37 results on '"Uzicanin, Amra"'
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2. Systematic review of empiric studies on lockdowns, workplace closures, and other non-pharmaceutical interventions in non-healthcare workplaces during the initial year of the COVID-19 pandemic: benefits and selected unintended consequences.
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Ahmed, Faruque, Shafer, Livvy, Malla, Pallavi, Hopkins, Roderick, Moreland, Sarah, Zviedrite, Nicole, and Uzicanin, Amra
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Background: We conducted a systematic review aimed to evaluate the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions within non-healthcare workplaces and community-level workplace closures and lockdowns on COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, selected mental disorders, and employment outcomes in workers or the general population. Methods: The inclusion criteria included randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions. The exclusion criteria included modeling studies. Electronic searches were conducted using MEDLINE, Embase, and other databases from January 1, 2020, through May 11, 2021. Risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool. Meta-analysis and sign tests were performed. Results: A total of 60 observational studies met the inclusion criteria. There were 40 studies on COVID-19 outcomes, 15 on anxiety and depression symptoms, and five on unemployment and labor force participation. There was a paucity of studies on physical distancing, physical barriers, and symptom and temperature screening within workplaces. The sign test indicated that lockdown reduced COVID-19 incidence or case growth rate (23 studies, p < 0.001), reproduction number (11 studies, p < 0.001), and COVID-19 mortality or death growth rate (seven studies, p < 0.05) in the general population. Lockdown did not have any effect on anxiety symptoms (pooled standardized mean difference = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.06, 0.02). Lockdown had a small effect on increasing depression symptoms (pooled standardized mean difference = 0.16, 95% CI: 0.10, 0.21), but publication bias could account for the observed effect. Lockdown increased unemployment (pooled mean difference = 4.48 percentage points, 95% CI: 1.79, 7.17) and decreased labor force participation (pooled mean difference = -2.46 percentage points, 95% CI: -3.16, -1.77). The risk of bias for most of the studies on COVID-19 or employment outcomes was moderate or serious. The risk of bias for the studies on anxiety or depression symptoms was serious or critical. Conclusions: Empiric studies indicated that lockdown reduced the impact of COVID-19, but that it had notable unwanted effects. There is a pronounced paucity of studies on the effect of interventions within still-open workplaces. It is important for countries that implement lockdown in future pandemics to consider strategies to mitigate these unintended consequences. Systematic review registration: PROSPERO registration # CRD42020182660. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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3. Pandemic diseases preparedness and response in the age of COVID‐19—a symposium report.
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Cable, Jennifer, Heymann, David L., Uzicanin, Amra, Tomori, Oyewale, Marinissen, Maria Julia, Katz, Rebecca, Kerr, Larry, Lurie, Nicole, Parker, Gerald W., Madad, Syra, Maldin Morgenthau, Beth, Osterholm, Michael T., and Borio, Luciana
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PANDEMICS , *COVID-19 , *COVID-19 pandemic , *SARS-CoV-2 , *PREPAREDNESS , *EBOLA virus disease - Abstract
For years, experts have warned that a global pandemic was only a matter of time. Indeed, over the past two decades, several outbreaks and pandemics, from SARS to Ebola, have tested our ability to respond to a disease threat and provided the opportunity to refine our preparedness systems. However, when a novel coronavirus with human‐to‐human transmissibility emerged in China in 2019, many of these systems were found lacking. From international disputes over data and resources to individual disagreements over the effectiveness of facemasks, the COVID‐19 pandemic has revealed several vulnerabilities. As of early November 2020, the WHO has confirmed over 46 million cases and 1.2 million deaths worldwide. While the world will likely be reeling from the effects of COVID‐19 for months, and perhaps years, to come, one key question must be asked, How can we do better next time? This report summarizes views of experts from around the world on how lessons from past pandemics have shaped our current disease preparedness and response efforts, and how the COVID‐19 pandemic may offer an opportunity to reinvent public health and healthcare systems to be more robust the next time a major challenge appears. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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4. Cost effectiveness of preemptive school closures to mitigate pandemic influenza outbreaks of differing severity in the United States.
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Dauelsberg, Lori R., Maskery, Brian, Joo, Heesoo, Germann, Timothy C., Del Valle, Sara Y., and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *PANDEMIC preparedness , *COST effectiveness , *INFLUENZA , *REGULATORY impact analysis , *H7N9 Influenza - Abstract
Background: Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) may be considered as part of national pandemic preparedness as a first line defense against influenza pandemics. Preemptive school closures (PSCs) are an NPI reserved for severe pandemics and are highly effective in slowing influenza spread but have unintended consequences. Methods: We used results of simulated PSC impacts for a 1957-like pandemic (i.e., an influenza pandemic with a high case fatality rate) to estimate population health impacts and quantify PSC costs at the national level using three geographical scales, four closure durations, and three dismissal decision criteria (i.e., the number of cases detected to trigger closures). At the Chicago regional level, we also used results from simulated 1957-like, 1968-like, and 2009-like pandemics. Our net estimated economic impacts resulted from educational productivity costs plus loss of income associated with providing childcare during closures after netting out productivity gains from averted influenza illness based on the number of cases and deaths for each mitigation strategy. Results: For the 1957-like, national-level model, estimated net PSC costs and averted cases ranged from $7.5 billion (2016 USD) averting 14.5 million cases for two-week, community-level closures to $97 billion averting 47 million cases for 12-week, county-level closures. We found that 2-week school-by-school PSCs had the lowest cost per discounted life-year gained compared to county-wide or school district–wide closures for both the national and Chicago regional-level analyses of all pandemics. The feasibility of spatiotemporally precise triggering is questionable for most locales. Theoretically, this would be an attractive early option to allow more time to assess transmissibility and severity of a novel influenza virus. However, we also found that county-wide PSCs of longer durations (8 to 12 weeks) could avert the most cases (31–47 million) and deaths (105,000–156,000); however, the net cost would be considerably greater ($88-$103 billion net of averted illness costs) for the national-level, 1957-like analysis. Conclusions: We found that the net costs per death averted ($180,000-$4.2 million) for the national-level, 1957-like scenarios were generally less than the range of values recommended for regulatory impact analyses ($4.6 to 15.0 million). This suggests that the economic benefits of national-level PSC strategies could exceed the costs of these interventions during future pandemics with highly transmissible strains with high case fatality rates. In contrast, the PSC outcomes for regional models of the 1968-like and 2009-like pandemics were less likely to be cost effective; more targeted and shorter duration closures would be recommended for these pandemics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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5. Effect of planned school breaks on student absenteeism due to influenza‐like illness in school aged children—Oregon School District, Wisconsin September 2014–June 2019.
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He, Cecilia, Norton, Derek, Temte, Jonathan L., Barlow, Shari, Goss, Maureen, Temte, Emily, Bell, Cristalyne, Chen, Guanhua, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL districts , *SCHOOL children , *SCHOOL absenteeism , *SCHOOL vacations , *SEASONAL influenza , *COVID-19 - Abstract
Background: School‐aged children and school reopening dates have important roles in community influenza transmission. Although many studies evaluated the impact of reactive closures during seasonal and pandemic influenza outbreaks on medically attended influenza in surrounding communities, few assess the impact of planned breaks (i.e., school holidays) that coincide with influenza seasons, while accounting for differences in seasonal peak timing. Here, we analyze the effects of winter and spring breaks on influenza risk in school‐aged children, measured by student absenteeism due to influenza‐like illness (a‐ILI). Methods: We compared a‐ILI counts in the 2‐week periods before and after each winter and spring break over five consecutive years in a single school district. We introduced a "pseudo‐break" of 9 days' duration between winter and spring break each year when school was still in session to serve as a control. The same analysis was applied to each pseudo‐break to support any findings of true impact. Results: We found strong associations between winter and spring breaks and a reduction in influenza risk, with a nearly 50% reduction in a‐ILI counts post‐break compared with the period before break, and the greatest impact when break coincided with increased local influenza activity while accounting for possible temporal and community risk confounders. Conclusions: These findings suggest that brief breaks of in‐person schooling, such as planned breaks lasting 9–16 calendar days, can effectively reduce influenza in schools and community spread. Additional analyses investigating the impact of well‐timed shorter breaks on a‐ILI may determine an optimal duration for brief school closures to effectively suppress community transmission of influenza. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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6. COVID-19-Related School Closures, United States, July 27, 2020-June 30, 2022.
