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The increasing number of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimens along with limited number of subjects and co-medications involved in clinical trials results in drug-drug interactions (DDIs) with DAAs is to be determined. We aimed to examine the prevalence and degree of DDIs between DAAs and other co-medications in a territory-wide cohort of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients.DDIs were assigned to three risk categories: Category 1-no clinically significant DDI; category 2-potential clinically significant interaction (monitoring and caution required); category 3-contraindicated (should not be co-administered).Of 2981 patients (mean age 59.3 ± 12.3 years; male 60.6%), 810 (48.8%) had genotype 1 and 552 (33.2%) genotype 6 HCV among the 1661 patients with HCV genotype tested; 769 (25.8%) received sofosbuvir/velpatasvir, 510 (17.1%) sofosbuvir/ledipasvir, and 865 (29.0%) glecaprevir/pibrentasvir. More than one-fourth (26.3%) of the patients have polypharmacy (≥ 3 co-medications) in all patients, 27.0% in patients received sofosbuvir/velpatasvir, 25.1% in elbasvir/grazoprevir, and 21.2% in glecaprevir/pibrentasvir. 2037 (68.3%) patient experienced DDI (Category 2: 53.1%; Category 3: 15.2%). The commonest drugs leading to DDIs were calcium channel blockers (31.5%) and proton pump inhibitors (23.0%) in category 2; statins (10.2%), antiplatelet/anticoagulants (3.0%) and antipsychotics (2.9%) in category 3. Changing medication was the most common response from physicians in both category 2 and 3 DDIs.The commonest co-medications leading to contraindication during DAA treatment were statins and antipsychotics. Category 2 and 3 DDIs are often managed by appropriate dose adjustments or temporary discontinuation of relevant co-medications. Careful assessment for potential DDI before DAA use is mandatory to avoid potential harmful effects.

Several guidelines recommend screening for NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to determine if there is a threshold of age and duration of T2D for liver-related event development to guide screening strategies.We conducted a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NAFLD and T2D diagnosed between 2000 and 2014 in Hong Kong to allow for at least 5 years of follow-up. The primary endpoint was liver-related events, defined as a composite of HCC and cirrhotic complications. This study included 7028 patients with NAFLD with T2D (mean age, 56.1 ± 13.3 years; 3363 male [47.9%]). During a follow-up of 77,308 person-years, there was a threshold effect with 1.1%, 4.9%, and 94.0% of patients developing liver-related events at the age of40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. Similarly, 3.1%, 5.1%, and 91.8% of patients developed cirrhosis at the age of40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. In contrast, liver-related events increased linearly with diabetes duration, with no difference in the annual incidence rate between the first 10 years of T2D diagnosis and subsequent years (0.06% vs. 0.10%; p = 0.136). On multivariable analysis, baseline age ≥50 years (adjusted HR [aHR] 2.01) and cirrhosis (aHR 3.12) were the strongest risk factors associated with liver-related events. Substitution of cirrhosis with the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index or the Fibrosis-4 index yielded similar results.Age rather than duration of T2D predicts liver-related events in patients with NAFLD and T2D. It is reasonable to screen patients with NAFLD and T2D for advanced liver disease starting at 50 years of age.

The immune-tolerant (IT) phase of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients is not generally indicative of antiviral therapy (AVT). We assessed and compared the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during the IT-phase stringently defined by a low fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, compared to that in patients undergoing AVT.Among 125 untreated patients that were hepatitis B e-antigen positive, hepatitis B virus-DNA20,000 IU/mL, with normal alanine aminotransferase level from 2012 to 2018, those with a FIB-4 index of1.45 were classified into the IT-group. The cumulative probability of HCC was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. All patients were assessed until HCC development (intention-to-treat [ITT] analysis), whereas those suspected of experiencing CHB phase switch were assessed using the per-protocol (PP) and censored at the time of phase switch.The cumulative probability of HCC at 1-, 3-, and 5-years among the IT-group was zero, compared to AVT-treated patients with FIB-4 indices1.45 during the same period: 0.2%, 0.6%, and 1.4%, respectively (P=0.264 for ITT and P=0.533 for PP). Among the initially screened 125 untreated patients, those with a FIB-4 index of ≥1.45 had a higher risk of HCC compared to the IT-group (P=0.005). Furthermore, among AVT-treated patients, those with a FIB-4 index of ≥1.45 had a higher risk of HCC compared to their counterpart (P0.001).The risk of HCC was negligible in the IT-group stringently defined by a low FIB-4 index. However, given that a higher HCC risk exists among untreated patients with higher FIB-4, appropriate criteria for AVT should be established.

