60 results
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2. Dairy farmers’ knowledge and perception of climate change in the Eastern Cape province, South Africa
- Author
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Diniso, Yanga Simamkele, Zhou, Leocadia, and Jaja, Ishmael Festus
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Spatio-Temporal Variation Characteristics of North Africa's Climate Potential Productivity.
- Author
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Bi, Mo, Wan, Lei, Zhang, Zhenke, Zhang, Xingqi, and Yu, Chengzhi
- Subjects
SPATIO-temporal variation ,PEARSON correlation (Statistics) ,SPECIES distribution ,VEGETATION dynamics ,CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,TOPOGRAPHY - Abstract
Africa is becoming one of the most sensitive and vulnerable regions of the global ecosystem due to its variable climate, complex topography, and diversity of natural ecosystems. In the context of global warming, climate change not only alters the spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation in North Africa, but also affects the spatial distribution of vegetation as well as the structure and function of ecosystems, causing changes in the North African ecosystem and inducing a series of food security problems. In this regard, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal distribution of climate change, climate production potential (CPP), and influencing factors in Africa based on meteorological data for 1901–2019, using the Thornthwaite Memorial model, Mann–Kendall mutation test, and Pearson correlation model. The results indicated that from 1901 to 2019, the CPP in North Africa decreased by 4.9%, while the region's precipitation experienced a decline of 5.2%. The phased trend in CPP was consistent with the change in precipitation. Temperature and precipitation were the main limiting factors for CPP in North Africa, with precipitation being more limiting. In general, North Africa's CPP was more sensitive to precipitation, and a continued 'warm and dry' climate in the future could lead to an increasing downward trend. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Food security beyond global warming: economic and policy perspectives from Uganda.
- Author
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PERELLI, CHIARA and BRANCA, GIACOMO
- Subjects
FOOD security ,GLOBAL warming ,POOR people ,LOGISTIC regression analysis ,SOCIOECONOMIC factors ,SMALL farms ,FARM size - Abstract
Climate change has severe and pervasive impacts on natural systems and affects many aspects of human life. Increasing temperatures and alterations in the regimes of precipitations are adding pressure to global agricultural systems, which are already struggling to respond to expanding global demand for food. This directly translates into additional risks for poor people living in developing countries who already face precarious food security conditions. Focusing on the case of Uganda and using household data from the National Panel Survey merged with climatic data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, this paper explores the link between climate change and households' food insecurity. By applying a generalized ordered logit model, this work provides quantitative evidence about the impact of climate variability on food and nutrition security of clustered food consumption groups of smallholder farmers. Among the different socio-economic and environmental variables affecting the households' food security conditions, time and cross-sectional variations in the regime of precipitations play a crucial role. The results highlight that adaptation programmes aimed to reduce climate-induced food insecurity and improve coping abilities of rural communities should be site-specific and involve local communities with the aim of considering the specific risk exposure of the different agro-ecological areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Comprehensive Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Production and Adaptive Strategies in China.
- Author
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Saud, Shah, Depeng Wang, Fahad, Shah, Alharby, Hesham F., Bamagoos, Atif A., Mjrashi, Ali, Alabdallah, Nadiyah M., AlZahrani, Saleha S., AbdElgawad, Hamada, Adnan, Muhammad, Sayyed, R. Z., Ali, Shafaqat, and Hassan, Shah
- Subjects
RICE ,DROUGHTS ,SOLAR radiation ,GROWING season ,DOUBLE cropping ,CLIMATE change ,ABIOTIC stress - Abstract
The rice production system is one of the most climate change sensitive agroecosystems. This paper reviews the effects of current and future climate change on rice production in China. In recent decades, thermal resources have increased during the rice growing season, while solar radiation resources have decreased, and precipitation heterogeneity has increased. The increasing frequency of high-temperature stress, heavy rainfall, drought, and flood disasters may reduce the utilization efficiency of hydrothermal resources. Climate change, thus far, has resulted in a significant northward shift in the potential planting boundaries of single- and double-cropping rice production systems, which negatively affects the growth duration of single-, early-, and latecropping rice. Studies based on statistical and process-based crop models show that climate change has affected rice production in China. The effects of climate change on the yield of single rice (SR), early rice (ER), and late rice (LR) were significant; however, the results of different methods and different rice growing areas were different to some extent. The trend of a longer growth period and higher yield of rice reflects the ability of China's rice production system to adapt to climate change by adjusting planting regionalization and improving varieties and cultivation techniques. The results of the impact assessment under different climate scenarios indicated that the rice growth period would shorten and yield would decrease in the future. This means that climate change will seriously affect China's rice production and food security. Further research requires a deeper understanding of abiotic stress physiology and its integration into ecophysiological models to reduce the uncertainty of impact assessment and expand the systematicness of impact assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Near 40-year drought trend during 1981-2019 earth warming and food security.
- Author
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Kogan, Felix, Guo, Wei, and Yang, Wenze
- Subjects
FOOD security ,CLIMATE change ,STANDARDIZATION ,ACOUSTIC emission ,SOCIAL forces - Abstract
Following the 2014 report of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Earth surface has been warming up since the mid-18th century. From the late 1970s, Earth warmed up intensively, leading to unusual environmental, economic and social events. An intensive 19th century's, Earth warming has speeded up ice melting and sea level rise, increased water shortage and drought intensity. Expected drought intensification and expansion would reduce crop production, deteriorating food security and intensifying poor population's hunger. Since climate warming is continuing, we estimate long-term interaction between global warming and high-resolution drought tendencies and its consequences for global and regional food security. This paper develops and investigates satellite-derived 38-year high-resolution drought data sets and evaluate their trends, during 1981-2018. Drought was estimated using satellite-based Vegetation Health (VH) method. The results indicated that for the entire globe, hemispheres and the main grain-producing countries (China, USA and India) drought has not intensified and expanded during 38-year, while the global temperature anomaly has strongly increased. Since drought has not intensified and expanded during strong global warming, food security in the next few years is likely to remain at the level of the most recent decade. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Global Warming Status in the African Continent: Sources, Challenges, Policies, and Future Direction
- Author
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Bedair, Heba, Alghariani, Mubaraka S., Omar, Esraa, Anibaba, Quadri Agbolade, Remon, Michael, Bornman, Charné, Kiboi, Samuel Kuria, Rady, Hadeer Abdulrahman, Salifu, Abdul-Moomin Ansong, Ghosh, Soumya, Guuroh, Reginald Tang, Sanou, Lassina, and Alzain, Hassan M.
- Published
- 2023
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8. THE CONTRIBUTION OF ROMANIAN AGRICULTURE TO GLOBAL WARMING AND THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON VEGETABLE CROPS.
- Author
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Sandu, Mariana, Strateanu, Amalia Gianina, and Udrea, Lavinia
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CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,FOOD security ,AGRICULTURE - Published
- 2022
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9. Urban Vertical Farming as a Path to Healthy and Sustainable Urban Built Environment.
- Author
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Shema, Abdulsalam I. and Abdulmalik, Halima
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,FOOD production ,CLIMATE change ,COVID-19 pandemic - Abstract
Copyright of A+Arch Design International Journal of Architecture & Design is the property of A+Arch Design International Journal of Architecture & Design and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. Nano-Food Farming Approaches to Mitigate Heat Stress under Ongoing Climate Change: A Review.
- Author
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El-Ramady, Hassan, Prokisch, József, El-Mahrouk, Mohammed E., Bayoumi, Yousry A., Shalaby, Tarek A., Brevik, Eric C., and Solberg, Svein Ø.
- Subjects
AGRICULTURE ,WATER security ,PLANT physiology ,DROUGHTS ,WATER supply ,CLIMATE change ,FOOD security - Abstract
Increased heat stress is a common feature of global climate change and can cause adverse impacts on crops from germination through maturation and harvest. This review focuses on the impacts of extreme heat (>35 °C) on plants and their physiology and how they affect food and water security. The emphasis is on what can be done to minimize the negative effects of heat stress, which includes the application of various materials and approaches. Nano-farming is highlighted as one promising approach. Heat is often combined with drought, salinity, and other stresses, which together affect the whole agroecosystem, including soil, plants, water, and farm animals, leading to serious implications for food and water resources. Indeed, there is no single remedy or approach that can overcome such grand issues. However, nano-farming can be part of an adaptation strategy. More studies are needed to verify the potential benefits of nanomaterials but also to investigate any negative side-effects, particularly under the intensive application of nanomaterials, and what problems this might create, including potential nanotoxicity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Climate Change Impacts on Migration, Poverty, and Health Issues in Pakistan: A Comprehensive Analysis.
