119 results
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2. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of traditional villages: the Yellow River Basin in Henan Province, China.
- Author
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Feng, Yan, Wei, Hong, Huang, Yi, Li, Jingwen, Mu, Zhanqiang, and Kong, Dezheng
- Subjects
WATER conservation projects ,HUMAN settlements ,WATERSHEDS ,BIRTHPLACES ,PROBABILITY density function ,HISTORICAL geography ,CLIMATE change ,TRANSBOUNDARY waters - Abstract
Henan Province is the birthplace of Chinese civilization and one of the earliest human settlements, which means that the area has an important national cultural heritage. Traditional villages are an important facet of this cultural heritage, and studying their spatiotemporal characteristics in different periods has important theoretical and practical significance for the sustainable development and protection of cultural heritage in the region. This paper takes the traditional villages of the Yellow River basin in Henan Province that were formed before 1919 as the research object. Information on the ancient river was obtained through a literature search as well as via field research, and the important tributaries of the Yellow River in different periods were mapped using ArcGIS 10.0 software. The nearest neighbor index, kernel density estimation, standard deviation ellipse and other methods were adopted to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the traditional villages. The factors that influenced the evolution of traditional villages were explored in depth by combining changes in the course of the river and water conservancy projects. The results show that the formation of traditional villages along the Yellow River in Henan Province has experienced a historical track of growth, contraction, growth and prosperity and stability. The traditional villages along the Yellow River in Henan Province generally show a clustered pattern, forming a dense concentration of traditional villages in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. The center of gravity shows a migration trend from southeast to northwest. In terms of influencing factors, the spatiotemporal evolution of the relationship between villages and their distance to water is closely related to climatic fluctuations, changes in channel, water conservancy projects and social and cultural factors. This paper deepens our understanding of the relationship between traditional village evolution and watersheds by improving the consistency between village spatial distribution and historical geography and provides a useful theoretical reference for the sustainable development of China's traditional villages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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3. How to improve total factor energy efficiency under climate change: does export sophistication matter?
- Author
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Liu, Jianmin, Xue, Yan, Mao, Zehong, Irfan, Muhammad, and Wu, Haitao
- Subjects
ENERGY consumption ,FIXED effects model ,IMPULSE response ,ENERGY shortages ,FOREIGN trade promotion ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Climate change has a profound impact on human survival and development. Climate change is an energy and economic issue, which should be driven by technology. Total factor energy efficiency (TFEE) improvement is undoubtedly a breakthrough in solving energy problems. In this paper, the fixed effect model, impulse response function, and threshold regression model are used to test the complex relationship between export sophistication and TFEE. The results reveal that export sophistication improvement leads to higher TFEE. The impulse response results verify the existence of a phased and positive correlation between export sophistication and TFEE. Finally, the relationship between export sophistication and TFEE significantly varied across different threshold levels of regional corruption score, economic development, and openness. This article led the foundation for supporting China's export sophistication promotion strategy and also provides a reference for energy efficiency improvement and energy crisis response in the post-pandemic era. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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4. Recent Progress in Studies on the Influences of Human Activity on Regional Climate over China.
- Author
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Duan, Jianping, Zhu, Hongzhou, Dan, Li, and Tang, Qiuhong
- Subjects
CLIMATE extremes ,CLIMATE change mitigation ,CLIMATE change ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,WIND speed ,DROUGHTS - Abstract
Copyright of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
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5. Climate Informed Non-stationary Modeling of Extreme Precipitation in China.
- Author
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Zhang, Chi, Gu, Xuezhi, Ye, Lei, Xin, Qian, Li, Xiaoyang, and Zhang, Hairong
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RAINSTORMS ,PRECIPITATION variability ,CLIMATE extremes ,EXTREME value theory ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Recent years have witnessed climate change characterized by increasingly frequent extreme precipitation events, and the assumption of stationarity in traditional frequency analyses is gradually being questioned. In terms of the current research status in China, there is a lack of thorough investigations on the linkage between extreme precipitation and climate change. This paper aims to determine the dominant climate indices as well as the corresponding significant time scales and periods affecting extreme precipitation over China for dynamic assessments of the upcoming rainstorm risk. Correlations between 15 climate indices and precipitation extremes, as well as the correlations among climate indices, are fully explored to identify potential predictors for non-stationary modeling. Then, 21 non-stationary generalized extreme value (GEV) models are constructed, and the optimal covariates as well as their lag times with extreme precipitation at 769 stations are ascertained in a Bayesian framework. Finally, a complete predictive process is developed, and the national rainstorm risk under non-stationary conditions is assessed. The results indicate that precipitation extremes remain stationary only at 74 stations (less than 10%). WPI is dominant in modeling the variability in precipitation extremes for nearly 22% of the total stations, ranking first among all the climate indices. The predominant time scale affecting extreme precipitation at the majority of stations is 3 months. Ignoring the non-stationarity of extreme precipitation inevitably leads to misperceptions of rainstorm risks, and the spatial distribution of the maximum case of the design rainstorms under non-stationary conditions differs remarkably from that under stationary conditions. Our findings have important implications for the in-depth understanding of the real drivers of extreme precipitation non-stationary and enable advanced predictions of rainstorm risks for mitigating subsequent disasters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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6. Farming experience and farmers' adoption of low-carbon management practices: the case of soil testing and fertilizer recommendations in China.
- Author
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Yu, Weizhen and Luo, Xiaofeng
- Subjects
SOIL testing ,FERTILIZERS ,CLIMATE change ,RICE farmers ,SOCIAL networks - Abstract
In response to global climate change, the Chinese Government has taken numerous measures to promote low-carbon management practices, but the overall adoption rate has been lower than expected. Empirical studies on the path dependence of farming experience, that is, long-standing planting concepts that will hinder farmers from adopting new technologies, have not been reported. Hence, to fill the research gaps, this paper uses survey data from 805 rice farmers in Zhejiang, Hubei, and Jiangxi provinces, China, to examine the impact of farming experience on the adoption of soil testing and fertilizer recommendations. The results show that farming experience significantly negatively affects the adoption of low-carbon practices, especially among farmers with low resource endowment. However, farmers, who make decisions based jointly on farming experience and social networks, are more likely to adopt low-carbon practices. This means that as long as farming experience is used reasonably, for example, by broadening the social network of farmers and urging them to form a decision-making method that comprehensively utilizes farming experience and social networks, it can also demonstrate value. Our findings contribute meaningfully to the development of efforts to promote the adoption of low-carbon management practices in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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7. Are farmers’ adaptations enhancing food production? Evidence from China.
- Author
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Wang, Yangjie and Chen, Xiaohong
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FOOD production ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,CLIMATE change ,FARMERS ,VEGETATION & climate - Abstract
A primary goal of studying climate change adaptation is to identify the adaptation options that are used to improve crop productivity or reduce the negative impacts of climate change. Many of the adjustments in farm management that farmers adopt do not necessarily represent true adaptations to climate change, an issue often ignored in existing literature and resulting in a risk that policy makers are misled to think that adaptation is easier than it actually is, and thereby underestimate the challenge that climate change presents. The overall goal of this study is to identify whether farmers’ adoptions are enhancing food production and adapting to climate change. The identification uses a plot-level panel from a survey of 619 rural households in three provinces in China and county-level weather data. With the use of plot and county-by-year fixed effects as well as instrumental variable approaches, our estimates show that the autonomous adoptions are not effective in improving crop yields. This implies that farmers’ adoptions cannot be always considered adaptations to climate change. The paper provides a possible explanation for the results and concludes with policy implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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8. Farmers' perception on combined climatic and market risks and their adaptive behaviors: a case in Shandong Province of China.
