577 results on '"Vuillermoz E"'
Search Results
2. Weak precipitation, warm winters and springs impact glaciers of south slopes of Mt. Everest (central Himalaya) in the last 2 decades (1994–2013)
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Salerno, F., Guyennon, N., Thakuri, S., Viviano, G., Romano, E., Vuillermoz, E., Cristofanelli, P., Stocchi, P., Agrillo, G., Ma, Y., and Tartari, G.
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lcsh:GE1-350 ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,lcsh:QE1-996.5 ,Glacier ,Structural basin ,Monsoon ,Snow ,Debris ,lcsh:Geology ,13. Climate action ,Climatology ,Period (geology) ,remote areas ,climate change ,trend analysis ,Physical geography ,Precipitation ,Geology ,lcsh:Environmental sciences ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,Ablation zone - Abstract
Studies on recent climate trends from the Himalayan range are limited, and even completely absent at high elevation (> 5000 m a.s.l.). This study specifically explores the southern slopes of Mt. Everest, analyzing the time series of temperature and precipitation reconstructed from seven stations located between 2660 and 5600 m a.s.l. during 1994–2013, complemented with the data from all existing ground weather stations located on both sides of the mountain range (Koshi Basin) over the same period. Overall we find that the main and most significant increase in temperature is concentrated outside of the monsoon period. Above 5000 m a.s.l. the increasing trend in the time series of minimum temperature (+0.072 °C yr−1) is much stronger than of maximum temperature (+0.009 °C yr−1), while the mean temperature increased by +0.044 °C yr−1. Moreover, we note a substantial liquid precipitation weakening (−9.3 mm yr−1) during the monsoon season. The annual rate of decrease in precipitation at higher elevations is similar to the one at lower elevations on the southern side of the Koshi Basin, but the drier conditions of this remote environment make the fractional loss much more consistent (−47% during the monsoon period). Our results challenge the assumptions on whether temperature or precipitation is the main driver of recent glacier mass changes in the region. The main implications are the following: (1) the negative mass balances of glaciers observed in this region can be more ascribed to a decrease in accumulation (snowfall) than to an increase in surface melting; (2) the melting has only been favoured during winter and spring months and close to the glaciers terminus; (3) a decrease in the probability of snowfall (−10%) has made a significant impact only at glacier ablation zone, but the magnitude of this decrease is distinctly lower than the observed decrease in precipitation; (4) the decrease in accumulation could have caused the observed decrease in glacier flow velocity and the current stagnation of glacier termini, which in turn could have produced more melting under the debris glacier cover, leading to the formation of numerous supraglacial and proglacial lakes that have characterized the region in the last decades.
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- 2015
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3. Light absorption properties of brown carbon in the high Himalayas
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Kirillova E.N., Marinoni A., Bonasoni P., Vuillermoz E., Facchini M.C., Fuzzi S., and Decesari S.
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Himalayas ,ambient organic aerosols ,light absorption ,brown carbon - Abstract
The light-absorbing properties of water-soluble brown carbon (WS-BrC) and methanol-soluble brown carbon (MeS-BrC) were studied in PM10 aerosols collected at the "Nepal Climate Observatory-Pyramid" (NCO-P) station (5079m above sea level) during the period 2013-2014. The light absorption coefficients of WS-BrC and MeS-BrC were the highest during the premonsoon season and the lowest during monsoon. MeS-BrC absorbs about 2 times higher at 365nm and about 3 times more at 550nm compared to WS-BrC. The mass absorption cross section (MAC) of WS-BrC measured at 365nm is similar to that observed previously at South Asian low-altitude sites. Fractional solar radiation absorption by BrC compared to BC considering the full solar spectrum showed that WS-BrC absorbs 4 +/- 1% and MeS-BrC absorbs 9 +/- 2% compared to BC at NCO-P. Such ratios become 8 +/- 1% (for WS-BrC respect to BC) and 17 +/- 5% (for MeS-BrC respect to BC) when accounting for correction factors proposed by previous studies to convert absorption coefficients in bulk solutions into light absorption by accumulation mode aerosol particles. These results confirm the importance of BrC in contributing to light-absorbing aerosols in this region of the world. However, the BrC absorption at 550nm appears small compared to that of BC (1-5%, or 3-9% with conversion factors), and it is lower compared to global model estimates constrained by Aerosol Robotic Network observations. Finally, our study provides no clear evidence of a change in the fractional contribution of BrC with respect to BC to light absorption in the middle troposphere respect to the Indo-Gangetic plain boundary layer.
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- 2016
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4. Indoor air pollution exposure effects on lung and cardiovascular health in the High Himalayas, Nepal: An observational study.
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Pratali L, Marinoni A, Cogo A, Ujka K, Gilardoni S, Bernardi E, Bonasoni P, Bruno RM, Bastiani L, Vuillermoz E, Sdringola P, and Fuzzi S
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Altitude, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Echocardiography, Environmental Monitoring, Female, Fires, Humans, Lung Diseases etiology, Male, Middle Aged, Nepal, Pulse Wave Analysis, Respiratory Function Tests, Young Adult, Air Pollutants analysis, Air Pollution, Indoor adverse effects, Cooking, Soot analysis
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Background: Exposure to indoor biomass fuel smoke is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association between exposure to indoor biomass burning and early pulmonary and cardiovascular damage., Methods: The indoor levels of particulate matter (PM) [PM
10 , PM2.5 ] and black carbon (BC) were monitored in 32 houses in a Himalayan village. Seventy-eight subjects were submitted to spirometry and cardiovascular evaluation [carotid to femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) and echocardiography]., Results: Peak indoor BC concentration up to 100 μg m-3 and PM10 - PM2.5 up to 1945-592 μg m-3 were measured. We found a non-reversible bronchial obstruction in 18% of subjects ≥40 yr; mean forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of the forced vital capacity (FEF25-75 ) <80% in 54% of subjects, suggestive of early respiratory impairment, significantly and inversely related to age. Average BC was correlated with right ventricular-right atrium gradient (R = 0.449,p = .002), total peripheral resistances (TPR) (R = 0.313,p = .029) and PWV (R = 0.589,p < .0001) especially in subjects >30 yr. In multiple variable analysis, BC remained an independent predictor of PWV (β = 0.556,p = .001), and TPR (β = 0.366;p = .018)., Conclusions: Indoor pollution exposure is associated to early pulmonary and cardiovascular damages, more evident for longer duration and higher intensity exposure., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier B.V.)- Published
- 2019
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5. A simple model to evaluate ice melt over the ablation area of glaciers in the Central Karakoram National Park, Pakistan.
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MINORA, U., SENESE, A., BOCCHIOLA, D., SONCINI, A., D'AGATA, C., AMBROSINI, R., MAYER, C., LAMBRECHT, A., VUILLERMOZ, E., SMIRAGLIA, C., and DIOLAIUTI, G.
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GLACIERS ,GLACIAL melting ,ICE sheets ,ICE shelves ,STANDARD deviations - Abstract
This study provides an estimate of fresh water derived from ice melt for the ablation areas of glaciers in the Central Karakoram National Park (CKNP), Pakistan. In the CKNP there are ~700 glaciers, covering ~4600 km
2 , with widespread debris cover (518 km2 ). To assess meltwater volume we applied a distributed model able to describe both debris-covered and debris-free ice ablation. The model was calibrated using data collected in the field in the CKNP area and validated by comparison with ablation data collected in the field, independent of the data used in building the model. During 23 July-9 August 2011, the mean model-estimated ablation in the CKNP was 0.024 m w.e. d- 1 in debris-covered areas and 0.037 m w.e. d-1 in debris-free areas. We found a mean error of +0.01 m w.e. (corresponding to 2%) and a root-mean-square error equal to 0.09 m w.e. (17%). According to our model, the ablation areas of all the glaciers in the CKNP produced a water volume of 1.963 km3 during the study period. Finally, we performed several sensitivity tests for assessing the impact of the input data variations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
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6. Improving the quality of cognitive screening assessments: ACEmobile, an iPad-based version of the Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination-III.
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Newman CGJ, Bevins AD, Zajicek JP, Hodges JR, Vuillermoz E, Dickenson JM, Kelly DS, Brown S, and Noad RF
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Introduction: Ensuring reliable administration and reporting of cognitive screening tests are fundamental in establishing good clinical practice and research. This study captured the rate and type of errors in clinical practice, using the Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination-III (ACE-III), and then the reduction in error rate using a computerized alternative, the ACEmobile app., Methods: In study 1, we evaluated ACE-III assessments completed in National Health Service (NHS) clinics ( n = 87) for administrator error. In study 2, ACEmobile and ACE-III were then evaluated for their ability to capture accurate measurement., Results: In study 1, 78% of clinically administered ACE-IIIs were either scored incorrectly or had arithmetical errors. In study 2, error rates seen in the ACE-III were reduced by 85%-93% using ACEmobile., Discussion: Error rates are ubiquitous in routine clinical use of cognitive screening tests and the ACE-III. ACEmobile provides a framework for supporting reduced administration, scoring, and arithmetical error during cognitive screening.
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- 2017
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7. Future hydrological regimes and glacier cover in the Everest region: The case study of the upper Dudh Koshi basin.
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Soncini A, Bocchiola D, Confortola G, Minora U, Vuillermoz E, Salerno F, Viviano G, Shrestha D, Senese A, Smiraglia C, and Diolaiuti G
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Assessment of future water resources under climate change is required in the Himalayas, where hydrological cycle is poorly studied and little understood. This study focuses on the upper Dudh Koshi river of Nepal (151km(2), 4200-8848ma.s.l.) at the toe of Mt. Everest, nesting the debris covered Khumbu, and Khangri Nup glaciers (62km(2)). New data gathered during three years of field campaigns (2012-2014) were used to set up a glacio-hydrological model describing stream flows, snow and ice melt, ice cover thickness and glaciers' flow dynamics. The model was validated, and used to assess changes of the hydrological cycle until 2100. Climate projections are used from three Global Climate Models used in the recent IPCC AR5 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Flow statistics are estimated for two reference decades 2045-2054, and 2090-2099, and compared against control run CR, 2012-2014. During CR we found a contribution of ice melt to stream flows of 55% yearly, with snow melt contributing for 19%. Future flows are predicted to increase in monsoon season, but to decrease yearly (-4% vs CR on average) at 2045-2054. At the end of century large reduction would occur in all seasons, i.e. -26% vs CR on average at 2090-2099. At half century yearly contribution of ice melt would be on average 45%, and snow melt 28%. At the end of century ice melt would be 31%, and snow contribution 39%. Glaciers in the area are projected to thin largely up to 6500ma.s.l. until 2100, reducing their volume by -50% or more, and their ice covered area by -30% or more. According to our results, in the future water resources in the upper Dudh Koshi would decrease, and depend largely upon snow melt and rainfall, so that adaptation measures to modified water availability will be required., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2016
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8. Forces for recent snow cover variation on the Mount Everest region: Forces for recent snow cover variation: D B Kattel, T Yao.