- Author
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Aziz, Abdul, Naseeb, Zoonia, and Rashid, Sawaira
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CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,SOCIOECONOMICS ,FOOD security ,NATIONAL security - Abstract
In recent decades, the world has been facing climate change issues in terms of global warming, heat waves, droughts, and other factors as well. Over the period, climate gradually impacts the globe, particularly in South Asia, and Pakistan is one of those countries that are directly and indirectly affected by climate change, including health, agriculture, water resources, and migration impacts. Climate change has led to extensive challenges, including droughts, heat waves, and global warming, especially in South Asia. Climate change has both direct and indirect effects on Pakistan's health, the agricultural sector, water resources, and migratory patterns. This study aims to emphasize the effects of climate change on immigration, poverty, and health challenges within Pakistan, as well as how it causes property and livelihood losses and harms social well-being. Likewise, this study uses a qualitative method to investigate the socioeconomic elements and national security challenges associated with climate change in Pakistan. It examines the factors that contribute to these effects and investigates how climate hazards serve as catalysts for displacement. The study found that Pakistan's significant reliance on agriculture, along with disastrous floods, exacerbates food insecurity, property loss, poverty, and migration. For instants It also demonstrates that people encounter difficulties while attempting to alter their agricultural techniques. Comprehensive methods and government action are required to alleviate the negative effects of climate change in Pakistan, including food security, property protection, and socioeconomic stability [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Climate Change and Food Security in India: Challenges and Opportunities.
- Author
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Singh, Gurbachan
- Subjects
FOOD security ,NATURAL resources ,CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,SEA level ,RAINFALL - Abstract
Copyright of Irrigation & Drainage is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. The Dynamics of Climate Change and Global Warming: Imperatives for Food Security in Nigeria.
- Author
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Onafeso, Olumide D., Akanni, Cornelius O., and Badejo, Bamidele A.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,LIVESTOCK farms - Abstract
This paper examines the imperatives for food security in the dynamics of climate change and global warming at the local Nigerian scale. Results revealed that exposure and sensitivity to climate risks vary across the country over the years. Analyses of sensitivity to inter-annual and intra-annual climate variability using bivariate correlation and multiple regression methods suggests impending drought in the northern region where livestock farming is predominant. An estimation of the relative contributions of each climate independent variable in determining the variability of crop yield using the backward selection procedures for the regression in the case of inter-annual variability was also conducted. Stepwise approach was adopted for the intra-annual study indexing the impacts of annual climate variability by a parameter computed as annual yield minus mean annual yield, divided by the standard deviation. The results produced a Zdistribution array with values varying from approximately -5 to approximately +5. Values < -3 or > 3 indicate impacts that are significant at 95 percent confidence levels. This study, therefore, established the interwoven relationship between climatic change, global warming and food security; and concludes that storage and preservation techniques or methods be developed as a strategic effort towards food security in Nigeria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
14. Climate change: an amplifier of existing health risks in developing countries.
- Author
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Huynen, Maud, Martens, Pim, and Akin, Su-Mia
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,HEALTH risk assessment ,GLOBAL warming ,SUSTAINABLE development ,FOOD security ,PSYCHOLOGICAL vulnerability ,DEVELOPING countries - Abstract
Global warming is perceived as one of the biggest global health risks of the twenty-first century and a threat to the achievement of sustainable (economic) development; especially in developing countries, climate change is believed to further exacerbate existing vulnerability to disease and food security risks, because their populations are, for example, more reliant on agriculture and more vulnerable to droughts and have a lower adaptive capacity. Furthermore, the health-related impacts of climate change are threatening to undo decades of development policies. The interactions between climate and non-climate factors are of vital importance in shaping human vulnerability to global warming. Climate change cannot be seen as 'a stand-alone risk factor,' but rather as an amplifier of existing health and food security risks and an additional strain on institutional infrastructures. In order to avoid a multiplication of health risks in the developing world, there is a need to better understand the multifaceted and complex linkages involved. This is further illustrated for two important climate change-induced health risks, namely malnutrition and malaria. As the amplification of existing and emerging health risks in the developing world might become the greatest tragedy of climate change, adaptation ranks high on developing countries' agendas. Of particular importance are the discussions about the 'Green Climate Fund,' which aims to administer billions of dollars for mitigation and adaptation. Of course, making funds for adaptation available is an important first step, but we also need to ask ourselves the question how such adaptation policies and projects should take shape. This paper demonstrates that an adequate response to climate change health risks should take a systems approach toward adaptation, acknowledging the importance of the local context of the most vulnerable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Probabilistic Change of Wheat Productivity and Water Use in China for Global Mean Temperature Changes of 1°, 2°, and 3°C.
- Author
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Liu, Yujie and Tao, Fulu
- Subjects
GLOBAL temperature changes ,WHEAT trade ,EFFECT of heat on plants ,GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATE change ,FOOD security - Abstract
Impacts of climate change on agriculture are a major concern worldwide, but uncertainties of climate models and emission scenarios may hamper efforts to adapt to climate change. In this paper, a probabilistic approach is used to estimate the uncertainties and simulate impacts of global warming on wheat production and water use in the main wheat cultivation regions of China, with a global mean temperature (GMT) increase scale relative to 1961-90 values. From output of 20 climate scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Data Distribution Centre, median values of projected changes in monthly mean climate variables for representative stations are adapted. These are used to drive the Crop Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES)-Wheat model to simulate wheat production and water use under baseline and global warming scenarios, with and without consideration of carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) fertilization effects. Results show that, because of temperature increase, projected wheat-growing periods for GMT changes of 1°, 2°, and 3°C would shorten, with averaged median values of 3.94%, 6.90%, and 9.67%, respectively. There is a high probability of decreasing (increasing) changes in yield and water-use efficiency under higher temperature scenarios without (with) consideration of CO2 fertilization effects. Elevated CO2 concentration generally compensates for the negative effects of warming temperatures on production. Moreover, positive effects of elevated CO2 concentration on grain yield increase with warming temperatures. The findings could be critical for climate-change-driven agricultural production that ensures global food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Plants and global warming: challenges and strategies for a warming world
- Author
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Seth, Pratyay and Sebastian, Jose
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Reducing the Environmental Impact of Dietary Choice: Perspectives from a Behavioural and Social Change Approach.
- Author
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Joyce, Andrew, Dixon, Sarah, Comfort, Jude, and Hallett, Jonathan
- Subjects
DIET & environment ,SOCIAL change ,BEHAVIOR modification ,CLIMATE change ,FOOD security ,GLOBAL warming - Abstract
Climate change is recognised as a significant public health issue that will impact on food security. One of the major contributors to global warming is the livestock industry, and, relative to plant-based agriculture, meat production has a much higher environmental impact in relation to freshwater use, amount of land required, and waste products generated. Promoting increased consumption of plant-based foods is a recommended strategy to reduce human impact on the environment and is also now recognised as a potential strategy to reduce the high rates of some chronic diseases such as cardiovascular disease and certain cancers. Currently there is a scant evidence base for policies and programs aiming to increase consumption of plant-based diets and little research on the necessary conditions for that change to occur and the processes involved in such a change. This paper reviews some of the environmental and health consequences of current dietary practices, reviews literature on the determinants of consuming a plant-based diet, and provides recommendations for further research in this area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. The Population Policy Debate from a Natural Resource Perspective: Reflections from the Wentworth Group.