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Zviedrite, Nicole, Jahan, Ferdous, Moreland, Sarah, Ahmed, Faruque, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *DIAGNOSTIC use of polymerase chain reaction , *ELECTRONIC information resource searching , *INFLUENZA , *STATISTICAL correlation , *SCHOOL absenteeism - Abstract
As part of a multiyear project that monitored illness-related school closures, we conducted systematic daily online searches during July 27, 2020-June 30, 2022, to identify public announcements of COVID-19-related school closures (COVID-SCs) in the United States lasting >1 day. We explored the temporospatial patterns of COVID-SCs and analyzed associations between COVID-SCs and national COVID-19 surveillance data. COVID-SCs reflected national surveillance data: correlation was highest between COVID-SCs and both new PCR test positivity (correlation coefficient [r] = 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.84) and new cases (r = 0.72, 95% CI 0.54-0.83) during 2020-21 and with hospitalization rates among all ages (r = 0.81, 95% CI 0.67-0.89) during 2021-22. The numbers of reactive COVID-SCs during 2020-21 and 2021-22 greatly exceeded previously observed numbers of illness-related reactive school closures in the United States, notably being nearly 5-fold greater than reactive closures observed during the 2009 influenza (H1N1) pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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7. Work Attendance with Acute Respiratory Illness Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic, United States, 2018–2022.
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Ahmed, Faruque, Nowalk, Mary Patricia, Zimmerman, Richard K., Bear, Todd, Grijalva, Carlos G., Talbot, H. Keipp, Florea, Ana, Tartof, Sara Y., Gaglani, Manjusha, Smith, Michael, McLean, Huong Q., King, Jennifer P., Martin, Emily T., Monto, Arnold S., Phillips, C. Hallie, Wernli, Karen J., Flannery, Brendan, Chung, Jessie R., and Uzicanin, Amra
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Both SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus can be transmitted by asymptomatic, presymptomatic, or symptomatic infected persons. We assessed effects on work attendance while ill before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States by analyzing data collected prospectively from persons with acute respiratory illnesses enrolled in a multistate study during 2018–2022. Persons with previous hybrid work experience were significantly less likely to work onsite on the day before through the first 3 days of illness than those without that experience, an effect more pronounced during the COVID-19 pandemic than during prepandemic influenza seasons. Persons with influenza or COVID-19 were significantly less likely to work onsite than persons with other acute respiratory illnesses. Among persons with positive COVID-19 test results available by the second or third day of illness, few worked onsite. Hybrid and remote work policies might reduce workplace exposures and help reduce spread of respiratory viruses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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8. Influenza-Related Communication and Community Mitigation Strategies: Results From the 2015 Pandemic Influenza Readiness Assessment.
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Naik, Rupesh I., Vagi, Sara J., Uzicanin, Amra, and Dopson, Stephanie A.
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PREVENTION of communicable diseases , *PREVENTION of epidemics , *H1N1 influenza , *COMMUNICATION , *COMMUNITY health services , *EMERGENCY management , *HEALTH promotion , *INTERNET , *ISOLATION (Hospital care) , *LABOR supply , *PUBLIC health , *QUESTIONNAIRES , *HUMAN services programs , *SEVERITY of illness index , *PREVENTION - Abstract
Emergence of a novel infectious disease, such as pandemic influenza, is the one global crisis most likely to affect the greatest number of people worldwide. Because of the potentially severe and contagious nature of influenza, a rapid multifaceted pandemic response, which includes nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and effective strategies for communication with the public are essential for a timely response and mitigating the spread of disease. A web-based questionnaire was administered via email in July 2015 to 62 Public Health Emergency Preparedness (PHEP) directors across jurisdictions that receive funding through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention PHEP cooperative agreement. This report focuses on two modules: Public Information and Communication and Community Mitigation. Consistent and targeted communication are critical for the acceptability and success of NPIs. All 62 jurisdictions have developed or are in the process of developing a communications plan. Community-level NPIs such as home isolation, school closures, and respiratory etiquette play a critical role in mitigating the spread of disease. Effective, ongoing communication with the public is essential to ensuring wide spread compliance of NPI's, especially among non–English-speaking populations. Planning should also include reaching vulnerable populations and identifying the correct legal authorities for closing schools and canceling mass gatherings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2019
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9. Productivity costs associated with reactive school closures related to influenza or influenza-like illness in the United States from 2011 to 2019.
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Park, Joohyun, Joo, Heesoo, Maskery, Brian A., Zviedrite, Nicole, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *SEASONAL influenza , *COMMUNITIES , *COST estimates , *CITIES & towns - Abstract
Introduction: Schools close in reaction to seasonal influenza outbreaks and, on occasion, pandemic influenza. The unintended costs of reactive school closures associated with influenza or influenza-like illness (ILI) has not been studied previously. We estimated the costs of ILI-related reactive school closures in the United States over eight academic years. Methods: We used prospectively collected data on ILI-related reactive school closures from August 1, 2011 to June 30, 2019 to estimate the costs of the closures, which included productivity costs for parents, teachers, and non-teaching school staff. Productivity cost estimates were evaluated by multiplying the number of days for each closure by the state- and year-specific average hourly or daily wage rates for parents, teachers, and school staff. We subdivided total cost and cost per student estimates by school year, state, and urbanicity of school location. Results: The estimated productivity cost of the closures was $476 million in total during the eight years, with most (90%) of the costs occurring between 2016–2017 and 2018–2019, and in Tennessee (55%) and Kentucky (21%). Among all U.S. public schools, the annual cost per student was much higher in Tennessee ($33) and Kentucky ($19) than any other state ($2.4 in the third highest state) or the national average ($1.2). The cost per student was higher in rural areas ($2.9) or towns ($2.5) than cities ($0.6) or suburbs ($0.5). Locations with higher costs tended to have both more closures and closures with longer durations. Conclusions: In recent years, we found significant heterogeneity in year-to-year costs of ILI-associated reactive school closures. These costs have been greatest in Tennessee and Kentucky and been elevated in rural or town areas relative to cities or suburbs. Our findings might provide evidence to support efforts to reduce the burden of seasonal influenza in these disproportionately impacted states or communities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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10. Changing pattern of respiratory virus detections among school‐aged children in a small community – Dane County, Wisconsin, September to December 2022.
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Temte, Jonathan L., Goss, Maureen, Bell, Cristalyne, Barlow, Shari, Temte, Emily, Bateman, Allen, and Uzicanin, Amra
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COMMUNITIES , *SCHOOL children , *ACUTE diseases , *SCHOOL closings , *DANES , *SARS-CoV-2 - Abstract
Widespread school closures and other non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), used to limit the spread of SARS‐CoV‐2, significantly disrupted transmission patterns of seasonal respiratory viruses. As NPIs were relaxed, populations were vulnerable to resurgence. This study within a small community assessed acute respiratory illness among kindergarten through grade 12 students as they returned to public schools from September through December 2022 without masking and distancing requirements. The 277 specimens collected demonstrated a shift from rhinovirus to influenza. With continued circulation of SARS‐CoV‐2 and return of seasonal respiratory viruses, understanding evolving transmission patterns will play an important role in reducing disease burden. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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11. Household transmission dynamics of seasonal human coronaviruses.