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Kattel, Dambaru Ballab and Yao, Tandong
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ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,EARTH stations ,ALBEDO ,GLACIERS ,PYRAMIDS - Abstract
Due to the lack of high-altitude observational datasets, a better understanding of snow cover changes and meteorological forcing for their variation in the Mount Everest region is still insufficient. This study examined changes in snow cover over the Mount Everest region and their relationship to air temperature, albedo (surface and snow), and total precipitation. This study used data from the MERRA2, ERA5-Land, JRA55, FLDAS, and CERES products spanning 41 years (1981–2021). For comparison and evaluation, we also used a ground station, Pyramid, located at a high elevation (5050 masl) at the foot of Mount Everest on the southern slope. The results confirmed a significant decline in snow cover during winter and post-monsoon seasons, which was observed in all datasets. Changes in surface and snow albedo and total precipitation positively correlate with the variation in snow cover; however, this relationship reverses with air temperature. This research suggests that atmospheric warming caused a decline in snow cover in the Mount Everest region. This decline affected snow and surface albedo, causing further warming and contributing to the continued decline in snow cover in the study area. The reduction in precipitation further contributes to the decrease in snow cover in the Mount Everest region. The variations in snow cover in this study correspond to those found in earlier studies on glacier thinning in cryosphere regions. Anthropogenic activities have linked these variations to increasing air temperatures while decreasing snowfall, precipitation, and albedo. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2025
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9. Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments.
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Hunt, Kieran M. R., Baudouin, Jean-Philippe, Turner, Andrew G., Dimri, A. P., Jeelani, Ghulam, Pooja, Chattopadhyay, Rajib, Cannon, Forest, Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P., and Palazzi, Eliza
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WEATHER hazards ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,WESTERLIES ,WATER security ,TRACKING algorithms - Abstract
Western disturbances (WDs) are synoptic-scale weather systems embedded within the subtropical westerly jet. Manifesting as upper-level troughs often associated with a lower-tropospheric low over western or northern India, they share some dynamical features with extratropical cyclones. WDs are most common during the boreal winter (December to March), during which they bring the majority of precipitation – both rain and snow – to the western Himalaya, as well as to surrounding areas of north India, Pakistan, and the Tibetan Plateau. WDs are also associated with weather hazards such as heavy snowfall, hailstorms, fog, cloudbursts, avalanches, frost, and cold waves. In this paper, we review recent developments in understanding WDs and their impacts. Over the last decade, recent studies have collectively made use of novel data, novel analysis techniques such as tracking algorithms, and the increasing availability of high-resolution weather and climate models. This review is separated into six main sections – structure and thermodynamics, precipitation and impacts, teleconnections, modelling experiments, forecasting at a range of scales, and paleoclimate and climate change – each motivated with a brief discussion of the accomplishments and limitations of previous research. A number of step changes in understanding are synthesised. Use of new modelling frameworks and tracking algorithms has significantly improved knowledge of WD structure and variability, and a more frequentist approach can now be taken. Improved observation systems have helped quantification of water security over the western Himalaya. Convection-permitting models have improved our understanding of how WDs interact with the Himalaya to trigger natural hazards. Improvements in paleoclimate and future climate modelling experiments have helped to explain how WDs and their impacts over the Himalaya respond to large-scale natural and anthropogenic forcings. We end by summarising unresolved questions and outlining key future WD research topics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2025
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10. Empirical and thermal resistance approaches for debris thickness estimation on the Hoksar Glacier, Kashmir Himalaya.
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Ali, Iram, Shukla, Aparna, Romshoo, Shakil A., Lone, F. A., Garg, Purushotum K., and Yousuf, Bisma
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LANDSAT satellites ,REMOTE-sensing images ,GLACIAL melting ,THERMAL conductivity ,SURFACE temperature ,THERMAL resistance - Abstract
Supraglacial debris modulates the thermal regime and alters glacial melt rates depending on its thickness. Thus, the estimation of debris thickness becomes imperative for predicting the hydrological response and dynamics of such glaciers. This study tests the performance of empirical and thermal resistance-based debris thickness approaches against field measurements on the Hoksar Glacier, Kashmir Himalaya. The aim of this study was accomplished using thermal imageries (Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager [Landsat-OLI], 2017 and Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer [ASTER] Surface Kinetic Temperature Product [AST08], 2017) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA-5) datasets. First, the spatially resolved estimates of debris thickness for the entire debris-covered zone were achieved by establishing an empirical relationship between debris thickness and debris surface temperature (both field and satellite thermal imageries). Second, debris thickness for every pixel of thermal imagery was executed by calculating thermal resistance from the energy balance model incorporating primary inputs from (ERA-5), debris temperature (AST08, Landsat OLI), and thermal conductivity. On comparison with field temperature and thickness measurements with satellite temperature, homogenous debris thickness pixels showed an excellent coherence (r = 0.9; p < 0.001 for T
AST08 and r = 0.88; p < 0.001 for TLandsat OLI for temperature) and (r = 0.9; p < 0.001 for TAST08 and r = 0.87; p < 0.002 for TLandsat OLI for debris thickness). Both approaches effectively captured the spatial pattern of debris thickness using Landsat OLI and AST08 datasets. However, results specify an average debris thickness of 18.9 ± 7.9 cm from the field, which the empirical approach underestimated by 12% for AST08 and 28% for Landsat OLI, and the thermal resistance approach overestimated by 6.2% for AST08 and 5.1% for Landsat OLI, respectively. Debris thickness estimates from the thermal resistance approach (deviation 11.2% for AST08 and 11.6% for Landsat OLI) closely mirror the field measurements compared to the empirical approach (deviation 26.9% for AST08 and 35% for Landsat OLI). Thus, the thermal resistance approach can solve spatial variability in debris thickness on different heavily debris-covered glaciers globally without adequate knowledge of field measurements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2025
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11. Valley floor inclination affecting valley winds and transport of passive tracers in idealised simulations.
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Mikkola, Johannes, Gohm, Alexander, Sinclair, Victoria A., and Bianchi, Federico
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METEOROLOGICAL research ,BIOLOGICAL transport ,WEATHER forecasting ,AIR quality ,VALLEYS - Abstract
In mountainous regions, diurnal thermally driven winds impact daily weather and air quality. This study investigates how the inclination of idealised valleys affects these winds and the transport of passive tracers using high-resolution numerical simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. We explore a range of valley inclinations from 0 to 2.28°, bridging the gap between previous studies on flat and moderately inclined (up to 0.86°) idealised valleys and steeper (2–5°) real Himalayan valleys. We find that during daytime in the inclined valleys, up-valley winds penetrate deeper into the valleys and become stronger, up to a critical inclination beyond which the winds weaken. The flat-floored valley exhibits the strongest night-time down-valley winds overall, but surface-based down-valley winds are more prominent in inclined valleys. Steeper valleys enhance the vertical transport of passive tracers, resulting in ventilation at higher altitudes compared to the flat-floored valley. Despite stronger overall tracer outflow in the flat-floored valley, this occurs at lower altitudes, leading to most of the ventilated tracers being accumulated in the lowest few kilometres of the atmosphere. Consequently, steeper valleys are more efficient at ventilating tracers to the upper troposphere, which would, for example, lead to higher potential for long-range transport. These findings underscore the critical role of valley geometry in shaping wind patterns and pollutant transport, providing valuable insights for improving transport modelling in mountainous regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2025
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12. A Comparative Study of Methods for Estimating the Thickness of Glacial Debris: A Case Study of the Koxkar Glacier in the Tian Shan Mountains.
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Liu, Jun, Qin, Yan, Han, Haidong, Zhao, Qiudong, and Liu, Yongqiang
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MASS budget (Geophysics) ,LAND surface temperature ,EMPIRICAL research ,SURFACE temperature ,GLACIERS - Abstract
The local or overall mass balance of a glacier is significantly influenced by the spatial heterogeneity of its overlying debris thickness. Accurately estimating the debris thickness of glaciers is essential for understanding their hydrological processes and the impact of climate change. This study focuses on the Koxkar Glacier in the Tian Shan Mountains, using debris thickness data to compare the accuracy of three commonly used approaches for estimating the spatial distribution of debris thickness. The three measurement approaches include two empirical relationships between the land surface temperature (LST) and debris thickness approaches, empirical relationship approach 1 and empirical relationship approach 2, and the energy balance of debris approach. The analysis also explores the potential influence of topographic factors on the debris distribution. By incorporating temperature data from the debris profiles, this study examines the applicability of each approach and identifies areas for possible improvement. The results indicate that (1) all three debris thickness estimation approaches effectively capture the distribution characteristics of glacial debris, although empirical relationship approach 2 outperforms the others in describing the spatial patterns; (2) the accuracy of each approach varies depending on the debris thickness, with the energy balance of debris approach being most accurate for debris less than 50 cm thick, while empirical relationship approach 1 performs better for debris thicker than 50 cm and empirical relationship approach 2 demonstrates the highest overall accuracy; and (3) topographic factors, particularly the elevation, significantly influence the accuracy of debris thickness estimates. Furthermore, the empirical relationships between the LST and debris thickness require field data and focus solely on the surface temperature, neglecting other influencing factors. The energy balance of debris approach is constrained by its linear assumption of the temperature profile, which is only valid within a specific range of debris thickness; beyond this range, it significantly underestimates the values. These findings provide evidence-based support for improving remote-sensing methods for debris thickness estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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13. Refining lake volume estimation and critical depth identification for enhanced glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) event anticipation.
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Bazai, Nazir Ahmed, Carling, Paul A., Cui, Peng, Hao, Wang, Guotao, Zhang, Dingzhu, Liu, and Hassan, Javed
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MASS budget (Geophysics) ,CLIMATE feedbacks ,GLACIAL lakes ,WATERSHEDS ,WATER pressure ,GLACIERS - Abstract
Climate change leads to changes in glacier mass balance, including steady advancements and surges that reposition the glacier snouts. Glacier advancement can dam proglacial meltwater lakes. Within the Karakoram and surrounding regions, the positive feedback of climate change has resulted in more frequent ice-dammed glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs), often facilitated by englacial conduits. However, the complex and multi-factor processes of conduit development are difficult to measure. Determining the lake depths that might trigger GLOFs and the numerical model specifications for breaching is challenging. Empirical estimates of lake volumes, along with field-based monitoring of lake levels and depths and the assessment of GLOF hazards, enable warnings and damage mitigation. Using historical data, remote sensing techniques, high-resolution imagery, cross-correlation feature tracking, and field-based data, we identified the processes of lake formation, drainage timing, and triggering depth. We developed empirical approaches to determine lake volume and trigger water pressure leading to a GLOF. A correlation, albeit a weak one, between glacier surge velocity and lake volume reveals that glacier surge may play a crucial role in lake formation and thus controls the size and volume of the lake. Lake volume estimation involves geometric considerations of the lake basin shape. A GLOF becomes likely when the lake's normalized depth (n′) exceeds 0.60, equivalent to a typical water pressure on the dam face of 510 kPa. These field and remotely sensed findings not only offer valuable insights for early warning procedures in the Karakoram but also suggest that similar approaches might be effectively applied to other mountain environments worldwide where GLOFs pose a hazard. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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14. Brief communication: Accurate and autonomous snow water equivalent measurements using a cosmic ray sensor on a Himalayan glacier.