- Author
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THOM, BRUCE and MCKENZIE, FIONA
- Subjects
POPULATION policy ,CONSERVATION organizations ,NATURAL resources management ,SOCIAL stability - Abstract
Generations of Australians, especially those who live in rural or remote areas, have struggled to better understand, manage, and adapt to Australia's unique environmental conditions. Increased awareness of pressures and impacts of population growth has renewed the long-standing debate on the nation's capacity to sustainably manage natural resources. Since 2002, the Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists has been active in debates linking science and public policy with a declared intent to inform decision-makers on ways to adapt to changing Australian environmental conditions, assuming a growing population. The purpose of this paper is to reflect on the population policy debate from the perspective of an entity that has as its prime objective to improve the nation's capacity to adapt to these changing conditions by influencing public policy on natural resource management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Beyond climate change: The effects of deforestation on food security in the Lake Chad region.
- Author
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Obianagwa, Christopher Ewuzie, Okafor, Uchenna Paulinus, Ifem, Louiemarie Adaeze, Uwaechia, Onyinye Gift, and Ejiofor, Chukwuemeka Chinedu
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,DEFORESTATION ,FOOD security ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,GLOBAL warming - Abstract
Deforestation of the Lake Chad region (LCR) has led to the loss of vegetation and biodiversity in the area. This situation has not only exacerbated the adverse effects of rising aridity in the region but has resulted in its desertification. Agricultural activities are endangered as a result of this unhealthy practice. Extant studies have largely focused on the nexus between climate change and food insecurity in the LCR without adequate attention on the impact of deforestation. The study examined how deforestation in concert with climate change has affected food security in the LCR. Data were generated from secondary sources and analysed using qualitative descriptive method. The theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming was adopted. The study found, among others, that the increasing deforestation of the LCR's vegetation is implicated in food insecurity menacing the area. It recommended, inter alia, an effective implementation of the African Union's Great Green Wall initiative aimed at ensuring strategic reforestation of the region in order to attenuate the adverse effects of climate change and restore the region's viability for agricultural production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN MAINTAINING FOOD SECURITY BY TRADITIONAL COMMUNITIES.
- Author
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UTAMA, Gemilang Lara and BALIA, Roostita L.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATOLOGY ,FOOD security ,INDIGENOUS peoples - Abstract
Ongoing climate change has affected individuals' lives in different parts of the world including the traditional communities. The accessibility of natural resources regularly utilized as a wellspring of occupation is so vulnerable against climate change. Alongside the event of an unnatural weather change that brought about outrageous climate change, different regular marvels that happen presently isn't the same any longer. Traditional communities may not comprehend the ideas of a global warming and climate change, yet they watch and feel their impact. Different saw impacts, for example, diminished precipitation, increment in air temperature, expanding the force of the sun and precipitation which isn't balanced out. Mostly food production is declining alongside different climatic changes. In a few simulation of climate change demonstrates of synthetic manure utilization, heat stress and water shortage can prompt a decrease in rice production up to 3.8% in Asia toward the finish of the 21st century. Adjustment and relief to climate change are done with different acclimations to decrease vulnerability or increase resilience to the climate change. Oblivious adaptation and mitigation practices of climate change have been honed by traditional communities through the cultivating frameworks they work. Different systems are completed not exclusively to address nourishment issues and to support their lives. Different discoveries demonstrate that the conventional cultivating framework keep running by the group is plainly ready to keep up their food security in the midst of the danger of dry season, heat stress and different interruptions caused by climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
21. Effects of global warming on insect behaviour in agriculture.
- Author
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Ahmed, Alim Al Ayub, Zahar, Marziah, Gribkova, Vera, Nikolaeva, Natalia, Acwin Dwijendra, Ngakan Ketut, Wanich Suksatan, Atiyah, Karrar Kamil, Jalil, Abduladheem Turki, and Aravindhan, Surendar
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,ATMOSPHERIC carbon dioxide ,AGRICULTURAL pests ,INSECT pests ,CLIMATE change ,WINTER - Abstract
Global warming and climate change are some of the most widely discussed topics in today's society, and they are of considerable importance to agriculture globally. Climate change directly affects agricultural production. On the other hand, the agricultural sector is inherently sensitive to climate conditions, and this has made the agricultural sector one of the most vulnerable sectors to the effects of global climate change. Rising CO2 levels in the atmosphere, increased temperature, and altering precipitation patterns all substantially influence agricultural insect pests and agricultural productivity. Climate change has a number of implications for insect pests. They can lead to a decreased biological control effectiveness, particularly natural enemies, increased incidence of insect-transmitted plant diseases, increased risk of migratory pest invasion, altered interspecific interaction, altered synchrony between plants and pests, increase in the number of generations, increased overwintering survival, and increase in geographic distribution. As a consequence, agricultural economic losses are a real possibility, as is a threat to human food and nutrition security. Global warming will necessitate sustainable management techniques to cope with the altering state of pests, as it is a primary driver of pest population dynamics. Future studies on the impacts of climate change on agricultural insect pests might be prioritized in several ways. Enhanced integrated pest control strategies, the use of modelling prediction tools, and climate and pest population monitoring are only a few examples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Research and development on climate change and greenhouse gases in support of climate-smart livestock production and a vibrant industry.
- Author
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Scholtz, M. M., Schönfeldt, H. C., Neser, F. W. C., and Schutte, G. M.
- Subjects
- *
CLIMATE change , *GREENHOUSE gases , *LIVESTOCK productivity , *ANIMAL industry , *GLOBAL warming , *FOOD security , *ANIMAL nutrition - Abstract
Climate change represents a feedback-loop in which livestock production both contributes to the problem and suffers from the consequences. The impact of global warming and continued, uncontrolled release of greenhouse gasses (GHG) has twofold implications for the livestock industry, and consequently food security. Firstly, the continuous increase in ambient temperature is predicted to have a direct effect on the animal, as well as on food and nutrition security, due to changes associated with temperature itself, relative humidity, rainfall distribution in time and space, altered disease distribution, changes in the ecosystem and biome composition. Secondly, the responsibility of livestock production is to limit the release of greenhouse gases (GHG) or the carbon footprint, in order to ensure future sustainability. This can be done by implementing new or adapted climate-smart production systems, the use of known and new technologies to turn waste into assets, and by promoting sustainable human diets with low environmental impacts. The following elements, which are related to livestock production and climate change, are discussed in this paper: (1) restoring the value of grasslands/rangelands, (2) pastoral risk management and decision support systems, (3) improved production efficiency, (4) global warming and sustainable livestock production, (5) the disentanglement between food and nutritional needs, focusing on nutrient rich core foods, (6) GHG from livestock and carbon sequestration, and (7) water and waste management. No single organization (or industry) within South Africa can perform this research and the implementation thereof on its own. The establishment of a (virtual) centre of excellence in climate-smart livestock production and the environment for the livestock industries, with the objective to share research expertise and information, build capacity and conduct research and development studies, should be a priority. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Effect of Climate Change on the Yield of Cereal Crops: A Review.
- Author
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Wang, Jin, Vanga, Sai Kranthi, Saxena, Rachit, Orsat, Valérie, and Raghavan, Vijaya
- Subjects
CROP yields ,GLOBAL warming ,GREENHOUSE gases ,FOOD security ,CULTIVARS ,IRRIGATION - Abstract
By the end of this century, the average global temperature is predicted to rise due to the increasing release of greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere. This change in climate can reduce agricultural yields, resulting in food insecurity. However, agricultural activities are one of the major contributors of GHGs and lower yields can trigger increased activity to meet the demand for food, resulting in higher quantities of GHGs released into the atmosphere. In this paper, we discuss the growth requirements and greenhouse gas release potential of staple cereal crops and assess the impact of climate change on their yields. Potential solutions for minimizing the influence of climate change on crop productivity are discussed. These include breeding to obtain cereals that are more tolerant to conditions caused by climate change, increased production of these new cultivars, improved irrigation, and more effective use of fertilizers. Furthermore, different predictive models inferred that climate change would reduce production of major cereal crops, except for millets due to their ability to grow in variable climatic conditions, and in dry areas due to a strong root system. Moreover, millets are not resource-intensive crops and release fewer greenhouse gases compared to other cereals. Therefore, in addition to addressing food security, millets have an enormous potential use for reducing the impact of agriculture on global warming and should be grown on a global scale as an alternative to major cereals and grains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. CLIMATE CHANGES EMPHASIS -- A DISTURBANCE FACTOR FOR WORLD FOOD SECURITY.