- Author
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Yarong, Lyu and Minpeng, Chen
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AT-risk behavior ,LOGISTIC regression analysis ,CLIMATE extremes ,RISK perception ,WATER conservation ,DROUGHTS - Abstract
This paper used original survey data in Shandong province of China to depict local farmers' perceptions of combined climatic and market risks, and their adaptive behaviors. Two Logit models were developed to capture the empirical relationship between farmers' risk perception of the combined risks and adaptive behaviors. Results show that farmer's risk perception of climate change and market significantly affected their adoption behavior of adaptive measures, including perception of rainfall decrease, gale decrease, drought increase, and price fall of agricultural products. Moreover farmers' adaptive behaviors are more sensitive to their perceptions of extreme climatic events. Addition of demographic factors can improve the explanatory capacity of the Logit model. As illustrated by the models, male and better educated farmers have greater willingness to take actions for averting risks, while household heads with bigger farm are more reluctant. A majority of respondents chose to construct farm structure for irrigation and water conservation to avert climatic risks. Insurance, which is regarded as an effective tool to help farmers mitigate risks and avoid losses, has not been sufficiently accepted by farmers in rural areas in Shandong province. This underscores the need of effective communication of knowledge to enhance farmers' coping capacity and to encourage their active response to risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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9. The impact of climate change on ski resorts in China.
- Author
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Fang, Yan, Scott, Daniel, and Steiger, Robert
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SKI resorts ,CLIMATE change ,SNOWMAKING ,REGIONAL differences ,SKIING - Abstract
Although ski tourism in China is experiencing a boom, and the number of operating ski areas has significantly increased, the influence of climate change on the future development of China's ski industry has so far largely been overlooked. This paper addresses this important gap by applying the ski season simulation model SkiSim 2.0 at 116 ski areas. Four main indicators of climate change impact were examined: ski season length, operational ski days in economically important season segments, technically produced snow and snowmaking requirements. For all ski resorts in China and all climate change scenarios, average ski seasons are projected to shorten (− 4 to − 61% RCP 4.5; − 6 to − 79% RCP 8.5 in the 2050s) while snowmaking needs increase (27 to 51% RCP 4.5; 46 to 80% RCP 8.5 in the 2050s). The results indicate that high regional differences in climate change vulnerability exist. The implications for altered competitiveness and development potential of the ski industry in China are discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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10. The effects of prenatal exposure to temperature extremes on birth outcomes: the case of China.
- Author
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Chen, Xi, Tan, Chih Ming, Zhang, Xiaobo, and Zhang, Xin
- Subjects
LOW birth weight ,CLIMATE change in literature ,TEMPERATURE ,LITERARY adaptations ,AIR conditioning ,PRENATAL exposure - Abstract
This paper investigates the effects of prenatal exposure to extreme temperatures on birth outcomes—specifically, the log of birth weight and an indicator for low birth weight—using a nationally representative dataset on rural China. During the time period we examine (1991–2000), indoor air conditioning was not widely available and migration was limited, allowing us to address identification issues endemic in the climate change literature related to adaptation and location sorting. We find substantial heterogeneity in the effects of extreme temperature exposure on birth outcomes. In particular, prenatal exposure to heat waves has stronger negative effects than exposure to cold spells on surviving births. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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11. Spatiotemporal variation of vegetation coverage and its associated influence factor analysis in the Yangtze River Delta, eastern China.
- Author
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Yuan, Jia, Xu, Youpeng, Xiang, Jie, Wu, Lei, and Wang, Danqing
- Subjects
TREND analysis ,DELTAS ,NORMALIZED difference vegetation index ,FACTOR analysis ,SUSTAINABLE development ,ECONOMIC security - Abstract
Vegetation is a natural tie that connects the atmosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere, and pedosphere. Quantitatively evaluating the variability of vegetation coverage and exploring its associated influence factors are essential for ecological security and sustainable economic development. In this paper, the spatiotemporal variation of vegetation coverage and its response to climatic factors and land use change were investigated in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) from 2001 to 2015, based on normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data, vegetation type data, climate data, and land use/cover change (LUCC) data. The results indicated that the annual mean vegetation coverage revealed a nonsignificant decreasing trend over the whole YRD. Areas characterized by significant decreasing (P < 0.05) trends were mainly concentrated on the central and northern part of the YRD, and significant increasing (P < 0.05) trends were mainly located in the southern part of the study area. Except for grassland and cultivated crops, vegetation coverage of the other types of vegetation was all exhibiting increasing trends. Temperature has a more pronounced impact on vegetation growth than precipitation at both the annual and monthly scales. Furthermore, vegetation growth exhibited a time lag effect for 1~2 months in response to precipitation, while there was no such phenomenon with temperature. Land use change caused by urbanization is an important driving factor for the decrease of vegetation coverage in the YRD, and the effect of land use change on the vegetation dynamic should not be overlook. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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12. Disentangling the ranges: climate policy scenarios for China and India.
- Author
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Hof, Andries, Kumar, Atul, Deetman, Sebastiaan, Ghosh, Sambita, and Vuuren, Detlef
- Subjects
CLIMATE change research ,GREENHOUSE gases & the environment ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) - Abstract
Greenhouse gas emissions in China and India have been increasing rapidly over the last decade. Scenario studies can provide insight into expected future trends and the emission reduction potential in these regions. The scenarios show that growing population, gross domestic product, and energy demand are likely to lead to a further increase in emissions. At the same time, a decreasing emission intensity would still allow to create decarbonization scenarios in line with the requirements for reaching a maximal warming of 2 °C. There is, however, a wide range of assumptions across these studies. Based on the literature review, this paper observes that key assumptions in scenarios developed by national institutes in China and India differ from those presented by international studies or modeling teams. We explore how this-and other factors like data availability-may influence the interpretation of the scenarios and how international and national modeling groups could learn from each other. Our main recommendation is for more extensive collaboration between national and international research groups, so that national and international scenario studies can be compared in more detail in order to support international negotiations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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13. China automotive energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions outlook to 2050.
- Author
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Lyu, Chuanjun, Ou, Xunmin, and Zhang, Xiliang
- Subjects
AUTOMOTIVE fuel consumption -- Government policy ,CLIMATE change ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,AUTOMOBILE industry ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations ,ENVIRONMENTAL health - Abstract
Energy security and climate change are topics of primary interest in current Chinese policy debates about the international politics, economy, and environment. In the ongoing process of modernization, China will continue to face challenges to provide secure energy supplies and mitigate climate change over time. Given the size of the country, the development and consumption of future energy supplies will have a substantial impact on global energy markets and the local environment and implications for global climate change. China is currently one of the fastest growing regions in the global automobile market and is the world's largest automobile market. As a result, automotive energy has become a core energy and environmental issue for the country. The purpose of this paper is to provide a better understanding of the dynamics of automotive energy development in China in a systematic way by examining the interactions of economics, technology, and policy. The analysis and paper offers an overview of recent automotive energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in China. Two alternative energy scenarios, business as usual (BAU) and integrated policy scenario (IPS), were developed using the Tsinghua China Automotive Energy Model (TCAEM). The two scenarios depict two possible trajectories of automotive energy consumption and GHG emissions out to 2050. These reveal important implications for technology innovation and policy intervention, which are discussed in the context of China developing a sustainable automotive energy industry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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14. Climate change regionalization in China (1961-2010).
- Author
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Shi, PeiJun, Sun, Shao, Wang, Ming, Li, Ning, Wang, Jing'Ai, Jin, YunYun, Gu, XiaoTian, and Yin, WeiXia
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SUSTAINABLE development ,PRECIPITATION anomalies ,CLIMATE change ,ENVIRONMENTAL risk ,DISASTERS - Abstract
Since climatic condition is the important foundation for human subsistence and development and the key factor in sustainable development of economy and society, climate change has been a global issue attracting great attentions of politicians, scientists, governments, and the public alike throughout the world. Existing climate regionalization in China aims to characterize the regional differences in climate based on years of the mean value of different climate indexes. However, with the accelerating climate change nowadays, existing climate regionalization cannot represent the regional difference of climate change, nor can it reflect the disasters and environmental risks incurred from climate changes. This paper utilizes the tendency value and fluctuation value of temperature and precipitation from 1961 to 2010 to identify the climate change quantitatively, and completes the climate change regionalization in China (1961-2010) with county administrative regionalization as the unit in combination with China's terrain feature. Level-I regionalization divides China's climate change (1961-2010) into five tendency zones based on the tendency of temperature and precipitation, which are respectively Northeast China-North China warm-dry trend zone, East China-Central China wet-warm trend zone, Southwest China-South China dry-warm trend zone, Southeast Tibet-Southwest China wet-warm trend zone, and Northwest China-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau warm-wet trend zone; level-II regionalization refers to fourteen fluctuation regions based on level-I regionalization according to the fluctuation of temperature and precipitation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
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15. Review: Progress in permafrost hydrogeology in China.