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Quandelacy, Talia M, Hitchings, Matt D T, Lessler, Justin, Read, Jonathan M, Vukotich, Charles, Azman, Andrew S, Salje, Henrik, Zimmer, Shanta, Gao, Hongjiang, Zheteyeva, Yenlik, Uzicanin, Amra, and Cummings, Derek A T
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CORONAVIRUS diseases , *INFECTIOUS disease transmission , *HOUSEHOLDS , *CORONAVIRUSES , *SEASONS , *VIRAL transmission - Abstract
Background: Household transmission studies inform how viruses spread among close contacts, but few characterize household transmission of endemic coronaviruses.Methods: We used data collected from 223 households with school-age children participating in weekly disease surveillance over two respiratory virus seasons (December 2015 to May 2017), to describe clinical characteristics of endemic human coronaviruses (HCoV-229E, HCoV-HKU1, HCoV-NL63, HCoV-OC43) infections, and community and household transmission probabilities using a chain-binomial model correcting for missing data from untested households.Results: Among 947 participants in 223 households, we observed 121 infections during the study, most commonly subtype HCoV-OC43. Higher proportions of infected children (<19y) displayed ILI symptoms than infected adults (relative risk 3.0, 95% credible interval (CrI) 1.5, 6.9). The estimated weekly household transmission probability was 9% (95% CrI 6, 13) and weekly community acquisition probability was 7% (95% CrI 5, 10). We found no evidence for differences in community or household transmission probabilities by age or symptom status. Simulations suggest that our study was underpowered to detect such differences.Conclusion: Our study highlights the need for large household studies to inform household transmission, the challenges in estimating household transmission probabilities from asymptomatic individuals, and implications for controlling endemic CoVs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
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12. Relationship between Telework Experience and Presenteeism during COVID-19 Pandemic, United States, March-November 2020.
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Shafer, Livvy, Ahmed, Faruque, Kim, Sara, Wernli, Karen J., Jackson, Michael L., Nowalk, Mary Patricia, Bear, Todd, Zimmerman, Richard K., Martin, Emily T., Monto, Arnold S., Gaglani, Manjusha, Reis, Michael, Chung, Jessie R., Flannery, Brendan, and Uzicanin, Amra
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COVID-19 pandemic , *TELECOMMUTING , *TASTE disorders , *PRESENTEEISM (Labor) , *COUGH , *ACUTE diseases , *ODDS ratio - Abstract
Persons with COVID-19-like illnesses are advised to stay home to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2. We assessed relationships between telework experience and COVID-19 illness with work attendance when ill. Adults experiencing fever, cough, or loss of taste or smell who sought healthcare or COVID-19 testing in the United States during March-November 2020 were enrolled. Adults with telework experience before illness were more likely to work at all (onsite or remotely) during illness (87.8%) than those with no telework experience (49.9%) (adjusted odds ratio 5.48, 95% CI 3.40-8.83). COVID-19 case-patients were less likely to work onsite (22.1%) than were persons with other acute respiratory illnesses (37.3%) (adjusted odds ratio 0.36, 95% CI 0.24-0.53). Among COVID-19 case-patients with telework experience, only 6.5% worked onsite during illness. Telework experience before illness gave mildly ill workers the option to work and improved compliance with public health recommendations to stay home during illness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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13. COVID-19 prevention at institutions of higher education, United States, 2020–2021: implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions.
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Moreland, Sarah, Zviedrite, Nicole, Ahmed, Faruque, and Uzicanin, Amra
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UNIVERSITIES & colleges , *COVID-19 , *BLENDED learning , *COVID-19 testing , *ONLINE education - Abstract
Background: In early 2020, following the start of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, institutions of higher education (IHEs) across the United States rapidly pivoted to online learning to reduce the risk of on-campus virus transmission. We explored IHEs' use of this and other nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the subsequent pandemic-affected academic year 2020–2021. Methods: From December 2020 to June 2021, we collected publicly available data from official webpages of 847 IHEs, including all public (n = 547) and a stratified random sample of private four-year institutions (n = 300). Abstracted data included NPIs deployed during the academic year such as changes to the calendar, learning environment, housing, common areas, and dining; COVID-19 testing; and facemask protocols. We performed weighted analysis to assess congruence with the October 29, 2020, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidance for IHEs. For IHEs offering ≥50% of courses in person, we used weighted multivariable linear regression to explore the association between IHE characteristics and the summated number of implemented NPIs. Results: Overall, 20% of IHEs implemented all CDC-recommended NPIs. The most frequently utilized NPI was learning environment changes (91%), practiced as one or more of the following modalities: distance or hybrid learning opportunities (98%), 6-ft spacing (60%), and reduced class sizes (51%). Additionally, 88% of IHEs specified facemask protocols, 78% physically changed common areas, and 67% offered COVID-19 testing. Among the 33% of IHEs offering ≥50% of courses in person, having < 1000 students was associated with having implemented fewer NPIs than IHEs with ≥1000 students. Conclusions: Only 1 in 5 IHEs implemented all CDC recommendations, while a majority implemented a subset, most commonly changes to the classroom, facemask protocols, and COVID-19 testing. IHE enrollment size and location were associated with degree of NPI implementation. Additional research is needed to assess adherence to NPI implementation in IHE settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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14. Factors influencing sensitivity of a rapid influenza diagnostic test in a community‐based population of kindergarten through 12th‐grade students: Wisconsin 2015–2020.
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Bell, Cristalyne, Birstler, Jennifer, Goss, Maureen D., Temte, Emily, Barlow, Shari, Chen, Guanhua, Uzicanin, Amra, and Temte, Jonathan
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RAPID diagnostic tests , *REVERSE transcriptase polymerase chain reaction , *KINDERGARTEN children , *RHINORRHEA , *KINDERGARTEN , *KINDERGARTEN facilities - Abstract
Rapid influenza diagnostic tests (RIDTs) have variable sensitivity. In a community‐based population of kindergarten through 12th‐grade (K‐12) students, we assessed factors that may influence RIDT performance using 2368 paired results from Sofia® influenza A + B fluorescent immunoassay and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR). RIDT sensitivity and specificity were 76.1% (95% CI: 72.8–79.1) and 97.2% (96.2–97.9), respectively. Factors associated with sensitivity included runny nose (OR = 3.0, p < 0.001), nasal congestion (1.59, p = 0.045), days from symptom onset (per day; 0.75; p < 0.001), myalgia (0.61; p = 0.014), age (per 5 years; 0.55; p = 0.001), and detection of another virus (0.50; p = 0.043). Understanding these factors can aid in interpreting negative results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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15. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Codetection With Influenza A and Other Respiratory Viruses Among School-Aged Children and Their Household Members—12 March 2020 to 22 February 2022, Dane County, Wisconsin.