- Author
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BAZGĂ, Bogdan
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,FOOD security ,ECONOMIC impact ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,SUPPLY & demand ,GLOBAL warming ,STRATEGIC planning - Abstract
Until recently, most assessments of the impact of climate change on the food and agriculture sector have focused on the implications for production and global supply of food, with less consideration of other components of the food chain. This paper takes a broader view and explores the multiple effects that global warming and climate change could have on food systems and food security. It also suggests strategies for mitigating and adapting to climate change in several key policy domains of importance for food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
25. Climate change and coupling of macronutrient cycles along the atmospheric, terrestrial, freshwater and estuarine continuum
- Author
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Jarvie, H.P., Jickells, T.D., Skeffington, R.A., and Withers, P.J.A.
- Subjects
- *
CLIMATE change , *MICRONUTRIENTS , *ESTUARINE ecology , *FRESH water , *GREENHOUSE gas mitigation , *GLOBAL warming , *BIOGEOCHEMICAL cycles - Abstract
Abstract: This paper provides an introduction to the Special Issue on “Climate Change and Coupling of Macronutrient Cycles along the Atmospheric, Terrestrial, Freshwater and Estuarine Continuum”, dedicated to Colin Neal on his retirement. It is not intended to be a review of this vast subject, but an attempt to synthesize some of the major findings from the 22 contributions to the Special Issue in the context of what is already known. The major research challenges involved in understanding coupled macronutrient cycles in these environmental media are highlighted, and the difficulties of making credible predictions of the effects of climate change are discussed. Of particular concern is the possibility of interactions which will enhance greenhouse gas concentrations and provide positive feedback to global warming. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Risk, wealth and agrarian change in India. Household-level hazards vs. late-modern global risks at different points along the risk transition.
- Author
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Jewitt, Sarah and Baker, Kathleen
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,HOUSEHOLDS ,FOOD security ,ENVIRONMENTAL risk assessment ,GLOBAL warming ,SOCIAL status ,GLOBAL environmental change - Abstract
Abstract: The global poor often prioritise immediate hazards of food insecurity over temporally more distant risks like global warming. Yet the influence of socio-economic factors, temporal and spatial distance on risk perception remains under-researched. Data on risk perception and response were collected from two sets of Indian villages. Participatory approaches were used to investigate variations by socio-economic status, food security, age and gender. Villagers’ risk priorities reflected clear spatial and temporal patterns depending on land ownership, community group and education levels. Poorer groups prioritised household-level risks to health and food security while global environmental risks were mentioned by only three of the wealthiest respondents. The paper concludes that household risk perceptions and responses vary greatly with socio-economic status, age, gender and the spatial or temporal distance of the risk. These factors need to be better understood if the most significant contributors to the global burden of disease are to be reduced. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China
- Author
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Chen, Changqing, Qian, Chunrong, Deng, Aixing, and Zhang, Weijian
- Subjects
- *
CROPPING systems , *BIOLOGICAL adaptation , *CLIMATE change , *VEGETATION & climate , *CROP yields - Abstract
Abstract: To learn the historical response of cropping system to climate change will benefit the strategy decision of future cropping adaptation. In this paper, we conducted an integrated analysis of the climate records of seventy-two meteorological stations and the records of crop yields over the period 1970–2009 in Northeast China. It was found that over these forty years, the daily mean, maximum and minimum temperatures during crop growing season increased on average by 0.34°C, 0.28°C, 0.43°C every ten years, respectively. No significant change in the precipitation was found, although the differences between years were large. After de-trending the agronomic technique contributions to the increments of crop yields, the historical warming had led to great annually increments of 16.6kgha−1, 15.5kgha−1 and 3.2kgha−1 in rice, corn and soybean yields, respectively. According to the historical warming level, present cropping boundaries can be theoretically extended northward about 80km with a prolonged growing period by 10 days compared to the 1970s. Actually, the growth durations of newly approved varieties of rice, corn and soybean have really prolonged by 14.0 days, 7.0 days and 2.7 days since the 1950s, respectively. The actual growing periods of rice and corn have also respectively prolonged by 6 days and 4 days due to the adjustment of sown and harvest dates by the farmer since 1990s. The existing rice cropping region has been extended northward 80km in the 2006 compared to the 1970. These actual responses were consistent with the theoretical calculation according to the historical warming trends. Our results demonstrate that cropping system owns the potential to progressively and actively adapt to the global warming for high yield through a comprehensive strategy. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Contrasting effects of warming and autonomous breeding on single-rice productivity in China
- Author
-
Liu, Leilei, Wang, Enli, Zhu, Yan, and Tang, Liang
- Subjects
- *
GLOBAL warming , *RICE , *PLANT breeding , *AGRICULTURAL productivity , *FOOD security , *CLIMATE change , *CROP growth - Abstract
Abstract: China is one of the most important rice production countries in the world, and maintaining high rice productivity in China is very important for world food security. While previous studies showed that rice production in China has been and will be negatively impacted by global warming, the confounding effects of climatic change, variety improvement and agronomic managements have not been separately investigated. In this paper we combine an analysis of climate and rice growth data with crop modeling to investigate the impact of changes in climate, rice varieties, and agronomic management on rice productivity at four sites (Wuchang, Xinyang, Zhenjiang and Hanyuan) in China. The results showed a significant increase in minimum temperature during all rice growth stages at Wuchang and Zhenjiang, and from heading to maturity at Xinyang, but little change at Hanyuan. Global warming would have led to a reduction in the length of rice growing period and a reduction in grain yield at all study sites, if no varietal changes had occurred. However, the adoption of new rice varieties stabilized growing duration, increased harvest index and grain yield at three of the four sites. In the face of future warming, a planned breeding effort may be needed to offset the negative impact of future climate change. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods.
- Author
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Badjeck, Marie-Caroline, Allison, Edward H., Halls, Ashley S., and Dulvy, Nicholas K.
- Subjects
ECONOMICS ,CLIMATE change ,FISHERY economics ,GLOBAL warming ,FISHERY management ,FISHERY laws ,BIOTIC communities ,CONSUMERS ,FOOD security - Abstract
Abstract: There is increasing concern over the consequences of global warming for the food security and livelihoods of the world''s 36 million fisherfolk and the nearly 1.5 billion consumers who rely on fish for more than 20% of their dietary animal protein. With mounting evidence of the impacts of climate variability and change on aquatic ecosystems, the resulting impacts on fisheries livelihoods are likely to be significant, but remain a neglected area in climate adaptation policy. Drawing upon our research and the available literature, and using a livelihoods framework, this paper synthesizes the pathways through which climate variability and change impact fisherfolk livelihoods at the household and community level. We identify current and potential adaptation strategies and explore the wider implications for local livelihoods, fisheries management and climate policies. Responses to climate change can be anticipatory or reactive and should include: (1) management approaches and policies that build the livelihood asset base, reducing vulnerability to multiple stressors, including climate change; (2) an understanding of current response mechanisms to climate variability and other shocks in order to inform planned adaptation; (3) a recognition of the opportunities that climate change could bring to the sector; (4) adaptive strategies designed with a multi-sector perspective; and (5) a recognition of fisheries potential contribution to mitigation efforts. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. North Atlantic Oscillation and fisheries management during global climate change.
- Author
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Báez, José C., Gimeno, Luis, and Real, Raimundo
- Subjects
NORTH Atlantic oscillation ,CLIMATE change ,FISHERY management ,FISH industry ,OCEAN temperature ,SEA ice - Abstract
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the most important large-scale climatic oscillation affecting the North Atlantic region. The variability introduced by the NAO affects many meteorological parameters, including wind speed and direction, and differences in air temperature and rainfall, particularly during the boreal winter. The NAO is also known to affect the ocean by changing heat content, sea surface temperature, gyre circulation, mixed layer depth, salinity, high-latitude deep water formation, and sea ice cover. Consequently, the NAO has been widely used to analyze the variability of marine ecosystems. Several researchers found that fishery resources were teleconnected with the NAO variability, resulting in a significant relationship between this climatic oscillation and fishery yields. More precisely, the NAO affects the target species abundance, recruitment, catchability, and body condition. These effects can be cumulative over time and act synergistically. In this study, the available information about this topic is reviewed, and the importance of the NAO as a large-scale climatic oscillation in fisheries management is discussed using an ecosystem approach. We also discuss the possible effects of climate change on Atlantic and Mediterranean fisheries if this change were to affect the NAO pattern. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Africa Would Need to Import More Maize in the Future Even Under 1.5°C Warming Scenario.
