1. The Risk Concept in the New Merger Guidelines: Treating a Proposed Merger Like Schrödinger's Cat.
- Author
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WERDEN, GREGORY J.
- Subjects
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MERGERS & acquisitions , *MERGER agreements , *ANTITRUST law , *CONGLOMERATE corporations , *CATASTROPHE bonds , *SPARK plugs , *TECHNOLOGICAL innovations , *LEGAL judgments - Abstract
The article discusses the new Merger Guidelines (MGs) issued by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission. It focuses on the concept of "risk" in the MGs and how it differs from the previous Horizontal Merger Guidelines (HMGs). The MGs use the term "risk" more than 40 times and suggest that it encompasses the idea of a merger substantially lessening competition. However, the article raises questions about how "risk" compares to the previous standard of "reasonable probability" and how the Agencies assess the risk without predicting the future. The MGs also introduce a quantum antitrust approach, where a merger can both substantially lessen competition and not substantially lessen competition. The article provides insights into the historical context of Section 7 of the Clayton Act and the Supreme Court's interpretation of the reasonable probability standard. It highlights the differences between the MGs and the HMGs in terms of avoiding unnecessary interference with mergers that are competitively beneficial or neutral and the predictive nature of Section 7 enforcement. The MGs focus on scenarios where mergers violate Section 7, but they do not provide conditions for making a substantial lessening of competition likely. The article concludes by discussing the presumption of substantial competition under a unilateral effects theory and the use of quantitative tools and impressionistic evidence in assessing the significance of pre-merger competition. The text discusses the new Merger Guidelines (MGs) issued by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2024