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Temte, Jonathan L, Barlow, Shari, Temte, Emily, Goss, Maureen, Bateman, Allen, Florek, Kelsey, and Uzicanin, Amra
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INFLUENZA diagnosis , *VIRAL disease diagnosis , *INFLUENZA epidemiology , *REVERSE transcriptase polymerase chain reaction , *COVID-19 , *MIDDLE school students , *RESPIRATORY infections , *FAMILIES , *VIRUS diseases , *MIXED infections , *DESCRIPTIVE statistics , *SCHOOL children , *HIGH school students , *CHILDREN , *ADOLESCENCE - Abstract
Background Concurrent detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and another respiratory virus in individuals can document contemporaneous circulation. We used an ongoing, community-based study of school-aged children and their households to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 codetections with other respiratory viruses in a non–medically attended population over a 2-year period. Methods Household enrollment was predicated on an acute respiratory illness in a child residing in that household who was also a kindergarten through 12th-grade student in the participating school district. Demographic, symptom, and household composition data and self-collected nasal specimens were obtained on the recruitment day, and 7 and 14 days later, from the index child and all other household members. All specimens were tested for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A/B by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction. Day 0 specimens from the index children were simultaneously tested for 16 pathogens using a commercial respiratory pathogen panel (RPP). To assess viral codetections involving SARS-CoV-2, all household specimens were tested via RPP if the index child's day 0 specimen tested positive to any of the 16 pathogen targets in RPP and any household member tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Results Of 2109 participants (497 index children in 497 households with 1612 additional household members), 2 (0.1%) were positive for both SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A; an additional 11 (0.5%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 and another RPP-covered respiratory virus. Codetections predominantly affected school-aged children (12 of 13 total) and were noted in 11 of 497 households. Conclusions SARS-CoV-2 codetections with other respiratory viruses were uncommon and predominated in school-aged children. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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16. Causes, characteristics, and patterns of prolonged unplanned school closures prior to the COVID-19 pandemic—United States, 2011–2019.
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Jahan, Ferdous A., Zviedrite, Nicole, Gao, Hongjiang, Ahmed, Faruque, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *COVID-19 pandemic , *SCHOOL schedules , *TROPICAL storms , *HOSPITAL closures , *WEATHER , *HUMAN services - Abstract
Introduction: Outside of pandemics, there is little information about occurrence of prolonged unplanned K-12 school closures (PUSC). We describe here the reasons, characteristics, and patterns of PUSC in the United States during 8 consecutive inter-pandemic academic years, 2011–2019. Methods: From August 1, 2011 through June 30, 2019, daily systematic online searches were conducted to collect data on publicly announced unplanned school closures lasting ≥1 school days in the United States. Closures were categorized as prolonged when schools were closed for ≥5 unplanned days (approximating one full workweek), excluding weekends and scheduled days off per school calendars. Results: During the eight academic years, a total of 22,112 PUSCs were identified, affecting over 800,000 teachers and 13 million students that resulted in 91.5 million student-days lost. A median of 62.9% of students in PUSC-affected schools were eligible for subsidized school meals. Most affected schools were in cities (35%) and suburban areas (33%). Natural disasters (47%), adverse weather conditions (35%), and budget/teacher strikes (15%) were the most frequently cited reasons for PUSC; illness accounted for 1%, and building/facility issues, environmental issues and violence together accounted for the remaining 2%. The highest number of PUSCs occurred in Health and Human Services Regions 2, 3, 4, and 6 encompassing areas that are frequently in the path of hurricanes and tropical storms. The majority of PUSCs in these regions were attributed to a handful of hurricanes during the fall season, including hurricanes Sandy, Irma, Harvey, Florence, and Matthew. Conclusions: PUSCs occur annually in the United States due to a variety of causes and are associated with a substantive loss of student-days for in-school learning. Both these prior experiences with PUSCs and those during the current COVID-19 pandemic illustrate a need for creating sustainable solutions for high-quality distance learning and innovative supplemental feeding programs nationwide, especially in disaster-prone areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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17. Cause-specific student absenteeism monitoring in K-12 schools for detection of increased influenza activity in the surrounding community—Dane County, Wisconsin, 2014–2020.
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Temte, Jonathan L., Barlow, Shari, Goss, Maureen, Temte, Emily, Schemmel, Amber, Bell, Cristalyne, Reisdorf, Erik, Shult, Peter, Wedig, Mary, Haupt, Thomas, Conway, James H., Gangnon, Ronald, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL absenteeism , *SEASONAL influenza , *LEAD time (Supply chain management) , *SCHOOL districts , *INFECTIOUS disease transmission , *INFLUENZA - Abstract
Background: Schools are primary venues of influenza amplification with secondary spread to communities. We assessed K-12 student absenteeism monitoring as a means for early detection of influenza activity in the community. Materials and methods: Between September 2014 and March 2020, we conducted a prospective observational study of all-cause (a-TOT), illness-associated (a-I), and influenza-like illness–associated (a-ILI) absenteeism within the Oregon School District (OSD), Dane County, Wisconsin. Absenteeism was reported through the electronic student information system. Students were visited at home where pharyngeal specimens were collected for influenza RT-PCR testing. Surveillance of medically-attended laboratory-confirmed influenza (MAI) occurred in five primary care clinics in and adjoining the OSD. Poisson general additive log linear regression models of daily counts of absenteeism and MAI were compared using correlation analysis. Findings: Influenza was detected in 723 of 2,378 visited students, and in 1,327 of 4,903 MAI patients. Over six influenza seasons, a-ILI was significantly correlated with MAI in the community (r = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.53–0.63) with a one-day lead time and a-I was significantly correlated with MAI in the community (r = 0.49; 0.44–0.54) with a 10-day lead time, while a-TOT performed poorly (r = 0.27; 0.21–0.33), following MAI by six days. Discussion: Surveillance using cause-specific absenteeism was feasible and performed well over a study period marked by diverse presentations of seasonal influenza. Monitoring a-I and a-ILI can provide early warning of seasonal influenza in time for community mitigation efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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18. Predicting virologically confirmed influenza using school absences in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, USA during the 2007‐2015 influenza seasons.
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Quandelacy, Talia M., Zimmer, Shanta, Lessler, Justin, Vukotich, Charles, Bieltz, Rachel, Grantz, Kyra H., Galloway, David, Read, Jonathan M., Zheteyeva, Yenlik, Gao, Hongjiang, Uzicanin, Amra, and Cummings, Derek A. T.
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INFLUENZA , *SCHOOL districts , *HEALTH facilities , *SEASONS , *HUMIDITY , *SCHOOL children - Abstract
Background: Children are important in community‐level influenza transmission. School‐based monitoring may inform influenza surveillance. Methods: We used reported weekly confirmed influenza in Allegheny County during the 2007 and 2010‐2015 influenza seasons using Pennsylvania's Allegheny County Health Department all‐age influenza cases from health facilities, and all‐cause and influenza‐like illness (ILI)‐specific absences from nine county school districts. Negative binomial regression predicted influenza cases using all‐cause and illness‐specific absence rates, calendar week, average weekly temperature, and relative humidity, using four cross‐validations. Results: School districts reported 2 184 220 all‐cause absences (2010‐2015). Three one‐season studies reported 19 577 all‐cause and 3012 ILI‐related absences (2007, 2012, 2015). Over seven seasons, 11 946 confirmed influenza cases were reported. Absences improved seasonal model fits and predictions. Multivariate models using elementary school absences outperformed middle and high school models (relative mean absolute error (relMAE) = 0.94, 0.98, 0.99). K‐5 grade‐specific absence models had lowest mean absolute errors (MAE) in cross‐validations. ILI‐specific absences performed marginally better than all‐cause absences in two years, adjusting for other covariates, but markedly worse one year. Conclusions: Our findings suggest seasonal models including K‐5th grade absences predict all‐age‐confirmed influenza and may serve as a useful surveillance tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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19. COVID-19-associated school closures and related efforts to sustain education and subsidized meal programs, United States, February 18–June 30, 2020.
