes. The BSJ is a device concept comprising a vest with safety belts to restrict the rider's movements relative to the PTW during crashes. The BSJ exhibited 59% effectiveness, with an undoubted benefit to the head, neck, chest, and lower extremities. The results show that the proposed methodology enables an overall assessment of the injuries, thus improving the protection of PTW users. The novel indicator supports a robust evaluation of safety systems, specifically relevant in the context of PTW accidents. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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19. Predicting driver's takeover time based on individual characteristics, external environment, and situation awareness.
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Chen, Haolin, Zhao, Xiaohua, Li, Haijian, Gong, Jianguo, and Fu, Qiang
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SITUATIONAL awareness , *PUPILLARY reflex , *SUPPORT vector machines , *TRAFFIC flow , *RANDOM forest algorithms , *GOODNESS-of-fit tests , *AUTOMOBILE driving - Abstract
• This study constructs a prediction model of driver's takeover time based on individual characteristics, external environment, and situation awareness variables. The performance of the BM + SA model (with situation awareness variables) was better than that of the BM model (without situation awareness variables). This paper has proved that situation awareness is important to takeover time, and the driver's situation awareness should be considered in the study of takeover time. This study can provide support for predicting driver's takeover time. • This study analyzes the main effect of input variables (individual characteristics, external environment, and situation awareness variables) on takeover time and the interactive contribution made by the variables. This study can support analyzing the influence mechanism on takeover time. • This study introduces the Shapely value to explain the XGBoost model, and analyze the contribution of each input variable and their interactive contribution. In addition, the Shapely value explains the variation of individual prediction results. This supports analyzing the contribution of various factors in individual prediction results. The driver's takeover time is crucial to ensure a safe takeover transition in conditional automated driving. The study aimed to construct a prediction model of driver's takeover time based on individual characteristics, external environment, and situation awareness variables. A total of 18 takeover events were designed with scenarios, non-driving-related tasks, takeover request time, and traffic flow as variables. High-fidelity driving simulation experiments were carried out, through which the driver's takeover data was obtained. Fifteen basic factors and three dynamic factors were extracted from individual characteristics, external environment, and situation awareness. In this experiment, these 18 factors were selected as input variables, and XGBoost and Shapely were used as prediction methods. A takeover time prediction model (BM + SA model) was then constructed. Moreover, we analyzed the main effect of input variables on takeover time, and the interactive contribution made by the variables. And in this experiment, the 15 basic factors were selected as input variables, and the basic takeover time prediction model (BM model) was constructed. In addition, this study compared the performance of the two models and analyzed the contribution of input variables to takeover time. The results showed that the goodness of fit of the BM + SA model (Adjusted_ R 2) was 0.7746. The XGBoost model performs better than other models (support vector machine, random forest, CatBoost, and LightBoost models). The relative importance degree of situation awareness variables, individual characteristic variables, and external environment variables to takeover time gradually reduced. Takeover time increased with the scan and gaze durations and decreased with pupil area and self-reported situation awareness scores. There was also an interaction effect between the variables to affect takeover time. Overall, the performance of the BM + SA model was better than that of the BM model. This study can provide support for predicting driver's takeover time and analyzing the mechanism of influence on takeover time. This study can provide support for the development of real-time driver's takeover ability prediction systems and optimization of human–machine interaction design in automated vehicles, as well as for the management department to evaluate and improve the driver's takeover performance in a targeted manner. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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20. The development of a road safety policy index and its application in evaluating the effects of road safety policy.
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Elvik, Rune
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ROAD safety measures , *TRAFFIC fatalities , *TIME series analysis - Abstract
• A road safety policy index consisting of 10 items is proposed. • The index is applied to evaluate road safety policy in Norway. • Different estimators of effect are compared. • Road safety policy has been effective in reducing fatal injury. The paper presents an exploratory study of a road safety policy index developed for Norway. The index consists of ten road safety measures for which data on their use from 1980 to 2021 are available. The ten measures were combined into an index which had an initial value of 50 in 1980 and increased to a value of 185 in 2021. To assess the application of the index in evaluating the effects of road safety policy, negative binomial regression models and multivariate time series models were developed for traffic fatalities, fatalities and serious injuries, and all injuries. The coefficient for the policy index was negative, indicating the road safety policy has contributed to reducing the number of fatalities and injuries. The size of this contribution can be estimated by means of at least three estimators that do not always produce identical values. There is little doubt about the sign of the relationship: a stronger road safety policy (as indicated by index values) is associated with a larger decline in fatalities and injuries. A precise quantification is, however, not possible. Different estimators of effect, all of which can be regarded as plausible, yield different results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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21. Risk of road traffic injury in Norway 1970–2022.
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Elvik, Rune
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TRAFFIC accidents , *ACCIDENT insurance , *ROAD users , *INSURANCE claims , *WOUNDS & injuries , *MEDICAL care - Abstract
• Changes in the risk of road traffic injury in Norway from 1970 to 2022 are described. • Possible explanations of the changes are discussed. • The reporting of injuries in official statistics has declined over time. • A real decline in risk is found after adjusting for incomplete reporting. This paper describes changes in the risk of road traffic injury in Norway during the period from 1970 to 2022. During this period, the risk of fatal and personal injury declined by more than 70 % for most groups of road users. There are five main potential explanations of a decline in the risk of injury: (1) a reduced probability of accidents that have the potential for causing injury; (2) an improved protection against injury given that an accident has occurred; (3) improved medical care increasing the survival rate, given an injury (this would reduce the number of fatalities, but not the number of injuries); (4) a tendency for the reporting of injuries in official accident statistics to decline over time; (5) uncertain or erroneous estimates of the exposure to the risk of injury. The decline in the risk of road traffic injuries in Norway after 1970 can probably be attributed to a combination of reduced reporting of injuries in official statistics, improved protection against injury in accidents, and (for fatal injuries) improved medical care. Insurance data, available from 1992, do not indicate a reduction in the risk of accidents leading to insurance claims. Incomplete and possibly erroneous data for mopeds and motorcycles make it impossible to identify sources of changes in injury risk over time for these modes of transport. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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22. Safety performance of dedicated and preferential bus lanes using multivariate negative binomial models for Bogotá, Colombia.
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García M., Jaime A., Lizarazo J., Cristhian G., Mangones, Sonia C., Bulla-Cruz, Lenin Alexander, and Darghan, Enrique
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MOTORCYCLING accidents , *BUS rapid transit , *SAFETY standards , *BUS transportation , *SIGNALIZED intersections , *PUBLIC transit , *ROAD construction , *TRAFFIC safety - Abstract
• BHLS offers the lowest safety performance compared to BRT and arterial networks. • The greatest risk of fatalities, injuries, and property damage occurs in the BHLS. • BRT offers lower crash rates in less severe events as injuries and fatalities rise. • Factors such as signalized intersection density and curvature improve road safety. Public transport priority systems such as Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) and Buses with High Level of Service (BHLS) are top-rated solutions to mobility in low-income and middle-income cities. There is scientific agreement that the safety performance level of these systems depends on their functional, operational, and infrastructure characteristics. However, there needs to be more evidence on how the different characteristics of bus corridors might influence safety. This paper aims to shed some light on this area by structuring a multivariate negative binomial model comparing crash risk on arterial roads, BRT, and BHLS corridors in Bogotá, Colombia. The analyzed infrastructure includes 712.1 km of arterial roads with standard bus service, 194.1 km of BRT network, and 135.6 km of BHLS network. The study considered crashes from 2015 to 2018 –fatalities, injuries, and property damage only– and 30 operational and infrastructure variables grouped into six classes –exposure, road design, infrastructure, public means of transport, and land use. A multicriteria process was applied for model selection, including the structure and predictive power based on [i] Akaike information criteria, [ii] K-fold cross-validation, and [iii] model parsimony. Relevant findings suggest that in terms of observed and expected accident rates and their relationship with the magnitude of exposure –logarithm of average annual traffic volumes at the peak hour (LOG_AAPHT) and the percentage of motorcycles, cars, buses, and trucks– the greatest risk of fatalities, injuries, and property damage occurs in the BHLS network. BRT network provides lower crash rates in less severe collisions while increasing injuries and fatalities. When comparing the BHLS network and the standard design of arterial roads, BHLS infrastructure, despite increasing mobility benefits, provides the lowest safety performance among the three analyzed networks. Individual factors of the study could also contribute to designing safer roads related to signalized intersection density and curvature. These findings support the unique characteristics and traffic dynamics present in the context of Bogotá that could inform and guide decisions of corresponding authorities in other highly dense urban areas from developing countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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23. The efficacy of hazard perception training and education: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Prabhakharan, Prasannah, Bennett, Joanne M., Hurden, Alexandra, and Crundall, David
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RISK perception , *ROAD users , *PEDESTRIAN accidents , *RESISTANCE training , *HAZARD function (Statistics) , *MACHINE translating - Abstract
• Research into hazard perception training has focused primarily on drivers. • Training was found to improve hazard perception with moderate to large effects. • Training should employ a method which actively engages the participants. • There is considerable heterogeneity in the training methods and measures used. • Future research is needed in long-term retention. Hazard perception (HP) has been argued to improve with experience, with numerous training programs having been developed in an attempt to fast track the development of this critical safety skill. To date, there has been little synthesis of these methods. Objective: The present study sought to synthesise the literature for all road users to capture the breadth of methodologies and intervention types, and quantify their efficacy. Data Sources: A systematic review of both peer reviewed and non-peer-reviewed literature was completed. A total of 57 papers were found to have met inclusion criteria. Results: Research into hazard perception has focused primarily on drivers (with 42 studies), with a limited number of studies focusing on vulnerable road users, including motorcyclists (3 studies), cyclists (7 studies) and pedestrians (5 studies). Training was found to have a large significant effect on improving hazard perception skills for drivers (g = 0.78) and cyclists (g = 0.97), a moderate effect for pedestrians (g = 0.64) and small effect for motorcyclists (g = 0.42). There was considerable heterogeneity in the findings, with the efficacy of training varying as a function of the hazard perception skill being measured, the type of training enacted (active, passive or combined) and the number of sessions of training (single or multiple). Active training and single sessions were found to yield more consistent significant improvements in hazard perception. Conclusions: This study found that HP training improved HP skill across all road user groups with generally moderate to large effects identified. HP training should employ a training method that actively engages the participants in the training task. Preliminary results suggest that a single session of training may be sufficient to improve HP skill however more research is needed into the delivery of these single sessions and long-term retention. Further research is also required to determine whether improvements in early-stage skills translate to improvements in responses on the road, and the long-term retention of the skills developed through training. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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24. An investigation of heterogeneous impact, temporal stability, and aggregate shift in factors affecting the driver injury severity in single-vehicle rollover crashes.