- Author
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Chang, Juan, Ye, Renzheng, and Wang, Genxu
- Subjects
PERMAFROST ,HYDROGEOLOGY ,GROUNDWATER ,CLIMATE change ,COLD regions - Abstract
Groundwater in China’s permafrost region is vital for humans and cold-climate ecosystems. Permafrost responses to global warming have significantly changed the spatio-temporal patterns and distribution of properties associated with the groundwater system. The main areas of current and past studies on permafrost hydrogeology in China include four aspects: groundwater distribution and dynamics in permafrost regions, interplay between groundwater and permafrost, the impact of permafrost degradation on groundwater, and the regional effect of groundwater changes on the environment in permafrost regions. Over the last 10 years, the development and use of coupled heat-transport and groundwater models have focused on the hydrogeology of permafrost, and on groundwater development and distribution in permafrost regions. Progress in groundwater-related research on issues surrounding permafrost regions of China are comprehensively summarized and discussed in this review paper, which should provide a theoretical basis for further study of the groundwater system and its effects on the ecological environment under climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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16. Local background climate determining the dynamics of plateau lakes in China.
- Author
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Huang, Lin, Xu, Xinliang, Zhai, Jun, and Sun, Chaoyang
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,PLATEAUS ,LAKES ,PERMAFROST ,GLACIERS ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation - Abstract
Lakes under natural conditions are potential indicators of climate change, but limited evidence has been proposed to explicitly explain the mechanisms of large-scale lake changes associated with climate. In this paper, satellite imageries from the 1970s to 2010 were compared to track the dynamic change patterns of plateau lakes. It aims to identify the forcing of climate change on the lakes in plateau regions of China. Results revealed that: (1) widespread expanding trends in the area and abundance of lakes on wetter plateau regions, by increasing precipitation and snow presented a positive effect on lake levels, as well as warming resulted glacier melting and permafrost degrading contributed to expansion of lakes in the regions covered by glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau by 58-62 % and of 13-20 % on the western Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang Plateau; (2) shrinkage lakes in the main portion of the arid regions were mainly caused by the decreasing wind speed resulted water balance change, irrigation and other human utilization of water resources. Although precipitation decreased, wind speed also has the most dominant impact on decreasing evaporation, followed by solar radiation, both of which offset the effect of increasing temperature, especially in eastern Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang Plateau; (3) thawing permafrost led to shrinkage of lakes in an area of seasonal permafrost, the shrinking and splitting of lakes in a discontinuous permafrost zone, and the rising of lake levels in an area of continuous permafrost; (4) the future of the plateau lakes under climate change must be in question, because the glacier and snow melting water is not sustainable for wetter regions, and the increasing water consumption caused by the farmland expansion for arid regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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17. Land use change and soil carbon sequestration in China: Where does it pay to conserve?
- Author
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Li, Man, Wu, JunJie, and Deng, Xiangzheng
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CARBON sequestration ,LAND use ,CLIMATE change ,GRASSLAND restoration ,SOILS ,COST effectiveness - Abstract
This paper estimates the impact of land use change on soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in China from 1985 to 2005 using a nationwide, georeferenced database on land use, soil, and climate. The method presented here is capable of incorporating site-specific information on soil, climate, and land use change into a national-level analysis. We find that grassland restoration contributed to the largest increase in SOC in China from 1985 to 2005, while grassland degradation caused the largest decrease. Overall, land use change resulted in only a small net increase in SOC, by 7.5 TgC (0.02 %), which is statistically insignificant at the 95 % confidence level. A cost-effectiveness analysis indicates that it is important to consider SOC when assessing land conservation programs. Restoring degraded grassland is more cost-effective than returning dry farmland to grassland. Inner Mongolia is a key region for dense grassland restoration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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18. The effect of directed technical change on carbon dioxide emissions: evidence from China's industrial sector at the provincial level.
- Author
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Liu, Liang and Li, Lianshui
- Subjects
CARBON emissions ,PROVINCES - Abstract
Technical change has a pivotal role to play in low-carbon development. Recent research has offered different insights regarding the effect of technical change on CO
2 emissions but ignored the bias of technical changes which lead to changes in CO2 emissions. To fill the gap, this paper uses the 2008 to 2015 provincial-level data on China's 22 industrial sub-sectors to investigate both the effect of directed technical change on CO2 emissions and its heterogeneity. We find that the technical change in most industrial sectors in China was capital-biased, although a labor-biased trend was evident. Labor-biased technical change is conducive to CO2 reduction, while capital-biased technical change has the opposite effect. Moreover, this effect is different by developmental periods, industries, and regions. Therefore, we propose that the government promotes labor-biased technical change based on the differentiated characteristics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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19. Effects of farmland use transition on soil organic carbon in dry farming areas.
- Author
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Lyu, Ligang, Zhu, Junjun, Long, Hualou, Liao, Kaihua, Fan, Yeting, and Wang, Junxiao
- Subjects
DRY farming ,CARBON cycle ,CLIMATE change ,CARBON in soils ,AGRICULTURAL resources ,SOIL density - Abstract
As the largest terrestrial organic carbon pool, soil organic carbon (SOC) plays an important role in the global carbon cycle, but it is easily affected by land use and climate change. The Huang-Huai-Hai Plain (HHHP) in China, which is dominated by dry farming, is experiencing rapid farmland loss and gain (farmland use transition), which may cause drastic changes in SOC storage. To clarify the effects of farmland use transition on SOC in dry farming areas, this study adopted a land use transition matrix and spatial analyst tool to explore the characteristics of farmland use transition and its effects on SOC content and stocks in the 200 cm soil layer in the HHHP from 2000 to 2020. The results showed that the farmland use transition in this area during that time period resulted in a net decrease of 16.06 × 10
3 km2 of farmland, of which urban built-up land and rural settlements led to a net reduction of farmland by 9.74 × 103 km2 and 6.43 × 103 km2 , respectively, which was mainly affected by climate, topography, and economic factors. In addition, the farmland use transition resulted in a net increase in SOC storage of 6.13 Tg C, contributing 44.32% of the net increase. This is likely because the change in land use type led to a change in soil bulk density and soil gravel content while altering the SOC content, which in turn affected the SOC stock. This study has important implications for addressing global climate change and maintaining sustainable agricultural resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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20. Projected shifts in Köppen climate zones over China and their temporal evolution in CMIP5 multi-model simulations.
- Author
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Chan, Duo, Wu, Qigang, Jiang, Guixiang, and Dai, Xianglin
- Subjects
CLIMATOLOGY ,FORESTS & forestry ,NATURAL resources - Abstract
Previous studies have examined the projected climate types in China by 2100. This study identified the emergence time of climate shifts at a 1◦ scale over China from 1990 to 2100 and investigated the temporal evolution of Köppen-Geiger climate classifications computed from CMIP5 multi-model outputs. Climate shifts were detected in transition regions (7%-8% of China's land area) by 2010, including rapid replacement of mixed forest (Dwb) by deciduous forest (Dwa) over Northeast China, strong shrinkage of alpine climate type (ET) on the Tibetan Plateau, weak northward expansion of subtropical winterdry climate (Cwa) over Southeast China, and contraction of oceanic climate (Cwb) in Southwest China. Under all future RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios, the reduction of Dwb in Northeast China and ET on the Tibetan Plateau was projected to accelerate substantially during 2010-30, and half of the total area occupied by ET in 1990 was projected to be redistributed by 2040. Under the most severe scenario (RCP8.5), sub-polar continental winter dry climate over Northeast China would disappear by 2040-50, ET on the Tibetan Plateau would disappear by 2070, and the climate types in 35.9% and 50.8% of China's land area would change by 2050 and 2100, respectively. The results presented in this paper indicate imperative impacts of anthropogenic climate change on China's ecoregions in future decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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21. Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime.