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Zviedrite, Nicole, Hodis, Jeffrey D., Jahan, Ferdous, Gao, Hongjiang, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *COVID-19 , *COVID-19 pandemic , *GOVERNMENT websites , *SCHOOL districts - Abstract
Pre-emptive school closures are frontline community mitigation measures recommended by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for implementation during severe pandemics. This study describes the spatiotemporal patterns of publicly announced school closures implemented in response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and assesses how public K-12 districts adjusted their methods of education delivery and provision of subsidized meals. During February 18–June 30, 2020, we used daily systematic media searches to identify publicly announced COVID-19–related school closures lasting ≥1 day in the United States (US). We also collected statewide school closure policies from state government websites. Data on distance learning and subsidized meal programs were collected from a stratified sample of 600 school districts. The first COVID-19–associated school closure occurred on February 27, 2020 in Washington state. By March 30, 2020, all but one US public school districts were closed, representing the first-ever nearly synchronous nationwide closure of public K-12 schools in the US. Approximately 100,000 public schools were closed for ≥8 weeks because of COVID-19, affecting >50 million K-12 students. Of 600 districts sampled, the vast majority offered distance learning (91.0%) and continued provision of subsidized meal programs (78.8%) during the closures. Despite the sudden and prolonged nature of COVID-19–associated school closures, schools demonstrated flexibility by implementing distance learning and alternate methods to continue subsidized meal programs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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20. Influenza and other respiratory viral infections associated with absence from school among schoolchildren in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA: a cohort study.
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Read, Jonathan M., Zimmer, Shanta, Vukotich, Charles, Schweizer, Mary Lou, Galloway, David, Lingle, Carrie, Yearwood, Gaby, Calderone, Patti, Noble, Eva, Quadelacy, Talia, Grantz, Kyra, Rinaldo, Charles, Gao, Hongjiang, Rainey, Jeanette, Uzicanin, Amra, Cummings, Derek A. T., and Vukotich, Charles Jr
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SCHOOL attendance , *VIRUS diseases , *RESPIRATORY infections , *SCHOOL children , *INFLUENZA , *SCHOOL absenteeism - Abstract
Background: Information on the etiology and age-specific burden of respiratory viral infections among school-aged children remains limited. Though school aged children are often recognized as driving the transmission of influenza as well as other respiratory viruses, little detailed information is available on the distribution of respiratory infections among children of different ages within this group. Factors other than age including gender and time spent in school may also be important in determining risk of infection but have been little studied in this age group.Methods: We conducted a cohort study to determine the etiology of influenza like illness (ILI) among 2519 K-12 students during the 2012-13 influenza season. We obtained nasal swabs from students with ILI-related absences. Generalized linear mixed-effect regressions determined associations of outcomes, including ILI and laboratory-confirmed respiratory virus infection, with school grade and other covariates.Results: Overall, 459 swabs were obtained from 552 ILI-related absences. Respiratory viruses were found in 292 (63.6%) samples. Influenza was found in 189 (41.2%) samples. With influenza B found in 134 (70.9%). Rates of influenza B were significantly higher in grades 1 (10.1, 95% CI 6.8-14.4%), 2 (9.7, 6.6-13.6%), 3 (9.3, 6.3-13.2%), and 4 (9.9, 6.8-13.8%) than in kindergarteners (3.2, 1.5-6.0%). After accounting for grade, sex and self-reported vaccination status, influenza B infection risk was lower among kindergarteners in half-day programs compared to kindergarteners in full-day programs (OR = 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.45).Conclusions: ILI and influenza infection is concentrated in younger schoolchildren. Reduced infection by respiratory viruses is associated with a truncated school day for kindergarteners but this finding requires further investigation in other grades and populations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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21. SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant Infection in 10 Persons Within 90 Days of Previous SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant Infection — Four States, October 2021–January 2022.
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Roskosky, Mellisa, Borah, Brian F., DeJonge, Peter M., Donovan, Catherine V., Blevins, Lynn Zanardi, Lafferty, Allison G., Pringle, Julia C., Kelso, Patsy, Temte, Jonathan L., Temte, Emily, Barlow, Shari, Goss, Maureen, Uzicanin, Amra, Bateman, Allen, Florek, Kelsey, Kawakami, Vance, Lewis, James, Loughran, Julie, Pogosjans, Sargis, and Kay, Meagan
- Abstract
The article presents a report describing cases of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant infections in four U.S. states from October 2021 to January 2022. The infections were confirmed using whole genome sequencing (WGS) and repeat positive nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT). Also cited is the increase in suspected early reinfections as noted by the Vermont Department of Health.
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- 2022
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22. Age-specific social mixing of school-aged children in a US setting using proximity detecting sensors and contact surveys.
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Grantz, Kyra H., Cummings, Derek A. T., Zimmer, Shanta, Vukotich Jr., Charles, Galloway, David, Schweizer, Mary Lou, Guclu, Hasan, Cousins, Jennifer, Lingle, Carrie, Yearwood, Gabby M. H., Li, Kan, Calderone, Patti, Noble, Eva, Gao, Hongjiang, Rainey, Jeanette, Uzicanin, Amra, and Read, Jonathan M.
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SOCIAL interaction , *AMERICAN children , *SCHOOL children , *VIRUS diseases , *SURVEYS - Abstract
Comparisons of the utility and accuracy of methods for measuring social interactions relevant to disease transmission are rare. To increase the evidence base supporting specific methods to measure social interaction, we compared data from self-reported contact surveys and wearable proximity sensors from a cohort of schoolchildren in the Pittsburgh metropolitan area. Although the number and type of contacts recorded by each participant differed between the two methods, we found good correspondence between the two methods in aggregate measures of age-specific interactions. Fewer, but longer, contacts were reported in surveys, relative to the generally short proximal interactions captured by wearable sensors. When adjusted for expectations of proportionate mixing, though, the two methods produced highly similar, assortative age-mixing matrices. These aggregate mixing matrices, when used in simulation, resulted in similar estimates of risk of infection by age. While proximity sensors and survey methods may not be interchangeable for capturing individual contacts, they can generate highly correlated data on age-specific mixing patterns relevant to the dynamics of respiratory virus transmission. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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23. Comparison of participant-collected nasal and staff-collected oropharyngeal specimens for human ribonuclease P detection with RT-PCR during a community-based study.
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Arnold, Mitchell T., Temte, Jonathan L., Barlow, Shari K., Bell, Cristalyne J., Goss, Maureen D., Temte, Emily G., Checovich, Mary M., Reisdorf, Erik, Scott, Samantha, Guenther, Kyley, Wedig, Mary, Shult, Peter, and Uzicanin, Amra
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ACUTE diseases , *RESPIRATORY diseases , *REVERSE transcriptase - Abstract
We analyzed 4,352 participant- and staff-collected respiratory specimens from 2,796 subjects in the Oregon Child Absenteeism due to Respiratory Disease Study. Trained staff collected oropharyngeal specimens from school-aged children with acute respiratory illness while household participants of all ages collected their own midturbinate nasal specimens in year one and anterior nasal specimens in year two. Human ribonuclease P levels were measured using RT-PCR for all staff- and participant-collected specimens to determine adequacy, defined as Cycle threshold less than 38. Overall, staff- and participant-collected specimens were 99.9% and 96.4% adequate, respectively. Participant-collected midturbinate specimens were 95.2% adequate in year one, increasing to 97.2% in year two with anterior nasal collection. The mean human ribonuclease P Cycle threshold for participant-collected specimens was 31.18 in year one and 28.48 in year two. The results from this study suggest that community-based participant collection of respiratory specimens is comparable to staff-collected oropharyngeal specimens, is feasible, and may be optimal with anterior nasal collection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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24. COVID-19-Related School Closures and Learning Modality Changes - United States, August 1-September 17, 2021.