- Author
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Zhai, Ran, Tao, Fulu, Lall, Upmanu, and Elliott, Joshua
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,SUPPLY & demand ,GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,POPULATION forecasting ,CORN - Abstract
Producing enough food to feed a growing population is a great future challenge, especially for vulnerable areas in Africa. There is limited understanding of food security under future climate conditions, particularly under the warming target stipulated in the Paris Agreement. Maize is the most widely cultivated crop in Africa. Taking maize as an example, we present an integrated assessment of maize supply and demand under 1.5°C and 2.0°C warming scenarios, considering the combined impacts of climate change, technology development and population increase. We find that global warming of 1.5°C or 2.0°C would shorten maize growth duration, aggravate droughts, and consequently reduce yield with a spatially explicit pattern. Maize yield would decrease more under global warming of 2.0°C versus 1.5°C. Benefit of rising CO2 concentration could not fully offset the yield loss due to climate change under global warming of 1.5°C. Technology development can significantly improve the ratio of maize supply to demand, which is however subject to future projections on population and technology development. Under a reasonable logarithmic technology development scenario, maize security would become worse in most of the countries in Africa. Our findings highlight the importance of technology development and adaptation strategies to meet the challenges of food security in the vulnerable regions. Key Points: Maize yield would decrease more under 2.0 than 1.5°C warming scenarioUnder a reasonable logarithmic technology development scenario, maize security would become worse in most of the countries in AfricaTechnology development and adaptation strategies are essential to meet the challenges of food security in the vulnerable regions [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Extreme climate events under global warming in northern Fars Province, southern Iran.
- Author
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Naderi, Mostafa
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change ,PROVINCES - Abstract
The study area, with arid to semi-humid climates, is located in northern Fars Province, southern Iran. Daily precipitation and temperature data from 22 models of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are used to study climate change for period 2026–2085 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. Daily outputs of each CMIP5 model are downscaled to climatic stations over the study area using LARS-WG tool and transient change factors approach. Daily precipitation is downscaled to seven climatic stations while daily temperature downscaled to two stations. Downscaling results indicate that temperature will increase by + 1.85, + 2.5, and + 3.45 °C under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively, while precipitation will reduce by 14, 22, and 20.8%, respectively, within the study area. Standardized precipitation index (SPI) analysis, performed for 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month time scales, shows that frequency (duration) of normal periods will increase (decrease) under climate change, however, 12-month SPI analysis shows decreased frequency and increased duration for normal periods. Frequency, duration, severity, and intensity of wet periods may increase, decrease, or not change under climate change, depending on the SPI time scale. The study area will experience more frequent, longer-duration, severed, intensified droughts in the future due to global warming. Extreme storm analysis shows that precipitation depth of most frequent storms (2-year return period storms) will increase, but precipitation depth of less frequent storms (10- and 20-year return period storms) will decrease under climate change. Temperature enhancement, precipitation reduction, and longer-duration, severed, intensified droughts will increase water shortage in the future, resulting in water crisis and reduced security of food production over northern Fars Province. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Potential Influence of Climate Change on Grain Self‐Sufficiency at the Country Level Considering Adaptation Measures.
- Author
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Wei, Taoyuan, Zhang, Tianyi, Cui, Xuefeng, Glomsrød, Solveig, and Liu, Yu
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,SELF-reliant living ,GRAIN ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,BEHAVIOR - Abstract
In recent decades, grain self‐sufficiency has been a key security issue for certain countries, such as Russia, China, India, and France. Climate change may affect agricultural production and possibly influence the grain self‐sufficiency of some countries, threatening their food security. This article provides an updated integrated assessment of the impact of climate change on grain self‐sufficiency at the country level. The study links climatic variables projected by global climate models to economic variables simulated by a global multiregion multisector economic model. Although climate change may considerably reduce land productivity, our simulation results show that climate change in the long term modestly impacts regional grain self‐sufficiency, as the direct effects on yield are largely canceled out by changes in grain production via adaptation measures taken by producers in response to market signals. Behavioral changes of consumers also contribute modestly to cancel out the adverse impact on land productivity. In the RCP8.5 climate change scenario, the adverse impact of climate change on land productivity in 2100 may reach to 25% of the current level, but declines to 5% when changes in production and consumption are considered, thus indicating the role of long‐term adaptation by economic agents. Key Points: The country‐level impact of climate change on grain self‐sufficiency is studiedClimate change modestly impacts regional grain self‐sufficiency over the long termAdaption by producers and consumers markedly mitigates the impact of climate [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre‐industrial warming.
- Author
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Liu, Bing, Martre, Pierre, Ewert, Frank, Porter, John R., Challinor, Andy J., Müller, Christoph, Ruane, Alex C., Waha, Katharina, Thorburn, Peter J., Aggarwal, Pramod K., Ahmed, Mukhtar, Balkovič, Juraj, Basso, Bruno, Biernath, Christian, Bindi, Marco, Cammarano, Davide, De Sanctis, Giacomo, Dumont, Benjamin, Espadafor, Mónica, and Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,AGRICULTURAL productivity & the environment ,WHEAT ,FOOD security ,FOOD supply & the environment - Abstract
Efforts to limit global warming to below 2°C in relation to the pre‐industrial level are under way, in accordance with the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, most impact research on agriculture to date has focused on impacts of warming >2°C on mean crop yields, and many previous studies did not focus sufficiently on extreme events and yield interannual variability. Here, with the latest climate scenarios from the Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI) project, we evaluated the impacts of the 2015 Paris Agreement range of global warming (1.5 and 2.0°C warming above the pre‐industrial period) on global wheat production and local yield variability. A multi‐crop and multi‐climate model ensemble over a global network of sites developed by the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) for Wheat was used to represent major rainfed and irrigated wheat cropping systems. Results show that projected global wheat production will change by −2.3% to 7.0% under the 1.5°C scenario and −2.4% to 10.5% under the 2.0°C scenario, compared to a baseline of 1980–2010, when considering changes in local temperature, rainfall, and global atmospheric CO2 concentration, but no changes in management or wheat cultivars. The projected impact on wheat production varies spatially; a larger increase is projected for temperate high rainfall regions than for moderate hot low rainfall and irrigated regions. Grain yields in warmer regions are more likely to be reduced than in cooler regions. Despite mostly positive impacts on global average grain yields, the frequency of extremely low yields (bottom 5 percentile of baseline distribution) and yield inter‐annual variability will increase under both warming scenarios for some of the hot growing locations, including locations from the second largest global wheat producer—India, which supplies more than 14% of global wheat. The projected global impact of warming <2°C on wheat production is therefore not evenly distributed and will affect regional food security across the globe as well as food prices and trade. The projected impact of 1.5 and 2.0°C warming above the pre‐industrial period on wheat production varies spatially; a larger increase is projected for temperate high rainfall regions than for moderate hot low rainfall and irrigated regions. Grain yields in warmer regions are more likely to be reduced than in cooler regions. Despite mostly positive impacts on global average grain yields, the frequency of extremely low yields and yield inter‐annual variability will increase under both warming scenarios for some of the hot growing locations, including locations from the second largest global wheat producer—India, which supplies more than 14% of global wheat. The projected global impacts of warming of <2°C on wheat production is therefore not evenly distributed and will affect regional food security across the globe as well as food prices and trade. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide, and Pest Biology, Managing the Future: Coffee as a Case Study.