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Pokhrel, Navaraj, Wagnon, Patrick, Brun, Fanny, Khadka, Arbindra, Matthews, Tom, Goutard, Audrey, Shrestha, Dibas, Perry, Baker, and Réveillet, Marion
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COSMIC rays ,GLACIERS ,PERCOLATION ,MONSOONS ,MELTING - Abstract
We analyze snow water equivalent (SWE) measurements from a cosmic ray sensor (CRS) on the lower accumulation area of Mera Glacier (central Himalaya, Nepal) between November 2019 and November 2021. The CRS aligned well with field observations and revealed accumulation in pre-monsoon and monsoon observations, followed by ablation in post-monsoon and winter observations. COSIPY simulations suggest significant surface melting, water percolation, and refreezing within the snowpack, consistent with CRS observations yet liable to be missed by surface mass balance surveys. We conclude that CRS can be used to determine mass fluxes in various climatic settings, but the interpretation of the total changes in SWE needs complementary measurements and model analysis to determine the share of specific mass fluxes, such as melt and refreezing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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15. Brownness of organics in anthropogenic biomass burning aerosols over South Asia.
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Navinya, Chimurkar, Kapoor, Taveen Singh, Anurag, Gupta, Venkataraman, Chandra, Phuleria, Harish C., and Chakrabarty, Rajan K.
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INCINERATION ,BIOMASS burning ,WASTE management ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,RADIATIVE forcing - Abstract
In South Asia, biomass is burned for energy and waste disposal, producing brown carbon (BrC) aerosols whose climatic impacts are highly uncertain. To assess these impacts, a real-world understanding of BrC 's physio-optical properties is essential. For this region, the order-of-magnitude variability in BrC 's spectral refractive index as a function of particle volatility distribution is poorly understood. This leads to oversimplified model parameterization and subsequent uncertainty in regional radiative forcing. Here we used the field-collected aerosol samples from major anthropogenic biomass activities to examine the methanol-soluble BrC optical properties. We show a strong relation between the absorption strength, wavelength dependence, and thermo-optical fractions of carbonaceous aerosols. Our observations show strongly absorbing BrC near the Himalayan foothills that may accelerate glacier melt, further highlighting the limitations of climate models where variable BrC properties are not considered. These findings provide crucial inputs for refining climate models and developing effective regional strategies to mitigate BrC emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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16. Mountains of research: Where and whom high‐altitude physiology has overlooked.
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Tremblay, Joshua C.
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SEXISM ,HUMAN physiology ,HYPOXEMIA ,BRAIN injuries ,MEDICAL care - Abstract
High altitude is a natural setting in which to study human acclimatization and adaptation. Here, I identify where and in whom high‐altitude physiology research has occurred. There has been a mismatch between countries with large high‐altitude populations vs. where high‐altitude research has been conducted. From 1970 to 2020, 83% of high‐altitude physiology research took place in just seven countries: Nepal, China, USA, Peru, India, Bolivia and Italy. Collectively, these countries account for only 35% of the global population living above 2500 m. Furthermore, high‐altitude physiology research has predominantly studied low‐altitude residents visiting high altitude and female participants are under‐represented. Accordingly, the included populations are not necessarily a proportional representation of high‐altitude residents. Here, I discuss how this influences our understanding of high‐altitude adaptation. Finally, I highlight past initiatives to increase diversity in high‐altitude research. By identifying the broad gaps in high‐altitude physiology research, I propose exciting, inclusive opportunities to study human high‐altitude physiology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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17. Changing optical properties of black carbon and brown carbon aerosols during long-range transport from the Indo-Gangetic Plain to the equatorial Indian Ocean.
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Budhavant, Krishnakant, Manoj, Mohanan Remani, Nair, Hari Ram Chandrika Rajendran, Gaita, Samuel Mwaniki, Holmstrand, Henry, Salam, Abdus, Muslim, Ahmed, Satheesh, Sreedharan Krishnakumari, and Gustafsson, Örjan
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ATMOSPHERIC aerosols ,ABSORPTION cross sections ,LIGHT absorption ,CHEMICAL properties ,OBSERVATORIES ,SOOT - Abstract
Atmospheric aerosols strongly influence the global climate through their light absorption properties (e.g., black carbon (BC) and brown carbon (BrC)) and scattering properties (e.g., sulfate). This study presents simultaneous measurements of ambient-aerosol light absorption properties and chemical composition obtained at three large-footprint southern Asian receptor sites during the South Asian Pollution Experiment (SAPOEX) from December 2017 to March 2018. The BC mass absorption cross section (BC-MAC
678 ) values increased from 3.5 ± 1.3 at the Bangladesh Climate Observatory at Bhola (BCOB), located at the exit outflow of the Indo-Gangetic Plain, to 6.4 ± 1.3 at two regional receptor observatories, the Maldives Climate Observatory at Hanimaadhoo (MCOH) and the Maldives Climate Observatory at Gan (MCOG), representing an increase of 80 %. This likely reflects a scavenging fractionation, resulting in a population of finer BC with higher MAC678 that has greater longevity. At the same time, BrC-MAC365 decreased by a factor of 3 from the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) exit to the equatorial Indian Ocean, likely due to photochemical bleaching of organic chromophores. The high chlorine-to-sodium ratio at the BCOB, located near the source region, suggests a significant contribution of chorine from anthropogenic activities. Particulate Cl− has the potential to be converted into Cl radicals, which can affect the oxidation capacity of polluted air. Moreover, Cl− is shown to be nearly fully consumed during long-range transport. The results of this synoptic study, conducted on a large southern Asian scale, provide rare observational constraints on the optical properties of ambient BC (and BrC) aerosols over regional scales, away from emission sources. They also contribute significantly to understanding the aging effect of the optical and chemical properties of aerosols as pollution from the Indo-Gangetic Plain disperses over the tropical ocean. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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18. Measurement report: Intra-annual variability of black carbon and brown carbon and their interrelation with meteorological conditions over Gangtok, Sikkim.
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Kumar, Pramod, Sharma, Khushboo, Malu, Ankita, Rajak, Rajeev, Gupta, Aparna, Baruah, Bidyutjyoti, Yadav, Shailesh, Angchuk, Thupstan, Sharma, Jayant, Ranjan, Rakesh Kumar, Misra, Anil Kumar, and Wanjari, Nishchal
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ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer ,CLOUDINESS ,SURFACE pressure ,BIOMASS burning ,LAND cover ,PRECIPITATION scavenging - Abstract
Black carbon (BC) and brown carbon (BrC) both have a versatile nature, and they have an apparent role in climate variability and changes. As anthropogenic activity is surging, BC and BrC are also reportedly increasing. So, the monitoring of BC and BrC and observations of land use land cover change (LULCC) at a regional level are necessary for the changes in various interconnected meteorological phenomena. The current study investigates BC , BrC , CO2 , BC from fossil fuels (BCff), BC from biomass burning (BCbb), and LULCC and their relationship to the corresponding meteorological conditions over Gangtok in the Sikkim Himalayan region. The concentration of BC (BrC) was found to be highest during March 2022 (April 2021) at 43.5 µgm-3 (32.0 µgm-3). Surface pressure exhibits a significant positive correlation with BC , BCff , BCbb , and BrC. Higher surface pressure results in a calmer and more stable boundary layer, which effectively retains deposited contaminants. Conversely, the wind appears to facilitate the dispersion of pollutants, showing a strong negative correlation. The fact that all pollutants and precipitation have been shown to behave similarly points to moist scavenging of the pollutants. Despite the dense cloud cover, it is clear that the area is not receiving convective precipitation, implying that orographic precipitation is occurring over the region. Most of Sikkim receives convective rain from May to September, indicating that the region has significant convective activity contributed from the Bay of Bengal during the monsoon season. Furthermore, monsoon months have the lowest concentrations of BC , BCbb , BCff , and BrC , suggesting the potential of convective rain (as rainout scavenging) to remove most of the pollutants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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19. Spatial Distribution in Surface Aerosol Light Absorption Across India.
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Kapoor, Taveen S., Navinya, Chimurkar, Apte, Adishree, Shetty, Nishit J., Lokhande, Pradnya, Singh, Sujit, Murthy B. M., Sadashiva, Deswal, Meena, Laura, Jitender S., Muthalagu, Akila, Qureshi, Asif, Bhardwaj, Ankur, Sunder Raman, Ramya, Lian, Yang, Pandithurai, G., Chaudhary, Pooja, Sinha, Baerbel, Rabha, Shahadev, Saikia, Binoy K., and Najar, Tanveer Ahmad
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC aerosols ,AIR pollution ,BIOMASS burning ,CROP residues ,RADIATIVE forcing ,CARBONACEOUS aerosols - Abstract
Light‐absorbing carbonaceous aerosols that dominate atmospheric aerosol warming over India remain poorly characterized. Here, we delve into UV‐visible‐IR spectral aerosol absorption properties at nine PAN‐India COALESCE network sites (Venkataraman et al., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1175/bams‐d‐19‐0030.1). Absorption properties were estimated from aerosol‐laden polytetrafluoroethylene filters using a well‐constrained technique incorporating filter‐to‐particle correction factors. The measurements revealed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in spectral intrinsic and extrinsic absorption properties. Absorption analysis at near‐UV wavelengths from carbonaceous aerosols at these regional sites revealed large near‐ultraviolet brown carbon absorption contributions from 21% to 68%—emphasizing the need to include these particles in climate models. Further, satellite‐retrieved column‐integrated absorption was dominated by surface absorption, which opens possibilities of using satellite measurements to model surface‐layer optical properties (limited to specific sites) at a higher spatial resolution. Both the satellite‐modeled and direct in‐situ absorption measurements can aid in validating and constraining climate modeling efforts that suffer from absorption underestimations and high uncertainties in radiative forcing estimates. Plain Language Summary: Particulate pollution in the atmosphere scatter and absorb incoming solar energy, thus cooling or warming Earth's atmosphere. In developing countries and especially in India, one of the most polluted regions of the world, the extent to which particles can absorb solar energy and warm the atmosphere is not well understood. Here, for the first time, we measure particle absorption simultaneously at nine ground sites across India, in diverse geographical regions with different levels and types of particulate pollution. We find that organic carbon particles exert large absorption at near‐ultraviolet wavelengths, which contain significant solar energy. These light absorbing organic carbon particles, called brown carbon, are emitted in large quantities from biomass burning (e.g., burning crop residue and cooking on wood‐fired stoves). Comparing ground measurements of absorption with satellite‐retrieved measurements that are representative of the entire atmospheric column, we find that near‐surface atmospheric particles can exert significant warming. This study highlights the need to improve climate model simulations of particulate pollution's impact on the climate by incorporating spatiotemporal surface‐level absorption measurements, including absorption by brown carbon particles. Key Points: Measurements at nine regional PAN‐India sites reveal several regions with large aerosol absorption strengthBrown carbon contributes significantly (21%–68%) to near‐ultraviolet absorption, indicating its importance in shortwave light absorptionStrong correlations observed between satellite data and surface absorption indicate future potential in modeling surface absorption [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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20. Inter-rater variability in scoring of Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination-Third Edition (ACE-III) protocols.