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Parks, Sharyn E., Zviedrite, Nicole, Budzyn, Samantha E., Panaggio, Mark J., Raible, Emma, Papazian, Marc, Magid, Jake, Ahmed, Faruque, Uzicanin, Amra, and Barrios, Lisa C.
- Abstract
Beginning in January 2021, the U.S. government prioritized ensuring continuity of learning for all students during the COVID-19 pandemic (1). To estimate the extent of COVID-19-associated school disruptions, CDC and the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) (2) statistical approach to estimate the most likely actual learning modality based on patterns observed in past data, accounting for conflicting or missing information and systematic Internet searches (3) for COVID-19-related school closures. This information was used to assess how many U.S. schools were open, and in which learning modalities, during August 1-September 17, 2021. Learning modalities included 1) full in-person learning, 2) a hybrid of in-person and remote learning, and 3) full remote learning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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25. Increases in Health-Related Workplace Absenteeism Among Workers in Essential Critical Infrastructure Occupations During the COVID-19 Pandemic - United States, March-April 2020.
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Groenewold, Matthew R., Burrer, Sherry L., Ahmed, Faruque, Uzicanin, Amra, Free, Hannah, and Luckhaupt, Sara E.
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COVID-19 pandemic , *MEDICAL personnel , *CHILD care workers , *EMPLOYEES , *COVID-19 , *PEDIATRIC emergency services , *PEDIATRIC emergencies - Abstract
During a pandemic, syndromic methods for monitoring illness outside of health care settings, such as tracking absenteeism trends in schools and workplaces, can be useful adjuncts to conventional disease reporting (1,2). Each month, CDC's National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) monitors the prevalence of health-related workplace absenteeism among currently employed full-time workers in the United States, overall and by demographic and occupational subgroups, using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS).* This report describes trends in absenteeism during October 2019-April 2020, including March and April 2020, the period of rapidly accelerating transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Overall, the prevalence of health-related workplace absenteeism in March and April 2020 were similar to their 5-year baselines. However, compared with occupation-specific baselines, absenteeism among workers in several occupational groups that define or contain essential critical infrastructure workforce† categories was significantly higher than expected in April. Significant increases in absenteeism were observed in personal care and service§ (includes child care workers and personal care aides); healthcare support¶; and production** (includes meat, poultry, and fish processing workers). Although health-related workplace absenteeism remained relatively unchanged or decreased in other groups, the increase in absenteeism among workers in occupational groups less able to avoid exposure to SARS-CoV-2 (3) highlights the potential impact of COVID-19 on the essential critical infrastructure workforce because of the risks and concerns of occupational transmission of SARS-CoV-2. More widespread and complete collection of occupational data in COVID-19 surveillance is required to fully understand workers' occupational risks and inform intervention strategies. Employers should follow available recommendations to protect workers' health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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26. Paid Leave and Access to Telework as Work Attendance Determinants during Acute Respiratory Illness, United States, 2017-2018.
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Ahmed, Faruque, Kim, Sara, Nowalk, Mary Patricia, King, Jennifer P., VanWormer, Jeffrey J., Gaglani, Manjusha, Zimmerman, Richard K., Bear, Todd, Jackson, Michael L., Jackson, Lisa A., Martin, Emily, Cheng, Caroline, Flannery, Brendan, Chung, Jessie R., and Uzicanin, Amra
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ACUTE diseases , *TELECOMMUTING , *INFLUENZA , *WORKING hours , *ATTENDANCE - Abstract
We assessed determinants of work attendance during the first 3 days after onset of acute respiratory illness (ARI) among workers 19-64 years of age who had medically attended ARI or influenza during the 2017-2018 influenza season. The total number of days worked included days worked at the usual workplace and days teleworked. Access to paid leave was associated with fewer days worked overall and at the usual workplace during illness. Participants who indicated that employees were discouraged from coming to work with influenza-like symptoms were less likely to attend their usual workplace. Compared with workers without a telework option, those with telework access worked more days during illness overall, but there was no difference in days worked at the usual workplace. Both paid leave benefits and business practices that actively encourage employees to stay home while sick are necessary to reduce the transmission of ARI and influenza in workplaces. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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27. Health-Related Workplace Absenteeism Among Full-Time Workers - United States, 2017-18 Influenza Season.
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Groenewold, Matthew R., Burrer, Sherry L., Ahmed, Faruque, Uzicanin, Amra, and Luckhaupt, Sara E.
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INFLUENZA , *U.S. states , *SICK leave , *INDUSTRIAL hygiene - Abstract
During an influenza pandemic and during seasonal epidemics, more persons have symptomatic illness without seeking medical care than seek treatment at doctor's offices, clinics, and hospitals (1). Consequently, surveillance based on mortality, health care encounters, and laboratory data does not reflect the full extent of influenza morbidity. CDC uses a mathematical model to estimate the total number of influenza illnesses in the United States (1). In addition, syndromic methods for monitoring illness outside health care settings, such as tracking absenteeism trends in schools and workplaces, are important adjuncts to conventional disease reporting (2). Every month, CDC's National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) monitors the prevalence of health-related workplace absenteeism among full-time workers in the United States using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) (3). This report describes the results of workplace absenteeism surveillance analyses conducted during the high-severity 2017-18 influenza season (October 2017-September 2018) (4). Absenteeism increased sharply in November, peaked in January and, at its peak, was significantly higher than the average during the previous five seasons. Persons especially affected included male workers, workers aged 45-64 years, workers living in U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Region 6* and Region 9,† and those working in management, business, and financial; installation, maintenance, and repair; and production and related occupations. Public health authorities and employers might consider results from relevant absenteeism surveillance analyses when developing prevention messages and in pandemic preparedness planning. The most effective ways to prevent influenza transmission in the workplace include vaccination and nonpharmaceutical interventions, such as staying home when sick, covering coughs and sneezes, washing hands frequently, and routinely cleaning frequently touched surfaces (5). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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28. Human coronaviruses and other respiratory infections in young adults on a university campus: Prevalence, symptoms, and shedding.
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Davis, Brian M., Foxman, Betsy, Monto, Arnold S., Baric, Ralph S., Martin, Emily T., Uzicanin, Amra, Rainey, Jeanette J., and Aiello, Allison E.
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CORONAVIRUS diseases , *RESPIRATORY diseases , *SOCIAL network analysis , *RESPIRATORY infections , *RHINOVIRUSES - Abstract
Background: The prevalence, symptom course, and shedding in persons infected with the 4 most common human coronaviruses (HCoV)‐229E, HKU1, NL63, and OC43 are poorly described. Objectives: We estimate their prevalence and associated symptoms among college students identified via a social network study design. Patients/Methods: We collected 1‐3 samples (n = 250 specimens) from 176 participants between October 2012 and January 17, 2013: participants with acute respiratory infection (ARI; cough and body aches or chills or fever/feverishness) and their social contacts. Virus was detected using RT‐PCR. Results: 30.4% (76/250) of specimens tested positive for any virus tested, and 4.8% (12/250) were positive for 2 or more viruses. Human coronaviruses (HCoVs [22.0%; 55/250]), rhinovirus (7.6%; 19/250), and influenza A (6.4%; 16/250) were most prevalent. Symptoms changed significantly over time among ARI participants with HCoV: the prevalence of cough and chills decreased over 6 days (P = .04, and P = .01, respectively), while runny nose increased over the same period (P = .02). HCoV‐NL63 was the most frequent virus detected 6 days following symptom onset (8.9%), followed by rhinovirus (6.7%). Conclusions: During a 3‐month period covering a single season, HCoVs were common, even among social contacts without respiratory symptoms; specific symptoms may change over the course of HCoV‐associated illness and were similar to symptoms from influenza and rhinovirus. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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29. Effectiveness of workplace social distancing measures in reducing influenza transmission: a systematic review.
