1. 长江经济带"水-能-碳"系统适应性评价及空间 关联特征.
- Author
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袁亮, 程娟, 何伟军, and 徐沙沙
- Subjects
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CLIMATE change , *COMPLEXITY (Philosophy) , *INTERNATIONAL economic integration , *CARBON emissions , *SOCIAL development - Abstract
In order to cope with global climate change and the pressure on resources and the environment, it is of great significance to study the complex interactions and adaptability of water resources, energy, and carbon emission (water-energy-carbon) systems to promote the coordinated development of nature, society, and the economy as well as high-quality economic and social development. Based on the theory of complex adaptive systems, this paper defined the implications of the adaptability of the 'water-energy-carbon' systems, established a framework for the interactive adaptability of these systems, and constructed a system adaptability evaluation index system with four subsystems: sensitivity, compatibility, stability, and sustainability. Furthermore, this paper utilized a comprehensive synergistic evolutionary model to evaluate the adaptability level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2021, so as to investigate the spatial and temporal evolution of the adaptability of the 'water-energy-carbon' systems in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The results showed that: ① From the perspective of the influence weight of system adaptability, the subsystem weights were ranked as: sustainability > stability > compatibility > sensitivity. ② Considering the adaptability of the indicators, the absolute adaptability of the indicators was greater than the relative adaptability. Regarding the aspect of subsystem adaptability, the sensitivity level showed a stable development trend, the compatibility and stability levels showed an upward trend, and the sustainability level showed a downward trend. From the perspective of inter-provincial adaptability, there was a large gap between the adaptability of the systems in each province, with an uneven situation of 'downstream > midstream > upstream.' In terms of overall adaptability, the adaptability of the Yangtze River Economic Belt system was at a medium level and showed a 'U' -shaped development trend. ③ In terms of the adaptive coordination level of subsystems, the degree of sensitivity coordination remained stable, the degree of compatibility and sustainability coordination was increasing, and the degree of stability coordination was decreasing. ④ From the perspective of spatial correlation characteristics, there was a significant positive global spatial auto-correlation of the adaptability level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and with the regional differences gradually narrowing, the spatial aggregation changed from weak to strong and then weak again. Moreover, the adaptability level of the system showed a gradient pattern of 'high in the east and low in the west,' with significant provincial differences and strong path dependence. Based on this, this study proposes that we should improve the adaptability of the water-energy-carbon systems of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in terms of digital construction, institutional mechanisms, system synergy, and regional integration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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