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Ren, Qiaoqiao, Xu, Min, and Yan, Xintong
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TRAFFIC accidents , *LIKELIHOOD ratio tests , *TRAFFIC safety , *LOGISTIC regression analysis , *WOUNDS & injuries , *OLDER automobile drivers - Abstract
• Factors affecting injury severity in rollover crashes were explored. • Random parameters logit model with unobserved heterogeneity in means and variances. • Findings reveal temporal instability of model specifications across individual years. • Aggregate-to-component shift quantified using out-of-sample prediction. • Implications for mitigating the associated driver injury severity. Single-vehicle rollover crashes have been acknowledged as a predominant highway crash type resulting in serious casualties. To investigate the heterogeneous impact of factors determining different injury severity levels in single-vehicle rollover crashes, the random parameters logit model with unobserved heterogeneity in means and variances was employed in this paper. A five-year dataset on single-vehicle rollover crashes, gathered in California from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2017, was utilized. Driver injury severities that were determined to be outcome variables include no injury, minor injury, and severe injury. Characteristics pertaining to the crash, driver, temporal, vehicle, roadway, and environment were acknowledged as potential determinants. The results showed that the gender indicator specified to minor injury was consistently identified as a significant random parameter in four years' models and the joint five-year model, excluding the 2016 crash model where the night indicator associated with no injury was observed to produce the random effect. Additionally, two series of likelihood ratio tests were conducted to assess the year-to-year and aggregate-to-component temporal stability of model estimation results. Marginal effects of explanatory variables were also calculated and compared to analyze the temporal stability and interpret the results. The findings revealed an overall temporal instability of model specifications across individual years, while there is no significant aggregate-to-component variation. Injury severities were observed to be stably affected by several variables, including improper turn indicator, under the influence of alcohol indicator, old driver indicator, seatbelt indicator, insurance indicator, and airbag indicator. Furthermore, the year-to-year and aggregate-to-component shift was quantified and characterized by calculating the differences in probabilities between within-sample observations and out-of-sample predictions. The overall results imply that continuing to expand and refine the model to incorporate more comprehensive datasets can result in more robust and stable injury severity prediction, thus benefiting in mitigating the associated driver injury severity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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25. Implementation of a realistic artificial data generator for crash data generation.
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Hoover, Lauren, Istiak Jahan, Md., Bhowmik, Tanmoy, Dey Tirtha, Sudipta, Konduri, Karthik C., Ivan, John, Wang, Kai, Zhao, Shanshan, Auld, Joshua, and Eluru, Naveen
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TRANSPORTATION safety measures , *DECISION making , *RESEARCH personnel , *INDEPENDENT variables , *DEPENDENT variables - Abstract
• Developed a RAD generation framework to generate traffic crash characteristics. • Used a multi-layered decision process for developing a RAD dataset. • Can serve as a universal benchmark system for model frameworks in safety research. In this paper, a framework is outlined to generate realistic artificial data (RAD) as a tool for comparing different models developed for safety analysis. The primary focus of transportation safety analysis is on identifying and quantifying the influence of factors contributing to traffic crash occurrence and its consequences. The current framework of comparing model structures using only observed data has limitations. With observed data, it is not possible to know how well the models mimic the true relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Further, real datasets do not allow researchers to evaluate the model performance for different levels of complexity of the dataset. RAD offers an innovative framework to address these limitations. Hence, we propose a RAD generation framework embedded with heterogeneous causal structures that generates crash data by considering crash occurrence as a trip level event impacted by trip level factors, demographics, roadway and vehicle attributes. Within our RAD generator we employ three specific modules: (a) disaggregate trip information generation, (b) crash data generation and (c) crash data aggregation. For disaggregate trip information generation, we employ a daily activity-travel realization for an urban region generated from an established activity-based model for the Chicago region. We use this data of more than 2 million daily trips to generate a subset of trips with crash data. For trips with crashes crash location, crash type, driver/vehicle characteristics, and crash severity. The daily RAD generation process is repeated for generating crash records at yearly or multi-year resolution. The crash databases generated can be employed to compare frequency models, severity models, crash type and various other dimensions by facility type – possibly establishing a universal benchmarking system for alternative model frameworks in safety literature. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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26. An analysis of physiological responses as indicators of driver takeover readiness in conditionally automated driving.
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Deng, Min, Gluck, Aaron, Zhao, Yijin, Li, Da, Menassa, Carol C., Kamat, Vineet R., and Brinkley, Julian
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TRAFFIC density , *PREPAREDNESS , *TRAFFIC congestion , *AUTOMOBILE driving simulators , *AUTOMOBILE industry , *DISTRACTED driving - Abstract
• Takeover activities caused increases in mental workload, skin conductance level, and heart rate of the drivers. • Secondary tasks could distract the drivers and make them less engaged in driving takeover activities. • Takeover scenarios affected the average physiological responses of the drivers during takeover periods. • The ranges of physiological responses during the takeover periods varied a lot across different individuals. By the year 2045, it is projected that Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) will make up half of the new vehicle market. Successful adoption of AVs can reduce drivers' stress and fatigue, curb traffic congestion, and improve safety, mobility, and economic efficiency. Due to the limited intelligence in relevant technologies, human-in-the-loop modalities are still necessary to ensure the safety of AVs at current or near future stages, because the vehicles may not be able to handle all emergencies. Therefore, it is important to know the takeover readiness of the drivers to ensure the takeover quality and avoid any potential accidents. To achieve this, a comprehensive understanding of the drivers' physiological states is crucial. However, there is a lack of systematic analysis of the correlation between different human physiological responses and takeover behaviors which could serve as important references for future studies to determine the types of data to use. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the effects of takeover behaviors on the common physiological indicators. A program for conditional automation was developed based on a game engine and applied to a driving simulator. The experiment incorporated three types of secondary tasks, three takeover events, and two traffic densities. Brain signals, Skin Conductance Level (SCL), and Heart Rate (HR) of the participants were collected while they were performing the driving simulations. The Frontal Asymmetry Index (FAI) (as an indicator of engagement) and Mental Workload (MWL) were calculated from the brain signals to indicate the mental states of the participants. The results revealed that the FAI of the drivers would slightly decrease after the takeover alerts were issued when they were doing secondary tasks prior to the takeover activities, and the higher difficulty of the secondary tasks could lead to lower overall FAI during the takeover periods. In contrast, The MWL and SCL increased during the takeover periods. The HR also increased rapidly at the beginning of the takeover period but dropped back to a normal level quickly. It was found that a fake takeover alert would lead to lower overall HR, slower increase, and lower peak of SCL during the takeover periods. Moreover, the higher traffic density scenarios were associated with higher MWL, and a more difficult secondary task would lead to higher MWL and HR during the takeover activities. A preliminary discussion of the correlation between the physiological data, takeover scenario, and vehicle data (that relevant to takeover readiness) was then conducted, revealing that although takeover event, SCL, and HR had slightly higher correlations with the maximum acceleration and reaction time, none of them dominated the takeover readiness. In addition, the analysis of the data across different participants was conducted, which emphasized the importance of considering standardization or normalization of the data when they were further used as input features for estimating takeover readiness. Overall, the results presented in this paper offer profound insights into the patterns of physiological data changes during takeover periods. These findings can be used as benchmarks for utilizing these variables as indicators of takeover preparedness and performance in future research endeavors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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27. A dynamic test scenario generation method for autonomous vehicles based on conditional generative adversarial imitation learning.