- Author
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Johansson, Daniel, Lucas, Paul, Weitzel, Matthias, Ahlgren, Erik, Bazaz, A., Chen, Wenying, Elzen, Michel, Ghosh, Joydeep, Grahn, Maria, Liang, Qiao-Mei, Peterson, Sonja, Pradhan, Basanta, Ruijven, Bas, Shukla, P., Vuuren, Detlef, and Wei, Yi-Ming
- Subjects
CARBON dioxide mitigation ,ENVIRONMENTAL protection ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China and India. Seven General Equilibrium (CGE) and energy system models on either the global or national scale are soft-linked and harmonized with respect to population and economic assumptions. We simulate a climate regime, based on long-term convergence of per capita carbon dioxide (CO) emissions, starting from the emission pledges presented in the Copenhagen Accord to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and allowing full emissions trading between countries. Under the climate regime, Indian emission allowances are allowed to grow more than the Chinese allowances, due to the per capita convergence rule and the higher population growth in India. Economic and energy implications not only differ among the two countries, but also across model types. Decreased energy intensity is the most important abatement approach in the CGE models, while decreased carbon intensity is most important in the energy system models. The reduction in carbon intensity is mostly achieved through deployment of carbon capture and storage, renewable energy sources and nuclear energy. The economic impacts are generally higher in China than in India, due to higher 2010-2050 cumulative abatement in China and the fact that India can offset more of its abatement cost though international emission trading. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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22. Farm-scale adaptation under extreme climate and rapid economic transition.
- Author
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Wilk, Julie, Hjerpe, Mattias, Yang, Wei, and Fan, Hua
- Subjects
AGRICULTURE ,FARMERS ,SOCIAL conditions in China ,ECONOMIC conditions in China ,LIFESTYLES ,TOURISM - Abstract
This paper aims to analyse what shapes farmers' vulnerability and adaptation strategies in the context of rapid change. Xinjiang is semi-arid, with extremes of temperature, growing seasons and winds. Favourable socioeconomic conditions have boosted the wellbeing of farmers in the past decades. Interviews with forty-seven farmers led to the categorization of five groups according to the predominant type of farming activity: animal farmers, government farmers (leasing land from the Xinjiang Production and Construction Group), crop farmers, agri-tourism operators and entrepreneurs. High government support has aided farmers to deal with climate challenges, through advanced technology, subsidies and loans. Farmers, however, greatly contribute to their own high adaptive capacity through inventiveness, flexibility and a high knowledge base. Although the future climate will entail hotter temperatures, farmers can be seen as generally well equipped to deal with these challenges because of the high adaptive capacity they currently have and utilize. Those that are most vulnerable are those that have difficulty to access credit e.g. animal farmers and those that do not want to change their agricultural systems e.g. from pastoral lifestyles to include tourism-based operations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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23. Sustainable urban development in China: challenges and achievements.
- Author
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Wang, Jiangyan and He, Dongquan
- Subjects
SUSTAINABLE urban development ,CLIMATE change ,AIR pollution ,TRAFFIC congestion ,ECONOMIC development ,NONGOVERNMENTAL organizations - Abstract
China is undergoing rapid urbanization, along with economic growth and transport automation. Because it is densely populated, China is constrained by natural resource limitations and potential impacts of global climate change. Significant challenges for sustainable urban development include urban sprawl, traffic congestion, air pollution, city layouts not oriented to twenty-first century lifestyles, declining traditional urban culture, selective over-development, and social inequities. Increasing awareness of these pressing problems has led national and provisional governments and cities to seek sustainable urban development solutions. Central ministries and non-government organizations have implemented pilot projects demonstrating best practices in the Chinese context. These are being scaled up to develop local and national guidelines and policies. This paper describes China's urbanization issues and national and local efforts toward the realization of sustainable urbanization. It is hoped that China's urbanization trends and challenges will stimulate sustainable and low-carbon concepts and approaches that can enrich sustainable urbanization theory and practices in and beyond China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
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24. Human settlement and regional development in the context of climate change: a spatial analysis of low elevation coastal zones in China.
- Author
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Liu, Jianli, Wen, Jiahong, Huang, Youqin, Shi, Minqi, Meng, Qingjie, Ding, Jinhong, and Xu, Hui
- Subjects
HUMAN settlements ,RURAL development ,CLIMATE change ,COASTS ,URBANIZATION - Abstract
Low elevation coastal zone (LECZ) in China is densely populated and economically developed, which is exposed to increasing risks of hazards related to climate change and sea level rise. To mitigate risks and achieve sustainable development, we need to better understand LECZ. As the first step, in this paper we define the extent of the LECZ in China, and analyze the spatial distribution of LECZ and its population, using a geographic information system software (ArcGIS) to combine elevation models and population data sets. Our findings show that, overall, this zone covers 2.0 % of China's land area but contains 12.3 % of the total population, which is the largest population living in LECZ in the world. There are large regional variations in the distribution of both LECZ and LECZ population, with half of the LECZ within 30 km from the coastline, and Jiangsu Province having the largest LECZ area and population. The LECZ is also concentrated in three major economic zones in China, which accounts for 54 % of LECZ and three quarters of all LECZ population in China. The impact of future climate change on China's LECZ is exacerbated by rapid economic and population growth, urbanization and environmental degradation. Coordinating development in coastal and inland China, enhancing adaptive capacity and implementing integrated risk management for LECZ are needed to reduce the risks related to climate change and to achieve sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. A review of advances in urban flood risk analysis over China.
- Author
-
Ye, Mingwu, Yin, Jie, Xu, Shiyuan, and Yin, Zhane
- Subjects
FLOOD risk ,CLIMATE change ,FLOOD damage prevention ,URBANIZATION ,URBAN planning ,DIGITAL elevation models ,GEOGRAPHIC information systems - Abstract
China's urban environments are particularly vulnerable to flooding due to climate change and rapid urbanization. Study of the urban flood risk analysis has significantly increased over the past decade, and this paper therefore reviews the main results (i.e. theoretical basis, methods, techniques, case studies) obtained in the literature from China. We focus on the following topics: (1) urban flood hazard analysis, (2) exposure and vulnerability analysis, and (3) urban flood risk assessment. Recent advances made in the research area are presented with suggestions for further research to improve the availability and reliability of urban flood risk analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Paleoclimate modeling in China: A review.
- Author
-
Jiang, Dabang, Yu, Ge, Zhao, Ping, Chen, Xing, Liu, Jian, Liu, Xiaodong, Wang, Shaowu, Zhang, Zhongshi, Yu, Yongqiang, Li, Yuefeng, Jin, Liya, Xu, Ying, Ju, Lixia, Zhou, Tianjun, and Yan, Xiaodong
- Subjects
PALEOCLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,CLIMATE change ,SOLAR radiation ,COMPUTER simulation - Abstract
This paper provides a review of paleoclimate modeling activities in China. Rather than attempt to cover all topics, we have chosen a few climatic intervals and events judged to be particularly informative to the international community. In historical climate simulations, changes in solar radiation and volcanic activity explain most parts of reconstructions over the last millennium prior to the industrial era, while atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations play the most important role in the 20th century warming over China. There is a considerable model-data mismatch in the annual and boreal winter temperature change over China during the mid-Holocene [6000 years before present (ka BP)], while coupled models with an interactive ocean generally perform better than atmospheric models. For the Last Glacial Maximum (21 ka BP), climate models successfully reproduce the surface cooling trend over China but fail to reproduce its magnitude, with a better performance for coupled models. At that time, reconstructed vegetation and western Pacific sea surface temperatures could have significantly affected the East Asian climate, and environmental conditions on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau were most likely very different to the present day. During the late Marine Isotope Stage 3 (30-40 ka BP), orbital forcing and Northern Hemisphere glaciation, as well as vegetation change in China, were likely responsible for East Asian climate change. On the tectonic scale, the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau uplift, the Tethys Sea retreat, and the South China Sea expansion played important roles in the formation of the East Asian monsoon-dominant environment pattern during the late Cenozoic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Does a Kuznets curve apply to flood fatality? A holistic study for China and Japan.