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Say, Miranda J. and O'Driscoll, Ciarán
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MEDICAL personnel ,HEALTH care teams ,STATISTICAL reliability ,OLDER people ,MENTAL health ,WECHSLER Adult Intelligence Scale - Abstract
Background: Despite its wide use in dementia diagnosis on the basis of cut-off points, the inter-rater variability of the Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination-Third Edition (ACE-III) has been poorly studied. Methods: Thirty-one healthcare professionals from an older adults' mental health team scored two ACE-III protocols based on mock patients in a computerised form. Scoring accuracy, as well as total and domain-specific scoring variability, were calculated; factors relevant to participants were obtained, including their level of experience and self-rated confidence administering the ACE-III. Results: There was considerable inter-rater variability (up to 18 points for one of the cases), and one case's mean score was significantly higher (by nearly four points) than the true score. The Fluency, Visuospatial and Attention domains had greater levels of variability than Language and Memory. Higher scoring accuracy was not associated with either greater levels of experience or higher self-confidence in administering the ACE-III. Conclusions: The results suggest that the ACE-III is susceptible to scoring error and considerable inter-rater variability, which highlights the critical importance of initial, and continued, administration and scoring training. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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21. Observations of the vertical distributions of summertime atmospheric pollutants in Nam Co: OH production and source analysis.
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Xing, Chengzhi, Liu, Cheng, Ye, Chunxiang, Xue, Jingkai, Wu, Hongyu, Ji, Xiangguang, Ou, Jinping, and Hu, Qihou
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ATMOSPHERIC chemistry ,CLIMATE change ,OPTICAL spectroscopy ,WATER vapor ,LIGHT absorption - Abstract
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a key role in the regional environment and global climate change; however, the lack of vertical observations of atmospheric species, such as HONO and O 3 , hinders a deeper understanding of the atmospheric chemistry and atmospheric oxidation capacity (AOC) on the TP. In this study, we conducted multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) measurements at Nam Co, the central TP, to observe the vertical profiles of aerosol, water vapor (H 2 O), NO 2 , HONO and O 3 from May to July 2019. In addition to NO 2 mainly exhibiting a Gaussian shape with the maximum value appearing at 300 =- 400 m, the other four species all showed an exponential shape and decreased with the increase in height. The maximum values of monthly averaged aerosol (0.17 km -1) and O 3 (66.71 ppb) occurred in May, H 2 O (3.68 × 10 17 molec. cm -3) and HONO (0.13 ppb) appeared in July, and NO 2 (0.39 ppb) occurred in June at the 200–400 m layer. H 2 O, HONO and O 3 all exhibited a multi-peak pattern, and aerosol appeared to have a bi-peak pattern for its averaged diurnal variations. The averaged vertical profiles of OH production rates from O 3 and HONO all exhibited an exponential shape decreasing with the increase in height, with maximum values of 2.61 and 0.49 ppb h -1 at the bottom layer, respectively. The total OH production rate contributed by HONO and O 3 on the TP was obviously larger than that in low-altitude areas. In addition, source analysis was conducted for HONO and O 3 at different height layers. The heterogeneous reaction of NO 2 on wet surfaces was a significant source of HONO. The maximum values of HONO / NO 2 appeared when H 2 O concentrations were approximately 1.0 × 10 17 molec. cm -3 and aerosol concentrations were larger than 0.15 km -1 below 1.0 km. The maximum values were usually accompanied by H 2 O concentrations of 1.0–2.0 × 10 17 molec. cm -3 and aerosol concentrations greater than 0.02 km -1 at 1.0–2.0 km. O 3 was potentially sourced from the South Asian subcontinent and Himalayas through long-range transport. Our results contribute to the new understanding of vertical distribution of atmospheric components and explain the strong AOC on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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22. Mass Balance Assessment Using the "AARTI" Approach in the Baspa Basin, Indian Himalayas.
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Gaddam, Vinay Kumar, ELE, Sree Lakshmi, Kulkarni, Anil V., Ranjan, Rakesh, Bhandari, Soniya, Gullapalli, Sriram, Björnsson, Helgi, and Kusuma, Sundara Kumar
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- 2024
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23. Observations, Remote Sensing, and Model Simulation to Analyze Southern Brazil Antarctic Ozone Hole Influence.
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Peres, Lucas Vaz, Pinheiro, Damaris Kirsh, Bencherif, Hassan, Begue, Nelson, Bageston, José Valentin, Bittencourt, Gabriela Dorneles, Portafaix, Thierry, Schuch, Andre Passaglia, Anabor, Vagner, da Silva, Rodrigo, Neves, Theomar Trindade de Araujo Tiburtino, Silva, Raphael Pablo Tapajós, dos Reis, Gabriela Cacilda Godinho, dos Reis, Marco Antônio Godinho, Martins, Maria Paulete Pereira, Toihir, Mohamed Abdoulwahab, Mbatha, Nkanyiso, Steffenel, Luiz Angelo, and Mendes, David
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OZONE layer depletion ,REMOTE sensing ,SIMULATION methods & models ,OZONE ,STRATOSPHERE ,OZONE layer - Abstract
This paper presents the observational, remote sensing, and model simulation used to analyze southern Brazil Antarctic ozone hole influence (SBAOHI) events that occurred between 2005 and 2014. To analyze it, we use total ozone column (TOC) data provided by a Brewer spectrophotometer (BS) and the OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument). In addition to the AURA/MLS (Microwave Limb Sounder) instrument, satellite ozone profiles were utilized with DYBAL (Dynamical Barrier Localization) code in the MIMOSA (Modélisation Isentrope du Transport Mésoéchelle de l'Ozone Stratosphérique par Advection) model Potential Vorticity (PV) fields. TOC has 7.0 ± 2.9 DU reductions average in 62 events. October has more events (30.7%). Polar tongue events are 19.3% in total, being more frequently observed in October (50% of cases), with medium intensity (58.2%), and in the stratosphere medium levels (55.0%). Already, polar filament events (80.7%) are more frequent in September (32.0%), with medium intensity (42.0%), and stratosphere medium levels (40.7%). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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24. Mapping and characterization of avalanches on mountain glaciers with Sentinel-1 satellite imagery.
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Kneib, Marin, Dehecq, Amaury, Brun, Fanny, Karbou, Fatima, Charrier, Laurane, Leinss, Silvan, Wagnon, Patrick, and Maussion, Fabien
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AVALANCHES ,REMOTE-sensing images ,ALPINE glaciers ,SYNTHETIC aperture radar ,GLACIERS - Abstract
Avalanches are important contributors to the mass balance of glaciers located in mountain ranges with steep topographies. Avalanches result in localized over-accumulation that is seldom accounted for in glacier models due to the difficulty of quantifying this contribution, let alone the occurrence of avalanches in these remote regions. Here, we developed an approach to semi-automatically map avalanche deposits over long time periods and at scales of multiple glaciers, utilizing imagery from Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR). This approach performs particularly well for scenes acquired in winter and in the morning but can also be used to identify avalanche events throughout the year. We applied this method to map 16 302 avalanche deposits over a period of 5 years at a 6 to 12 d interval over the Mt Blanc massif (European Alps), the Everest (central Himalaya) region, and the Hispar (Karakoram) region. These three survey areas are all characterized by steep mountain slopes but also present contrasting climatic characteristics. Our results enable the identification of avalanche hotspots on these glaciers and allow us to quantify the avalanche activity and its spatio-temporal variability across the three regions. The avalanche deposits are preferentially located at lower elevations relative to the hypsometry of the glacierized catchments and are also constrained to a smaller elevation range at the Asian sites, where they have a limited influence on their extensive debris-covered tongues. Avalanche events coincide with solid precipitation events, which explains the high avalanche activity in winter in the Mt Blanc massif and during the monsoon in the Everest region. However, there is also a time lag of 1–2 months, visible especially in the Everest region, between the precipitation and avalanche events, indicative of some snow retention on the mountain headwalls. This study therefore provides critical insights into these mass redistribution processes and tools to account for their influence on glacier mass balance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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25. Analysis of energy balance and its role in melting over Gangotri and Saraswati glaciated region from 2001–2022.
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Alok, Shivang, Mishra, Poonam, Rajak, D Ram, and Singh, Sushil K
- Abstract
Surface energy balance plays a major role in mass balance and glacier melting. In response to climate change, the influence of radiations and turbulent heat fluxes is a governing factor for glacier melting. In the present study, the energy budget method is used to estimate glacier melting at the grid level using ERA-5 data for Gangotri and Saraswati glaciers in Uttarakhand. Results indicate net radiation dominates the energy budget rather than heat fluxes. Temperature plays a key role in enhancing solar and net radiation, and a strong negative correlation is observed between the snow-covered area and heat fluxes. Turbulent heat fluxes have a strong influence on the snow-covered area of Gangotri, while for Saraswati, the radiations are major contributors. The relationship between snowmelt is directly linked with energy balance and temperature. Although Gangotri receives more energy than Saraswati, the annual average trend shows that Saraswati is showing a rise over the period. Melting is calculated at the grid level for both glaciers when referred to with available snowmelt data, and biases in data are observed. A very strong correlation of 0.99 and 0.96 is observed between calculated melting and available melt for Gangotri and Saraswati glaciers during the ablation months. The total melting calculated at the grid level for the Gangotri glacier region varies from 344.09 to 731.64 mm.w.e. a
–1 and for the Saraswati glacier region, it ranges between 172.11 and 439.68 mm.w.e. a–1 . The 22 years’ average melting rate is 541.17 and 281.75 mm.w.e. a–1 for Gangotri and Saraswati, respectively, as calculated from 2001 to 2022. Gangotri observes higher melting than Saraswati. Melting calculated in different zones of glacier region varies significantly during the ablation period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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26. Brown Carbon From Biomass Burning Reinforces the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau Warming.
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Zhu, Chong‐Shu, Qu, Yao, Huang, Hong, Shi, Ju‐Lian, Dai, Wen‐Ting, Zhang, Ning‐Ning, Wang, Nan, Wang, Lu‐Yao, Ji, Sha‐Sha, and Cao, Jun‐Ji
- Subjects
BIOMASS burning ,ABSORPTION coefficients ,TIBETANS ,LIGHT absorption ,CARBON ,CARBON-black - Abstract
The Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau (the HTP), referred to as "the third pole" with an excessive warming rate, exerts strong impacts on the global environment. As one of warming contributors, atmospheric brown carbon (BrC) remains limited scientific understanding in the HTP due to a scarcity of observations. In this study, we present a study of the light‐absorbing properties of methanol‐soluble brown carbon (MeS‐BrC) and water‐soluble brown carbon (WS‐BrC) during 2018–2021. Highly spatiotemporal variations of BrC light absorptions were observed. In the HTP marginal area, elevated BrC absorption coefficients at 365 nm (babs,365) and levoglucosan concentrations were obtained, and MeS‐BrC exhibits approximately 1.3–1.8 times higher absorption compared to WS‐BrC. We determined that BrC light absorptions was largely attributed to biomass burning (29%–35%). BrC can act as a potent warming agent in the HTP marginal area, with high direct solar absorption (25%–47% relative to black carbon). Plain Language Summary: Atmospheric brown carbon (BrC) remains low scientific understanding in the HTP due to a scarcity of observations. Here, we present a plateau‐scale study of the light‐absorbing properties of methanol‐soluble brown carbon (MeS‐BrC) and water‐soluble brown carbon (WS‐BrC) during the period of 2018–2021. This study highlights the contribution of BrC to the HTP warming. Higher BrC light absorption was observed in the HTP marginal area compared with the central HTP. Enhanced radiative absorption effect of WS‐BrC was obtained in the HTP, with an annual average of ∼25% compared with BC in Qinghai Lake and Ngari, and as high as 46.5% in Purang. The results confirmed the importance of BrC from biomass burning in contributing to light‐absorbing aerosols in this region. Key Points: Brown carbon (BrC) can be a strong warming agent in the marginal Himalayas and Tibetan PlateauHighly spatiotemporal variations of plateau‐scale BrC were observedBrC light absorptions was largely attributed to biomass burning [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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27. Two-Decadal Glacier Changes in the Astak, a Tributary Catchment of the Upper Indus River in Northern Pakistan.