Background/Aims: Serum fibrosis scores comprised of common laboratory tests have high utility to assess severity of liver fibrosis. We aimed to derive and validate a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk score based on serum fibrosis scores to predict HCC in treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.Methods: Fifteen thousand one hundred eighty-seven treatment-naïve adult CHB patients were identified to form the training cohort in this retrospective study. Individual fibrosis score was included to construct a new HCC prediction score. The score was externally validated in an independent treatment-naïve Korean CHB cohort.Results: 180/15,187 patients (1.2%) in training cohort and 47/4,286 patients (1.1%) in validation cohort developed HCC during a mean follow-up of 52 and 50 months, respectively. The newly developed HCC risk score, Liang score, is composed of gender, age, hepatitis B virus DNA, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and ranges from 0 to 22. Area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve of Liang score was 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.70–0.89). A cutoff value of nine provided an extremely high negative predictive value of 99.9% and high sensitivity of 90.0% at 5 years in the validation cohort. Patients with Liang score ≤9 had HCC incidence

Both entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) are first-line therapies for chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but their comparative effectiveness with regards to hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance remains unclear.This international multicenter cohort study enrolled 7697 treatment-naïve CHB patients (median age 50 years; male 66.75%) initiated on either ETV (n = 5430) or TDF (n = 2267) without baseline malignancy or immunosuppression from 23 centers across 10 countries or regions. Patients were observed for HBsAg seroclearance until death, loss to follow-up, or treatment discontinuation or switching. The incidences of HBsAg seroclearance were adjusted for competing mortality and compared between ETV and TDF cohorts with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and also by multivariable regression analysis.The study population was followed up for a median duration of 56.1 months with 36,929 11 person-years of observation. HBsAg seroclearance occurred in 70 ETV-treated and 21 TDF-treated patients, yielding 8-year cumulative incidence of 1.69% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-2.17) for ETV and 1.34% (95% CI 0.85-2.10%), for TDF (p = 0.58). In the IPTW analysis with the two study cohorts more balanced in background covariates, the age-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of TDF versus ETV for HBsAg seroclearance was 0.91 (95% CI 0.50-1.64; p = 0.75). Furthermore, there was no significant difference between the two medications in the multivariable competing risk regression model (adjusted sub-distributional HR 0.92 for TDF vs. ETV; 95% CI 0.56-1.53; p = 0.76).ETV and TDF did not differ significantly in the incidence of HBsAg seroclearance, which rarely occurred with either regimen.

Tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) is a novel prodrug of tenofovir for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. We aimed to evaluate the impact of switching to TAF on alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalization and renal safety. We also described the indications of switching to TAF. Consecutive adult CHB patients switched from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) dominant therapy to TAF for more than 12 months were identified retrospectively. A subgroup of patients newly switched to TAF was prospectively invited to perform transient elastography examination and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The time of switching to TAF was defined as baseline. Among 393 patients in the retrospective cohort, the median ALT at month 12 was significantly lower (21.0 [16.0-29.9] U/L vs. 25.0 [19.0-34.0] U/L; p 0.001) and ALT normalization rate was higher (89.9% vs. 83.7%; p = 0.037) than those at baseline. Estimated glomerular filtration rate decreased from 12 months before baseline and then increased from baseline to month 12 significantly (69.7 ± 22.0 ml/min/1.73 m