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Jia, Lulu, Yang, Dezhen, Ren, Yi, Qian, Cheng, Feng, Qiang, Sun, Bo, and Wang, Zili
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DYNAMIC testing , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *LANE changing , *MOTOR vehicle driving , *CITIES & towns , *VEHICLE models , *HUMAN behavior - Abstract
• A dynamic test scenario generation method for AVs is proposed in this paper. The proposed method has the ability to generate a realistic driving environment and apply to more complex scenarios like lane changing scenarios, which is of significant value for AV testing and evaluation.** • Instead of reconstructing expert behavior based on the assumption of single modality, this method combines Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Semi-Markov model (HDP-HSMM) and GAIL, obtains the main modes through clustering, and directs the scenario generation process by conditioning the model on scenario class labels, which improves the scenarios diversity and generation efficiency. • A typical lane-changing scenario is used for the evaluation of the proposed method. The results show that this method can generate rich test scenarios, and test AVs' ability to deal with different kinds of dynamic scenarios. Autonomous vehicles must be comprehensively evaluated before deployed in cities and highways. However, most existing evaluation approaches for autonomous vehicles are static and model environmental vehicles with predefined trajectories, which ignore the time-sequential interactions between the ego vehicle and environmental vehicles. In this paper, we propose a dynamic test scenario generation method to evaluate autonomous vehicles by modeling environmental vehicles as agents with human behavior and simulating the interaction process between the autonomous vehicle and environmental vehicles. Considering the multimodal features of traffic scenarios, we cluster the real-word traffic environments, and integrate the scenario class labels into the conditional generative adversarial imitation learning (CGAIL) model to generate different types of traffic scenarios. The proposed method is validated in a typical lane-change scenario that involves frequent interactions between ego vehicle and environmental vehicles. Results show that the proposed method further test autonomous vehicles' ability to cope with dynamic scenarios, and can be used to infer the weaknesses of the tested vehicles. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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28. Evaluating current and future pedestrian mid-block crossing safety treatments using virtual reality simulation.
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Angulo, Austin Valentine, Robartes, Erin, Guo, Xiang, Donna Chen, T., Heydarian, Arsalan, and Smith, Brian L.
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SHARED virtual environments , *INTELLIGENT transportation systems , *BEACONS , *ASSISTIVE technology , *VIRTUAL reality , *PEDESTRIAN crosswalks , *PEDESTRIANS , *RISK perception - Abstract
• Pedestrians crossed significantly faster without alternative safety technologies. • Pedestrians waited for larger gaps to cross without alternative safety technologies. • Survey results indicate high levels of immersion and perception of risk within VR. • Survey results indicate higher perception of safety with safety technologies. • Pedestrians exhibited intentional unsafe darting behavior without safety technology. • Development of low-risk, immersive VR framework for analysis of pedestrian behavior. Virtual reality (VR) simulation offers a proactive, cost effective, immersive, and low risk platform for studying pedestrian safety. Within immersive virtual environments (IVEs), existing and alternative design conditions and intelligent transportation systems (ITS) technologies can be directly compared, prior to real-world implementation, to assess the impacts alternatives may have on pedestrian safety, perception, and behavior. Environmental factors can be controlled within IVEs so that test trials are replicable and directly comparable. Coupled with stated preference feedback, participants' observed preferences and behavior provide a comprehensive understanding of the impacts of proposed design alternatives. This research presents a case study of pedestrian behavior with three different mid-block crossing safety treatments modeled within a one-to-one scale IVE replication of a real-world location in Charlottesville, Virginia. The three safety treatments consider both passive and active collision avoidance designs and technologies, including (1) the existing painted crosswalk, (2) the addition of rectangular rapid flashing beacons (RRFBs), and (3) a pedestrian to everything (P2X) ITS phone application. Additionally, this paper demonstrates a VR simulation experimental design and framework for testing pedestrian safety treatments within naturalistic and replicable IVEs to assess both stated and observed preferences and behaviors of pedestrians. Repeated measures ANOVA indicated changes in both accepted gap size (p = 0.001) and crossing speed (p < 0.001) with alternative safety treatments. Generalized mixed models showed that pedestrians waited for statistically larger gap sizes (p = 0.02) without the assistance of alternative safety technologies (RRFBs and P2X application) and pedestrians crossed the street significantly faster (p = 0.001) without the alternative safety technologies, leading to unsafe dashing behavior. Through post-experiment surveys, it was found that participants perceived the As Built environment to be the least safe of the three treatments and that their sense of risk within the IVE was realistic. Considering both the observed crossing behavior and stated feedback, pedestrians exhibited intentionally unsafe darting behavior without assistive safety technology. This study demonstrates how VR simulation may be leveraged to study both stated preferences and observed behavior for understanding the safety implications of alternative roadway designs, providing a proactive approach for assessing and designing for pedestrian safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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29. Analyzing speed-difference impact on freeway joint injury severities of Leading-Following vehicles using statistical and data-driven models.
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Wang, Chenzhu, Abdel-Aty, Mohamed, Han, Lei, and Easa, Said M.
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SUPPORT vector machines , *CROSS-stitch , *JOINT injuries , *CONTRAST effect , *STATISTICAL models - Abstract
• Developing cross-stitch MLP to explore both drivers' injury severities in rear-end crash. • Joint models show better prediction performances than existing separate methods. • Analyzing contributing factor effects by both marginal effects and SHAP approach. • Revealing the non-linear effects of speed difference to drivers' injury outcomes. Rear-end (RE) crashes are notably prevalent and pose a substantial risk on freeways. This paper explores the correlation between speed difference among the following and leading vehicles (Δν) and RE crash risk. Three joint models, comprising both uncorrelated and correlated joint random-parameters bivariate probit (RPBP) approaches (statistical methods) and a cross-stitch multilayer perceptron (CS-MLP) network (a data-driven method), were estimated and compared against three separate models: Support Vector Machines (SVM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and MLP networks (all data-driven methods). Data on 15,980 two-vehicle RE crashes were collected over a two-year period, from January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2022, considering two possible levels of injury severity: no injury and injury/fatality for both drivers of following and leading vehicles. The comparative performance analysis demonstrates the superior predictive capability of the CS-MLP network over the uncorrelated/correlated joint RPBP model, SVM, XGBoost, and MLP networks in terms of recall, F-1 Score, and AUC. Significantly, numerous shared variables influence the injury severity outcomes for the following and leading vehicles across both statistical and data-driven approaches. Among these factors, the following vehicle (a truck) and the leading vehicle (a passenger car) demonstrate contrasting effects on the injury severity outcomes for both vehicles. Furthermore, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values from the CS-MLP network visually show the relationship between Δν and injury severity, revealing non-linear trends unlike the average effects shown by statistical methods. They indicate that the least injury outcomes for both following and leading vehicles occurs at a Δν of 0 to 10 mph, matching observed patterns in RE crash data. Additionally, a marked variation in the trend of SHAP values for the two vehicles is noted as the speed difference increases. Therefore, the findings affirm the superior performance of joint model development and substantiate the non-linear impacts of speed difference on injury outcomes. The adoption of dynamic speed control measures is recommended to mitigate the injury outcomes involved in two-vehicle RE crashes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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30. Multi-objective extensive hypothesis testing for the estimation of advanced crash frequency models.