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Ali, Muzaffar, Liu, Qiao, and Hassan, Wajid
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GLACIERS ,ALPINE glaciers ,PRECIPITATION anomalies ,CLIMATE change ,WATER supply ,SNOWMELT ,WATER security - Abstract
Snow and ice melting in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) is crucial for regional water availability for mountainous communities. We analyzed glacier changes in the Astak catchment, UIB, from 2000 to 2020 using remote sensing techniques based on optical satellite images from Landsat and ASTER digital elevation models. We used a surface feature-tracking technique to estimate glacier velocity. To assess the impact of climate variations, we examined temperature and precipitation anomalies using ERA5 Land climate data. Over the past two decades, the Astak catchment experienced a slight decrease in glacier area (−1.8 km
2 ) and the overall specific mass balance was −0.02 ± 0.1 m w.e. a−1 . The most negative mass balance of −0.09 ± 0.06 m w.e. a−1 occurred at elevations between 2810 to 3220 m a.s.l., with a lesser rate of −0.015 ± 0.12 m w.e. a−1 above 5500 m a.s.l. This variation in glacier mass balance can be attributed to temperature and precipitation gradients, as well as debris cover. Recent glacier mass loss can be linked to seasonal temperature anomalies at higher elevations during winter and autumn. Given the reliance of mountain populations on glacier melt, seasonal temperature trends can disturb water security and the well-being of dependent communities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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28. Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes.
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Vogel, K., Sieg, T., Veh, G., Fiedler, B., Moran, T., Peter, M., Rottler, E., and Bronstert, A.
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EARTH sciences ,WINTER storms ,HILBERT-Huang transform ,GLACIERS ,EARTHQUAKES ,INJECTION wells ,STATISTICAL learning - Abstract
Estimating the frequency and magnitude of natural hazards largely hinges on stationary models, which do not account for changes in the climatological, hydrological, and geophysical baseline conditions. Using five diverse case studies encompassing various natural hazard types, we present advanced statistical and machine learning methods to analyze and model transient states from long‐term inventory data. A novel storminess metric reveals increasing European winter windstorm severity from 1950 to 2010. Non‐stationary extreme value models quantify trends, seasonal shifts, and regional differences in extreme precipitation for Germany between 1941 and 2021. Utilizing quantile sampling and empirical mode decomposition on 148 years of daily weather and discharge data in the European Alps, we assess the impacts of changing snow cover, precipitation, and anthropogenic river network modifications on river runoff. Moreover, a probabilistic framework estimates return periods of glacier lake outburst floods in the Himalayas, demonstrating large differences in 100‐year flood levels. Utilizing a Bayesian change point algorithm, we track the onset of increased seismicity in the southern central United States and find correlation with wastewater injections into deep wells. In conclusion, data science reveals transient states for very different natural hazard types, characterized by diverse forms of change, ranging from gradual trends to sudden change points and from altered seasonality to overall intensity variations. In synergy with the physical understanding of Earth science, we gain important new insights into the dynamics of the studied hazards and their possible mechanisms. Plain Language Summary: According to global databases on natural hazard events and associated risks, there has been a noteworthy escalation in the extent of economic losses during past decades. It is important but difficult to distinguish and disentangle trends due to changing hazard occurrence or damage potential. Accurately quantifying altered hazards requires high‐quality data sets and robust statistical methodologies. Here, we present recent progress in earth and data science toward a quantitative assessment of natural hazards in a changing world. We show that winter storms have become more frequent and more severe in Europe; that extreme precipitation in Germany shows seasonal shifts and changing intensities with regional variation; that river runoff in Central Europe is changing due to modifications of the river network, declining snowpacks, and changes in precipitation; that frequency of glacier lake outburst floods in the Himalayas have remained unchanged over the past 30 years despite rapid glacier melt and lake growth; and that earthquake activity in Oklahoma (USA) has increased with the onset of wastewater injection wells. We infer that recent advances in data science can efficiently provide new knowledge from big data sets, but interpreting these results needs a solid understanding and rather detailed analysis of the underlying processes. Key Points: Time‐dependent approaches are key to capture changing hazards, with diverse altered frequencies, intensities, timing or spatial occurrencesAdvances in data‐driven methods and increasing availability of geodata foster new ways to detect changes in natural hazardsOver‐simplification or averaging over large scales in time or space cause severe information loss and may hide the mechanisms for change [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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29. Debris cover effects on energy and mass balance of Batura Glacier in the Karakoram over the past 20 years.
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Zhu, Yu, Liu, Shiyin, Brock, Ben W., Tian, Lide, Yi, Ying, Xie, Fuming, Shangguan, Donghui, and Shen, Yiyuan
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GLACIERS ,HEAT radiation & absorption ,HEAT conduction ,SURFACE energy ,LATENT heat ,ENERGY transfer ,ENERGY budget (Geophysics) ,ECHO sounding - Abstract
The influence of supraglacial debris cover on glacier mass balance in the Karakoram is noteworthy. However, understanding of how debris cover affects the seasonal and long-term variations in glacier mass balance through alterations in the glacier's energy budget is incomplete. The present study coupled an energy–mass balance model with heat conduction within debris layers on debris-covered Batura Glacier in Hunza Valley to demonstrate the influence of debris cover on glacial surface energy and mass exchanges during 2000–2020. The mass balance of Batura Glacier is estimated to be -0.262±0.561 m w.e. yr -1 , with debris cover accounting for a 45 % reduction in the negative mass balance. Due to the presence of debris cover, a significant portion of incoming energy is utilized for heating debris, leading to a large energy emission to the atmosphere via thermal radiation and turbulent sensible heat. This, in turn, reduces the melt latent heat energy at the glacier surface. We found that the mass balance exhibits a pronounced arch-shaped structure along the elevation gradient, which is associated with the distribution of debris thickness and the increasing impact of debris cover on the energy budget with decreasing elevation. Through a comprehensive analysis of the energy transfer within each debris layer, we have demonstrated that the primary impact of debris cover lies in its ability to modify the energy flux reaching the surface of the glacier. Thicker debris cover results in a smaller temperature gradient within debris layers, consequently reducing energy reaching the debris–ice interface. Over the past 2 decades, Batura Glacier has exhibited a trend towards less negative mass balance, likely linked to a decrease in air temperature and reduced ablation in areas with thin or sparse debris cover. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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30. Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments.
- Author
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Hunt, Kieran M. R., Baudouin, Jean-Philippe, Turner, Andrew G., Dimri, A. P., Jeelani, Ghulam, Pooja, Chattopadhyay, Rajib, Cannon, Forest, Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P., and Palazzi, Eliza
- Subjects
WEATHER hazards ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,CYCLONES ,WESTERLIES ,WATER security ,HAILSTORMS ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Western disturbances (WDs) are synoptic-scale weather systems embedded within the subtropical westerly jet. Manifesting as upper-level troughs often associated with a lower-tropospheric low over Western India, they share some dynamical features with extratropical cyclones. WDs are most common during the boreal winter (December to March), during which they bring the majority of precipitation – both rain and snow – to the Western Himalaya, as well as to surrounding areas of north India, Pakistan and the Tibetan Plateau. WDs are also associated with weather hazards such as heavy snowfall, hailstorms, fog, cloudbursts, avalanches, frost, and coldwaves. In this paper, we review the recent understanding and development on WDs. Recent studies have collectively made use of novel data, novel analysis techniques, and the increasing availability of high-resolution weather and climate models. This review is separated into six main sections – structure and thermodynamics, precipitation and impacts, teleconnections, modelling experiments, forecasting at a range of scales, and paleoclimate and climate change – each motivated with a brief discussion of the accomplishments and limitations of previous research. A number of step changes in understanding are synthesised. Use of new modelling frameworks and tracking algorithms has significantly improved knowledge of WD structure and variability, and a more frequentist approach can now be taken. Improved observation systems have helped quantification of water security over the Western Himalaya. Convection-permitting models have improved our understanding of how WDs interact with the Himalayas to trigger natural hazards. Improvements in paleoclimate and future climate modelling experiments have helped to explain how WDs and their impacts over the Himalaya respond to large-scale natural and anthropogenic forcings. We end by summarising unresolved questions and outlining key future WD research topics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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31. High-resolution physicochemical dataset of atmospheric aerosols over the Tibetan Plateau and its surroundings.
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Xu, Jianzhong, Zhang, Xinghua, Zhao, Wenhui, Zhai, Lixiang, Zhong, Miao, Shi, Jinsen, Sun, Junying, Liu, Yanmei, Xie, Conghui, Tan, Yulong, Li, Kemei, Ge, Xinlei, Zhang, Qi, and Kang, Shichang
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC aerosols ,CARBONACEOUS aerosols ,CLOUD condensation nuclei ,HYDROLOGIC cycle ,RADIATIVE forcing ,PARTICLE size distribution - Abstract
Atmospheric aerosol in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and its surroundings has attracted significant scientific interest in recent decades due to its notable impacts on regional climatic and cryospheric changes, ecological and environmental security, and the hydrological cycle. However, our understanding of the atmospheric aerosol in this remote region is highly limited by the scarcity of available datasets owing to the extremely harsh natural conditions. This challenge has been mitigated in recent decades by establishing field observatories at typical sites within the TP and its surroundings. A continuous project initiated in 2015 aims to explore the properties and sources of atmospheric aerosols, as well as their regional differences, through multiple short-term intensive observations obtained across this vast region utilizing a suite of high-time-resolution online instruments. This paper presents a systematic and hourly scale dataset of aerosol physicochemical and optical properties at eight sites across the TP and its surroundings that is derived from the project. It includes size-resolved chemical compositions of submicron aerosols, high-resolution mass spectra and sources of organic aerosols, size distributions of particle number concentrations, particle light-scattering and light-absorption coefficients, particle light absorptions attributed to different carbonaceous substances including black carbon and brown carbon, and number concentrations of cloud condensation nuclei. In brief, atmospheric aerosols in these remote sites were all well mixed and highly aged, reflecting their dominant regional transport sources. However, the southern TP region exhibited high contributions of carbonaceous organic aerosols, neutralized bulk submicron aerosols, and a relatively high light-absorption capacity, whereas in the northern TP region, secondary inorganic species were the main contributors to the overall acidic submicron aerosols. Beyond providing insights into the regional differences in aerosol sources and properties across the TP and its surroundings, the datasets will also benefit simulations of aerosol radiative forcing and evaluations of interactions among different Earth system components in numerical models for this region. The datasets are accessible through the National Cryosphere Desert Data Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences (10.12072/ncdc.NIEER.db2200.2022; Xu, 2022). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Predicting the Risk of Glacial Lake Outburst Floods in Karakorum.