- Author
-
Huang, Guangwei
- Subjects
KUZNETS curve ,GROSS domestic product ,CLIMATE change ,ECONOMIC conditions in Japan ,FLOODS ,ECONOMIC conditions in China - Abstract
A Kuznets curve is the graphical representation of Simon Kuznets' hypothesis that as a country develops, there is a natural cycle of economic inequality driven by market forces, which at first increase inequality and then decrease it after a certain average income is attained. The concept has been applied to environmental studies hypothesizing that the relationship between per capita income and the use of natural resources and/or the emission of wastes has an inverted-U shape. This paper presents a holistic study aimed at validating the applicability of the Kuznets curve to flood disaster. The focus is China and Japan. Both countries are prone to flooding and have experienced great economic growth. Data analysis detected the turning points of annual flood fatality in both countries, and the change in annual flood fatality with economic growth in both countries was found to match the Kuznets curve. However, the variation pattern of annual flood-caused economic loss was different between China and Japan. The difference may be partially attributed to the difference in residential characteristics between the two countries. Besides, it was found that climate change affected the flood-caused economic loss in Japan over recent decades. Furthermore, the variations in annual flood fatality and economic loss in the largest city of China were also analyzed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. New progress in the Holocene climate and agriculture research in China.
- Author
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Li, XiaoQiang
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,AGRICULTURAL education ,ECOLOGY ,GLOBAL warming ,RESEARCH - Abstract
Global climate change and its possible ecological consequences have become the focused issue (IPCC, 2007; Mann et al., 2008; Ding et al., 2009). The Holocene contains the analogous characteristic of future climatic change and the continuous agriculture activity, providing the ideal “similar pattern” for studying the climate change and human adaption and impact in the future. Based on the recent studies of stalagmite, ice core, ocean, and lake etc., the paper introduces the new progress in the Holocene climate and agriculture research in China as follows: (1) Discuss the variability, amplitude, and unstable characteristic of climate, as well as the abrupt events and mechanisms of climate. (2) Analyze the botanical index records for studying the early agriculture. (3) Review the agricultural origin, expanding, and development. (4) Reveal the style and intensity of early agriculture and understand the agricultural impact and adaption to the environmental changes. (5) Introduce ongoing research projects in China and emphasize the significance of increasing the dating precision and the indicative effectiveness of proxies. (6) Realize how the ecosystem and environmental factors respond to the increasing temperature process, understand how the human adapt to the rapid climate change, and provide the scientific basis for assessing the effects of climate change and the human adaption in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Carbon emission right as a new property right: rescue CDM developers in China from 2012.
- Author
-
Pei, Qing, Liu, Lanlan, and Zhang, David
- Subjects
PROPERTY rights ,CLEAN development mechanism (Emission control) ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,FARM tenancy - Abstract
Clean development mechanism (CDM) is encountering many uncertainties due to the coming end of the commitment period and critically suggested reformation. As the largest participant in the CDM market, China shoulders the biggest proportion of market risk. Among the studies on CDM in China, few have focused upon the legal aspect of CDM, which is crucial in defending developers' interests. To fill this research gap in making the transition from policy to law, this paper claims that carbon emission right, which is the basis of trade, should be attributed as a property right in Property Law of People's Republic of China. The present study will discuss the characteristics of carbon emission, definition, and legal attribution of carbon emission right. The valid object of carbon emission right in the CDM market under Property Law should be certified emissions reductions (CERs). The usufructuary right could be specifically applied in practice to the owners' property right on CERs in China. Although experience from the CDM is not fully applicable to the development of cap and trading, the success of CDM market provides a reasonable platform to study emission right in the view of legal science. Furthermore, the proposed research acts as the pioneer study that lay the theoretical foundations in legal science on emission right trading for other potential schemes, which in turn addresses international environmental issues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. The drivers of risk to water security in Shanghai.
- Author
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Finlayson, Brian, Barnett, Jon, Wei, Taoyuan, Webber, Michael, Li, Maotian, Wang, Mark, Chen, Jing, Xu, Hao, and Chen, Zhongyuan
- Subjects
WATER security ,WATER supply ,CITIES & towns ,GLACIERS & climate ,RIVERS ,LAND use ,DAM design & construction - Abstract
Big cities are often said to have big water problems, and Shanghai is no exception. In this paper, we examine and compare the influence of the major factors that give rise to the risk of water insecurity in Shanghai. There is an extensive and diverse literature on these issues, dealt with in isolation, and here, we provide a synthesis of the literature, together with our own assessments and calculations, to assess what are the risks to Shanghai's water supply and what is our degree of confidence in this assessment. We describe the systems that supply water to the city, and past and future changes in the systems, including changes in the glaciers that supply some water to the river, changes in climate, changes in land use, the construction of dams, and water diversions. We show how, at the same time as Shanghai is increasing its dependence on the Yangtze river, water diversions and sea level rise are increasing the risk that this water will be too saline to consume at certain times of the year. This analysis suggests that most of the major drivers of the risk to water security in Shanghai are within the power of environmental managers to control. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Low-carbon development in the least developed region: a case study of Guangyuan, Sichuan province, southwest China.
- Author
-
Guan, Dabo and Barker, Terry
- Subjects
EARTHQUAKES ,CARBON ,EARTHQUAKE damage ,CLIMATE change ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
The Wenchuan earthquake in 2008 has resulted in 50% of Guangyuan city facing recovery from different extents of damages. The massive reconstruction provides a good opportunity for Guangyuan city to response to the National Council's call for tackling climate change by developing a harmonised and low-carbon economy. However, there are many arguments about the definition of 'low carbon' and the framework that low-carbon development should follow. Low-carbon development in an economically least developed region such as Guangyuan would provide evidence and contribute to the discussion. The paper employs CO emissions as an environmental indicator in scenario analysis to investigate Guangyuan's future carbon performance in following the national call of reducing 40% of carbon intensity by 2020 and an alternative low-carbon development path. The results have demonstrated that a 'win-win' solution can be reached-keeping rapid economic growth while reducing CO emissions, however, only by addressing the 'correct' determining factors. Technology improvements and production structure changes have been identified as the key determining factors to affect both carbon intensity and CO emissions in the future. The two factors are also interdependent. Governmental policies should give appropriate guideline to address both factors but with strong emphasis on production structure decarbonisation in order to avoid the mistake of 'polluting first and deal with the pollution later' during the emission-intensive industrialisation processes that many western countries and China's coastal regions have followed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Mechanisms of large-scale landslides in China.
- Author
-
Huang, Runqiu
- Subjects
LANDSLIDES ,ROCK slopes ,HAZARD mitigation ,CLIMATE change ,SLOPES (Physical geography) - Abstract
Copyright of Bulletin of Engineering Geology & the Environment is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. China and India's participation in global climate negotiations.
- Author
-
Walsh, Sean, Tian, Huifang, Whalley, John, and Agarwal, Manmohan
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,CLIMATE change mitigation ,DEVELOPING countries ,INTELLECTUAL property ,INTERNATIONAL cooperation - Abstract
In this paper, we discuss a range of issues concerning developing country participation in current global climate change mitigation negotiations, especially India and China. We argue that the problem of redefining 'common yet differentiated responsibilities' in a way which allows developing countries room to pursue their individual development goals while still achieving the necessary level of carbon mitigation is central to the debate. The choice of negotiating instruments, effective technology transfer and financial support, and other related issues have been raised principally by China and India, and may also be raised by several other countries. Kyoto non-compliance by Annex 1 countries will also greatly impact the negotiating power of China and India and other developing countries. We conclude that, once basic principles are clearly defined, the greatest incentive for China and India to participate in climate change negotiations is the prospect of future negotiating rounds that can be linked to a large number of climate change related issues, such as intellectual property, the potential for financial transfers and trade/market access. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Impact of technology advances on China's CO2 emission reduction.
