1. Impacts of future permafrost degradation and human modification on terrestrial vertebrates.
- Author
-
Ye, Chongchong, Wang, Shuai, Wu, Shaolin, and Zhou, Tiancai
- Subjects
- *
PERMAFROST , *WILDLIFE conservation , *ALPINE regions , *AMPHIBIANS , *BIODIVERSITY conservation , *REPTILES , *VERTEBRATES , *SOIL heating - Abstract
Ongoing warming-induced permafrost thawing and human pressures in alpine regions have a profound impact on biodiversity and are expected to further aggravate by the end of the century. However, their future impacts on the alpine species remain largely unexplored. Here, we present an assessment of terrestrial vertebrates (mammals, amphibians, birds, and reptiles) exposures to future permafrost degradation and human modification on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) by 2090. The projections showed that the threat of permafrost degradation and human modification is mostly concentrated in the northwestern and southeastern QTP, respectively. Under a high-emissions scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5–8.5), about 10 % of terrestrial vertebrates' geographical range are exposed to highly risk regions of permafrost degradation. More importantly, 49.7 % of terrestrial vertebrates (54.5 % of mammals, 61.2 % of amphibians, 39.8 % of birds, and 43.3 % of reptiles) are predicted to become imperiled due to human modification in >50 % of their habitat. Our study highlights national stewardship for species that are in particular need of reimagining proactive biodiversity conservation planning to avoid detrimental impacts of future permafrost degradation and human modification. • Permafrost degradation threatens alpine species and protection planning is neglected. • 10 % of land vertebrates' range is exposed to a high risk of permafrost degradation. • Half of land vertebrates are predicted to become imperiled due to human modification. • Critical areas for future threats occur in the southeast and northwest of the QTP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF