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• Six alternative or low-carbon fuels are evaluated for the cement sector. • Average long-term marginal abatement costs range from −70 to 138 CAD/tCO 2 e. • Up to 21% of emissions to 2050 can be eliminated with negative abatement costs. • Energy prices are the primary factor driving scenario cost performance. Limiting global warming and the pursuit of a net-zero global society by 2050 emphasizes the need to transform the hard-to-abate industrial sectors. The cement sector is the second-largest source of global industrial emissions, accounting for 8% of worldwide greenhouse gas emissions. Fuel switching in the cement sector is a decarbonization pathway that has not been explored in detail; previous studies involving fuel switching in the sector either view it from an energy efficiency lens or focus on a single technology. In this study, a framework is developed to evaluate and directly compare six fuel switching options (including hydrogen, biomass, municipal solid waste, and natural gas) from 2020 to 2050. Capital costs, non-energy operating costs, energy costs, and carbon costs are used to calculate marginal abatement costs and emulate cost based-market decisions. The developed framework is used to conduct a case study for Canada, using the LEAP-Canada model. This study shows that cumulative energy-related greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced by up to 21% between 2020 and 2050 with negative marginal abatement costs. Multiple fuel switching decarbonization pathways were established, reducing the likelihood that locality prevents meaningful emissions reduction and suggesting that, with low-carbon fuel and electricity policies, the sector can take significant steps towards emissions reduction. The developed framework can be applied to jurisdictions around the world for decision making, as nations move towards eliminating emissions from cement production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• A novel energy-environmental model for penetration of oil sands cogeneration. • Interactions between industry cogeneration and provincial grid system considered. • 2% of oil sands greenhouse gas emissions could be mitigated by 2050. • The marginal abatement cost is $15 per tonne of carbon abated. • 92% of emission mitigation came from the steam-assisted gravity drainage sector. The purpose of this research is to evaluate greenhouse gas emission reduction opportunities from cogenerated electricity in oil sands production. A novel combined market penetration and bottom-up energy system modelling framework was developed to assess the long-range potential and marginal costs of cogenerated electricity in the oil sands. Feasible scenarios for incorporating cogeneration into the in situ, surface mining, and upgrading subsectors were developed along with four additional scenarios incorporating electricity-based technologies to improve in situ plant efficiencies. These scenarios were evaluated under three different carbon pricing policies; twenty-one scenarios in total covering the time period 2019 to 2050. The use of cogeneration in the oil sands for new production during this period was determined through market penetration modelling and the results were compared to a reference scenario of limited cogeneration growth. It was found that there is potential to provide 76 million tonnes of greenhouse gas abatement (2% of cumulative projected oil sands emissions) at a marginal cost of $15 per tonne of carbon abated compared to the reference scenario. The incorporation of electrical equipment, specifically well-pad boilers, well-pad compressors, additional steam compressors, and steam superheaters, resulted in additional costs that outweighed the benefits. A $50 per tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent carbon price (within the current Alberta emission reduction regulation) resulted in a 2% increase in forecasted greenhouse gas abatement potential and a $1.4/tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent decrease in marginal abatement costs compared to no carbon pricing. This research provides quantification of the greenhouse gas emission abatement potential and marginal abatement costs of cogeneration technologies to allow industry stakeholders and policymakers to compare these technology options to others when considering long-term greenhouse gas emission reduction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Thorium fission is a large yet relatively unexplored renewable energy source and could help feed increasing energy demands. An analysis was performed on the feasibility of replacing the uranium in Canada’s nuclear reactors with thorium. Thorium only exists as a fertile isotope, and so an external fissile source such as 235 U, 233 U, or 239 Pu is required to stimulate the fission process. A uranium plant and a similar thorium-fuelled plant were compared over a 40 year operational life based on a comprehensive economic analysis. The results from the economic analysis were used to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement cost compared to the coal and natural gas-based power. The economic analysis determined that a thorium plant is more financially lucrative in Canada than a uranium plant. An abatement cost assessment in relation to gas-fired and coal-fired power plants demonstrated that nuclear power offers a cost savings per tonne of CO 2 equivalent greenhouse gas (GHG) when compared to both fossil fuel alternatives. From the values determined for a plant potentially fuelled on thorium, the abatement cost when compared to the coal-fired and gas-fired plants is −$10.4/tonne-CO 2 eq and −$15.7/tonne-CO 2 eq, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]