- Author
-
ZHENG YouFei, LI HaiTao, WU RongJun, and WANG LianXi
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATE change ,CARBON dioxide mitigation ,INTERNATIONAL economic integration ,SENSITIVITY analysis ,ENVIRONMENTAL policy ,ENVIRONMENTAL impact analysis - Abstract
Global warming tends to be the major characteristics of the dramatic global climate change. To deal with these changes, the impact of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emission on Chinese future economic and social development has to be assessed. In this paper, a Regional Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (RICE), which is well known and accepted widely, has been used for Chinese economic assessment of climate change after introduction, assimilation and verification. Based on a sensitivity analysis of technical parameters in the RICE model and constrained targets proposed for energy saving and emissions reduction technological advance programs of China from 2000 to 2050, the economic impact of the programs is examined. The results indicate that when technology advances, Chinese CO
2 emission, climate loss, and the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature will all decrease. It is assumed that in 2010, the CO2 emission is 20% lower than in 2005, CO2 emission in 2050 would only double the level in 2000, the accumulative CO2 emission would be decreased by 12.4 GtC, and the atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature in 2050 would reduce by 35 GtC and 0.04°C respectively from 2000 to 2050. The accumulative climate loss from 2000 to 2050 will drop down by 4.6 billion dollar, which only accounts for 6% of the global total benefits. However, the economic benefit the developed countries will obtain is 10 times that for China under such a technological advance scenario. The decrease of the CO2 emission control rate is 1% in cooperation policy while 4.6% in non-cooperation policy, which would relieve China's burden in the control of CO2 total emission and thereby benefit China in participation of the international cooperation for CO2 emission reduction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Comprehensive analysis of the impact of climatic changes on Chinese terrestrial net primary productivity.
- Author
-
Zhu Wenquan, Pan Yaozhong, Yang Xiaooiong, and Song Guobao
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,PRIMARY productivity (Biology) ,VEGETATION & climate ,VEGETATION dynamics ,PLANT growth - Abstract
Recent climatic changes have affected terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP). This paper presents an investigation of the impact of climatic changes on Chinese terrestrial vegetation NPP by analyzing 18 years' (1982 to 1999) climatic data and satellite observations of vegetation activity. Results indicate that climatic changes in China have eased some critical climatic constraint on plant growth. (1) From 1982 to 1999, modeled NPP increased by 1.42% · a
-1 in water-limited regions of Northwest China, 1.46% · a-1 in temperature-limited regions of Northeast China and Tibet Plateau, and 0.99% · a-1 in radiation-limited regions of South China and East China. (2) NPP increased by 24.2%, i.e. 0.76 petagram of carbon (Pg C) over 18 years in China. Changes in climate (with constant vegetation) directly contributed nearly 11.5% (0.36 Pg C). Changes in vegetation (with constant climate) contributed 12.4% (0.40 Pg C), possibly as a result of climate-vegetation feedbacks, changes in land use, and growth stimulation from other mechanisms. (3) Globally, NPP declined during all three major El Niño events (1982 to 1983, 1987 to 1988, and 1997 to 1998) between 1982 and 2000, but Chinese vegetation productivity responded differently to them because of the monsoon dynamics. In the first three events (1982 to 1983, 1987 to 1988, and 1992), Chinese vegetation NPP declined, while in the later two events (1993, 1997 to 1998) increasing obviously. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century.
- Author
-
Wu ShaoHong, Dai ErFu, Huang Mei, Shao XueMei, Li ShuangCheng, and Tao Ba
- Subjects
BIOTIC communities ,CLIMATE change ,CLIMATOLOGY ,EXTREME environments ,VEGETATION & climate - Abstract
This paper applies climate change scenarios in China based on the SRES assumptions with the help of RCMs projections by PRECIS (providing regional climates for impacts studies) system introduced to China from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research at a high-resolution (50 km×50 km) over China. This research focuses on B2 scenario of SRES. A biogeochemical model "Atmosphere Vegetation Integrated Model (AVIM2)" was applied to simulating ecosystem status in the 21st century. Then vulnerability of ecosystems was assessed based on a set of index of mainly net primary production (NPP) of vegetation. Results show that climate change would affect ecosystem of China severely and there would be a worse trend with the lapse of time. The regions where having vulnerable ecological background would have heavier impacts while some regions with better ecological background would also receive serious impacts. Extreme climate even would bring about worse impact on the ecosystems. Open shrub and desert steppe would be the two most affected types. When the extreme events happen, vulnerable ecosystem would extend to part of defoliate broad-leaved forest, woody grassland and evergreen conifer forest. Climate change would not always be negative. It could be of some benefit to cold region during the near-term. However, in view of mid-term to long-term negative impact on ecosystem vulnerability would be enormously. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Spatiotemporal changes in summer days (SU25) in China from 1961 to 2017 and associated circulation factors.
- Author
-
Guo, Yuhong, Yan, Xiaodong, Xie, Wenqiang, Gao, Zhibo, and Song, Shuaifeng
- Subjects
CLIMATE extremes ,ATLANTIC multidecadal oscillation ,METEOROLOGICAL stations ,CLIMATE change ,SUMMER ,SPATIAL variation - Abstract
Understanding the spatiotemporal variations in climate extremes indices, as well as the influencing factors, is critical to the scientific response to climate change. The temporal and spatial variations of SU25 (annual count of days when daily maximum temperature > 25 °C) were discussed in this study, based on daily maximum temperature data from 2398 meteorological stations in China from 1961 to 2017. The contributions of associated large-scale circulation factors to SU25 were quantitatively assessed by using the geographical detector method (GMD). The overall spatial distribution of SU25 was marked by a considerable increase from north to south. The SU25 increased significantly over time, with the national SU25 increasing at a rate of 2.5 days/decade. The Tibet Plateau (TP) had the slowest growth rate, with an average increase rate of 1.4 days/decade. The Hurst values of SU25 in all the subregions were generally high, indicating that most stations of SU25 would continue to increase in the future. Except for TP, the tipping years of other subregions were concentrated in the 1990s, and SU25 increased after the years. Among the large-scale circulation factors affecting SU25 in each subregion, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) played a major role in SU25 variability. As a whole, the result of the pairwise interaction of each circulation factor was mainly nonlinear enhancement. The joint contributions of multiple factors to SU25 were larger than the contribution of each individual factor. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Response of China's electricity consumption to climate change using monthly household data.
- Author
-
Hou, Juan-Juan, Liu, Lan-Cui, Dong, Zheng-Yi, Wang, Zhen, Yu, Shi-Wei, and Zhang, Jiu-Tian
- Subjects
ELECTRIC power consumption ,CLIMATE change ,RESIDENTIAL mobility ,CARBON emissions ,LOW-income countries ,CONSUMPTION (Economics) ,GLOBAL warming - Abstract
Intensifying climate change significantly impacts residential electricity consumption, especially in developing countries, such as China, that are experiencing rapid income growth. By combining meteorological and monthly household consumption survey data, this study explores the response function of residential electricity consumption to temperature in China from a micro perspective. Future residential electricity demands and related CO
2 emissions are then forecast under different climate scenarios. Overall, the response function is U-shaped, and one additional day above 34 °C will increase monthly residential electricity consumption by 2.11%. Global warming will more likely increase the electricity burden on low-income groups. There will be notable seasonal changes in electricity demand in the future, and the largest increase will occur in August. The total demand for residential electricity caused by temperature change will show a fluctuating growth trend, from 0.8% and 1% in 2025 to 2% and 2.9% in 2060 under the RCP4.5 scenario and RCP8.5 scenario, respectively; meanwhile, this demand will be accompanied by a cumulative increase in carbon dioxide emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Estimation for ammonia emissions at county level in China from 2013 to 2018.