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Bazai, Nazir Ahmed, Carling, Paul A., Cui, Peng, Hao, Wang, Guotao, Zhang, Dingzhu, Liu, and Hassan, Javed
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GLACIAL lakes ,CLIMATE feedbacks ,GLACIERS ,WATERSHEDS ,WATER pressure ,ALPINE glaciers - Abstract
Glacier snouts respond to climate change by forming proglacial meltwater lakes, thereby influencing glacier mass balance and leading to advancements and surges. The positive feedback of climate change results in more frequent ice-dammed glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) in the Karakorum and surrounding regions, often facilitated by englacial conduits. However, the complex and multi-factor processes of conduit development are challenging to measure. Determining the lake depths that might trigger GLOFs and the numerical model specifications for breaching are still being determined. Empirical estimates of lake volumes, along with field-based monitoring of lake levels and depths and the assessment of GLOF risks, enable warnings and damage mitigation. Using historical data, remote sensing techniques, high-resolution imagery, cross-correlation feature-tracking, and field-based data, we identified the processes of lake formation, drainage timing, and triggering depth. We developed empirical approaches to determine lake volume and trigger water pressure leading to a GLOF. The correlation of glacier surge and lake volume reveals that glacier surge velocity plays a crucial role in lake formation and controlling the size and volume of the lake. Lake volume estimation involves geometric considerations of the lake basin shape. A GLOF becomes likely when the lake's non-dimensional depth (n') exceeds 0.60, correlating with a typical water pressure on the dam face of 510 kPa. Additionally, we identified the critical risk zone of lakes, where all lake outburst floods occur, as the point where the lake volume reaches or exceeds 60 % of its capacity. These field-based and empirical findings not only offer valuable insights for early warning procedures in the Karakorum but also suggest that similar approaches can be effectively applied to other mountain environments worldwide where GLOFs pose a hazard. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Observations of the vertical distributions of summertime atmospheric pollutants in Nam Co: OH production and source analysis.
- Author
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Chengzhi Xing, Cheng Liu, Chunxiang Ye, Xiangguang Ji, Jingkai Xue, Jinping Ou, Hongyu Wu, and Qihou Hu
- Abstract
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a key role in regional environment and global climate change, however, the lack of vertical observation hinders a deeper understanding of the atmospheric chemistry and atmospheric oxidation capacity (AOC) on the TP. In this study, we conducted MAX-DOAS measurements at Nam Co, central TP, to observe the vertical profiles of aerosol, water vapor, NO
2 , HONO and O3 from May to July 2019. In addition to NO2 mainly exhibiting a Gaussian shape with the maximum value appearing at 300-400 m, other four species all showed an exponential shape and decreased with the increase of height. The maximum values of monthly averaged aerosol (0.17 km-1 ) and O3 (66.71 ppb) occurred on May, water vapor (3.68×1017 molec cm-3 ) and HONO (0.13 ppb) appeared on July, while NO2 (0.39 ppb) occurred on June at 200-400 m layer. Water vapor, HONO and O3 all exhibited a multi-peak pattern, and aerosol appeared a bi-peak pattern for their averaged diurnal variation. Moreover, we found O3 and HONO were the main contributors to OH on the TP. The averaged vertical profiles of OH production rates from O3 and HONO all exhibited an exponential shape, and decreased with the increase of height with the maximum values of 2.61 ppb/h and 0.49 ppb/h at the bottom layer, respectively. In addition, source analysis for HONO and O3 were conducted based on vertical observations. The heterogeneous reaction of NO2 on wet surfaces was a significant source of HONO, which obviously associated with water vapor concentration and aerosol extinction. The maximum values of HONO/NO2 appeared around water vapor being 1.0×1017 molec cm-3 and aerosol being lager 0.15 km-1 under 1.0 km, and the maximum values usually accompanied with water vapor being 1.0-2.0×1017 molec cm-3 and aerosol being lager 0.02 km-1 at 1.0-2.0 km. O3 was potentially sourced from south Asian subcontinent and Himalayas through long-range transport. Our results enrich the new understanding of vertical distribution of atmospheric components and explained the strong AOC on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Two Decades of Glacier and Glacial Lake Change in the Dhauladhar Mountain Range, Himachal Himalayas, India (2000–2020).
- Author
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Rai, Shashi Kant, Dhar, Sunil, Sahu, Rakesh, and Kumar, Arun
- Abstract
This study represents a first of its kind effort in generating a comprehensive database of glaciers (74) and glacial lakes (43) in the Dhauladhar Mountain Range (DMR) located in the Himachal Himalaya region using cloud-free remote sensing data during 2000–2020. The database was constructed by utilizing satellite imagery with varying resolutions, including Landsat 7 ETM + (2000; 30/15 m), Sentinel 2A (2020; 10 m), LISS IV (2020; 5.8 m), and Planet Scope (2020; 3 m). Furthermore, by utilizing slope-dependent numerical approaches, power scaling methods, and modelling techniques (GlabTop2 and HIGTHIM), an attempt has been undertaken to assess the glacier ice thickness, volume and water stored in the DMR. The overall extent of glaciers has exhibited a decline from 50.8 (± 4.38 km
2 ) to 42.84 (± 0.83 km2 ) during the course of the past two decades (2000–2020), resulting in a total reduction of 7.98 ± 4.45 km2 (~ 15.71 ± 8.76%). Nevertheless, while considering glacier lakes, there has been an observed increase in both number and size. Specifically, the number of glacier lakes has risen from 36 (with an average area of 0.91 ± 0.36 km2 ) in 2000 to 43 (with an average area of 1.18 ± 0.08 km2 ) in 2020. This represents a growth rate of 19.45% in terms of number and 29 ± 40.5% in terms of size. The presence of seven newly formed lakes can be attributed to their proglacial nature, indicating and providing evidence for the retreat of the glacier that previously occupied the area. The estimation of ice thickness utilizing the GlabTop2 and HIGTHIM models indicates a range of ice thickness from 9 ± 0.9 to 111.69 ± 11.7 m, with mean values of 36.51 ± 3.63 and 33.37 ± 4.32 m, respectively. The estimated volume and mass of glacier ice are reported as 10.4 ± 0.24 km3 and 9.36 ± 0.22 gigatons, respectively. Our meteorological trend analysis suggests that temperature increases with a slope of 0.023 °K a−1 and precipitation decrease with a slope of 1.425 mm a−1 between 1940 and 2022. Increased accumulation season temperature (winter time) is the primary cause for the reduction of glacier coverage. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of glacier dynamics and their impact on water supply. The generated glacier lake inventory assumes significance specifically for the stakeholders in the formulation of a complete risk assessment strategy for future glacier lake outburst floods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Velocity variations and hydrological drainage at Baltoro Glacier, Pakistan.
- Author
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Wendleder, Anna, Bramboeck, Jasmin, Izzard, Jamie, Erbertseder, Thilo, d'Angelo, Pablo, Schmitt, Andreas, Quincey, Duncan J., Mayer, Christoph, and Braun, Matthias H.
- Subjects
GLACIER speed ,GLACIERS ,GLOBAL warming ,RELATIVE velocity ,SNOWMELT ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature - Abstract
Glacial meltwater directly influences glacier dynamics. However, in the case of debris-covered glaciers, the drivers of glacier velocity and the influence of supraglacial lakes have not yet been sufficiently analysed and understood. We present a spatio-temporal analysis of key glacier characteristics for Baltoro Glacier in the Karakoram from October 2016 to September 2022 based on Earth observation data and climate parameters extracted from the High Asia Refined analysis (HAR) data set. For the glacier variables, we used surface velocity, supraglacial lake extent, melt of snow and ice, and proglacial run-off index. For climate variables, we focused on air temperature and precipitation. The surface velocity of Baltoro Glacier was characterized by a spring speed-up, summer peak, and fall speed-up with a relative increase in summer of 0.2–0.3 m d -1 (75 %–100 %) in relation to winter velocities, triggered by the onset of or an increase in basal sliding. Snow and ice melt have the largest impact on the spring speed-up, summer velocity peak, and the transition from inefficient to efficient subglacial drainage. The melt covered up to 64 % (353 km 2) of the entirety (debris-covered and debris-free) of Baltoro Glacier and reached up to 4700 m a.s.l. during the first melt peak and up to 5600 m a.s.l. during summer. The temporal delay between the initial peak of seasonal melt and the first relative velocity maximum decreases downglacier. Drainage from supraglacial lakes (3.6–5.9 km 2) contributed to the fall speed-up, which showed a 0.1–0.2 m d -1 (20 %–30 %) lower magnitude compared to the summer velocity peak. Most of the run-off can be attributed to the melt of snow and ice. However, from mid-June onward, the lakes play an increasing role, even though their contribution is estimated to be only about half of that of the melt. The observed increase in summer air temperatures leads to a greater extent of melt, as well as to a rise in the number and total area of supraglacial lakes. This tendency is expected to intensify in a future warming climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Tropical tropospheric aerosol sources and chemical composition observed at high altitude in the Bolivian Andes.
- Author
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Moreno, C. Isabel, Krejci, Radovan, Jaffrezo, Jean-Luc, Uzu, Gaëlle, Alastuey, Andrés, Andrade, Marcos F., Mardóñez, Valeria, Koenig, Alkuin Maximilian, Aliaga, Diego, Mohr, Claudia, Ticona, Laura, Velarde, Fernando, Blacutt, Luis, Forno, Ricardo, Whiteman, David N., Wiedensohler, Alfred, Ginot, Patrick, and Laj, Paolo
- Subjects
CARBONACEOUS aerosols ,BIOMASS burning ,TROPOSPHERIC aerosols ,CALCIUM ions ,ALTITUDES ,METROPOLITAN areas ,ORGANIC compounds ,AEROSOLS - Abstract
The chemical composition of PM 10 and non-overlapping PM 2.5 was studied at the summit of Mt. Chacaltaya (5380 m a.s.l., lat. - 16.346950°, long. - 68.128250°) providing a unique long-term record spanning from December 2011 to March 2020. The chemical composition of aerosol at the Chacaltaya Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) site is representative of the regional background, seasonally affected by biomass burning practices and by nearby anthropogenic emissions from the metropolitan area of La Paz–El Alto. Concentration levels are clearly influenced by seasons with minima occurring during the wet season (December to March) and maxima occurring during the dry and transition seasons (April to November). Ions, total carbon (EC + OC), and saccharide interquartile ranges for concentrations are 558–1785, 384–1120, and 4.3–25.5 ng m -3 for bulk PM 10 and 917–2308, 519–1175, and 3.9–24.1 ng m -3 for PM 2.5 , respectively, with most of the aerosol seemingly present in the PM 2.5 fraction. Such concentrations are overall lower compared to other high-altitude stations around the globe but higher than Amazonian remote sites (except for OC). For PM 10 , there is dominance of insoluble mineral matter (33 %–56 % of the mass), organic matter (7 %–34 %), and secondary inorganic aerosol (15 %–26 %). Chemical composition profiles were identified for different origins: EC, NO 3- , NH 4+ , glucose, and C 2 O 42- for the nearby urban and rural areas; OC, EC, NO 3- , K + , acetate, formate, levoglucosan, and some F - and Br - for biomass burning; MeSO 3- , Na + , Mg 2+ , K + , and Ca 2+ for aged marine emissions from the Pacific Ocean; arabitol, mannitol, and glucose for biogenic emissions; Na + , Ca 2+ , Mg 2+ , and K + for soil dust; and SO 42- , F - , and some Cl - for volcanism. Regional biomass burning practices influence the soluble fraction of the aerosol between June and November. The organic fraction is present all year round and has both anthropogenic (biomass burning and other combustion sources) and natural (primary and secondary biogenic emissions) origins, with the OC/EC mass ratio being practically constant all year round (10.5 ± 5.7, IQR 8.1–13.3). Peruvian volcanism has dominated the SO 42- concentration since 2014, though it presents strong temporal variability due to the intermittence of the sources and seasonal changes in the transport patterns. These measurements represent some of the first long-term observations of aerosol chemical composition at a continental high-altitude site in the tropical Southern Hemisphere. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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- View/download PDF
37. New particle formation induced by anthropogenic–biogenic interactions on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau.
