1. Survival prediction model for patients with mycosis fungoides/Sezary syndrome
- Author
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Songze Leng, Xiaoyang Han, Yinhang Wu, Zhiwen Liu, Xiao Lv, Ningning Shan, Shouyong Hun, Kang Lu, Xin Liu, and linlin zhu
- Subjects
Male ,Oncology ,Mycosis fungoides/Sezary syndrome ,Cancer Research ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Skin Neoplasms ,medicine.medical_treatment ,TNM staging system ,030207 dermatology & venereal diseases ,03 medical and health sciences ,Mycosis Fungoides ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,Epidemiology ,medicine ,Humans ,Sezary Syndrome ,Aged ,Neoplasm Staging ,Aged, 80 and over ,Mycosis fungoides ,business.industry ,External validation ,General Medicine ,Middle Aged ,Nomogram ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Combined Modality Therapy ,Survival Analysis ,United States ,Radiation therapy ,Nomograms ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Risk stratification ,Female ,business ,SEER Program - Abstract
Aim: A nomogram was constructed to forecast the overall survival (OS) of patients with mycosis fungoides/Sezary syndrome. Patients & methods: The clinicopathological information of patients was obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. A model was established based on the independent prognostic factors. Predictive ability of the model was evaluated with the concordance index and calibration curves. Risk stratification was conducted for patients with similar tumor node metastasis (TNM) stages. Results: The model included 1997 eligible patients and seven prognostic factors for OS. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.84 in the training and external validation cohorts, which indicated good predictive ability of the model and reliability of the results. The high agreement between the model predictions and actual observations was identified by calibration curves, which demonstrated the prediction accuracy of the model. Risk stratification displayed significant differences for patients with similar TNM stages, which suggested that the OS of patients with similar TNM stages could be further distinguished. Conclusion: We established a reliable nomogram to predict the OS of patients with mycosis fungoides/Sezary syndrome, which highlighted the advantages of nomograms over the conventional TNM staging system and promoted the application of individualized therapeutic strategies.
- Published
- 2020