- Author
-
Liao, Wenling, Liu, Mingxu, Huang, Xin, Wang, Tiantian, Xu, Zhenying, Shang, Fang, Song, Yu, Cai, Xuhui, Zhang, Hongsheng, Kang, Ling, and Zhu, Tong
- Subjects
EMISSION inventories ,ATMOSPHERIC chemistry ,ANIMAL waste ,CLIMATE change ,COAL combustion ,RADIATION - Abstract
Ammonia (NH
3 ) can interact with other trace chemicals in the atmosphere, significantly impacting atmospheric chemistry and global climate change. China is a largely agricultural country with high consumption of nitrogen fertilizer and large livestock herds, resulting in high NH3 emissions. In this study, a comprehensive county-level inventory of Chinese NH3 emissions from 2013 to 2018 was compiled. Based on previous research, an estimate of NH3 emissions from household coal combustion was added to the inventory. The estimation of emissions from open biomass burning was improved by using a method based on fire radiative energy (FRE). The total NH3 emissions in China increased from 2013 (9.64 Tg) to 2015 (9.75 Tg), and then decreased to 9.12 Tg in 2018. Emissions from fossil fuels reached a peak value in 2018, accounting for 8.4% of total emissions, while fertilizer application and livestock waste were responsible for fewer emissions than in previous years, accounting for 27.7% and 49.9% of the total from non-fossil fuel sources, respectively. The highest emission rates were in central and southwestern China. Seasonally, NH3 emissions peaked in spring and summer. The inventory had a 1-km spatial resolution and a monthly temporal resolution, which confirmed its suitability for global and regional air quality simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Flash Flood Risk Assessment and Driving Factors: A Case Study of the Yantanxi River Basin, Southeastern China.
- Author
-
Chen, Liutong, Yan, Zhengtao, Li, Qian, and Xu, Yingjun
- Subjects
FLOOD risk ,FLOOD control ,SOCIOECONOMIC factors ,CONSTRUCTION planning ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
In the context of climate change, the impact of extreme precipitation and its chain effects has intensified in the southeastern coastal region of China, posing a serious threat to the socioeconomic development in the region. This study took tropical cyclones–extreme precipitation–flash floods as an example to carry out a risk assessment of flash floods under climate change in the Yantanxi River Basin, southeastern China. To obtain the flash flood inundation characteristics through hydrologic–hydrodynamic modeling, the study combined representative concentration pathway (RCP) and shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios to examine the change of flash flood risk and used the geographical detector to explore the driving factors behind the change. The results show that flash flood risk in the Yantanxi River Basin will significantly increase, and that socioeconomic factors and precipitation are the main driving forces. Under the RCP4.5-SSP2 and RCP8.5-SSP5 scenarios, the risk of flash floods is expected to increase by 88.79% and 95.57%, respectively. The main drivers in the case study area are GDP density (q = 0.85), process rainfall (q = 0.74), asset density (q = 0.68), and population density (q = 0.67). The study highlights the influence of socioeconomic factors on the change of flash flood disaster risk in small river basins. Our findings also provide a reference for regional planning and construction of flood control facilities in flash flood-prone areas, which may help to reduce the risk of flash floods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Impacts of climate change on rice production: evidence from 30 Chinese provinces.
- Author
-
Pickson, Robert Becker, He, Ge, and Boateng, Elliot
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,RICE ,WEATHER ,PROVINCES ,FERTILIZERS - Abstract
This study examined the effects of climate change on rice production in 30 Chinese provinces spanning 1998–2017. The study used the pooled mean group technique to capture the long-run and short-run effects of changing climatic conditions on rice production. It further employed the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test to examine the path of causality between the key variables and rice production. The study found that, in the long run, average temperature negatively influenced rice production, but average rainfall had a positive effect on rice production. The results indicated that the cultivated area and fertilizer usage were positively related to rice production in the long run. The short-run results accentuated that average temperature favourably influenced nationwide rice production, whereas average rainfall had no substantial effect on national rice production. The cultivated area had a significant positive short-term relationship with rice production, although the impact of fertilizer usage on rice production was negligible in the short run. Besides, the results established a bidirectional causality between rice output and the cultivated area, but there was a one-way causality running from fertilizer usage to rice output. Finally, the results indicated that, except for rainfall, a unidirectional causality exists between temperature and rice production. The study, therefore, recommends that in the case of crop failure due to weather conditions, policymakers could implement a new pricing policy to mitigate the deterioration of the farmers' income. The government must also develop and implement an insurance scheme that compensates farmers for catastrophes induced by rainfall deficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. A weighted ensemble of regional climate projections for exploring the spatiotemporal evolution of multidimensional drought risks in a changing climate.
- Author
-
Zhang, B., Wang, S., and Zhu, J.
- Subjects
DISASTER resilience ,DROUGHTS ,RADIATIVE forcing ,CLIMATE change ,ATMOSPHERIC models - Abstract
Understanding future drought risks plays a crucial role in developing climate change adaptation strategies and in enhancing disaster resilience. However, previous studies may lead to biased conclusions due to the neglect of two factors, including the relative performance of climate simulations and the uncertainty in drought characterization. In this study, Bayesian model averaging is used to merge five regional climate model simulations and to project future changes in hydroclimatic regimes over China under two representative emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Drought characteristics, including drought severity and duration, are extracted using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). A Bayesian copula approach is used to uncover underlying interactions of drought characteristics and associated uncertainties across 10 climate divisions of China. The regional return periods of drought characteristics are used to assess future changes in multidimensional drought risks and the probability of extreme droughts. Our findings reveal that the variations in drought characteristics are generally underestimated by the ensemble mean (AEM) simulation. The Bayesian framework improves the reliability and accuracy of hydroclimate simulations and better reproduces the drought regimes compared to the AEM simulation. The drought duration and severity are projected to substantially increase for most areas of China based on the Bayesian framework, but the AEM simulation may lead to multiple opposite behaviors, especially under RCP4.5. The estimated joint risk from drought duration and drought severity is expected to increase under both emission scenarios. The likelihood of extreme droughts is also projected to increase as the radiative forcing increases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Impact of climate change on multi-objective management of seawater intrusion in coastal karst aquifers in Zhoushuizi district of Dalian City, China.
- Author
-
Zhao, Jie, Lin, Jin, Wu, Jianfeng, and Wu, Jichun
- Subjects
SALTWATER encroachment ,CLIMATE change ,GROUNDWATER management ,KARST ,COASTAL zone management ,AQUIFERS - Abstract
Copyright of Hydrogeology Journal is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Future Changes in Extreme High Temperature over China at 1.5°C–5°C Global Warming Based on CMIP6 Simulations.
- Author
-
Zhang, Guwei, Zeng, Gang, Yang, Xiaoye, and Jiang, Zhihong
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,HIGH temperatures ,CLIMATE change ,NATIONAL income accounting - Abstract
Copyright of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Carbon emission assessment and control measures for coal mining in China.
- Author
-
Zhou, Aitao, Hu, Jiaying, and Wang, Kai
- Subjects
COAL mining ,EMISSION control ,MINING methodology ,ENERGY conservation ,CLIMATE change ,COAL mining accidents ,MINE ventilation - Abstract
Coal is the most important primary energy in China. Although the proportion of coal in China's total energy consumption continues to decline it will still be the main energy in China for a long time in the future. As the largest contributor to China's greenhouse gas emissions, the energy conservation and emission reduction of coal industry will be the most critical step for China to cope with global climate change and solve environmental problems at present and in the future for a long time. The object of this study was coal mining in China. Life cycle assessment (LCA) was used to quantify carbon emissions in whole process of coal mining, including mining, ventilation, drainage, power consumption, transportation, and post-mining activities. The analysis result shows that the carbon emissions of producing tons of coal are 164.403 kg of carbon dioxide equivalent per ton. The analysis further emphasizes that the methane contributes the most, accounting for 62.21% of the total emissions, and plays an important role in the full life cycle of coal mining. Therefore, it presents a potential to mitigate the environmental impact of coal mining, and its main task is to recover and recycle methane. Based on the technical level, this study puts forward the low-carbon development countermeasures for coal enterprises. Then the technical system of methane emission control and utilization is constructed from three aspects: coal-bed methane development, gas extraction, and utilization and gas utilization. Finally, a trinity resource utilization system of coal mine gas is constructed. This study hopes to help practitioners to realize the importance of coal mine methane to the coal mining process. If the efficient resource utilization of methane be realized, it could not only save energy and reduce emissions in coal enterprises, but also promote the safety production of coal mines and improve the economic benefits of coal mines. It is also of great significance for optimizing China's energy structure, realizing low-carbon transformation, and safeguarding China's strategic energy security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Cereal production in the presence of climate change in China.