- Author
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Lai, Shiyi, Qi, Ximeng, Huang, Xin, Lou, Sijia, Chi, Xuguang, Chen, Liangduo, Liu, Chong, Liu, Yuliang, Yan, Chao, Li, Mengmeng, Liu, Tengyu, Nie, Wei, Kerminen, Veli-Matti, Petäjä, Tuukka, Kulmala, Markku, and Ding, Aijun
- Subjects
MONOTERPENES ,ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer ,CLOUD condensation nuclei ,ATMOSPHERIC aerosols ,CHEMICAL models - Abstract
New particle formation (NPF) plays a crucial role in the atmospheric aerosol population and has significant implications on climate dynamics, particularly in climate-sensitive zones such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, our understanding of NPF on the TP is still limited due to a lack of comprehensive measurements and verified model simulations. To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted an integrated study combining comprehensive field measurements and chemical transport modeling to investigate NPF events on the southeastern TP during the pre-monsoon season. NPF was observed to occur frequently on clear-sky days on the southeastern TP, contributing significantly to the cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) budget in this region. The observational evidence suggests that highly oxygenated organic molecules (HOMs) from monoterpene oxidation participate in the nucleation on the southeastern TP. After updating the monoterpene oxidation chemistry and nucleation schemes in the meteorology–chemistry model, the model well reproduces observed NPF and reveals an extensive occurrence of NPF across the southeastern TP. The dominant nucleation mechanism is the synergistic nucleation of sulfuric acid, ammonia, and HOMs, driven by the transport of anthropogenic precursors from South Asia and the presence of abundant biogenic gases. By investigating the vertical distribution of NPF, we find a significant influence of vertical transport on the southeastern TP. More specifically, strong nucleation near the surface leads to an intense formation of small particles, which are subsequently transported upward. These particles experience enhanced growth to larger sizes in the upper planetary boundary layer (PBL) due to favorable conditions such as lower temperatures and a reduced condensation sink. As the PBL evolves, the particles in larger sizes are brought back to the ground, resulting in a pronounced increase in near-surface particle concentrations. This study highlights the important roles of anthropogenic–biogenic interactions and meteorological dynamics in NPF on the southeastern TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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- View/download PDF
38. A review on atmospheric volatile halogenated hydrocarbons in China: ambient levels, trends and human health risks.
- Author
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Ji, Yuanyuan, Zhang, Hao, Yan, Xiaoyu, Li, Yunfeng, Chai, Fahe, and Li, Hong
- Abstract
Strict control measures on atmospheric volatile halogenated hydrocarbons (VHCs) have been taken in China over the past decades to protect the ozone layer, combat climate change, and protect human health and natural ecosystem. It is necessary to obtain overall understanding of the atmospheric dispersion characteristics and human health risks of VHCs in order to provide scientific support for further effective control in China. This paper investigated the reasons for the variations of VHCs in the urban areas in China from 2001 to 2020 based on literature review and collation, and also evaluated the human health risk of harmful VHCs to the exposed populations in the urban areas in China. The study results showed that the variation trends for six groups of VHCs corresponded well to the temporal starting point and persistence of the measures taken, and concentrations of some controlled VHCs species showed a significant decreasing trend since they were banned. While progress continues to be made in the control of VHCs, it is worth noting that some harmful VHCs imposed obvious carcinogenic risks to the exposed human in China, which means that special attention should still be paid to control the emissions of harmful VHCs in the future with China's continuous compliance with the Vienna Convention and the Montreal Protocol. The shortcomings in long-term continuity, spatial representativeness, completeness of key species, and analytical comparability of the current atmospheric VHCs measurements in China limit the acquisition of a more comprehensive and scientific understanding of VHCs pollution in China in this review. Nevertheless, the review could still provide some useful information on VHCs in China, which would improve the understanding of the overall situation and control of VHCs in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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- View/download PDF
39. Ex-post assessment of climate and hydrological projections: reliability of CMPI6 outputs in Northern Italy.
- Author
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Fuso, Flavia, Bombelli, Giovanni Martino, and Bocchiola, Daniele
- Subjects
AUTOMATIC meteorological stations ,DOWNSCALING (Climatology) ,WATERSHEDS ,HYDROLOGIC models ,HYDROLOGY - Abstract
This paper presents a validation of outputs from some GCMs of the CMIP6 project when used to assess climate projection and hydrological flows at a catchment scale for the case study area of the Lombardy region (Northern Italy). The modeling chain consists of (i) a choice of climatic scenarios from 10 GCMs of the CMIP6, (ii) the application of a stochastic downscaling procedure to make projections usable at the local scale, and (iii) the use of a semi-distributed physically based hydrological model Poli-Hydro for the generation of hydrological scenarios. Data on observed precipitation and temperature were collected from automatic weather stations, and the hydrological budget of four target catchments within the study area was assessed using Poli-Hydro. An ex-post (back-casting) analysis was performed upon the control data series from the GCMs by comparing statistics of relevant climate variables and model-simulated discharges against observed counterparts during the historical period 2002–2014. Then, during 2015–2021, the goodness of projections was assessed using confidence intervals. Our results show that the accuracy of GCMs in representing regional climate is not always reflected in a credible evaluation of local hydrology. The validation of climate patterns provides somewhat poor results; thus, the interaction among climate and hydrology needs to be explored carefully to warrant the credibility of hydrological scenarios. Overall, the spatial and temporal consistency of GCM projections, as explored here climatically and hydrologically, provides a clue about their dependability for basin scale management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Environmental challenges and concurrent trend of weather extremes over Uttarakhand Himalaya.
- Author
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Kumar, Pramod, Patel, Arbind, Rai, Jaya, and Kumar, Prem
- Subjects
EXTREME weather ,FORCED migration ,LEAF area index ,CLIMATE extremes ,RAINFALL frequencies ,SOIL moisture - Abstract
Environmental challenges, including climate change-influenced weather extremes over the hilly region, are a major issue for the sustenance/ livelihood of Uttarakhand Himalayan biodiversity. The very high maximum temperature during summer days makes the area vulnerable to frequent forest fires, while the increasing frequency of intense rainfall proves devastating to infrastructure, croplands, and vegetation. Such erratic climate patterns make it increasingly difficult for people to live in the mountains and thus lead to climate-forced migration towards the plains. The investigation is concerned with weather/climate extremes and precisely how this affects the Himalayan people of Uttarakhand. Analysis of the extreme precipitation and temperature indicators for landslides and forest fire events has been performed. For the entire Uttarakhand region, strong declining trends have been observed for total precipitation, total runoff, soil water content, and leaf area index (LAI) for the ERA5 reanalysis datasets from 1981 to 2020 (40 years). Over central to western Uttarakhand, a consistent increase in the number of consecutive dry days is noticed both in the winter and the summer. The upper elevations of Uttarakhand nonetheless perceive days that are very wet and rainy. Over the hilly regions of Uttarakhand, elevation-dependent warming (EDW) continues to worsen climatic and weather extremes, making sustenance challenging. Over higher elevations, intense rainfall events are the main cause of landslides and flash floods. The frequency of very warm days and nights formerly increases over Uttarakhand's mountainous region, while the number of very cold days and nights declines. In the past forty years, there has been a rise in weather extremes in the Uttarakhand Himalaya. However, the community and decision-makers believe it difficult to cope with the extreme weather driven due to climate change. Thereafter, findings of this study will support in developing policies for the long-term development of Uttarakhand's mountainous regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. The effects of snow on albedo in the mountains of Iran using MODIS data.
- Author
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Motlagh, Omid Reza Kefayat, Khosravi, Mahmood, and Masoodian, Seyed Abolfazl
- Subjects
MODIS (Spectroradiometer) ,SNOW cover ,ALBEDO ,MOUNTAIN soils ,LAND surface temperature ,SPRING ,SUMMER - Abstract
One of the parameters affecting albedo is snow. Therefore, the effects of snow on albedo can be a tool to understand environmental changes. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) continuously produces snow and albedo products of the land surface on a global scale and with appropriate spatial resolution and makes them available to researchers. In this study, to investigate the relationship between albedo and snow in Iran, first, the daily data of the MODIS sensor MCD43A4 and MOD10A1 products in the area of Iran in the period of 1/1/2001 to 12/30/2021 for 6770 days were downloaded from the NASA website. Since the temperature conditions for snowfall are provided from an altitude of 1700 m, was calculated the seasonal and long-term correlation between albedo and snow at altitudes above 1700 m. These altitudes, which cover 27% of Iran's area, were known as Iran's Mountains (Mts.). The results showed that in the winter and autumn seasons, which are known as Iran's snowy seasons, the land surface albedo also increases with the increase in snow cover. Therefore, in these seasons, the correlation between albedo and snow over Iran's Mts. is strongly positive. In these seasons, positive correlation covers 91 and 81% of Iran's Mts., respectively. In spring, there is a strong positive correlation in high altitudes and a weak positive/negative correlation in low altitudes. The negative correlation in the spring season is due to the delay in the measuring time of the sensor and the conversion of precipitation from solid to liquid. In the summer season, due to the establishment of Subtropical High-Pressure Systems Azores and the increase in air temperature, the snow cover of the Mts. disappears and the albedo was expected to decrease. But with the reduction of snow cover, albedo has increased. As a result, in these seasons, the correlation between albedo and snow over Iran's Mts. is negative. It seems that the increase in albedo in spring and especially summer is caused by the increase in the land surface temperature (LST), which requires separate research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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- View/download PDF
