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• A novel model (LabTNet) is proposed to estimate crop biochemical traits. • LabTNet jointly estimates multiple wheat traits by hyperspectral data. • LabTNet exhibits superior predictive performance than existing methods. • Grad-CAM analyzed hyperspectral attention regions of LabTNet. Accurate estimation of crop leaf and canopy biochemical traits, such as leaf dry matter content (Cm), leaf equivalent water thickness (Cw), leaf area index (LAI), dry leaf biomass (DLB), leaf total water content (LW), and fresh leaf biomass (FLB), is essential for monitoring crop growth accurately. The vegetation spectral feature technique combined with statistical regression methods is widely employed for remote sensing crop biochemical traits mapping. However, the crop canopy spectral reflectance is influenced by various crop biochemical traits and uncertainties in geometric changes of light and soil background effects. Consequently, the remote-sensing estimation of crop biochemical traits is limited. A potential solution involves training a deep learning model to understand the physical relationship between crop biochemical traits and canopy spectral reflectance based on a physical radiative transfer model (RTM). The primary focus of this study is to propose a winter-wheat leaf and canopy biochemical traits analysis and mapping method based on hyperspectral remote sensing, utilizing a deep learning network for leaf area index and leaf biochemical traits deep learning network (LabTNet). This study consists of four main tasks: (1) Field-based measurements of winter-wheat spectra and biochemical traits were conducted in two growing seasons. A PROSAIL RTM was also employed to generate a simulated dataset representing comprehensive and complex winter-wheat field conditions. (2) The LabTNet deep learning model was pre-trained using the simulated spectra dataset to acquire knowledge of the physical relationship between crop biochemical traits and canopy spectral reflectance derived from the RTM. Subsequently, the model was re-trained using the field-based spectra dataset from two growing seasons, employing a transfer learning technique. (3) An analysis was conducted to assess the performance of LabTNet against traditional statistical regression methods in estimating crop leaf and canopy biochemical traits. The study used the gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) technique to analyze the attention regions of input spectra (454:8:950 nm, 960:10:1300 nm, 1450:10:1750 nm, 2000:10:2350 nm) by different convolutional neural network layers in LabTNet, aiming to enhance the interpretability of deep learning models. (4) Winter-wheat leaf and canopy biochemical traits (Cw, Cm, LAI, DLB, LW, and FLB) were mapped using the LabTNet deep learning model. Our research has the following conclusions: (1) Combining the RTM and deep learning techniques yields higher winter-wheat biochemical trait estimates than traditional statistical regression methods. (2) Different LabTNet deep learning model layers focus on distinct areas of canopy reflectance, corresponding to the sensitive regions for various winter-wheat biochemical traits. (3) LabTNet demonstrates similar winter-wheat leaf and canopy biochemical traits estimation performance using visible and near-infrared (VNIR) reflectance data and full-spectral (FS) range hyperspectral reflectance as inputs (Cw: R 2 = 0.603–0.653, RMSE = 0.0015–0.0015 cm; Cm: R 2 = 0.511–0.560, RMSE = 0.0006–0.0007 g/m2; LAI: R 2 = 0.773–0.793, RMSE = 0.65–0.66 m2/m2; LW: R 2 = 0.842–0.847, RMSE = 67.93–70.73 g/m2; DLB: R 2 = 0.747–0.762, RMSE = 21.10–21.89 g/m2; FLB: R 2 = 0.831–0.840, RMSE = 86.26–90.30 g/m2). The combined use of UAV hyperspectral remote sensing and the LabTNet model proves effective in providing high-performance winter-wheat leaf and canopy biochemical trait maps, offering valuable insights for agricultural management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We introduce leaf N profile characteristic coefficient K m on its remote estimates. • Diverse datasets are used for developing robust models for remote estimates of K m. • Four regression algorithms are tested with various possible sets of predictors. • A robust method is proposed to estimate K m from canopy reflectance for winter wheat. The characteristic coefficient of vertical leaf nitrogen (N) profile is a canopy parameter that indicates the attenuation steepness of leaf N from the top of canopy downward. It is sensitive not only to crop production, grain yield and quality, and light- and N-use efficiency but also to N deficiency in the crop. We introduce this coefficient by exploring a robust method to estimate it from canopy spectral reflectance. We analyze comprehensively various approaches based on diverse datasets of winter wheat. We test and compare the accuracy and stability of models