Women at childbearing age and pregnant ladies living in the areas of high or intermediate prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) remain at risk of getting the infection and passing the infections to their offspring via mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HBV. HBV infection may affect the mothers by active hepatitis, very occasionally liver cirrhosis and rarely fulminant hepatitis and liver failure. The virus may be transmitted to the babies despite immunoprophylaxis in the setting of very high maternal viral load. Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) has been shown to be efficacious to reduce MTCT of HBV, which contributes to the elimination of chronic HBV infection by 2030, the goal set by World Health Organization.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS Type 2 diabetes is an important risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and advanced fibrosis. Current international guidelines recommend the use of noninvasive tests as initial assessments for NAFLD, but the role of noninvasive tests as monitoring tools has not been established. We aimed to study the role of transient elastography as a monitoring tool in patients with type 2 diabetes. APPROACH AND RESULTS We recruited patients with type 2 diabetes without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol intake from a complication screening facility in Hong Kong in 2013-2014 and repeated the assessments in 2016-2018. The primary endpoint was an increase of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) to ≥10 kPa. The secondary endpoint was the change in the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). A total of 611 patients with type 2 diabetes and a valid LSM (mean age, 57.7 ± 10.9 years; 342 men [56.0%]) were included in this study (568 also had a valid CAP). Overall, there was moderate correlation between the baseline and follow-up LSM (r = 0.689, P

BACKGROUND AND AIM Hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) has been shown to correlate with various viral markers in chronic hepatitis B, but its role in defining natural history is not well studied. We aimed to investigate the use of HBcrAg to define different phases of chronic hepatitis B. METHODS Stored residual serum samples from longitudinal cohorts of chronic hepatitis B patients in Hong Kong and Japan were studied. Viral markers were measured in three serial serum samples for each patient. Patients were divided into six groups for analysis: hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic infection (EPI), HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis (EPH), HBeAg seroconversion (ES), HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis (ENH), HBeAg-negative chronic infection (ENI), and HBsAg seroclearance (SS). RESULTS In total, 166 patients followed up for 100 (76-113) months were included. HBcrAg was correlated with hepatitis B virus DNA and HBsAg levels in both HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative patients. HBcrAg cut-off of ≥ 6.0 log U/mL could best differentiate HBeAg-positive from HBeAg-negative patients (area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.99, P

Background Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) account for an increasing proportion of liver disease in the Asia-Pacific region. Many areas in the region are experiencing epidemics of metabolic syndrome among rapidly ageing populations. Aims To estimate using modelling the growth in NAFLD populations, including cases with significant fibrosis that are most likely to experience advanced liver disease and related mortality. Methods A disease progression model was used to summarise and project fibrosis progression among the NAFLD populations of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan. For each area, changes in the adult prevalence of obesity was used to extrapolate long-term trends in NAFLD incidence. Results In the areas studied, prevalent NAFLD cases were projected to increase 6%-20% during 2019-2030, while prevalent NASH cases increase 20%-35%. Incident cases of hepatocellular carcinoma are projected to increase by 65%-85%, while incident decompensated cirrhosis cases increase 65%-100% by 2030. Likewise, NAFLD-related mortality is projected to increase between 65% and 100% from 2019 to 2030. NAFLD disease burden is expected to increase alongside rising trends in metabolic syndrome and obesity among populations in the region. This leads to more cases of advanced liver disease and associated mortality. Conclusions Preventing the growth of diabetic and obese populations will be a key factor in reducing ongoing increases in NAFLD-related disease burden in the Asia-Pacific region.