42. A low-cost and open-source approach for supraglacial debris thickness mapping using UAV-based infrared thermography.
- Author
-
Messmer, Jérôme and Groos, Alexander Raphael
- Subjects
MASS budget (Geophysics) ,THERMOGRAPHY ,ALPINE glaciers ,HYDROLOGIC cycle ,SURFACE temperature ,MELTING points ,SURFACE energy ,SPATIAL variation - Abstract
Debris-covered glaciers exist in many mountain ranges and play an important role in the regional water cycle. However, modelling the surface mass balance, runoff contribution and future evolution of debris-covered glaciers is fraught with uncertainty as accurate observations on small-scale variations in debris thickness and sub-debris ice melt rates are only available for a few locations worldwide. Here we describe a customised low-cost unoccupied aerial vehicle (UAV) for high-resolution thermal imaging of mountain glaciers and present a complete open-source pipeline that facilitates the generation of accurate surface temperature and debris thickness maps from radiometric images. First, a radiometric orthophoto is computed from individual radiometric UAV images using structure-from-motion and multi-view-stereo techniques. User-specific calibration and correction procedures can then be applied to the radiometric orthophoto to account for atmospheric and environmental influences that affect the radiometric measurement. The thermal orthophoto reveals distinct spatial variations in surface temperature across the surveyed debris-covered area. Finally, a high-resolution debris thickness map is derived from the corrected thermal orthophoto using an empirical or inverse surface energy balance model that relates surface temperature to debris thickness and is calibrated against in situ measurements. Our results from a small-scale experiment on the Kanderfirn (also known as Kander Neve) in the Swiss Alps show that the surface temperature and thickness of a relatively thin debris layer (ca. 0–15 cm) can be mapped with high accuracy using an empirical or physical model. On snow and ice surfaces, the mean deviation of the mapped surface temperature from the melting point (∼ 0 ∘ C) was 0.6 ± 2.0 ∘ C. The root-mean-square error of the modelled debris thickness was 1.3 cm. Through the detailed mapping, typical small-scale debris features and debris thickness patterns become visible, which are not spatially resolved by the thermal infrared sensors of current-generation satellites. The presented approach paves the way for comprehensive high-resolution supraglacial debris thickness mapping and opens up new opportunities for more accurate monitoring and modelling of debris-covered glaciers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Runoff modelling and quantification of supraglacial debris impact on seasonal streamflow in the highly glacierized catchments of the western Karakoram in Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan.
- Author
-
Hussain, Saulat, Zhang, Yinsheng, Majeed, Ulfat, and Rashid, Irfan
- Subjects
RUNOFF models ,SNOWMELT ,STREAMFLOW ,SEASONS ,SNOW cover ,GLACIERS - Abstract
A precise estimation of seasonal runoff and accurate quantification of discharge components is imperative for understanding the hydroclimatic regimes in mountainous regions. This study aimed to investigate daily discharge processes and seasonal runoff composition by employing a temperature-index Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) using in-situ hydro-meteorological data and limited field observations with a combination of remote sensing data in the debris-covered and clean-ice glaciers. This analysis showed that meltwater production was reduced by 26.5% considering clean-ice and debris-cover ice scenarios necessitating the importance of incorporating debris cover and debris thickness information in temperature-index and snowmelt runoff models. The simulation of daily discharge shows satisfactory agreement with the coefficient of determination (0.89–0.91) and the Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (0.85–0.88) for the calibration (2001–02) and validation (2003–10) periods, respectively. Decadal analysis of supraglacial debris-covered area changes shows a 0.37% increase per year on average exhibiting negligible effect on glacier melting and associated flow regimes. Analysis of MODIS snow cover data revealed that the seasonal snow cover varies between 80% in winter and 30% in summer. Negative trends in the snow cover were observed during winter and slightly increasing trends during summers indicated a decreasing influence of westerlies and a strengthening of the Indian summer monsoon system over the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Magdalena Tagliaferro: repertório e performances segundo a crítica musical francesa.
- Author
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Daher, Anderson
- Subjects
WEBSITES ,SOUND studios ,FRENCH music ,MUSIC critics ,SOUND recording industry ,MUSICAL criticism - Abstract
Copyright of Revista Vortex is the property of Escola de Musica e Belas Artes do Parana and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Experimental Analysis Of Rotor Blade In Wind Turbine Using Composite Materials With Natural Fiber.
- Author
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Chandana, M. Siry and Radha, K. Kalyani
- Subjects
NATURAL fibers ,WIND turbine blades ,COMPOSITE materials ,ROTORS ,ALUMINUM alloys ,GLASS fibers - Abstract
Rotor blades are a critical structural component of the tidal turbine since they are responsible for harvesting the kinetic energy of the water and transmitting it through the main drive train to the generator. At hand the rotor blades are manufactured using the materials like Conventional Steels and Aluminium Alloys. With the use of these existing materials it results in relatively low fracture toughness in high strength conditions, limited performance at elevated temperature. One of the main drawback of steel is suspected to corrosion and it also loses its properties at high temperatures. To overcome this issue Composite Material is being used. Rotor blade is made up of composite materials. The materials are glass fiber epoxy and natural fiber(sugar cane fiber) with the composition 10% of natural fiber and 90% of glass fiber epoxy. The modeling of the Rotor blade is carried out in SOLID WORKS and analysed using ANSYS FLUENT, Also the rotor blade is fabricated by HAND LAY-UP METHOD. The mechanical properties are tested. The results are validated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
46. Quantifying the effects of the microphysical properties of black carbon on the determination of brown carbon using measurements at multiple wavelengths.
- Author
-
Luo, Jie, Li, Dan, Wang, Yuanyuan, Sun, Dandan, Hou, Weizhen, Ren, Jinghe, Wu, Hailing, Zhou, Peng, and Qiu, Jibing
- Subjects
CARBON-black ,WAVELENGTH measurement ,CHEMICAL models ,RADIATIVE forcing ,LIGHT absorption - Abstract
Methods based on the absorption Ångström exponent (AAE) are widely used to estimate the absorption by brown carbon (BrC), and the estimated absorption by BrC can be significantly different from 0, even for pure black carbon (BC). However, few studies have systematically quantified the effects of BC microphysical properties. Moreover, the conditions under which AAE-based methods are applicable are still unclear. In this work, we used BC models partially coated with non-absorbing materials to calculate the total absorption. Since the total absorption is entirely due to BC, the estimated BrC absorption should be 0 if the retrieval methods are accurate. Thus, the ratio of the estimated BrC absorption to BC absorption (ABS BrC) should be the proportion of the BC absorption that is incorrectly attributed to BrC. The results show that a BC AAE of 1 can generally provide reasonable estimates for freshly emitted BC, since ABS BrC is generally in the range of -4.8 % to 2.7 % during that period. However, when BC aerosols are aged, ABS BrC can sometimes reach about 38.7 %. The wavelength dependence of the AAE (WDA) method does not necessarily improve the estimates; sometimes a negative ABSBrC of about -40.8 % is found for partially coated BC. By combining simulations of a global chemical transport model, this work also quantified the effects of BC microphysical properties on BrC global aerosol absorption optical depth (AAOD) estimates. The AAE = 1 method sometimes leads to a misassigned global mean AAOD of about - 0.43– 0.46×10-3 if the BC aerosols have a complex morphology. The WDA method does not necessarily improve the estimates. In our cases, the WDA methods based on spherical models could lead to a global-mean misassigned AAOD range of about -0.87 – 0.04×10-3. At the regional scale, the AAE = 1 method sometimes leads to a distributed AAOD of about -7.3 to 5.7×10-3 in some specific regions. Mie-theory-based WDA methods lead to an estimated AAOD error of about -22×10-3 in some regions (e.g., East Asia). This work also showed that the misattributed BrC absorption would lead to substantial uncertainties in the estimation of the global direct radiative forcing (DRF) of absorbing aerosols from different sources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Assessing the assimilation of Himawari-8 observations on aerosol forecasts and radiative effects during pollution transport from South Asia to the Tibetan Plateau.
- Author
-
Zhao, Min, Dai, Tie, Goto, Daisuke, Wang, Hao, and Shi, Guangyu
- Subjects
MODIS (Spectroradiometer) ,AEROSOLS ,AIR pollution ,POLLUTION - Abstract
Emissions from South Asia (SA) represent a critical source of aerosols on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), and aerosols can significantly reduce the surface solar energy. To enhance the precision of aerosol forecasting and its radiative effects in SA and the TP, we employed a four-dimensional local ensemble transform Kalman filter (4D-LETKF) aerosol data assimilation (DA) system. This system was utilized to assimilate Himawari-8 aerosol optical thickness (AOT) into the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to depict one SA air pollution outbreak event in spring 2018. Sensitivity tests for the assimilation system were conducted first to tune temporal localization lengths. Comparisons with independent Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) observations demonstrate that the AOT analysis and forecast fields have more reasonable diurnal variations by assimilating all the observations within a 12 h window, which are both better than assimilating the hourly observations in the current assimilation time slot. Assimilation of the entire window of observations with aerosol radiative effect activation significantly improves the prediction of downward solar radiation compared to the free-run experiment. The AOT assimilation with aerosol radiative effect activation led to a reduction in aerosol concentrations over SA, resulting in increased surface radiation, temperature, boundary layer height, and atmospheric instability. These changes facilitated air uplift, promoting aerosol transport from SA to the southeastern TP and leading to an increase in AOT in this region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Hazard assessment of a pair of glacial lakes in Nepal Himalaya: unfolding combined outbursts of Upper and Lower Barun.
- Author
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Gouli, Manish Raj, Hu, Kaiheng, Khadka, Nitesh, and Talchabhadel, Rocky
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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49. Spatial interpolation of water quality index based on Ordinary kriging and Universal kriging.
- Author
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Khan, Mohsin, Almazah, Mohammed M. A., EIlahi, Asad, Niaz, Rizwan, Al-Rezami, A. Y., and Zaman, Baber
- Published
- 2023
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- View/download PDF
50. Climate change and its impacts on glaciers and glacial lakes in Nepal Himalayas.
- Author
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Khadka, Nitesh, Chen, Xiaoqing, Sharma, Shankar, and Shrestha, Bhaskar
- Abstract
Nepal, a Himalayan country, is often chosen by global scientists to study climate change and its impact on the Himalayan environment. The changes in temperature, precipitation, glaciers, and glacial lakes over Nepal are comprehensively reviewed based on published literature and compared with regional studies. Furthermore, the published glacier datasets were used to calculate and analyze the changes in area, equilibrium line of altitude (ELA) and ice reserves to show the response of glaciers to climate change. We find that the warming trend (0.02 to 0.16 °C yr
−1 ) is being more pronounced over Nepal, and heterogeneous changes in precipitation amount, pattern, and frequency are observed with no significant trend. Concurrently, the glaciers are found to be responding with heterogeneous shrinkage in area (− 1 to − 5 km2 yr−1 ), possessing negative mass balance (− 0.3 to − 0.8 m w.e. yr−1 ), decrease in ice volume (− 4.29 km3 yr−1 ) and upward shift of the ELA (~ 20.66 m decade−1 ). The total decrease in ice reserve (− 128.84 km3 ) of Nepal has resulted in ~ 0.32 mm of sea level rise in past 30 years. Moreover, the formation and surface area expansion (0.83 % yr−1 ) of glacial lakes over Nepal have been accelerated. Additionally, we note that Nepal is highly susceptible to glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) events and document a total of 45 reliable reported and unreported historical GLOF events from 39 glacial lakes across Nepal. This review will facilitate a comprehensive understanding of the current state of climate change and the identification of existing knowledge gaps in Nepal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
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