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Electric vehicles (EVs) are expected to be vital in transitioning to a low-carbon energy system. However, integrating EVs into the power grid poses significant challenges for grid operators and energy suppliers, especially regarding the uncertainty and variability of EV charging demand. Accurate forecasting of EV charging demand is essential for optimal power system integration, yet previous studies have often only considered point predictions that are inadequate for risk assessment. Therefore, this paper compares different probabilistic forecasting models for the short-term prediction of EV charging demand at various aggregation levels, using a large and novel dataset of over 350,000 charging processes at more than 500 locations across Germany. The performance of both machine learning and deep learning methods is evaluated against a naïve benchmark model, and the impact of data availability on the forecasting models is investigated. Further, the paper examines the effects of forecast accuracy on energy procurement, which has so far received minor attention in the literature. The results show that machine learning methods such as Ada Boosting and Random Forest yield robust results with a normalized root mean square error of 0.42 and 0.41 and a mean absolute scaled error of 0.36 and 0.34 at the highest aggregation level. Furthermore, the results show the influence of different site compositions on the forecast quality and how many charging points are likely to yield a robust forecast. Energy and fleet managers can use the described method to reliably predict the required energy quantities for fleets of sufficient size and procure them at low risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During recent years, maintaining scientific and medical databases has turned out to be a major challenge in the medical sector. The medical data regarding the patients comprise diverse diagnostic medical reports and features for such disease need to be recorded carefully for providing high-quality treatments. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid deep convolutional neural network (HDCNN)-based COOT approach to predict the risk of diseases. Initially, an improved crossover-based levy flight optimization algorithm (ICLFDO) algorithm is employed in selecting and processing the unstructured textual data. Then later, the HDCNN-COOT approach predicts the diseases more accurately. In addition to this, the classifier predicts whether the patient is at risk of disease in the future or not. The efficiency of the proposed model is evaluated by using a dataset obtained from University Hospital of Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Germany. The data collected in the data center include 29,477,035 data items from 36,082 patients. The proposed model is capable of using structured data and uses textual data of the patients. Finally, the higher classification accuracy and improved performance of the classifiers can be viewed using the experimental results conducted on five different datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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In colorectal cancer (CRC), artificial intelligence (AI) can alleviate the laborious task of characterization and reporting on resected biopsies, including polyps, the numbers of which are increasing as a result of CRC population screening programs ongoing in many countries all around the globe. Here, we present an approach to address two major challenges in the automated assessment of CRC histopathology whole-slide images. We present an AI-based method to segment multiple ( n = 14 ) tissue compartments in the H &E-stained whole-slide image, which provides a different, more perceptible picture of tissue morphology and composition. We test and compare a panel of state-of-the-art loss functions available for segmentation models, and provide indications about their use in histopathology image segmentation, based on the analysis of (a) a multi-centric cohort of CRC cases from five medical centers in the Netherlands and Germany, and (b) two publicly available datasets on segmentation in CRC. We used the best performing AI model as the basis for a computer-aided diagnosis system that classifies colon biopsies into four main categories that are relevant pathologically. We report the performance of this system on an independent cohort of more than 1000 patients. The results show that with a good segmentation network as a base, a tool can be developed which can support pathologists in the risk stratification of colorectal cancer patients, among other possible uses. We have made the segmentation model available for research use on https://grand-challenge.org/algorithms/colon-tissue-segmentation/. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study we investigate how climate change will directly influence the groundwater resources in Germany during the 21st century. We apply a machine learning groundwater level prediction approach based on convolutional neural networks to 118 sites well distributed over Germany to assess the groundwater level development under different RCP scenarios (2.6, 4.5, 8.5). We consider only direct meteorological inputs, while highly uncertain anthropogenic factors such as groundwater extractions are excluded. While less pronounced and fewer significant trends can be found under RCP2.6 and RCP4.5, we detect significantly declining trends of groundwater levels for most of the sites under RCP8.5, revealing a spatial pattern of stronger decreases, especially in the northern and eastern part of Germany, emphasizing already existing decreasing trends in these regions. We can further show an increased variability and longer periods of low groundwater levels during the annual cycle towards the end of the century. Future groundwater levels in Germany are expected to decrease considerably under the influence of changing climate, exacerbating the trends and patterns already occurring. Simulations also show substantially reduced effects under stringent mitigation scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop yield forecasting depends on many interactive factors, including crop genotype, weather, soil, and management practices. This study analyzes the performance of machine learning and deep learning methods for winter wheat yield prediction using an extensive dataset of weather, soil, and crop phenology variables in 271 counties across Germany from 1999 to 2019. We proposed a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, which uses a 1-dimensional convolution operation to capture the time dependencies of environmental variables. We used eight supervised machine learning models as baselines and evaluated their predictive performance using RMSE, MAE, and correlation coefficient metrics to benchmark the yield prediction results. Our findings suggested that nonlinear models such as the proposed CNN, Deep Neural Network (DNN), and XGBoost were more effective in understanding the relationship between the crop yield and input data compared to the linear models. Our proposed CNN model outperformed all other baseline models used for winter wheat yield prediction (7 to 14% lower RMSE, 3 to 15% lower MAE, and 4 to 50% higher correlation coefficient than the best performing baseline across test data). We aggregated soil moisture and meteorological features at the weekly resolution to address the seasonality of the data. We also moved beyond prediction and interpreted the outputs of our proposed CNN model using SHAP and force plots which provided key insights in explaining the yield prediction results (importance of variables by time). We found DUL, wind speed at week ten, and radiation amount at week seven as the most critical features in winter wheat yield prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]