by using the adjusted and weighted coefficient of determination (wR adj 2), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the mean and coefficient of variation (CV) over multiple seasons. The analysis focuses mainly on the coefficient of mass-based leaf N profile (K m); nevertheless, a comparison with the coefficient of area-based leaf N profile is presented. The results indicate that the most robust model to estimate K m of winter wheat is K m = (1.8037 R G V I - 0.9702 + 0.0786 e x p (0.6315 / D A S F)) / 2 , where RGVI is the red and green ratio vegetation index, and DASF is the directional area scattering factor. The mean wR adj 2 is 0.663 with CV = 8.2% and the mean MAE is 0.117 with CV = 12.8% over three seasons including various situations. This makes it possible to assess K m at large areas and follow its dynamics over multiple periods in a timely and nondestructive manner. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop evapotranspiration (ET c ) is an important indicator used in managing agriculture water and monitoring crop growth. The objectives of this study were to: (1) analyze the seasonal dynamics of crop coefficients (K c ) and basal crop coefficient (K cb ) derived from vegetation indices (VIs) based on a time series of Huanjing (HJ) satellite images during 2011 and 2013; (2) investigate daily and monthly variations of ET c at key growth stages of winter wheat using lysimeter or eddy covariance systems; (3) compare the performance of two Huanjing-1A/B satellite-based FAO-56 models (the FAO-56 dual-crop coefficient model and the vegetation indices-reference evapotranspiration (VIs-ET o ) method) to the ET c measurements; (4) select the best ET c model for estimating daily ET c (mm/day) at the Xiaotangshan experimental site and its surrounding farmland in conjunction with HJ satellite overpasses from March to May 2011. The VIs and concurrent ET c were acquired at the Xiaotangshan experimental site, Beijing, China, during the 2011 and 2013 winter wheat growing seasons. The results showed that the overall tendencies of crop coefficient patterns (K cb and K c ), ET c and ET o first increased and then decreased at key growth stages of winter wheat. The cumulative ET c of water consumption was highest at the heading-filling stage in May. Similar changes in cumulative ET c were found during April–May 2011 and 2013. The estimation accuracy of ET c was better based on FAO-56 dual-crop coefficient model ( R 2 = 0.88 and RMSE = 1.06 mm/day in 2011 and R 2 = 0.84 and RMSE = 0.55 mm/day in 2013) than the VI-ET o method ( R 2 = 0.77 and RMSE = 1.22 mm/day in 2011 and R 2 = 0.67 and RMSE = 0.81 mm/day in 2013). The results indicated that the FAO-56 dual-crop coefficient model and VI-ET o methods were used to estimate ET c in winter wheat. Two Huanjing-1A/B satellite-based FAO-56 models were used to timely estimate ET c during the winter wheat mid-season, and ET c was used to adjust agricultural water management practices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights: [•] The complementary relationship model (CR) was employed to estimate actual ET. [•] The high temporal ET was validated by Lysimeter observation. [•] The CR model was combined with IKONOS image to estimate high spatial resolution instantaneous and daily ET. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Timely and accurate estimation of winter wheat yield at a regional scale is crucial for national food policy and security assessments. Near-infrared reflectance is not sensitive to the leaf area index (LAI) and biomass of winter wheat at medium to high canopy cover (CC), and most of the vegetation indices displayed saturation phenomenon. However, LAI and biomass at medium to high CC can be efficiently estimated using imaging data from radar with stronger penetration, such as RADARSAT-2. This study had the following three objectives: (i) to combine vegetation indices based on our previous studies for estimating CC and biomass for winter wheat using HJ-1A/B and RADARSAT-2 imaging data; (ii) to combine HJ-1A/B and RADARSAT-2 imaging data with the AquaCrop model using the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to estimate winter wheat yield; and (iii) to compare the results from the assimilation of HJ-1A/B + RADARSAT-2 imaging data, HJ-1A/B imaging data, and RADARSAT-2 imaging data into the AquaCrop model using the PSO algorithm. Remote sensing data and concurrent LAI, biomass, and yield of sample fields were acquired in Yangling District, Shaanxi, China, during the 2014 winter wheat growing season. The PSO optimization algorithm was used to integrate the AquaCrop model and remote sensing data for yield estimation. The modified triangular vegetation index 2 (MTVI2) × radar vegetation index (RVI) and the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) × RVI had good relationships with CC and biomass, respectively. The results