Background and aims Improvement in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score during antiviral treatment is associated with reduced hepatic decompensation and death in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related cirrhosis. We aimed to identify factors associated with transplant-free survival and on-treatment MELD score improvement. Methods We identified patients with CHB-related cirrhosis and MELD score ≥ 15 at the start of entecavir and/or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate treatment between 2005 and 2017. The primary endpoint was transplant-free survival at month 6. The secondary endpoints at month 6 were transplant-free survival with > 5-point improvement in MELD score and transplant-free survival with MELD score Results Of 999 cirrhotic CHB patients, 605 (60.6%) achieved transplant-free survival at month 6. Proportion of transplant-free survival at month 6 stabilized at 10% in patients with high MELD. Patients who achieved transplant-free survival at month 6 were younger, had lower MELD score, lower alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and higher albumin at baseline. Of 605 patients with transplant-free survival, 276 (45.6%) achieved > 5-point improvement in MELD score; 183 (30.2%) had 1-point to 5-point improvement in MELD score; 146 (24.1%) had no improvement or a worsened MELD score. Also, 321 (53.1%) patients with transplant-free survival had a MELD score Conclusion On top of lower MELD score, patients with CHB-related cirrhosis who are younger, have higher albumin, and lower ALT are more likely to achieve transplant-free survival after 6 months of antiviral treatment.

Background & Aims Systemic corticosteroids may cause HBV reactivation, but the impact on patients with previous HBV exposure is poorly defined. We aimed to study the risk of HBsAg seroreversion and hepatitis flare in patients with previous HBV exposure. Methods Patients who were negative for HBsAg and received corticosteroids between 2001–2010 were included. Patients who were positive for antibody to HBsAg (anti-HBs) and/or to HBcAg (anti-HBc) were defined as having previous HBV exposure. The primary endpoint was HBsAg seroreversion; the secondary endpoint was hepatitis flare (alanine aminotransferase >80 U/L) at 1 year. Results A total of 12,997 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria: anti-HBs positive only (n = 10,561); anti-HBc positive only (n = 970); anti-HBs & anti-HBc positive (n = 830) and anti-HBs & anti-HBc negative (n = 636). HBsAg seroreversion occurred in 165 patients. Patients who were anti-HBc positive only had a higher risk of HBsAg seroreversion (1-year incidence 1.8%) than those negative for both anti-HBs & anti-HBc (0%; p = 0.014). Patients with previous HBV exposure had a similarly low risk of liver failure as unexposed individuals (1.1% vs. 0.9%). The risk of a hepatitis flare started to increase in those receiving corticosteroids at peak daily doses of 20–40 mg (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.19, p = 0.048) or >40 mg (aHR 2.11, p = 0.015) prednisolone equivalents for 28 days (aHR 2.02–3.85; p Conclusions In HBsAg-negative patients who were only anti-HBc positive, high peak daily doses of corticosteroids increased the risk of hepatitis flare, but not seroreversion. The rate of liver failure was low and similar in HBV exposed and unexposed individuals; there were no deaths, nor any requirement for liver transplantation. Lay summary It is important to know the hepatitis B virus (HBV) status before starting corticosteroid therapy. Patients with resolved HBV infection without detectable immunity are at an increased risk of HBV surface antigen seroreversion after corticosteroid therapy. High peak daily doses of corticosteroids (>40 mg prednisolone equivalents) increase the risk of hepatitis flare, but not seroreversion, in patients with previous exposure to HBV, irrespective of the duration of treatment. Interval monitoring of liver biochemistries is essential for the early detection of hepatitis flares in these patients.

COVID-19 is caused by s-coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. Recent reports suggested that neurological diseases, in particular stroke, dementia and advanced Parkinson’s disease (PD), were important predictors of COVID-19-related mortality.1–3 SARS-CoV was another s-coronavirus which resulted in the epidemic of SARS in late 2002 to early 2003. Apparently, it remained quiescent since 2004 but its re-emergence is possible. Patients with SARS at advanced age and with multiple comorbidities were at higher risk of mortality.4 Given mortality rates and predictors may vary with regions, we investigated the impact of pre-existing neurological diseases on the mortality of patients with COVID-19 and SARS in Hong Kong, one of the most densely populated cities in the world. Studying the impact of neurological diseases on COVID-19 and SARS mortalities would have important implications on possible future pandemics caused by coronaviruses. We believe the data would provide guidance on resource allocation and healthcare policy making. With the availability of effective vaccination against COVID-19, the finding could implicate on the prioritisation of vaccination for patients with chronic neurological diseases. ### Study design and data retrieval We performed a territory-wide retrospective cohort study using data from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (CDARS) under the management of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong. CDARS is an electronic healthcare database that covers the patients’ demographic, death, diagnoses, procedures, drug prescription and dispensing history, and laboratory results from all public hospitals and clinics in Hong Kong. It represents in-patient data of about 80%–90% of the 7.49 million population in Hong Kong. All confirmed patients with COVID-19 and SARS were reported to the Department of Health and hospitalised in public hospitals in Hong Kong. Patients were anonymised in CDARS to ensure confidentiality. ### Subjects Consecutive patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from 23 January 2020 to 31 July 2020 and patients with SARS from March to June 2003 were identified by International …