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Ahern, Zeke, Corry, Paul, Rabbani, Wahi, and Paz, Alexander
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METAHEURISTIC algorithms , *TRAFFIC flow , *RESEARCH personnel , *ALGORITHMS , *PREDICTION models , *MATHEMATICAL programming - Abstract
Analyzing crash data is a complex and labor-intensive process that requires careful consideration of multiple interdependent modeling aspects, such as functional forms, transformations, likely contributing factors, correlations, and unobserved heterogeneity. Limited time, knowledge, and experience may lead to over-simplified, over-fitted, or misspecified models overlooking important insights. This paper proposes an extensive hypothesis testing framework including a multi-objective mathematical programming formulation and solution algorithms to estimate crash frequency models considering simultaneously likely contributing factors, transformations, non-linearities, and correlated random parameters. The mathematical programming formulation minimizes both in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction. To address the complexity and non-convexity of the mathematical program, the proposed solution framework utilizes a variety of metaheuristic solution algorithms. Specifically, Harmony Search demonstrated minimal sensitivity to hyperparameters, enabling an efficient search for solutions without being influenced by the choice of hyperparameters. The effectiveness of the framework was evaluated using two real-world datasets and one synthetic dataset. Comparative analyses were performed using the two real-world datasets and the corresponding models published in literature by independent teams. The proposed framework showed its capability to pinpoint efficient model specifications, produce accurate estimates, and provide valuable insights for both researchers and practitioners. The proposed approach allows for the discovery of numerous insights while minimizing the time spent on model development. By considering a broader set of contributing factors, models with varied qualities can be generated. For instance, when applied to crash data from Queensland, the proposed approach revealed that the inclusion of medians on sharp curved roads can effectively reduce the occurrence of crashes, when applied to crash data from Washington, the simultaneous consideration of traffic volume and road curvature resulted in a notable reduction in crash variances but an increase in crash means. • Optimization multi-objective framework for the estimation of crash frequency models. • Mathematical programming formulation including formal description of modeling aspects. • Balances model simplicity with prediction accuracy, minimizing two objectives. • Metaheuristic algorithms employed to aid analysts with flexible, informed decisions. • Unobserved heterogeneity through correlated random parameters, range of distributions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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31. Enhancing safety in conditionally automated driving: Can more takeover request visual information make a difference in hazard scenarios with varied hazard visibility?
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Huang, Wei-Chi, Fan, Lin-Han, Han, Zi-Jian, and Niu, Ya-Feng
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WARNINGS , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *TRAFFIC safety , *HAZARDS , *TRAFFIC accidents , *EYE tracking , *SAFETY - Abstract
• The visibility of hazards significantly affects takeover performance. • More visual information enhances takeover performance in covert hazards. • Takeover requests are suggested to be concise in overt hazards. Autonomous driving technology has the potential to significantly reduce the number of traffic accidents. However, before achieving full automation, drivers still need to take control of the vehicle in complex and diverse scenarios that the autonomous driving system cannot handle. Therefore, appropriate takeover request (TOR) designs are necessary to enhance takeover performance and driving safety. This study focuses on takeover tasks in hazard scenarios with varied hazard visibility, which can be categorized as overt hazards and covert hazards. Through ergonomic experiments, the impact of TOR interface visual information, including takeover warning, hazard direction, and time to collision, on takeover performance is investigated, and specific analyses are conducted using eye-tracking data. The following conclusions are drawn from the experiments: (1) The visibility of hazards significantly affects takeover performance. (2) Providing more TOR visual information in hazards with different visibility has varying effects on drivers' visual attention allocation but can improve takeover performance. (3) More TOR visual information helps reduce takeover workload and increase human–machine trust. Based on these findings, this paper proposes the following TOR visual interface design strategies: (1) In overt hazard scenarios, only takeover warning is necessary, as additional visual information may distract drivers' attention. (2) In covert hazard scenarios, the TOR visual interface should better assist drivers in understanding the current hazard situation by providing information on hazard direction and time to collision to enhance takeover performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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32. A modeling method for two-dimensional two-wheeler driving behavior during severe conflict interaction at intersections.
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Liu, Zhenyuan, Zhong, Naiting, Chen, Junyi, and Gao, Bingzhao
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TRAFFIC safety , *MOTOR vehicle driving , *STANDARD deviations , *SOCIAL forces , *TWO-dimensional models , *CYCLING - Abstract
The safety of two-wheelers is a serious public safety issue nowadays. Two-wheelers usually have severe conflict interaction with vehicles at intersections, such as running red lights, which is very likely to cause traffic accidents. Therefore, a model of two-wheeler driving behavior in conflicting interactions can provide guidance for traffic safety management on one hand, and can be used for the development and testing of autonomous vehicles on the other. However, the existing models perform poorly when interacting with vehicles. To address the problems, this paper proposes a modeling method (an improved social force model, ISFM) for two-dimensional two-wheeler driving simulation for conflict interaction at intersections. Based on analysis of naturalistic driving study data, when two-wheelers encounter with vehicles, their driving intentions and trajectories can be categorized into two groups, which are yielding and overtaking. Therefore, the vehicle-related social forces are designed to be a set of two forces rather than a repulsion force in original SFM, which is a yielding force based on the relative distance between the two-wheeler and the vehicle, and an overtaking force based on the velocity of the two-wheeler itself. This opens up the possibilities for modeling the multi-modal driving intention of two-wheelers encountering with cross traffic. Based on ISFM, a bicycle model, a powered two-wheeler (PTW) model and a model of a group of PTWs, are then constructed. Compared to the original SFM, ISFM increases the precision of driving intention prediction by 19.7 % (yielding situation) and 25.0 % (overtaking situation), and reduces the root mean square error between simulated and actual trajectories by 7.8 % and 14.8 % on the bicycle model and the PTW model, respectively. Meanwhile, the model of a group of PTWs also performs well. Finally, the results of ablation experiments also validate the effectiveness of the social force designed based on velocity. • The method is proposed to model two-wheeler driving behavior at intersections. • Intention prediction of two-wheeler, i.e., yielding and overtaking, is realized. • The improved model is superior to the baseline at both the data and macro levels. • Ablation experiments validate the effectiveness of velocity-based social forces. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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33. Study on the risk assessment of Pedestrian-Vehicle conflicts in channelized Right-Turn lanes based on the Hierarchical-Grey Entropy-Cloud model.
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Chen, Ziyu, Liang, Guohua, Chen, Yixin, Yang, Xiaoyao, and Liu, Yue
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PEDESTRIAN crosswalks , *PEDESTRIANS , *GREY relational analysis , *ANALYTIC hierarchy process , *ECOLOGICAL risk assessment , *RISK assessment , *CITIES & towns , *FIELD research - Abstract
• The risk of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts in the channelized right-turn lane (CRTL) is studied. • A multi-faceted compendium of pedestrian-vehicle conflict risk factors at CRTLs. • The study makes an innovative combination of multiple indicator weight calculation methods. • A evaluation method based on hierarchical-gray entropy-cloud model is proposed. • A visual demonstration of the level of pedestrian-vehicle conflict risk at CRTLs. Channelized right-turn lanes (CRTLs) in urban areas have been effective in improving the efficiency of right-turning vehicles but have also presented negative impacts on pedestrian movement. Pedestrians experience confusion regarding the allocation of road space when crossing crosswalks within these areas, leading to frequent conflicts between pedestrians and motor vehicles. In this paper, considering the characteristics of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts at channelized right-turn lanes as well as the ambiguity and uncertainty of the causes, a comprehensive assignment combined with a cloud model is proposed as a risk evaluation model for pedestrian-vehicle conflicts. The study established a risk indicator system based on three aspects of the transportation system: pedestrians, motor vehicles, and the road environment. Combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey relational analysis (GRA), and entropy weighting method (EWM) to get the weights of indicator combinations, and then using the cloud model to realize quantitative and qualitative language transformation to complete the risk evaluation. This study employs specific road segments in Qingdao as a validation case for model analysis. The results indicate that the model's evaluation outcomes exhibited a significant level of agreement with the findings from field investigations during both peak and off-peak periods. It is demonstrated that the model has good performance for the safety assessment of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts at CRTL, and it also reflects the ability of the model to assess fuzzy randomness problems. It provides participation value for urban pedestrian-vehicle safety problems as well as applications in other fields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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34. Cyclist safety around trams: A market survey.