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Ahmed, Faruque, Zviedrite, Nicole, and Uzicanin, Amra
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INFLUENZA prevention , *VIRUS disease transmission , *INDUSTRIAL hygiene , *WORK environment , *EMPLOYEE health promotion , *SOCIAL distancing - Abstract
Background: Social distancing is one of the community mitigation measures that may be recommended during influenza pandemics. Social distancing can reduce virus transmission by increasing physical distance or reducing frequency of congregation in socially dense community settings, such as schools or workplaces. We conducted a systematic review to assess the evidence that social distancing in non-healthcare workplaces reduces or slows influenza transmission.Methods: Electronic searches were conducted using MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, CINAHL, NIOSHTIC-2, and EconLit to identify studies published in English from January 1, 2000, through May 3, 2017. Data extraction was done by two reviewers independently. A narrative synthesis was performed.Results: Fifteen studies, representing 12 modeling and three epidemiological, met the eligibility criteria. The epidemiological studies showed that social distancing was associated with a reduction in influenza-like illness and seroconversion to 2009 influenza A (H1N1). However, the overall risk of bias in the epidemiological studies was serious. The modeling studies estimated that workplace social distancing measures alone produced a median reduction of 23% in the cumulative influenza attack rate in the general population. It also delayed and reduced the peak influenza attack rate. The reduction in the cumulative attack rate was more pronounced when workplace social distancing was combined with other nonpharmaceutical or pharmaceutical interventions. However, the effectiveness was estimated to decline with higher basic reproduction number values, delayed triggering of workplace social distancing, or lower compliance.Conclusions: Modeling studies support social distancing in non-healthcare workplaces, but there is a paucity of well-designed epidemiological studies.Systematic Review Registration Number: PROSPERO registration # CRD42017065310. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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30. Unintended costs and consequences of school closures implemented in preparation for Hurricane Isaac in Harrison County School District, Mississippi, August-September 2012.
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Zheteyeva, Yenlik, Rainey, Jeanette J., Gao, Hongjiang, Jacobson, Evin U., Adhikari, Bishwa B., Shi, Jianrong, Mpofu, Jonetta J., Bhavnani, Darlene, Dobbs, Thomas, and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL closings , *HURRICANE Isaac, 2012 , *PANDEMICS , *SCHOOL enrollment - Abstract
Introduction: School closures, while an effective measure against the spread of disease during a pandemic, may carry unintended social and economic consequences for students and families. We evaluated these costs and consequences following a 4-day school closure in Mississippi’s Harrison County School District (HCSD). Methods: In a survey of all households with students enrolled in HCSD, we collected information on difficulties related to the school closure, including interruption of employment and pay, loss of access to subsidized school meals, and arrangement of alternative childcare. We analyzed this information in the context of certain demographic characteristics of the survey respondents and households, such as race, level of education, and income. We also estimated the average number of lost work days and documented the childcare alternatives chosen by households affected by the school closure. Results: We received 2,229 (28.4%) completed surveys from an estimated 7,851 households eligible to participate. About half (1,082 [48.5%]) of the households experienced at least some difficulty during the closure, primarily in three areas: uncertainty about duration of the closure, lost income, and the effort of arranging alternate childcare. Adults working outside the home, particularly the major wage earner in the household, were more likely to suffer lost income while schools were closed, an effect mitigated by paid leave benefits. Difficulty arranging childcare was reported most frequently by respondents with lower levels of education and households with younger children. Beyond the top three concerns expressed by households in HCSD, the survey also shed light on the issue of food insecurity when subsidized school meals are not available. Reported by 17.9% of households participating in the subsidized school lunch program, difficulty providing meals during the closure was associated with higher numbers of dependent children, selection of “other” as the race of the household respondent, and lower levels of education. Conclusion: To help prevent undue financial hardship in families of school children, public health authorities and school administrators should provide recommendations for childcare alternatives and paid leave or remote work options during prolonged school closures, particularly to households in which all adults work outside of the home. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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31. Estimates of Social Contact in a Middle School Based on Self-Report and Wireless Sensor Data.
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Leecaster, Molly, Toth, Damon J. A., Pettey, Warren B. P., Rainey, Jeanette J., Gao, Hongjiang, Uzicanin, Amra, and Samore, Matthew
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SOCIAL contact , *MIDDLE schools , *WIRELESS sensor networks , *INFECTIOUS disease transmission , *SELF-evaluation , *KNOWLEDGE gap theory - Abstract
Estimates of contact among children, used for infectious disease transmission models and understanding social patterns, historically rely on self-report logs. Recently, wireless sensor technology has enabled objective measurement of proximal contact and comparison of data from the two methods. These are mostly small-scale studies, and knowledge gaps remain in understanding contact and mixing patterns and also in the advantages and disadvantages of data collection methods. We collected contact data from a middle school, with 7th and 8th grades, for one day using self-report contact logs and wireless sensors. The data were linked for students with unique initials, gender, and grade within the school. This paper presents the results of a comparison of two approaches to characterize school contact networks, wireless proximity sensors and self-report logs. Accounting for incomplete capture and lack of participation, we estimate that “sensor-detectable”, proximal contacts longer than 20 seconds during lunch and class-time occurred at 2 fold higher frequency than “self-reportable” talk/touch contacts. Overall, 55% of estimated talk-touch contacts were also sensor-detectable whereas only 15% of estimated sensor-detectable contacts were also talk-touch. Contacts detected by sensors and also in self-report logs had longer mean duration than contacts detected only by sensors (6.3 vs 2.4 minutes). During both lunch and class-time, sensor-detectable contacts demonstrated substantially less gender and grade assortativity than talk-touch contacts. Hallway contacts, which were ascertainable only by proximity sensors, were characterized by extremely high degree and short duration. We conclude that the use of wireless sensors and self-report logs provide complementary insight on in-school mixing patterns and contact frequency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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32. Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA.
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Guclu, Hasan, Read, Jonathan, JrVukotich, Charles J., Galloway, David D., Gao, Hongjiang, Rainey, Jeanette J., Uzicanin, Amra, Zimmer, Shanta M., and Cummings, Derek A. T.
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INFLUENZA transmission , *SOCIAL contact , *COMMUNICABLE diseases , *EPIDEMIOLOGY , *SCHOOL districts - Abstract
Students attending schools play an important role in the transmission of influenza. In this study, we present a social network analysis of contacts among 1,828 students in eight different schools in urban and suburban areas in and near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America, including elementary, elementary-middle, middle, and high schools. We collected social contact information of students who wore wireless sensor devices that regularly recorded other devices if they are within a distance of 3 meters. We analyzed these networks to identify patterns of proximal student interactions in different classes and grades, to describe community structure within the schools, and to assess the impact of the physical environment of schools on proximal contacts. In the elementary and middle schools, we observed a high number of intra-grade and intra-classroom contacts and a relatively low number of inter-grade contacts. However, in high schools, contact networks were well connected and mixed across grades. High modularity of lower grades suggests that assumptions of homogeneous mixing in epidemic models may be inappropriate; whereas lower modularity in high schools suggests that homogenous mixing assumptions may be more acceptable in these settings. The results suggest that interventions targeting subsets of classrooms may work better in elementary schools than high schools. Our work presents quantitative measures of age-specific, school-based contacts that can be used as the basis for constructing models of the transmission of infections in schools. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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33. Comparing Observed with Predicted Weekly Influenza-Like Illness Rates during the Winter Holiday Break, United States, 2004-2013.