Although the association between fatty pancreas and metabolic syndrome has been suggested in retrospective studies, long-term prospective data on the effect of fatty pancreas on various metabolic outcomes are lacking. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between fatty pancreas and the development of major metabolic outcomes.A total of 631 subjects from a population study using fat-water magnetic resonance imaging to quantify pancreatic and liver fat content during 2008 to 2010 were followed up prospectively until December 2020 (mean follow-up time, 11.1 ± 1.1 y). Subjects with significant alcohol intake and diabetes mellitus (DM) at baseline were excluded. Incidence of newly diagnosed DM, hypertension, dyslipidemia, ischemic heart disease, cardiovascular accidents, pancreatic cancer, and mortality were evaluated.Among the 631 subjects (mean age, 48 ± 11 y), 93 (14.7%) had fatty pancreas. The fatty pancreas group had a higher incidence of DM (33.3% vs 10.4%; P.001), hypertension (37.7% vs 22.7%; P = .003), and dyslipidemia (37.7% vs 14.6%; P.001) during long-term follow-up evaluation. Individuals with both fatty liver and pancreas had the highest DM incidence, followed by fatty liver only and fatty pancreas only groups (P.001). Fatty pancreas was associated independently with DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.10-3.00; P = .020), but not hypertension or dyslipidemia on multivariate analysis. Each percentage increase of pancreatic fat increased the risk of incident DM by 7% (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.13; P = .016). No participants developed pancreatic cancer during the follow-up period.Fatty pancreas is associated independently with subsequent DM development, but not hypertension or dyslipidemia.

Achieving hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion is a satisfactory endpoint during antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to develop and validate a novel scoring system to predict HBeAg seroconversion during entecavir (ETV) treatment. A total of 526 patients with HBeAg-positive CHB treated with ETV for at least 1 year were randomly assigned to the training and validation cohorts. Baseline parameters including hepatitis B virus DNA, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis B core antibody (HBcAb), and alanine aminotransferase level were quantified. Patients who achieved HBeAg seroconversion were compared with those without HBeAg seroconversion. A prediction model was established to predict HBeAg seroconversion during ETV treatment. After a median follow up of 2.67 years, 93 (36.0%) and 87 (32.5%) patients in the training and validation cohorts developed HBeAg seroconversion. A prediction score composed of age, HBsAg and HBcAb quantification was derived. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curve at 5 years of this prediction score were 0.70 and 0.72 in the training and validation cohorts. By using the dual cutoff values of 0.28 and 0.58, the model was endowed with high sensitivity and specificity to exclude or identify patients developing HBeAg seroconversion (90.3% sensitivity and 90.2% specificity in the training cohort as well as 92.8% sensitivity and 84.4% specificity in the validation cohort, respectively). A novel prediction score that uses baseline clinical variables was developed and validated. The score accurately estimates the probabilities of developing HBeAg seroconversion at 5-years ETV therapy in patients with CHB.