indicated that the predicted and measured yield ( R 2 = 0.31 and RMSE = 0.94 ton/ha) had agreement when the estimated CC from the HJ-1A/B and RADARSAT-2 data was used as the dynamic input variable for the AquaCrop model. When the estimated biomass from the HJ-1A/B and RADARSAT-2 data was used as the dynamic input variable for the AquaCrop model, the predicted yield showed agreement with the measured yield ( R 2 = 0.42 and RMSE = 0.81 ton/ha). These results show that using the biomass as the dynamic input variable provides a better yield estimation than using the CC as the dynamic variable. The predicted biomass and yield were more accurately estimated by combining the HJ-1A/B and RADARSAT-2 data with the AquaCrop model than by combining the only HJ-1A/B or RADARSAT-2 data with the AquaCrop model using the PSO algorithm. The results indicated that the PSO-based assimilation method could be used to estimate the winter wheat yield from the spot to the regional scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop failure detection using UAV images is helpful for precision agriculture, enabling the precision management of failure areas to reduce crop loss. For wheat failure area detection at the seedling stage using UAV images, the commonly used methods are not sufficiently accurate. Thus, herein, a new tool for precision wheat management at the seedling stage is designed. For this purpose, field experiments with two wheat cultivars and four nitrogen (N) treatments were conducted to create different scenarios for the failure area, and multispectral UAV images were acquired at the seedling growth stage. Based on the above data, a new failure detection method was designed by assimilating prior knowledge and a filter analysis strategy and compared with classical filter-based methods and Hough transform-based methods for wheat failure area detection. The results showed that the newly proposed assimilation method had a detection accuracy between 83.86% and 97.67% for different N levels and cultivars. In contrast, the filter-based methods and Hough transform-based methods had detection accuracies between 53.73% and 83.95% and between 20.71% and 75.79%, respectively. Thus, the assimilation method demonstrated the best failure detection performance. • An assimilation method was proposed for wheat failure area detection. • Different methods were compared for wheat failure area detection. • Wheat failure area can be detected using unmanned aerial vehicles imagery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Optimized multiple lookup tables (Multi-LUTs) for improving computing efficiency and estimation accuracy. • Multi-LUTs method based on the N-PROSAIL model for canopy nitrogen density estimation. • Canopy nitrogen density estimation from field and UAV hyperspectral data. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) based hyperspectral images linked to a radiative transfer model can provide a promising approach for high throughput monitoring of plant nitrogen (N) status. In this study, multiple lookup tables (Multi-LUTs), each LUT corresponding to one growth stage, were constructed based on the N-PROSAIL model, a radiative transfer model, and LUT size was optimized for improving computing efficiency. The objective is to use the constructed Multi-LUTs for estimating canopy N density (CND) in winter wheat. Results suggest that Multi-LUTs of leaf area index, leaf N density and two spectral indices (MSR and MCARI/MTVI2) in winter wheat demonstrate good performance of CND estimation; and LUTs with the optimal size of 6000 rows can yield good accuracy. The R2 and nRMSE values of the regression relationship between estimated and measured CND were 0.83 and 0.23 from field hyperspectral data, and 0.69 and 0.27 from UAV based hyperspectral imagery during the 2014–2015 growing season. CND by Multi-LUTs method was also accurately estimated from field hyperspectral data during the 2013–2014 growing season, with R2 and nRMSE values of 0.74 and 0.26. The estimation accuracy of CND based UAV data was a slightly lower than based field data. The resultant thematic CND map accurately exhibits CND variability at varying spatial and temporal scales. Results from this study confirmed the potential of combining UAV based hyperspectral imagery and physical optics approach for estimating CND in winter wheat. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • Dynamic model of the DSSAT-CERES model for wheat production. • GLUE with a systematic approach for well calibrating parameters in DSSAT-CERES model. • Crop variables in time series were in agreement with measured values. • DSSAT-CERES model as optimization management tool in agriculture. Abstract Crop growth models integrate genotype, environment and management and can serve as an analytical tool by which to study the influences of these factors on crop growth, production, and agricultural planning. Parameter calibration is the primary step taken before the local application of crop growth models. In this study, experimental field data were collected by way of a five-year (2008–2013) set of field experiments at a field site in Beijing, China. The DSSAT-CERES model was calibrated by integrating the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) method and a systematic approach, and used experimental data relating to two seasons 2009/2010 and 2012/2013. The calibrated model was evaluated for its prediction performance using experimental data relating to the three seasons 2008/2009, 2010/2011 and 2011/2012. The results showed that the GLUE method can accurately estimate the genotype parameters of wheat; that the simulated leaf area index (LAI), aboveground biomass (AGB), aboveground nitrogen (AGN) and grain yield (GY) were close to the measured values; and that the DSSAT-CERES-Wheat model can be used to schedule wheat seed sowing dates, and optimize N fertilizer application in areas around Beijing. In general, the DSSAT-CERES-Wheat model was proved to be a useful decision-making tool for winter wheat production in the Beijing area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Coupling remote sensing data with a crop growth model has become an effective tool for estimating grain yields and assessing grain quality. In this study, a data assimilation approach using a particle swarm optimization algorithm was developed to integrate remotely sensed data into the DSSAT-CERES model for estimating the grain yield and protein content of winter wheat. Our results showed that the normalized difference red edge index (NDRE) produced the most accurate selection of spectral indices for estimating canopy N accumulation (CNA), with R 2 and RMSE values of 0.663 and 34.05 kg ha −1 , respectively. A data assimilation method ( R 2 = 0.729 and RMSE = 32.02 kg ha −1 ) performed better than the spectral indices method for estimation of canopy N accumulation. Simulation of grain yield by the data assimilation method agreed well with the measured grain yield, with R 2 and RMSE values of 0.711 and 0.63 t ha −1 , respectively. Estimating grain protein content by gluten type could improve the estimation accuracy, with R 2 and RMSE of 0.519 and 1.53%, respectively. Our study showed that estimating wheat grain yield, and especially quality, could be successfully accomplished by assimilating remotely sensed data into the DSSAT-CERES model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timely monitoring of above-ground biomass (AGB) is essential for indicating the crop growth status and predicting grain yield and carbon dynamics. Non-destructive remote sensing techniques with a large spatial coverage have become a promising method for crop biomass monitoring. However, most existing crop biomass models have only been tested at a single growth stage or only at a small number of growth stages at a single location. This has limited the ability of these AGB models to be transferred spatially, to other fields or regions, to predict AGB at any growth stage during the season, or to be potentially used with data from other sensing systems. Here, a new crop biomass algorithm (CBA-Wheat) was developed to estimate AGB over the entire growing season. It uses information on the crop growth stage, based on phenological scale observations (Zadoks scale or ZS), the day of the year or thermal indices (growing degree days), to correct AGB estimations from remotely sensed vegetation indices. The model transferability was evaluated across multiple regional test sites and different data sources (UAV and hand-held spectroscopic data). Results showed that the coefficient values [slope (k) and intercept (b) ] of ordinary least squares regression (OLSR) of AGB with vegetation indices had a strong relationship with ZS. These k and b relationships were used to correct the OLSR model parameters based on the observed phenological stage (ZS value). The two-band enhanced vegetation index (EVI2) was the best vegetation index for predicting AGB with the new CBA-Wheat ZS model, with R2 and RMSE values of 0.83 and 2.07 t/ha for an experimental trial site, 0.78 and 2.05 t/ha for multiple independent regional test sites, and 0.69 and 1.87 t/ha when transferred to EVI2 derived from UAV. Model performance was lower with the day of the year and thermal index corrections; however, the use of relative growing degree-days (RGS; CBA-Wheat RGS), instead of ZS information, to adjust the model parameters showed a high consistency with the CBA-Wheat ZS model, and a good potential for estimation of AGB at regional scales without the need for local phenological observations. The CBA-Wheat RGS had validated R2 and RMSE values of 0.82 and 2.01 t/ha for the experimental trial site, 0.76 and 2.39 t/ha for multiple independent regional test sites, and 0.66 and 2.14 t/ha for UAV hyperspectral imagery. These results demonstrated a good potential to estimate biomass from remotely sensed imagery at varying spatio-temporal scales in winter wheat. • A model for wheat crop biomass based on a single evolving relationship with phenological period was developed. • Biomass prediction can be achieved by combining phenological information and remote sensing data. • Model transferability at varying spatio-temporal scales and to different remote sensing data sources was tested successfully. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timely and accurate forecasting of crop grain protein content (GPC) is helpful in planning to acquire the desired target protein levels. A geographically weighted regression (GWR) model was estimated based on meteorological factors to predict the winter wheat GPC at the county level. In the Huang-Huai-Hai region, the grain protein content of winter wheat increased by 0.29% for every 1° increase in latitude. GPC prediction with this model was more precise than that of the multiple linear regressions (MLR) model. The correlation coefficient (R) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) value ranges were 0.26 ~ 0.66 and 1573.86 ~ 1710.70 for the GWR, and 0.06 ~ 0.46 and 1670.18 ~ 1939.76 for the MLR, respectively. Except for radiation in March (RAD03), radiation in April (RAD04) and radiation in May (RAD05), the sensitivity index of other monthly weather indicators to GPC had a high correlation with latitude. With 36° north latitude (L) as the limit, the correlation between RAD03 (R L<36 ° = 0.36, R L>36 ° = −0.29), RAD04 (R L<36 ° = 0.31, R L>36 ° = −0.35) and RAD05 (R L<36 ° = 0.20, R L>36 ° = −0.20) with latitude all showed an opposite trend. We highlight that spatial information needs to be considered when predicting county-level winter wheat GPC. • The grain protein content (GPC) is positively correlated with latitude. • The effect of meteorological factors on winter GPC showed spatial heterogeneity. • Geographically weighted model has advantages in winter GPC in heterogeneous region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights: [•] We detected yellow rust in winter wheat with hyperspectral data. [•] Disease sensitive features were extracted by continuous wavelet analysis. [•] Wavelet features outperformed conventional spectral features in disease detection. [•] The disease can be better detected at Zodaks 70 stage than Zodaks 37 stage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Develop a within-growing season yield forecast system with random forest model. • Random forest model performs well in predicting grain yield in China. • We identified the most important stage-specific predictors determining crop yield. • The most important variable influencing yields varied with crop types. Accurate and timely crop yield forecasts can provide essential information to make conclusive agricultural policies and to conduct investments. Recent studies have used different machine learning techniques to develop such yield forecast systems for single crops at regional scales. However, no study has used multiple sources of environmental predictors (climate, soil, and vegetation) to forecast yields for three major crops in China. In this study, we adopted 7-year observed crop yield data (2013–2019) for three major grain crops (wheat, maize, and rice) across China, and three major data sets including climate, vegetation indices, and soil properties were used to develop a dynamic yield forecasting system based on the random forest (RF) model. The RF model showed good performance for estimating yields of all three crops with correlation coefficient (r) higher than 0.75 and normalized root means square errors (nRMSE) lower than 18.0%. Our results also showed that crop yields can be satisfactorily forecasted at one to three months prior to harvest. The optimum lead time for yield forecasting depended on crop types. In addition, we found the major predictors influencing crop yield varied between crops. In general, solar radiation and vegetation indices (especially during jointing to milk development stages) were identified as the main predictor for winter wheat; vegetation indices (throughout the growing season) and drought (especially during emergence to tasseling stages) were the most important predictors for spring maize; soil moisture (throughout the growing season) was the dominant predictor for summer maize, late rice, and mid rice; precipitation (especially during booting to heading stages) was the main predictor for early rice. Our study provides insights into practical crop yield forecasting and the understanding of yield response to environmental conditions at a large scale across China. The methods undertaken in this research can be easily implemented in other countries with available information on climate, soil, and vegetation conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]