Alexis Moscoso, Thomas K. Karikari, Michel J. Grothe, Nicholas J. Ashton, Juan Lantero‐Rodriguez, Anniina Snellman, Henrik Zetterberg, Kaj Blennow, Michael Schöll, BrightFocus Foundation, International Society for Neurochemistry, Swedish Alzheimer Foundation, Swedish Brain Foundation, Swedish Dementia Foundation, Swedish Parkinson Foundation, Aina Wallströms and Mary-Ann Sjöbloms Foundation, Agneta Prytz-Folkes & Gösta Folkes Foundation, Gun and Bertil Stohnes Foundation, Anna Lisa and Brother Björnsson’s Foundation, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Paulo Foundation, Orion Research Foundation, Swedish Research Council, European Commission, Alzheimer Drug Discovery Foundation, Olav Thon Foundation, The Erling-Persson Family Foundation, Dementia Research Institute (UK), and Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation
[Introduction] Clinical trials targeting tau in Alzheimer's disease (AD) need to recruit individuals at risk of tau accumulation. Here, we studied cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers and plasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)181 as predictors of tau accumulation on positron emission tomography (PET) to evaluate implications for trial designs., [Methods] We included older individuals who had serial tau-PET scans, baseline amyloid beta (Aβ)-PET, and baseline CSF biomarkers (n = 163) or plasma p-tau181 (n = 74). We studied fluid biomarker associations with tau accumulation and estimated trial sample sizes and screening failure reductions by implementing these markers into participant selection for trials., [Results] P-tau181 in CSF and plasma predicted tau accumulation (r > 0.36, P < .001), even in AD-continuum individuals with normal baseline tau-PET (A+T–; r > 0.37, P < .05). Recruitment based on CSF biomarkers yielded comparable sample sizes to Aβ-PET. Prescreening with plasma p-tau181 reduced up to ≈50% of screening failures., [Discussion] Clinical trials testing tau-targeting therapies may benefit from using fluid biomarkers to recruit individuals at risk of tau aggregation., AM is supported by Gamla Tjänarinnor. TKK was funded by the BrightFocus Foundation (#A2020812F), the International Society for Neurochemistry's Career Development Grant, the Swedish Alzheimer Foundation (Alzheimerfonden; #AF-940244), the Swedish Brain Foundation (Hjärnfonden; #FO2021-0298), the Swedish Dementia Foundation (Demensförbundet), the Swedish Parkinson Foundation (Parkinsonfonden), Gamla Tjänarinnor Foundation, the Aina (Ann) Wallströms and Mary-Ann Sjöbloms Foundation, the Agneta Prytz-Folkes & Gösta Folkes Foundation (#2020-00124), the Gun and Bertil Stohnes Foundation, and the Anna Lisa and Brother Björnsson's Foundation. MJG is supported by the “Miguel Servet” program (CP19/00031) and a research grant (PI20/00613) of the Spanish Instituto de Salud Carlos III-Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (ISCIII-FEDER). AS is supported by the Paulo Foundation and the Orion Research Foundation sr. HZ is a Wallenberg Scholar supported by grants from the Swedish Research Council (#2018-02532), the European Research Council (#681712), Swedish State Support for Clinical Research (#ALFGBG-720931), the Alzheimer Drug Discovery Foundation (ADDF), USA (#201809-2016862), the AD Strategic Fund and the Alzheimer's Association (#ADSF-21-831376-C, #ADSF-21-831381-C and #ADSF-21-831377-C), the Olav Thon Foundation, the Erling-Persson Family Foundation, Stiftelsen för Gamla Tjänarinnor, Hjärnfonden, Sweden (#FO2019-0228), the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 860197 (MIRIADE), and the UK Dementia Research Institute at UCL. KB is supported by the Swedish Research Council (#2017-00915), the Alzheimer Drug Discovery Foundation (ADDF), USA (#RDAPB-201809-2016615), the Swedish Alzheimer Foundation (#AF-742881), Hjärnfonden, Sweden (#FO2017-0243), the Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the County Councils, the ALF-agreement (#ALFGBG-715986), and European Union Joint Program for Neurodegenerative Disorders (JPND2019-466-236). MS is supported by the Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation (Wallenberg Centre for Molecular and Translational Medicine; KAW 2014.0363), the Swedish Research Council (#2017-02869), the Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the County Councils, the ALF-agreement (#ALFGBG-813971), and the Swedish Alzheimer Foundation (#AF-740191). Data collection and sharing for this project was funded by the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI; National Institutes of Health Grant U01 AG024904) and DOD ADNI (Department of Defense award number W81XWH-12-2-0012).