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Reynolds, James, Bhuiyan, Ramisa, Currie, Graham, and Johnson, Marilyn
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MARKET surveys , *CYCLING accidents , *CYCLING , *CYCLISTS , *STREET railroads , *SYSTEM safety , *CYCLING competitions - Abstract
• First known cyclist market survey focused specifically on the experience of cyclists related to safety around trams. • Track-skid incidents are more common than track-wedge incidents, track-wedging more likely to result in injury. • In the last five years, 21% of respondents were involved in at least one tram-track-related crash. • Track-skidding was found to be associated with wet conditions and having low experience of cycling. • Track-wedging was more likely amongst those cycling > 10 years and aged < 45 years. Tram systems present safety risks to cyclists, however only limited research has explored this topic, of which most has focused on crash and hospital data, and severe crash events. This paper presents the first known cyclist market survey focused specifically on the experience of cyclists related to safety around trams, including unreported incidents and those that did not result in hospital attendance. Findings suggest that track-skid incidents are more common than track-wedge incidents, in contrast to previous research that emphasizes track-wedging as a larger issue than skidding. This is may be explained by the differing outcomes, with track-wedging more likely to result in injury. This research is thus significant in identifying track skidding as a major risk concern, causing a majority of crashes, while also confirming that track wedging is the major severity concern. In the last five years, 21% of respondents were involved in at least one tram-track-related crash. This was less than the share of respondents involved in falls (50%), crashes relating to road defects (36%) or collisions with motor vehicles (29%). However, half of survey respondents (52%) reported cycling on roads with tram tracks for 0–20% of their cycling, which might suggest that tram track-related crash rates are high given that most inner-city cycling occurs on roads without tracks. Track-skidding was found to be associated with wet conditions. Those involved in at least one track-skid in the last five years where more likely to have been cycling more than 3 years, but involvement in track-wedging was more likely amongst those cycling > 10 years and aged < 45 years. Implications for research and practice are suggested. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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35. Beyond 1D and oversimplified kinematics: A generic analytical framework for surrogate safety measures.
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Li, Sixu, Anis, Mohammad, Lord, Dominique, Zhang, Hao, Zhou, Yang, and Ye, Xinyue
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SAFETY , *KINEMATICS , *NUMERICAL integration , *VEHICLE models , *COLLISIONS at sea - Abstract
This paper presents a generic analytical framework tailored for surrogate safety measures (SSMs) that is versatile across various highway geometries, capable of encompassing vehicle dynamics of differing dimensionality and fidelity, and suitable for dynamic, real-world environments. The framework incorporates a generic vehicle movement model, accommodating a spectrum of scenarios with varying degrees of complexity and dimensionality, facilitating the estimation of future vehicle trajectory evolution. It establishes a generic mathematical criterion to denote potential collisions, characterized by the spatial overlap between a vehicle and any other entity. A collision risk is present if the collision criterion is met at any non-negative estimated future time point, with the minimum threshold representing the remaining time to collision. The framework's proficiency spans from conventional one-dimensional (1D) SSMs to extended multi-dimensional, high-fidelity SSMs. Its validity is corroborated through simulation experiments that assess the precision of the framework when linearization is performed on the vehicle movement model. The outcomes showcase remarkable accuracy in estimating vehicle trajectory evolution and the time remaining before potential collisions occur, comparing to high-accuracy numerical integration solutions. The necessity of higher-dimensional and higher-fidelity SSMs is highlighted through a comparison of conventional 1D SSMs and extended three-dimensional (3D) SSMs. The results showed that using 1D SSMs over 3D SSMs could be off by 300% for Time-to-Collision (TTC) values larger than 1.5 s and about 20% for TTC values below 1.5 s. In other words, conventional 1D SSMs can yield highly inaccurate and unreliable results when assessing collision proximity and substantially misjudge the count of conflicts with predefined threshold (e.g., below 1.5s). Furthermore, the framework's practical application is demonstrated through a case study that actively evaluates all potential conflicts, underscoring its effectiveness in dynamic, real-world traffic situations. • A generic and adaptable analytical framework for SSMs. • A generic mathematical criterion for characterizing potential collisions. • High-dimensional and high-fidelity SSMs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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36. Real-time driving risk prediction using a self-attention-based bidirectional long short-term memory network based on multi-source data.
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Xie, Zhuopeng, Ma, Yongfeng, Zhang, Ziyu, and Chen, Shuyan
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CONVOLUTIONAL neural networks , *DRIVER assistance systems - Abstract
• A self-attention Bi-LSTM network predicts driving risk using multi-source data. • Multi-source data improves prediction accuracy by 0.061 over only kinematic data. • Optimal approach uses past 5 seconds of data to predict driving risk 1 second ahead. • The proposed model significantly outperforms the comparative models. Early warning of driving risks can effectively prevent collisions. However, numerous studies that predicted driving risks have suffered from the use of single data sources, insufficiently advanced models, and lack of time window analysis. To address these issues, this paper proposes a self-attention-based bidirectional long short-term memory (Att-Bi-LSTM) network model to predict driving risk based on multi-source data. First, driving simulation tests are conducted. Driver demographic, operation, visual, and physiological data as well as kinematic data are collected. Then, the driving risks are classified into no risk, low risk, medium risk, and high risk. Next, the Att-Bi-LSTM model is constructed, and convolutional neural network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost are employed for comparison. To generate the inputs and outputs of the models, observation, interval, and prediction time windows are introduced. The results show that the Att-Bi-LSTM model using early-fusion method significantly outperforms the five comparison models, with a macro-average F1-score of 0.914. The results of ablation studies indicate that the Bi-LSTM layers and self-attention layer have achieved the expected effect, which is crucial for improving the model's performance. As the interval or prediction time window is extended, the accuracy of the prediction results gradually decreases. However, as the observation time window is extended, the results first improve and then become stable. Compared to using only relative kinematic data, using all data (i.e., multi-source data) is shown to improve the F1-score by 0.061. This study provides an effective method for driving risk prediction and supports the improvement of advanced driver assistance systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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37. Analyzing injury severity of three-wheeler motorized rickshaws: A correlated random parameters approach with heterogeneity in means.
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Pervez, Amjad, Jamal, Arshad, and Haider Khan, Salman
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SPEED limits , *PEDESTRIAN accidents , *INJURY risk factors , *HETEROGENEITY , *LOGISTIC regression analysis , *PUBLIC health , *WOUNDS & injuries - Abstract
• Paper seeks to explore significant injury severity risk factors in 3-WMR collisions. • Correlated random parameter modeling framework is adopted to address the unobserved heterogeneity. • Importance of considering unobserved heterogeneity is demonstrated. • Study provides useful insights and policy implications to improve the safety of 3-WMR riders. Traffic crashes involving three-wheeler motorized rickshaw (3-WMR) are alarming public health and socioeconomic concerns in developing countries. While most of the earlier studies have dealt with safety analysis of four- and two-wheelers, there is a noticeable gap in understanding the safety dynamics, especially the risk factors affecting the crashes involving 3-WMR. The present study aims to address this gap by exploring potential risk factors influencing 3-WMR crashes, utilizing a correlated random parameters multinomial logit model with heterogeneity in means (CRPMNLMHM). This modeling framework advances the classic random parameters model by capturing associations among random parameters, providing a more comprehensive understanding of crash risks associated with 3-WMR. The empirical analysis draws on three years of traffic crash records (2017–2019) maintained by RESCUE 1122 in Rawalpindi city, Pakistan. A comparative assessment between the modeling frameworks demonstrated that CRPMNLMHM outperformed its counterparts. Model assessment for heterogeneity in the means identifies two significant variables, i.e., young age and nighttime, which yield statistically significant random parameters. In addition, the model's results suggest that fatal and severe injury outcomes in 3-WMR crashes are affected by several attributes related to temporal characteristics (weekend, nighttime, and off-peak indicators), driver profiles (young, older aged, and speeding), posted speed limits (>70 kmph), weather conditions (raining), and crash characteristics (collision with pedestrians, trucks, or 3-WMR overturning). The present study's findings offer invaluable insights, emphasizing the significance of considering for unobserved heterogeneity in variables contributing to the injury severity of 3-WMR crashes. Moreover, in light of the findings, a set of policy implications are suggested, which will guide safety practitioners to develop more effective countermeasures to address safety issues associated with 3-WMRs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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38. Law compliance decision making for autonomous vehicles on highways.