One-third of the global hepatitis C virus (HCV) burden is found in Asia. Real-world data from diverse East Asian cohorts remain limited. This study addressed the real-world status of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy among patients from East Asia. Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients from clinical sites in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, and Hong Kong were recruited in the REAL-C registry, an observational chart review registry. The primary outcome was sustained virologic response (SVR12, HCV RNA PCR

Background The Liver stiffness measurement hepatocellular carcinoma (LSM-HCC) score predicts HCC accurately in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Aim To assess the ability of LSM-HCC combined with enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) score to predict HCC in CHB patients who received anti-viral treatment. Methods CHB patients who had transient elastography examinations in 2006-2013 with intermediate and high risk of HCC by LSM-HCC score (ie 11 or above) were assessed by repeat transient elastography at least 3 years later. ELF score was assessed by retrieving the stored serum samples 4 weeks within transient elastography examination. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of HCC. Results A total of 453 CHB patients (mean age 51.7 ± 10.3 years; male 74.4%) were recruited, 45 patients (9.9%) developed HCC during the mean follow-up of 56 months. Regarding LSM-HCC score, 71.4%, 24.3% and 4.3% of patients had LSM-HCC score improved, remained static and deteriorated respectively; whereas 36.9%, 57.8% and 5.3% of patients had ELF score improved, remained static and deteriorated respectively. The sensitivity (86.7%) and negative predictive value (NPV) (95.3%) of combined LSM-HCC and ELF score were higher than that of each score alone. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that ELF score would help further differentiate the HCC risk in patients with intermediate risk by LSM-HCC score (P = 0.026), but not in patients with high risk by LSM-HCC score (P = 0.770). Conclusions The two-step algorithm combining LSM-HCC score and ELF score could improve the accuracy of predicting HCC of CHB patients receiving anti-viral treatment.

In treated patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who have achieved complete viral suppression, it is unclear if functional cure as indicated by hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance confers additional clinical benefit. We compared the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic events in nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-treated patients with and without HBsAg seroclearance.We performed a territory-wide retrospective cohort study on all patients with CHB who had received entecavir and/or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for at least 6 months between 2005 and 2016 from Hospital Authority, Hong Kong. Patients' demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory parameters were analyzed. The primary outcome was HCC. The secondary outcomes were hepatic events including cirrhotic complications, liver transplantation, and liver-related mortality.A total of 20,263 entecavir/TDF-treated patients with CHB were identified; 17,499 (86.4%) patients had complete viral suppression; 376 (2.1%) achieved HBsAg seroclearance. At a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 4.8 (2.8-7.0) years, 603 (3.5%) and 121 (4.4%) patients with and without complete viral suppression developed HCC; 2 (0.5%) patients with HBsAg seroclearance developed HCC. Compared to complete viral suppression, lack of complete viral suppression was associated with a higher risk of HCC (7.8% vs. 5.6% at 8 years, Gray's test, p 0.001) (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.69; 95% CI 1.36-2.09; p 0.001); patients who achieved functional cure had a lower risk of HCC (0.6% vs. 5.6% at 8 years, Gray's test, p 0.001) (aHR 0.24; 95% CI 0.06-0.97; p = 0.045) but not hepatic events (aHR 0.99; 95% CI 0.30-3.26; p = 0.991).Patients who achieved HBsAg seroclearance on top of complete viral suppression with entecavir/TDF treatment may have a lower risk of HCC but not hepatic events.We investigated 20,263 nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-treated patients with chronic hepatitis B. Patients with NA-induced hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance on top of complete viral suppression have a lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not hepatic events than those only achieving complete viral suppression under prolonged NA treatment.

Currently, there is no well-established algorithm predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in untreated hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients. We aimed to validate an algorithm (risk evaluation of viral load elevation and associated liver disease/HCV [REVEAL-HCV]: age, AST, ALT, HCV RNA, HCV genotype, and cirrhosis) developed in Taiwanese patients. We analyzed 1381 (50.1% White, 14.7% Hispanic, 13.8% Asian of diverse origin, and 7.8% African American) adult treatment-naive HCV patients (no viral co-infection, no HCC within 6 months) at 4 U.S. and one Hong Kong centers (11/1994-10/2017). Compared to the non-Asian cohort, the Asian cohort had a higher percentage of patients in the low-risk group (46.1% vs. 26.1%) and a lower percentage in the high-risk group (12.0% vs. 20.3%, p