- Author
-
Ziska, Lewis H., Bradley, Bethany A., Wallace, Rebekah D., Bargeron, Charles T., LaForest, Joseph H., Choudhury, Robin A., Garrett, Karen A., and Vega, Fernando E.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,PEST control ,CARBON dioxide & the environment ,INSECT pest control ,PHYTOPATHOGENIC microorganisms ,WEED control ,COFFEE growing - Abstract
The challenge of maintaining sufficient food, feed, fiber, and forests, for a projected end of century population of between 9-10 billion in the context of a climate averaging 2-4 °C warmer, is a global imperative. However, climate change is likely to alter the geographic ranges and impacts for a variety of insect pests, plant pathogens, and weeds, and the consequences for managed systems, particularly agriculture, remain uncertain. That uncertainty is related, in part, to whether pest management practices (e.g., biological, chemical, cultural, etc.) can adapt to climate/CO2 induced changes in pest biology to minimize potential loss. The ongoing and projected changes in CO
2 , environment, managed plant systems, and pest interactions, necessitates an assessment of current management practices and, if warranted, development of viable alternative strategies to counter damage from invasive alien species and evolving native pest populations. We provide an overview of the interactions regarding pest biology and climate/CO2 ; assess these interactions currently using coffee as a case study; identify the potential vulnerabilities regarding future pest impacts; and discuss possible adaptive strategies, including early detection and rapid response via EDDMapS (Early Detection & Distribution Mapping System), and integrated pest management (IPM), as adaptive means to improve monitoring pest movements and minimizing biotic losses while improving the efficacy of pest control. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Future warming increases probability of globally synchronized maize production shocks.
- Author
-
Tigchelaar, Michelle, Battisti, David S., Naylor, Rosamond L., and Ray, Deepak K.
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,GRAIN trade ,FOOD security ,CROP yields ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Meeting the global food demand of roughly 10 billion people by the middle of the 21st century will become increasingly challenging as the Earth's climate continues to warm. Earlier studies suggest that once the optimum growing temperature is exceeded, mean crop yields decline and the variability of yield increases even if interannual climate variability remains unchanged. Here, we use global datasets of maize production and climate variability combined with future temperature projections to quantify how yield variability will change in the world's major maize-producing and -exporting countries under 2 °C and 4 °C of global warming. We find that as the global mean temperature increases, absent changes in temperature variability or breeding gains in heat tolerance, the coefficient of variation (CV) of maize yields increases almost everywhere to values much larger than present-day values. This higher CV is due both to an increase in the SD of yields and a decrease in mean yields. For the top four maize-exporting countries, which account for 87% of global maize exports, the probability that they have simultaneous production losses greater than 10% in any given year is presently virtually zero, but it increases to 7% under 2 °C warming and 86% under 4 °C warming. Our results portend rising instability in global grain trade and international grain prices, affecting especially the ~800 million people living in extreme poverty who are most vulnerable to food price spikes. They also underscore the urgency of investments in breeding for heat tolerance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Assessment of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Different Land-Use Systems: A Case Study of CO2 in the Southern Zone of Ghana.
- Author
-
MacCarthy, Dilys Sefakor, Zougmoré, Robert B., Akponikpè, Pierre Bienvenu Irénikatché, Koomson, Eric, Savadogo, Patrice, and Adiku, Samuel Godfried Kwasi
- Subjects
GREENHOUSE gases & the environment ,GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATE change ,FOOD security ,CLAY soils - Abstract
The emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs) results in global warming and climate change. The extent to which developing countries contribute to GHG emissions is not well known. This study reports findings on the effects of different land-use systems on GHG emissions (CO
2 in this case) from two locations in the southern zone of Ghana, West Africa. Site one (located at Kpong) contained a heavy clay soil while site two (located at Legon) contained a light-textured sandy soil. Land-use systems include cattle kraals, natural forests, cultivated maize fields, and rice paddy fields at site one, and natural forest, woodlots, and cultivated soya bean fields at site two. CO2 emissions were measured using the gas entrapment method (PVC chambers). Trapping solutions were changed every 12–48 h and measurement lasted 9 to 15 days depending on the site. We found that, for the same land-use, CO2 emissions were higher on the clay soil (Kpong) than the sandy soil (Legon). In the clay soil environment, the highest average CO2 emission was observed from the cattle kraal (256.7 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ), followed by the forest (146.0 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ) and rice paddy (140.6 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ) field. The lowest average emission was observed for maize cropped land (112.0 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ). In the sandy soil environment, the highest average CO2 emission was observed from soya cropped land (52.5 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ), followed by the forest (47.4 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ) and woodlot (33.7 mg·m−2 ·h−1 ). Several factors influenced CO2 emissions from the different land-use systems. These include the inherent properties of the soils such as texture, temperature, and moisture content, which influenced CO2 production through their effect on soil microbial activity and root respiration. Practices that reduce CO2 emissions are likely to promote carbon sequestration, which will consequently maintain or increase crop productivity and thereby improve global or regional food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Global climate change increases risk of crop yield losses and food insecurity in the tropical Andes.
- Author
-
Tito, Richard, Vasconcelos, Heraldo L., and Feeley, Kenneth J.
- Subjects
CROP yields ,FOOD security ,FOOD supply ,CLIMATE change ,EFFECT of global warming on plants ,CULTIVARS ,POTATOES ,CORN varieties ,CROP quality - Abstract
Abstract: One of the greatest current challenges to human society is ensuring adequate food production and security for a rapidly growing population under changing climatic conditions. Climate change, and specifically rising temperatures, will alter the suitability of areas for specific crops and cultivation systems. In order to maintain yields, farmers may be forced to change cultivation practices, the timing of cultivation, or even the type of crops grown. Alternatively, farmers can change the location where crops are cultivated (e.g., to higher elevations) to track suitable climates (in which case the plants will have to grow in different soils), as cultivated plants will otherwise have to tolerate warmer temperatures and possibly face novel enemies. We simulated these two last possible scenarios (for temperature increases of 1.3°C and 2.6°C) in the Peruvian Andes through a field experiment in which several traditionally grown varieties of potato and maize were planted at different elevations (and thus temperatures) using either the local soil or soil translocated from higher elevations. Maize production declined by 21%–29% in response to new soil conditions. The production of maize and potatoes declined by >87% when plants were grown under warmer temperatures, mainly as a result of the greater incidence of novel pests. Crop quality and value also declined under simulated migration and warming scenarios. We estimated that local farmers may experience severe economic losses of up to 2,300 US$ ha
−1 yr−1 . These findings reveal that climate change is a real and imminent threat to agriculture and that there is a pressing need to develop effective management strategies to reduce yield losses and prevent food insecurity. Importantly, such strategies should take into account the influences of non‐climatic and/or biotic factors (e.g., novel pests) on plant development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Global Climate Change and Confronting the Challenges of Food Security.
- Author
-
SARKAR, A. N.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,FOSSIL fuel industries ,FOOD security ,GREENHOUSE effect ,GLOBAL warming ,GLACIAL melting ,NATURAL disasters - Abstract
Over the past centuries the global climate has been changing as a result of industrial uses of fossil fuels and various anthropogenic activities, resulting in greenhouse gas emissions, global warming, etc. Climate change and its impact has been quite pronounced in the past two decades. Among other things, one of the significant impacts experienced in recent times is in the areas of environment, ecology, economy, agricultural production and productivity as well as global food security, including human nutrition. This article discusses in a nutshell the impact of climate change, among other things, on environment, agriculture and food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
40. Climate, Scarcity and Conflict.
- Author
-
Fetzek, Shiloh and Mazo, Jeffrey
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATE change ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,GLOBAL environmental change ,INTERNATIONAL security ,FOOD supply ,FOOD security - Abstract
The security threat from global warming is inextricably linked to development. Resource scarcity and environmental change increase the risk of conflict, and institutional capacity is key to minimising this effect. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Intensive Agriculture and the Soil Carbon Pool.