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Ma, Xiaohan, Song, Lei, Zhao, Chengxiang, Wu, Siyu, Yu, Wenhao, Wang, Weida, Yang, Lin, and Wang, Hong
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DECISION making in law , *TRAFFIC safety , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *TRAFFIC regulations , *COST functions , *SAFETY regulations , *TRAFFIC flow - Abstract
• A hierarchical compliance safety decision-making framework is proposed. • By considering lane safety and static traffic laws at the decision-making layer and trajectory safety and dynamic traffic laws at the motion planning layer, this framework achieves safe and compliant driving for vehicles. • At the decision-making layer, a dual-layer admission evaluation method is proposed, which considers both macroscopic lane safety and static traffic laws compliance. This method can filter out behaviors from the candidate behavior sets that are both safe and compliant with static traffic laws. • At the motion planning layer, a method for constructing an environmental potential field is proposed, which considers safety and dynamic traffic laws. • This method, combined with the Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach, can plan trajectories that are both compliant with traffic laws and safe. As autonomous driving advances, autonomous vehicles will share the road with human drivers. This requires autonomous vehicles to adhere to human traffic laws under safe conditions. Simultaneously, when confronted with dangerous situations, autonomous driving should also possess the capability to deviate from traffic laws to ensure safety. However, current autonomous vehicles primarily prioritize safety and collision avoidance in their decision-making and planning. This may lead to misunderstandings and distrust from human drivers in mixed traffic flow, and even accidents. To address this, this paper proposes a decoupled hierarchical framework for compliance safety decision-making. The framework primarily consists of two layers: the decision-making layer and the motion planning layer. In the decision-making layer, a candidate behavior set is constructed based on the scenario, and a dual layer admission assessment is utilized to filter out unsafe and non-compliant behaviors from the candidate sets. Subsequently, the optimal behavior is selected as the decision behavior according to the designed evaluation metrics. The decision-making layer ensures that the vehicle can meet lane safety requirements and comply with static traffic laws. In the motion planning layer, the surrounding vehicles and the road are modeled as safety potential fields and traffic laws potential fields. Combining the optimal decision behavior, they are incorporated into the cost function of the model predictive control to achieve compliant and safe trajectory planning. The planning layer ensures that the vehicle meets trajectory safety requirements and complies with dynamic traffic laws under safe conditions. Finally, four typical scenarios are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results indicate that the proposed method can ensure compliance in safe conditions while also temporarily deviating from traffic laws in emergency situations to ensure safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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39. Topic analysis of Road safety inspections using latent dirichlet allocation: A case study of roadside safety in Irish main roads.
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Roque, Carlos, Lourenço Cardoso, João, Connell, Thomas, Schermers, Govert, and Weber, Roland
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ROAD safety measures , *ROADSIDE improvement , *CASE studies , *ROADS , *MEDICATION safety , *SAFETY - Abstract
• We identify co-occurrence patterns of attributes related to crashes and interventions • Latent Dirichlet allocation was applied to analyse the topics of RSI reports • Results reveal associations among conditions that have previously gone unreported • Results aid to determine if road authorities can implement compliance with standards Under the Safe System framework, Road Authorities have a responsibility to deliver inherently safe roads and streets. Addressing this problem depends on knowledge of the road network safety conditions and the number of funds available for new road safety interventions. It also requires the prioritisation of the various interventions that may generate benefits, increasing safety, while ensuring that reasonable steps are taken to remedy the deficiencies detected within a reasonable timeframe. In this context, Road Safety Inspections (RSI) are a proactive tool for identifying safety issues, consisting of a regular, systematic, on-site inspection of existing roads, covering the whole road network, carried out by trained safety expert teams. This paper aims to describe how topic modelling can be effectively used to identify co-occurrence patterns of attributes related to the run-off-road crashes, as well as the corresponding patterns of road safety interventions, as described in the RSI reports. We apply latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), a widespread method for fitting a topic model, to analyse the topics mentioned in RSI reports, divided into two groups: problems found; and proposed solutions. For this study, 54 RSI gathered over six years (2012–2017) were analysed, covering 4011 km of Irish roads. The results indicate that important keywords relating to the "forgiving roadside" and "clear zone" concepts, as well as the relevant European technical standards (CEN-EN1317 and EN 12,767), are absent from the extracted latent topics. We also found that the frequency of topics related to roadside safety is higher in the problems record set than in the solutions record set, meaning that problems are more easily identified and related to the roadside area than interventions may be. This paper presents methodological empirical evidence that the LDA is appropriate for identifying the co-occurrence patterns of attributes related to the ROR crashes in road safety inspections' reports, as well as the interventions' patterns associated with these crashes. Also, it provides valuable information aimed to determine the extent to which national road authorities in Europe and their contractors are currently capable of implementing and maintaining compliance with roadside standards and guidelines throughout the life cycle of roads. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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40. Multigroup invariance of the DAS across a random and an internet-sourced sample.
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Sullman, M.J.M., Stephens, A.N., and Taylor, J.E.
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AUTOMOBILE driving simulators , *CONFIRMATORY factor analysis , *STATISTICAL sampling , *VOTING registers - Abstract
It is well established that angry and, subsequently, aggressive drivers pose a problem for road safety. Over recent years, there has been an increase in the number of published studies examining driver anger, particularly using the Driving Anger Scale (DAS). The DAS measures six broad types of situations likely to provoke anger while driving (i.e., police presence, illegal driving, discourtesy, traffic obstructions, slower drivers, and hostile gestures). The majority of the recent studies have moved away from traditional paper-and-pencil methodologies, using the internet to collect data, for reasons of convenience. However, it is not yet completely clear whether data obtained from this methodology differs from more traditional methods. While research outside of the driving arena has not found substantial differences, it is important to establish whether this also applies to driving-related research and measures, such as the DAS. The present study used Multigroup Confirmatory Factor Analysis (MGCFA) to investigate the invariance of the DAS across a random sample from the electoral roll (n = 1,081: males = 45%) and an internet sourced sample (n = 627; males = 55%). The MGCFA showed the same six-factor solution was supported in both datasets. The relationships between the DAS factors and age, sex, trait anger, and annual mileage were broadly similar, although more significant differences were identified in the internet sample. This research demonstrates that driving measures administered over the internet produce similar results to those obtained using more traditional methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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41. Taxicab crashes modeling with informative spatial autocorrelation.
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Ma, Qingyu, Yang, Hong, Xie, Kun, Wang, Zhenyu, and Hu, Xianbiao
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TAXICABS , *URBAN transportation , *TRAFFIC safety , *CITY traffic , *CITIES & towns , *BUS stops - Abstract
• Developed spatial models for analyzing taxi-involved crashes in urban areas. • Leveraged massive taxi trip data for measuring spatial relationship between zones. • Used taxi traveled distance as an exposure variable in crash frequency modeling. • Enhanced performance of crash models with informative spatial autocorrelation. Maintaining taxi safety is one of the important goals of operating urban transportation systems. Taxicabs are often prone to higher crash risk due to their long-time exposure to the complicated and dynamic traffic environments in urban areas. Despite existing efforts in understanding the safety issues associated with these vehicles, there were still few attempts that have specifically examined the relationship between taxi-involved crashes and other multifaceted contributing factors. To this end, this paper aims to develop crash frequency models for analyzing taxi-involved crashes. In particular, the spatial autocorrelations between variables were explored and the Poisson conditional autoregressive (Poisson-CAR) models for taxi-involved crashes were proposed. Unlike previous safety studies that mainly consider distance as the key indicator of spatial correlation, the present paper introduced the use of massive taxi trip data for constructing a more informative spatial weight matrix. The developed models with the taxi trip-based weight matrix were tested by using the 2016 taxi trip data collected in Washington D.C. The modeling results highlight the key explanatory factors such as road density, taxi activity, number of bus stops, and land use. More importantly, it demonstrates that the proposed Poisson-CAR models with the taxi trip-based weight matrix outperformed both the non-spatial Poisson model and the Poisson-CAR models using conventional distance-based weight matrix. Moran's I tests further indicate that our proposed models have sufficiently accounted for the spatial autocorrelation of the residuals. Thus, it deserves to consider informative spatial weight matrices when applying spatial models in traffic safety studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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42. The transportation safety of elderly pedestrians: Modeling contributing factors to elderly pedestrian collisions.