- Author
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Pickson, Robert Becker, He, Ge, Ntiamoah, Evans Brako, and Li, Chunmei
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CLIMATE change ,GRANGER causality test ,LABOR supply ,ENERGY consumption ,CULTIVARS - Abstract
This study sought to investigate the impacts of climate change on cereal production in China over the period 1990Q1–2013Q4. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, the results showed that CO
2 emissions, average temperature, and temperature variability have a significant negative impact on cereal production in the long run. However, energy consumption, average rainfall, labor force, and cultivated area significantly and positively influenced the production of cereal crops in the long run. Meanwhile, the study observed that rainfall variability has no significant effect on cereal production in the long run. The study again found that in the short run, CO2 emissions, average temperature, and temperature variability have a significant negative relationship with cereal production. Besides, energy consumption, average rainfall, rainfall variability, labor force, and the cultivated area had a significant positive association with cereal production in the short run. The results of the Granger causality test showed that there exists a unidirectional causality running from CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and labor force to the production of cereal crops in China. On the contrary, the study found no causality between cultivated area and cereal production. The study suggests that improved cereal crop varieties ought to be developed and introduced to cope with the adverse impacts of climate change in China. This will help to circumvent Huang et al.'s (2017) prediction of a decline in the total food self-sufficiency of China from 94.5% in 2015 to about 91% by 2025. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Forest Dieback, a Tangible Proof of Climate Change? A Cross-Comparison of Forest Stakeholders' Perceptions and Strategies in the Mountain Forests of Europe and China.
- Author
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Deuffic, Philippe, Garms, Mareike, He, Jun, Brahic, Elodie, Yang, Hua, and Mayer, Marius
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FOREST declines ,MOUNTAIN forests ,CLIMATE change ,EVIDENCE ,INDUSTRIAL capacity ,FOREST landowners - Abstract
Forest dieback due to climate change poses a risk to mountain forests throughout the world, and has severe consequences in terms of lost ecosystem services for forest stakeholders. This contribution aims to analyze how forest stakeholders perceive forest dieback, and the way in which they adapt to it. We conducted qualitative in-depth interviews in three mid-mountain case study areas in France, Germany, and China, enabling a cross-comparison of different settings affected by forest dieback. Results show that forest dieback is not a new phenomenon for stakeholders who consider that it has increased over the last few decades, due to rising temperatures and extreme weather events. In all survey areas, respondents consider forest dieback as tangible proof of climate change, identifying context-specific impacts with varying levels of severity. Cause-effect relationships are not easy to establish. Forest stakeholders are unable to determine whether climate change is a triggering or aggravating factor. For adaptive strategies, respondents can be grouped into three main profiles: proactive, reactive, and wait-and-see forest owners. These types of stakeholders differ in terms of their investment capacities, economic dependency, emotional attachment to forests, knowledge level, and capacity to obtain actionable information through participation in institutional networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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48. Evaluation and projection of daily maximum and minimum temperatures over China using the high-resolution NEX-GDDP dataset.
- Author
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Wu, Yi, Miao, Chiyuan, Duan, Qingyun, Shen, Chenwei, and Fan, Xuewei
- Subjects
MAXIMA & minima ,TEMPERATURE ,TWENTY-first century ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
A new bias-corrected, statistically downscaled product, the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP) dataset, has been developed and released to help in understanding climate change at local to regional scales. Here, we evaluate the performance of the NEX-GDDP data in simulating daily maximum temperature (TX) and daily minimum temperature (TN) in the historical period 1961–2005 over China at national and regional scales. Projected future changes in TX and TN are assessed under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 emissions scenarios. Results show that the NEX-GDDP data can capture the basic spatial patterns of TX and TN, but these results underestimate the warming trends of TX and TN from 1961 to 2005 over China. The largest biases are found in western China due to its complex terrain conditions; these biases are 2.33 and 2.21 times larger than those found in eastern China for TX and TN, respectively. The climate projections show that the difference in uncertainties is small between the east and the west, and higher warming changes correspond to greater uncertainties. The increasing trends under the RCP8.5 are 2.22 and 2.31 times the size found under the RCP4.5 by the end of the twenty-first century for TX and TN, respectively. The Tibetan plateau has the fastest warming trend under the two scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
- Full Text
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49. Assessing the spatiotemporal impact of climate change on event rainfall characteristics influencing landslide occurrences based on multiple GCM projections in China.
- Author
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Lin, Qigen, Wang, Ying, Glade, Thomas, Zhang, Jiahui, and Zhang, Yue
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LANDSLIDE hazard analysis ,LANDSLIDES ,CLIMATE change ,GENERAL circulation model ,RAINFALL ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,SOIL moisture - Abstract
Landslides result in a significant number of casualties every year in China. The frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation are expected to increase due to climate change, leading to a change in landslide occurrence. This study focuses on climate change impacts on event rainfall characteristics that are commonly linked to landslide occurrence in China. A modelling framework was proposed to quantitatively assess the spatiotemporal change in event rainfall characteristics influencing landslide occurrences in China under future scenarios. First, an algorithm was used to extract the rainfall events from observed precipitation data and the 21 Global Circulation Models dataset. Then, the cumulative event rainfall-rainfall duration (E-D) threshold was identified and used as a proxy of landslide occurrence. Finally, the historical (1971–2000) and future (2031–2060 and 2066–2095) data of 21 GCMs were then applied to determine the E-D threshold in areas highly susceptible to landslides in China to assess the impact of climate change. Landslide occurrence is projected to increase potentially under all GCMs, by amounts ranging from 19.9% to 33.2% in the late 21st century compared to the historical period under the RCP4.5 and RCP85 scenarios, respectively. There are regional differences in the impact of climate change. Future landslide increases in the Northwest region and the Qinghai-Tibet region are the most significant, with consistency among multiple GCMs. However, there is only a slight increase in the South China region with high uncertainty. The monthly variations in landslides are bimodal, with the largest increases in spring and autumn. The results indicate that using a single GCM to assess climate change impacts may have biases, and consideration of median trends and variations among multiple GCMs is suggested. However, the study is a first hint on how climate change may affect landslide occurrence in the future, as the assessment of the effect of climate change on landslides is not straightforward based on only the precipitation-related proxy. The influence on air temperature and soil moisture and the selection of projection datasets and proxies should be carefully considered when applying the presented methods for climate change impacts on landslide studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
- Full Text
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50. Does carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and GHG emissions influence the agriculture? Evidence from China.
- Author
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Rehman, Abdul, Ma, Hengyun, Irfan, Muhammad, and Ahmad, Munir
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CARBON dioxide ,GROSS domestic product ,METHANE ,LEAST squares ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,GREENHOUSE gases ,NITROUS oxide ,TRACE gases - Abstract
Carbon dioxide emission and greenhouse gas emissions are considered core issue in the world that influence agricultural production and also cause climate change. The present study seeks to investigate the linkage of methane emissions, nitrous oxide emissions, carbon dioxide emission, and greenhouse gas emissions with agricultural gross domestic product in China. The long-term association was checked by using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, fully modified least squares method, and canonical cointegrating regression analysis. The results from long-run analysis exposed that carbon dioxide emission and greenhouse gas emissions have positive coefficients that demonstrate the long-run linkage with the agricultural gross domestic product having p values of 0.5709 and 0.3751, respectively. Similarly, results also revealed that agricultural methane emissions and agricultural nitrous oxide emissions have a negative association with the agricultural gross domestic product having p values of 0.1737 and 0.0559. China is a huge emitter of CO
2 emission and greenhouse gas emissions. Possible conservative policies are required to form the Chinese government to tackle this challenge to decrease CO2 emission in order to increase agricultural production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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