- Author
-
Lal, Rattan
- Subjects
AGRICULTURAL intensification ,CARBON in soils ,FOOD security ,ECOSYSTEMS ,GLOBAL warming ,SEQUESTRATION (Chemistry) ,AGRONOMY - Abstract
There is a strong link between food security and the carbon pool in terrestrial ecosystems, notably the soil organic carbon (SOC) pool. Quantity and quality of the SOC pool are essential to soil quality, agronomic production, and use efficiency of inputs. Furthermore, limiting global warming to a 2°C increase in Earth's mean temperature requires the identification of appropriate sinks for atmospheric CO2. Sequestration of C in soils is almost an obvious climate solution, which ironically has been overlooked by policy makers. Yet, it is a proverbial “low-hanging” fruit with numerous co-benefits. Most soils of the agroecosystems are depleted of their antecedent SOC pool by 25%−75%, equivalent to 10−30 Mg/ha, which is also the technical sink capacity of C sequestration. The rate of SOC sequestration in soils of the tropics and subtropics is 100−500 kg/ha/year. The potential global soil C sink capacity is 1.2−3.1 Pg C/year, 25−50 years. While mitigating climate change, an increase in SOC pool also enhances crop yield because of improvements in soil physical (i.e., aggregation, available water capacity), chemical (i.e., cation and anion exchange capacity [CEC/AEC], soil reaction, nutrient transformation), and biological properties (i.e., microbial biomass C earthworm activity). The adoption of conservation-effective measures can avoid erosion-induced emissions by minimizing decomposition of SOC transported by erosional processes. The mean residence time of SOC depends on a range of exogenous and endogenous factors. Recommended management practices (RMPs) for SOC concentration include conservation agriculture based on no-till and mulch farming, use of cover crops and green manure, application of manure and biochar, and use of perennial culture, including agroforestry. Balanced application of fertilizers is crucial. Water conservation, water harvesting and recycling, use of drip subirrigation, and growing aerobic rice are some important practices for enhancing water-use efficiency. There is a strong need for research in understanding processes of SOC sequestration, identifying and validating soil-/site-specific agronomic practices, and making policy interventions that reward farmers through payments for ecosystem services. Farming C and trading C credits are needed to create another income stream for farmers and to promote the adoption of RMPs. Cropland soils of south Asia in general and those of the Indo-Gangetic Plain in particular are severely depleted of their SOC pool. Despite high inputs of fertilizers and water, crop yields are either stagnating or declining because of the ever-declining use efficiency of inputs (i.e., fertilizers, irrigation, high-yielding varieties) and degrading soils and water resources. A low SOC concentration of cropland soils (0.1%−0.5% in the plow layer of 0−20-cm depth) is the principal cause of decline in soil quality (e.g., low aggregation and plant available water capacity). Thus, RMPs that create a positive soil C budget and enhance the SOC pool must be identified. The balanced use of fertilizers and the application of farm yard manure and other biosolids (i.e., crop residues, green manure) are essential to SOC sequestration, improving the input-use efficiency, and increasing crop yields. There is a strong and positive correlation between the SOC pool in the root zone and the grain yield of wheat, maize, soybean, and other crops. The adoption of RMPs, which enhance SOC pools and sustain high agronomic yield, necessitates payments to farmers for providing ecosystem services through the trading of C credits and so on. Farming C is an important strategy to mitigate climate change, advance food security, and improve the environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. The Possible Impacts of Different Global Warming Levels on Major Crops in Egypt.
- Author
-
Gamal, Gamil, Samak, Magdy, and Shahba, Mohamed
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,DRY farming ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,CROPS ,IRRIGATION farming ,CROP yields - Abstract
Climate change implications are a severe risk to food security and the economy. Global warming could disturb the production of both rainfed and irrigated agriculture thru the amplify of yield water requests in many areas. In this study, the fast-track projections available through the Inter-Sectors Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP) were presented and analyzed to assess the effects of two global warming (GW) levels (1.5 and 2.0 °C) on the maize and wheat yields in Egypt. Outcomes proposed spatial variations in the effects of temperature change on crop yield. Compared with the referenced situation, an observed national average change in wheat yield about 5.0% (0.0% to 9.0%) and 5.0% (−3.0% to 14.0%) under GW1.5 and GW2.0 respectively. While for maize yield, the change in national average about −1.0% (−5.0% to 3.0%) and −4.0% (−8.0% to 2.0%) under GW1.5 and GW2.0 respectively. GW1.5 could be helpful for wheat yield, but the positive effect decayed when the warming level reached 2.0 °C overhead the pre-industrial level. Nevertheless, the possible deviations to Egypt's maize production under the GW1.5 and GW2.0 scenarios are unclear where the models do not agree with the sign of change. Adjusting the temperature rise within 1.5 °C would diminish the yield reduction, as it is an extraordinary priority to safeguard crop production. To achieve Progress of innovative agronomic managing plans and swapping to additional drought-resistant crops may be valuable for coping with climate change in regions vulnerable to yield decline. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Recent summer precipitation trends in the Greater Horn of Africa and the emerging role of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature.
- Author
-
Williams, A., Funk, Chris, Michaelsen, Joel, Rauscher, Sara, Robertson, Iain, Wils, Tommy, Koprowski, Marcin, Eshetu, Zewdu, and Loader, Neil
- Subjects
SUMMER ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,OCEAN temperature ,CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,DROUGHTS - Abstract
We utilize a variety of climate datasets to examine impacts of two mechanisms on precipitation in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) during northern-hemisphere summer. First, surface-pressure gradients draw moist air toward the GHA from the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Congo Basin. Variability of the strength of these gradients strongly influences GHA precipitation totals and accounts for important phenomena such as the 1960s-1980s rainfall decline and devastating 1984 drought. Following the 1980s, precipitation variability became increasingly influenced by the southern tropical Indian Ocean (STIO) region. Within this region, increases in sea-surface temperature, evaporation, and precipitation are linked with increased exports of dry mid-tropospheric air from the STIO region toward the GHA. Convergence of dry air above the GHA reduces local convection and precipitation. It also produces a clockwise circulation response near the ground that reduces moisture transports from the Congo Basin. Because precipitation originating in the Congo Basin has a unique isotopic signature, records of moisture transports from the Congo Basin may be preserved in the isotopic composition of annual tree rings in the Ethiopian Highlands. A negative trend in tree-ring oxygen-18 during the past half century suggests a decline in the proportion of precipitation originating from the Congo Basin. This trend may not be part of a natural cycle that will soon rebound because climate models characterize Indian Ocean warming as a principal signature of greenhouse-gas induced climate change. We therefore expect surface warming in the STIO region to continue to negatively impact GHA precipitation during northern-hemisphere summer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Technology Development for Conservation, Propagation and Adaptation of Native Crops to Biotic and Abiotic Stress Factors: Concept, Hypothesis and Confirmation.
- Author
-
Maiti, Ratikanta
- Subjects
CROP yields ,FOOD security ,PLANT breeders ,GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
The author reflects on the technologies developed for the conservation, propagation and adaptation of native crops to biotic and abiotic stress factors. He notes the threat of global food security faced by increasing human population under the changing climate, global warming, pollution and other factors. He cites the focus of plant breeders on increasing food production by using high yielding varieties. He also discusses some of his research works that could be of help to plant breeders.
- Published
- 2011
45. Impacts of changing air composition on severity of arable crop disease epidemics.
- Author
-
Fitt, B. D. L., Fraaije, B. A., Chandramohan, P., and Shaw, M. W.
- Subjects
PLANT disease epidemics ,FOOD security ,OILSEED plant diseases & pests ,SEPTORIA diseases ,EFFECT of greenhouse gases on plants ,GLOBAL environmental change - Abstract
This review assesses the impacts, both direct and indirect, of man-made changes to the composition of the air over a 200 year period on the severity of arable crop disease epidemics. The review focuses on two well-studied UK arable crops, wheat and oilseed rape, relating these examples to worldwide food security. In wheat, impacts of changes in concentrations of SO in air on two septoria diseases are discussed using data obtained from historical crop samples and unpublished experimental work. Changes in SO seem to alter septoria disease spectra both through direct effects on infection processes and through indirect effects on soil S status. Work on the oilseed rape diseases phoma stem canker and light leaf spot illustrates indirect impacts of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, mediated through climate change. It is projected that, by the 2050s, if diseases are not controlled, climate change will increase yields in Scotland but halve yields in southern England. These projections are discussed in relation to strategies for adaptation to environmental change. Since many strategies take 10-15 years to implement, it is important to take appropriate decisions soon. Furthermore, it is essential to make appropriate investment in collation of long-term data, modelling and experimental work to guide such decision-making by industry and government, as a contribution to worldwide food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. The Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Insect Pests.