- Author
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Kim, Dohyung
- Subjects
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PEDESTRIAN accidents , *TRANSPORTATION safety measures , *PEDESTRIANS , *TRANSPORTATION policy , *OLDER people , *ROAD construction , *LAND use - Abstract
• The environmental contributing factors to elderly pedestrian collision differ from ones to younger pedestrian collision. • Raised medians, 3-way intersections, and street trees make a positive contribution to the safety of elderly pedestrians. • Bus stops increase the odds of an intersection to be a hotspot of elderly pedestrian collisions. • The current road system designed for young, healthy users should be refurbished for older, vulnerable pedestrians. For the elderly, walking is an important, reliable mobility option, since the elderly frequently lose their physical and/or sensory ability to drive as their age increases. However, elderly pedestrians are vulnerable on the streets and are at great risk of injury or death, when involved in a collision. This is due to not only increased frailty but also such issues as reaction speed and confidence on the streets. Therefore, pedestrian safety for older adults is a growing concern. This paper comprehensively examines the relationship between physical conditions and elderly pedestrian safety at the intersection level. By constructing a multinomial logistic regression (MLR) model, this paper identifies the exclusive contributing factors to elderly pedestrian collisions rather than younger pedestrian collisions. The outputs from the model suggest that facilities such as raised median, three-way intersection, street tree, and park and recreational land use improve the safety of elderly pedestrians. They also imply that bus stops increase elderly pedestrian collisions, while the intersections with crosswalks or colored crosswalks do not contribute to elderly pedestrians' safety, but the safety of younger pedestrians. The findings of this paper provide insight to transportation policies like Complete Street and Vision Zero and help to improve the current road system that are designed for automobiles and young, healthy road users. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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43. Implications of estimating road traffic serious injuries from hospital data.
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Pérez, K., Weijermars, W., Bos, N., Filtness, A.J., Bauer, R., Johannsen, H., Nuyttens, N., Pascal, L., Thomas, P., and Olabarria, M.
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ACCIDENTS , *TRAFFIC accident victims , *HOSPITAL records , *NOSOLOGY , *HOSPITAL utilization , *ROAD safety measures , *STATISTICAL weighting - Abstract
• It is essential to use a common definition to compare serious road traffic injury rates. • For estimating the number of serious injuries, at some point it is always necessary to use hospital records. • This paper explores the implications for in/exclusion criteria applied to case selection and. • Provides a methodological approach for converting ICD to MAIS codes. • Weighting factors could be used to correct data deviations and make more real estimations. To determine accurately the number of serious injuries at EU level and to compare serious injury rates between different countries it is essential to use a common definition. In January 2013, the High Level Group on Road Safety established the definition of serious injuries as patients with an injury level of MAIS3+(Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale). Whatever the method used for estimating the number or serious injuries, at some point it is always necessary to use hospital records. The aim of this paper is to understand the implications for (1) in/exclusion criteria applied to case selection and (2) a methodological approach for converting ICD (International Classification of Diseases/Injuries) to MAIS codes, when estimating the number of road traffic serious injuries from hospital data. A descriptive analysis with hospital data from Spain and the Netherlands was carried out to examine the effect of certain choices concerning in- and exclusion criteria based on codes of the ICD9-CM and ICD10. The main parameters explored were: deaths before and after 30 days, readmissions, and external injury causes. Additionally, an analysis was done to explore the impact of using different conversion tools to derive MAIS3 + using data from Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Netherlands, and Spain. Recommendations are given regarding the in/exclusion criteria and when there is incomplete data to ascertain a road injury, weighting factors could be used to correct data deviations and make more real estimations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Crash data quality for road safety research: Current state and future directions.
- Author
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Imprialou, Marianna and Quddus, Mohammed
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DATA quality , *ROAD safety measures , *XBRL (Document markup language) , *DATA integration - Abstract
• Crash data used in safety analyses often contain erroneous or missing information. • Crash location, time and severity are the most frequently misreported attributes. • The impact of misreporting on crash analyses may be significant but not yet known. • Intelligent crash reporting systems are proposed for higher data reliability. Crash databases are one of the primary data sources for road safety research. Therefore, their quality is fundamental for the accuracy of crash analyses and, consequently the design of effective countermeasures. Although crash data often suffer from correctness and completeness issues, these are rarely discussed or addressed in crash analyses. Crash reports aim to answer the five "W" questions (i.e. When?, Where?, What?, Who? and Why?) of each crash by including a range of attributes. This paper reviews current literature on the state of crash data quality for each of these questions separately. The most serious data quality issues appear to be: inaccuracies in crash location and time, difficulties in data linkage (e.g. with traffic data) due to inconsistencies in databases, severity misclassification, inaccuracies and incompleteness of involved users' demographics and inaccurate identification of crash contributory factors. It is shown that the extent and the severity of data quality issues are not equal between attributes and the level of impact in road safety analyses is not yet entirely known. This paper highlights areas that require further research and provides some suggestions for the development of intelligent crash reporting systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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45. A systematic review of the use of in-vehicle telematics in monitoring driving behaviours.
- Author
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Boylan, James, Meyer, Denny, and Chen, Won Sun
- Subjects
- *
TELEMATICS , *MULTILEVEL models , *TRAFFIC fatalities , *CONSUMER behavior , *MOTOR vehicle driving , *MACHINE learning - Abstract
• In-vehicle telematics has been used to monitor driving behaviour and insurer risk. • Machine learning is the dominant method for analysis of in-vehicle telematics data. • Speeding, braking, and distance variables are the most useful telematics variables. • Currently the effects of telematics feedback on driving behaviour are unknown. • Future research should consider individual trip differences and driver differences. Road traffic deaths are increasing globally, and preventable driving behaviours are a significant cause of these deaths. In-vehicle telematics has been seen as technology that can improve driving behaviour. The technology has been adopted by many insurance companies to track the behaviours of their consumers. This systematic review presents a summary of the ways that in-vehicle telematics has been modelled and analysed. Electronic searches were conducted on Scopus and Web of Science. Studies were only included if they had a sample size of 10 or more participants, collected their data over at least multiple days, and were published during or after 2010. 45 relevant papers were included in the review. 27 of these articles received a rating of "good" in the quality assessment. We found a divide in the literature regarding the use of in-vehicle telematics. Some articles were interested in the utility of in-vehicle telematics for insurance purposes, while others were interested in determining the influence that in-vehicle telematics has on driving behaviour. Machine learning analyses were the most common forms of analysis seen throughout the review, being especially common in articles with insurance-based outcomes. Acceleration, braking, and speed were the most common variables identified in the review. We recommend that future studies provide the demographical information of their sample so that the influence of in-vehicle telematics on the driving behaviours of different groups can be understood. It is also recommended that future studies use multi-level models to account for the hierarchical structure of the telematics data. This hierarchical structure refers to the individual trips for each driver. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Crash modification factors for high friction surface treatment on horizontal curves of two-lane highways: A combined propensity scores matching and empirical Bayes before-after approach.
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Gayah, Vikash V., Donnell, Eric T., and Zhang, Pengxiang
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PROPENSITY score matching , *SURFACE preparation , *RURAL roads , *FRICTION , *CURVES - Abstract
• Paper estimates a CMF for high friction surface treatment (HFST) applied to horizontal curves on undivided two-lane roads. • Propensity score matching is incorporated into EB before-after methodology to select more appropriate reference group. • Results indicate significant reductions in crash frequency (of all types considered) when applying HFST. Horizontal curves are locations that, as a result of the changing alignment, may be a contributing factor in roadway departure crashes. One low-cost countermeasure to mitigate crashes at these locations is the installation of the high friction surface treatment (HFST), which increases roadway friction and is intended to help keep drivers on the roadway when traversing a horizontal curve. This treatment has been implemented at numerous curves in Pennsylvania, but the overall safety effectiveness is not known. The purpose of this study is to estimate a suite of Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) for HFST applied to curve sections of undivided two-lane roadways. A novel combination of the empirical Bayes observational before-after study design and propensity score matching was used to estimate CMFs for multiple crash types, crash severities, and roadway settings (urban and rural). Propensity score matching was implemented to identify the most appropriate reference group to use within the empirical Bayes methodology. The results indicate that the installation of HFST is associated with a statistically significant decrease in all crash types and severities considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Real-time combined safety-mobility assessment using self-driving vehicles collected data.