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Gao, Hongjiang, Wong, Karen K., Zheteyeva, Yenlik, Shi, Jianrong, Uzicanin, Amra, and Rainey, Jeanette J.
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INFLUENZA , *HOLIDAYS , *PUBLIC health surveillance , *SEASONAL variations of diseases , *SOCIAL change , *BOX-Jenkins forecasting - Abstract
In the United States, influenza season typically begins in October or November, peaks in February, and tapers off in April. During the winter holiday break, from the end of December to the beginning of January, changes in social mixing patterns, healthcare-seeking behaviors, and surveillance reporting could affect influenza-like illness (ILI) rates. We compared predicted with observed weekly ILI to examine trends around the winter break period. We examined weekly rates of ILI by region in the United States from influenza season 2003–2004 to 2012–2013. We compared observed and predicted ILI rates from week 44 to week 8 of each influenza season using the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method. Of 1,530 region, week, and year combinations, 64 observed ILI rates were significantly higher than predicted by the model. Of these, 21 occurred during the typical winter holiday break period (weeks 51–52); 12 occurred during influenza season 2012–2013. There were 46 observed ILI rates that were significantly lower than predicted. Of these, 16 occurred after the typical holiday break during week 1, eight of which occurred during season 2012–2013. Of 90 (10 HHS regions x 9 seasons) predictions during the peak week, 78 predicted ILI rates were lower than observed. Out of 73 predictions for the post-peak week, 62 ILI rates were higher than observed. There were 53 out of 73 models that had lower peak and higher post-peak predicted ILI rates than were actually observed. While most regions had ILI rates higher than predicted during winter holiday break and lower than predicted after the break during the 2012–2013 season, overall there was not a consistent relationship between observed and predicted ILI around the winter holiday break during the other influenza seasons. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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34. Modeling the Effect of School Closures in a Pandemic Scenario: Exploring Two Different Contact Matrices.
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Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Gambhir, Manoj, Glasser, John W., Gao, Hongjiang, Washington, Michael L., Uzicanin, Amra, and Meltzer, Martin I.
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INFLUENZA vaccines , *PANDEMICS , *SCHOOL closings , *INFLUENZA treatment , *AMERICAN children , *HEALTH - Abstract
Background. School closures may delay the epidemic peak of the next influenza pandemic, but whether school closure can delay the peak until pandemic vaccine is ready to be deployed is uncertain. Methods. To study the effect of school closures on the timing of epidemic peaks, we built a deterministic susceptibleinfected- recovered model of influenza transmission. We stratified the U.S. population into 4 age groups (0-4, 5-19, 20-64, and ⩾65 years), and used contact matrices to model the average number of potentially disease transmitting, nonphysical contacts. Results. For everyweek of school closure at day 5 of introduction and a 30% clinical attack rate scenario, epidemic peak would be delayed by approximately 5 days. For a 15% clinical attack rate scenario, 1 week closure would delay the peak by 9 days. Closing schools for less than 84 days (12 weeks) would not, however, reduce the estimated total number of cases. Conclusions. Unless vaccine is available early, school closure alone may not be able to delay the peak until vaccine is ready to be deployed. Conversely, if vaccination begins quickly, school closure may be helpful in providing the time to vaccinate school-aged children before the pandemic peaks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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35. Infectious Disease Modeling Methods as Tools for Informing Response to Novel Influenza Viruses of Unknown Pandemic Potential.
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Gambhir, Manoj, Bozio, Catherine, O'Hagan, Justin J., Uzicanin, Amra, Johnson, Lucinda E., Biggerstaff, Matthew, and Swerdlow, David L.
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COMMUNICABLE diseases , *INFLUENZA viruses , *PANDEMICS , *PUBLIC health , *MEDICAL decision making - Abstract
The rising importance of infectious disease modeling makes this an appropriate time for a guide for public health practitioners tasked with preparing for, and responding to, an influenza pandemic. We list several questions that public health practitioners commonly ask about pandemic influenza and match these with analytical methods, giving details on when during a pandemic the methods can be used, how long it might take to implement them, and what data are required. Although software to perform these tasks is available, care needs to be taken to understand: (1) the type of data needed, (2) the implementation of the methods, and (3) the interpretation of results in terms of model uncertainty and sensitivity. Public health leaders can use this article to evaluate the modeling literature, determine which methods can provide appropriate evidence for decision-making, and to help them request modeling work from in-house teams or academic groups. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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36. Why Is School Closed Today? Unplanned K-12 School Closures in the United States, 2011–2013.
- Author
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Wong, Karen K., Shi, Jianrong, Gao, Hongjiang, Zheteyeva, Yenlik A., Lane, Kimberly, Copeland, Daphne, Hendricks, Jennifer, McMurray, LaFrancis, Sliger, Kellye, Rainey, Jeanette J., and Uzicanin, Amra
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SCHOOL districts , *SCHOOL closings , *PANDEMICS - Abstract
Introduction: We describe characteristics of unplanned school closures (USCs) in the United States over two consecutive academic years during a non-pandemic period to provide context for implementation of school closures during a pandemic. Methods: From August 1, 2011 through June 30, 2013, daily systematic internet searches were conducted for publicly announced USCs lasting ≥1 day. The reason for closure and the closure dates were recorded. Information on school characteristics was obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics. Results: During the two-year study period, 20,723 USCs were identified affecting 27,066,426 students. Common causes of closure included weather (79%), natural disasters (14%), and problems with school buildings or utilities (4%). Only 771 (4%) USCs lasted ≥4 school days. Illness was the cause of 212 (1%) USCs; of these, 126 (59%) were related to respiratory illnesses and showed seasonal variation with peaks in February 2012 and January 2013. Conclusions: USCs are common events resulting in missed school days for millions of students. Illness causes few USCs compared with weather and natural disasters. Few communities have experience with prolonged closures for illness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2014
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37. School practices to promote social distancing in K-12 schools: review of influenza pandemic policies and practices.
- Author
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Uscher-Pines, Lori, Schwartz, Heather L, Ahmed, Faruque, Zheteyeva, Yenlik, Meza, Erika, Baker, Garrett, and Uzicanin, Amra
- Abstract
Background: During an evolving influenza pandemic, community mitigation strategies, such as social distancing, can slow down virus transmission in schools and surrounding communities. To date, research on school practices to promote social distancing in primary and secondary schools has focused on prolonged school closure, with little attention paid to the identification and feasibility of other more sustainable interventions. To develop a list and typology of school practices that have been proposed and/or implemented in an influenza pandemic and to uncover any barriers identified, lessons learned from their use, and documented impacts.Methods: We conducted a review of the peer-reviewed and grey literature on social distancing interventions in schools other than school closure. We also collected state government guidance documents directed to local education agencies or schools to assess state policies regarding social distancing. We collected standardized information from each document using an abstraction form and generated descriptive statistics on common plan elements.Results: The document review revealed limited literature on school practices to promote social distancing, as well as limited incorporation of school practices to promote social distancing into state government guidance documents. Among the 38 states that had guidance documents that met inclusion criteria, fewer than half (42%) mentioned a single school practice to promote social distancing, and none provided any substantive detail about the policies or practices needed to enact them. The most frequently identified school practices were cancelling or postponing after-school activities, canceling classes or activities with a high rate of mixing/contact that occur within the school day, and reducing mixing during transport.Conclusion: Little information is available to schools to develop policies and procedures on social distancing. Additional research and guidance are needed to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of school practices to promote social distancing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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