- Author
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Skendžić, Sandra, Zovko, Monika, Živković, Ivana Pajač, Lešić, Vinko, Lemić, Darija, and Forschler, Brian T.
- Subjects
AGRICULTURAL pests ,BIOLOGICAL pest control ,INSECT pests ,CLIMATE change ,PEST control ,PLANT diseases - Abstract
Simple Summary: Climate change and extreme weather events have a major impact on crop production and agricultural pests. As generally adaptable organisms, insect pests respond differently to different causes of climate change. In this review, we address the effects of rising temperatures and atmospheric CO
2 levels, as well as changing precipitation patterns, on agricultural insect pests. Since temperature is the most important environmental factor affecting insect population dynamics, it is expected that global climate warming could trigger an expansion of their geographic range, increased overwintering survival, increased number of generations, increased risk of invasive insect species and insect-transmitted plant diseases, as well as changes in their interaction with host plants and natural enemies. As climate change exacerbates the pest problem, there is a great need for future pest management strategies. These include monitoring climate and pest populations, modified integrated pest management strategies, and the use of modelling prediction tools which are presented here. Climate change and global warming are of great concern to agriculture worldwide and are among the most discussed issues in today's society. Climate parameters such as increased temperatures, rising atmospheric CO2 levels, and changing precipitation patterns have significant impacts on agricultural production and on agricultural insect pests. Changes in climate can affect insect pests in several ways. They can result in an expansion of their geographic distribution, increased survival during overwintering, increased number of generations, altered synchrony between plants and pests, altered interspecific interaction, increased risk of invasion by migratory pests, increased incidence of insect-transmitted plant diseases, and reduced effectiveness of biological control, especially natural enemies. As a result, there is a serious risk of crop economic losses, as well as a challenge to human food security. As a major driver of pest population dynamics, climate change will require adaptive management strategies to deal with the changing status of pests. Several priorities can be identified for future research on the effects of climatic changes on agricultural insect pests. These include modified integrated pest management tactics, monitoring climate and pest populations, and the use of modelling prediction tools. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Changes in Climate Extremes in Central Asia under 1.5 and 2 °C Global Warming and their Impacts on Agricultural Productions.
- Author
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Liu, Yang, Geng, Xiu, Hao, Zhixin, and Zheng, Jingyun
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,GLOBAL warming ,GROWING season ,FOOD security - Abstract
Changes in climate extremes under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming may impact agricultural production across Central Asia. We used the simulated daily data of average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project and analyzed the current climate status and future projected changes of a set of climate extreme indices related to agricultural production under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming. In addition, the possible impacts of climate change on agricultural production in Central Asia were discussed. The results show that the annual mean temperature in Central Asia will increase by 1.48 °C and 2.34 °C at 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming levels, respectively, compared to the base period (1986–2005), and the increasing trends are significant at the α = 0.01 level for all grids. The number of warm days and growing season length will increase. Under the 1.5 °C scenario, the mean annual total precipitation (PRCPTOT) and heavy precipitation (R95P) will experience increases of 7.68% and 26.55%, respectively, and the consecutive dry days (CDD) will be reduced by 1.1 days. However, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) shows significant drought conditions in most of Central Asia (more than 60%). Under the 2 °C scenario, there will be a 3.89% increase in PRCPTOT and a 24.78% increase in R95P. Nevertheless, accompanying the increase in CDD (0.8 day) and the decrease in SPEI, drought conditions will be further exacerbated. These results indicate that Central Asia is likely to face more severe ecological problems in the future, which will threaten the regional agricultural production and the food security. Therefore, adaptation strategies should be implemented immediately to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on Central Asia's agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models.
- Author
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Sultan, Benjamin, Defrance, Dimitri, and Iizumi, Toshichika
- Subjects
AGRICULTURAL productivity ,GLOBAL warming ,FOOD security ,CLIMATE change ,RAINFALL - Abstract
Achieving food security goals in West Africa will depend on the capacity of the agricultural sector to feed the rapidly growing population and to moderate the adverse impacts of climate change. Indeed, a number of studies anticipate a reduction of the crop yield of the main staple food crops in the region in the coming decades due to global warming. Here, we found that crop production might have already been affected by climate change, with significant yield losses estimated in the historical past. We used a large ensemble of historical climate simulations derived from an atmospheric general circulation model and two process-based crop models, SARRA-H and CYGMA, to evaluate the effects of historical climate change on crop production in West Africa. We generated two ensembles of 100 historical simulations of yields of sorghum and millet corresponding to two climate conditions for each crop model. One ensemble is based on a realistic simulation of the actual climate, while the other is based on a climate simulation that does not account for human influences on climate systems (that is, the non-warming counterfactual climate condition). We found that the last simulated decade, 2000–2009, is approximately 1 °C warmer in West Africa in the ensemble accounting for human influences on climate, with more frequent heat and rainfall extremes. These altered climate conditions have led to regional average yield reductions of 10–20% for millet and 5–15% for sorghum in the two crop models. We found that the average annual production losses across West Africa in 2000–2009 associated with historical climate change, relative to a non-warming counterfactual condition (that is, pre-industrial climate), accounted for 2.33–4.02 billion USD for millet and 0.73–2.17 billion USD for sorghum. The estimates of production losses presented here can be a basis for the loss and damage associated with climate change to date and useful in estimating the costs of the adaptation of crop production systems in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Modeling crop breeding for global food security during climate change.
- Author
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Cowling, Wallace A., Li, Li, Siddique, Kadambot H. M., Banks, Robert G., and Kinghorn, Brian P.
- Subjects
PLANT breeding ,WHEAT breeding ,FOOD security ,CLIMATE change ,GLOBAL warming ,CROP yields - Abstract
Simultaneous genetic improvements in grain yield and heat stress tolerance (HST) are necessary to avoid a fall in crop yields caused by global warming during the 21st century. Future food security depends on crop breeding solutions to this challenge, especially in developing countries where the need is greatest. We stochastically model a wheat breeding program during 60 years of rapid global warming based on rapid 2‐year cycles, with selection in early generations for HST, grain yield, disease resistance, and stem strength. In each cycle, breeding values were estimated by best linear unbiased prediction using all pedigree and phenotypic information (including selfing) back to the founders. We compared two methods of selection and mating design with similar costs. The first method was truncation selection for HST to match predicted increases in land temperatures followed by selection for an economic index composed of weighted estimated breeding values for each trait, followed by random pair‐wise mating among selections. The second method was optimal contributions selection (OCS) for the economic index with an overriding constraint to increase HST in each cycle to match global warming trends, and mating prescribed by OCS. Truncation selection caused a rapid loss of genetic diversity, and HST did not keep pace with global warming. Consequently, grain yield began to decline due to heat stress before 60 years. With OCS, HST matched global warming trends, the economic index almost tripled and grain yield nearly doubled during 60 years of global warming. OCS on an economic index, with a priority to meet HST, increased grain yields and avoided a major threat to global food security caused by global warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Quinoa: In Perspective of Global Challenges.
- Author
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Jaikishun, Sirpaul, Li, Wenqiang, Yang, Zhenbiao, and Song, Shikui
- Subjects
QUINOA ,EFFECT of human beings on climate change ,FOOD crops ,CLIMATE change ,FOOD security ,LAND resource - Abstract
The global population is on the path of an increasing trajectory with a simultaneous decline in arable land resources through salinization and desertification that have resulted mainly from climate change and other anthropogenic activities. Rising temperatures will cause changes in the entire ecosystem, resulting in significant alterations in global climate paradigms and a threat to food security. This review focuses on how the highly resilient Chenopodium quinoa Willd. can sustainably mitigate some of the detrimental impacts, such as starvation, and support or provide ecosystem services. In comparison, compared with the traditional staple food crops, quinoa has remarkable tolerance to abiotic stresses and is highly nutritious, with a unique balance and higher amounts of nutrients, and can therefore be an important crop for food security and nutritional adequacy. This crop has the potential to ameliorate global challenges with respect to increase in global population, effects of climate change, desalinization, phytoremediation, satisfying nutrient deficiency, and alleviating poverty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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