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Kamel, Ahmed, Sayed, Tarek, and Kamel, Mohamed
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HIGHWAY capacity , *ROAD construction , *TRANSPORTATION corridors , *BAYESIAN analysis , *ACQUISITION of data , *TRAFFIC safety , *ELECTRIC bicycles - Abstract
• The paper investigates the associations between real-time mobility and safety metrics. • Trajectory data collected from autonomous vehicles (AVs) is utilized in a multi-site Bayesian analysis. • The proposed safety assessment method uses Bayesian hierarchical spatial random parameter extreme value model (BHSRP). • The model can handle the limited availability and uneven distribution of conflict data and accounts for unobserved spatial heterogeneity. • Mobility LOS E represented the most hazardous condition for vehicle safety. • The generated insights can enable safety-mobility conscious road networks design and planning. The study presents a real-time safety and mobility assessment approach using data generated by autonomous vehicles (AVs). The proposed safety assessment method uses Bayesian hierarchical spatial random parameter extreme value model (BHSRP), which can handle the limited availability and uneven distribution of conflict data and accounts for unobserved spatial heterogeneity. The approach estimates two real-time safety metrics: the risk of crash (RC) and return level (RL), using Time-To-Collision (TTC) as conflict indicator. Additionally, a Risk Exposure (RE) index was developed to reflect the risk of an individual vehicle to travel through a corridor. In parallel, the mobility of corridor were assessed based on the highway Capacity manual methodology using real-time traffic data (Highway Capacity Manual, 2010). The study used a 440-hour AVs' dataset of a corridor in Palo Alto, California. After normalizing for each LOS representation in the dataset, LOS E was identified as the most hazardous operating condition with the highest average crash risk. However, the time spent under different operating condition would affect the safety of individual vehicles traveling through a road facility (i.e., vehicle's exposure time). Accounting for exposure time, the vehicle has the highest chance of encountering an extremely risky driving condition at intersections and segments under LOS D and E, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
- Full Text
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48. Modeling and analyzing self-resistance of connected automated vehicular platoons under different cyberattack injection modes.
- Author
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Luo, Dongyu, Wang, Jiangfeng, Wang, Yu, and Dong, Jiakuan
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CYBERTERRORISM , *TRAFFIC engineering , *AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *AUTOMOBILE security measures - Abstract
• Here are the highlights to this paper: • Classify various cyberattaks injection modes. • Propose three car-following models to analyze the cyberattack effects on platoon. • Apply six indicators to comprehensively evaluate driver tolerance, vehicle adaptability, and environmental resistance. The high-level integration and interaction between the information flow at the cyber layer and the physical subjects at the vehicular layer enables the connected automated vehicles (CAVs) to achieve rapid, cooperative and shared travel. However, the cyber layer is challenged by malicious attacks and the shortage of communication resources, which makes the vehicular layer suffer from system nonlinearity, disturbance randomness and behavior uncertainty, thus interfering with the stable operation of the platoon. So far, scholars usually adopt the method of assuming or improving the car-following model to explore the platoon behavior and the defense mechanism in cyberattacks, but they have not considered whether the model itself has disturbance and impact on cyberattack defenses. In other words, it is still being determined whether the car-following model designed can be fully applicable to such cyberattacks. To provide a theoretical basis for vehicular layer modeling, it is necessary to comprehend the self-resistance of different car-following models faced on various cyberattacks. First, we review the car-following models adopted on the vehicular layer in cyberattacks, involving traffic engineering, physical statistics, and platoon dynamics. Based on the review, we divide the malicious attacks faced by the cyber layer into explicit attacks and implicit attacks. Second, we develop a cooperative generalized force model (CGFM), which combines and unifies the r-predecessors following communication topology. The proposed models, labeled the vulnerable cooperative intelligent driver model (VCIDM), the vulnerable cooperative optimal velocity model (VCOVM), and the vulnerable cooperative platoon dynamics model (VCPDM), incorporate the CGFM model and assorted cyberattack injection modes to explain the cyberattack effects on the platoon self-resistance capability. Upon the described models, we provide six indicators in three dimensions from the basic traffic element, including drivers, vehicles, and environment. These indicators illustrate driver tolerance, vehicle adaptability, and environmental resistance when a platoon faces attacks such as bogus information, replay/delay, and communication interruption. We arrange and reorganize the car-following models and the cyberattack injection modes to complete the research on the self-resistance capability of the platoon, which has positive research value and practical significance for enhancing the endogenous security at the vehicular layer and improving the intrusion tolerability at the cyber layer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Understanding the relationship between road users and the roadway infrastructure in Ghana.
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Lawton, Brianna P., Hallmark, Shauna L., Basulto-Elias, Guillermo, Obeng, Daniel Atuah, and Ackaah, Williams
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ROAD users , *ROAD safety measures , *CONSCIOUSNESS raising , *TRAFFIC fatalities , *ROADS , *RURAL roads , *ROAD interchanges & intersections - Abstract
• Commercial vehicles were the most likely to make a full stop and stop at the stop bar. • Correlations between roadway infrastructure (e.g. lighting) illustrate countermeasures with more positive safety impacts. • Drivers were much more likely to stop at the stop sign/bar compared to junctions without any additional safety measures. • Driver behavior data helps build a robust road safety database, improve policy, and create innovative informed initiatives. • Stopping behavior likelihoods can avail in selecting tailored solutions and predict the economical effectiveness of them. Ghana exemplifies the contribution of road crashes to mortality and morbidity in Africa, partly due to a growing population and increasing car ownership, where fatalities have increased by 12 to 15 % annually since 2008 (National Road Safety Authority (NRSA), 2017). The study described in this paper focused on understanding driver behavior at unsignalized junctions in the Ashanti Region of Ghana. Understanding driver behavior at unsignalized junctions is particularly important since failure to stop or yield can seriously affect vulnerable road users. The study's objectives were to develop relationships between driver behavior and junction characteristics. Understanding the characteristics that lead to determining what factors influence a driver's behavioral response at rural junctions provides information for policy makers to determine the best strategies to address these behaviors. The study evaluated stopping behavior at rural junctions. Driver behavior was extracted from video views of ten junctions in the Ashanti Region of Ghana. A total of 3,420 vehicles were observed across all ten junctions during data collection before any analysis was conducted. The type of stop was selected as a surrogate measure of safety. Logistic regression was used to model stopping behavior at the selected junctions. The analysis showed drivers were more likely to stop when going straight (versus a left turn) and left turning vehicles were more likely to stop than right turning vehicles. Additionally, single unit trucks and tro-tros were more likely to stop than other vehicle types. Drivers were also much more likely to stop when channelization, intersection lighting, or speed humps were present. Drivers at junctions with 4-approaches were also more likely to stop than those with 3 approaches. The results from this research contribute valuable information about what factors contribute to positive safety behaviors at rural junctions. This provides guidance for safety professionals to select solutions and can be a valuable tool to predict the economical effectiveness of solutions to addressing junction safety in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) such as Ghana. The results can also provide insight and recommendations to Ghanaian road safety agencies and launch sustainable efforts to raise community awareness toward decreasing road crash fatalities in Ghana. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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50. Assessing the collective safety of automated vehicle groups: A duration modeling approach of accumulated distances between crashes.
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Sohrabi, Soheil, Lord, Dominique, Dadashova, Bahar, and Mannering, Fred
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AUTONOMOUS vehicles , *MOTOR vehicles , *TRAFFIC safety , *PUBLIC spaces , *TRAFFIC accidents - Abstract
• A duration modeling approach of accumulated distances between crashes is used to evaluate automated vehicle safety. • Conventional vehicle crashes sourced from the naturalistic driving study are considered as the benchmark. • Statistical tests are conducted to statistically assess differences between automated and conventional vehicles. • The existing level 3 of automation is shown to be safer than conventional vehicles with 95 % confidence. • Automated vehicles have roughly 27 % more miles bewteen crashes than conventional. Ideally, the evaluation of automated vehicles would involve the careful tracking of individual vehicles and recording of observed crash events. Unfortunately, due to the low frequency of crash events, such data would require many years to acquire, and potentially place the motorized public at risk if defective automated technologies were present. To acquire information on the safety effectiveness of automated vehicles more quickly, this paper uses the collective crash histories of a group of automated vehicles, and applies a duration modeling approach to the accumulated distances between crashes. To demonstrate the applicability of this approach as a method compare automated and conventional vehicles (human drivers), an empirical assessment was undertaken using two comparable sources of data. For conventional vehicles, police and non-police-reportable crashes were collected from the Second Strategic Highway Research Program's naturalistic driving study, and for automated vehicles, data from the California Department of Motor Vehicles Autonomous Vehicle Tester program were used (105 crashes from 59 permit holders driving ∼2.8 million miles were used for the analysis). The results of the empirical study showed that automated driving was safer at the 95% confidence level, with a higher number of miles between crashes, relative to their conventional vehicle counterparts. The findings indicate that the number of miles between crashes would be increased by roughly 27% when switching from conventional vehicles to automated vehicles. Despite limited data which mandated a group-vehicle approach, this study can be considered a reasonable initial approximation of automated vehicle safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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