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) are the 2 most popular noninvasive blood-based serum tests proposed for widespread fibrosis screening. We therefore aimed to describe the accuracy of FIB-4 and NFS to detect elevated liver stiffness as an indicator of hepatic fibrosis in low-prevalence populations.This study included a total of 5129 patients with concomitant measurement of FIB-4, NFS, and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by Fibroscan (Echosens, France) from 5 independent population-based cohorts from Spain, Hong Kong, Denmark, England, and France; 3979 participants from the general population and 1150 from at-risk cohorts due to alcohol, diabetes, or obesity. We correlated LSM with FIB-4 and NFS, and calculated pre- and post-test predictive values of FIB-4 and NFS to detect elevated LSM at 8 kPa and 12 kPa cutoffs. The mean age was 53 ± 12 years, the mean body mass index was 27 ± 5 kg/mFIB-4 and NFS are suboptimal for screening purposes due to a high risk of overdiagnosis and a non-negligible percentage of false-negatives, especially in patients with risk factors for chronic liver disease. Waist circumference emerged as a potential first step to identify patients at risk for liver fibrosis in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic tools for liver disease can now include estimation of the grade of hepatic steatosis (S0 to S3). Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) is a non-invasive method for assessing hepatic steatosis that has become available for patients who are obese (FibroScan XL probe), but a consensus has not yet been reached regarding cutoffs and its diagnostic performance. We aimed to assess diagnostic properties and identify relevant covariates with use of an individual patient data meta-analysis.METHODS: We did an individual patient data meta-analysis, in which we searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies published from database inception until April 30, 2019. Studies reporting original biopsy-controlled data of CAP for non-invasive grading of steatosis were eligible. Probe recommendation was based on automated selection, manual assessment of skin-to-liver-capsule distance, and a body-mass index (BMI) criterion. Receiver operating characteristic methods and mixed models were used to assess diagnostic properties and covariates. Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were analysed separately because they are the predominant patient group when using the XL probe. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018099284.FINDINGS: 16 studies reported histology-controlled CAP including the XL probe, and individual data from 13 papers and 2346 patients were included. Patients with a mean age of 46·5 years (SD 14·5) were recruited from 20 centres in nine countries. 2283 patients had data for BMI; 673 (29%) were normal weight (BMI INTERPRETATION: CAP cutoffs varied according to cause, and can effectively recognise significant steatosis in patients with viral hepatitis. CAP cannot grade steatosis in patients with NAFLD adequately, but its value in a NAFLD screening setting needs to be studied, ideally with methods beyond the traditional histological reference standard.FUNDING: The German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and Echosens.

Introduction Aspirin may reduce the risk of chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients receiving antiviral treatment. We aimed to investigate the impact of aspirin on reducing HCC risk in patients treated with first-line oral nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs; entecavir and/or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate). Methods We conducted a territorywide, retrospective cohort study in NA-treated CHB patients between 2000 and 2018 from the electronic healthcare data repository in Hong Kong. Subjects were classified into aspirin users for at least 90 days during NA treatment (aspirin group) or no aspirin or any other antiplatelet use during follow-up period (no aspirin group). Incidence rates of HCC and gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in 2 groups with propensity score matching with 1:3 ratio. Results Of 35,111 NA-treated CHB patients of mean age of 53.0 years and 61.6% men, sixty-nine (4.0%) and 1,488 (4.5%) developed HCC at a median (interquartile range) of 2.7 (1.4-4.8) years and 3.2 (1.8-6.0) years in the aspirin group and no aspirin group, respectively. A duration-dependent association between aspirin and the risk of HCC was observed (subhazard ratio [sHR] 3 months-2 years: 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-0.92; sHR 2-5 years: 0.63; 95% CI 0.43-0.94; sHR from ≥5 years: 0.41; 95% CI 0.18-0.91). Patients who took aspirin for ≤2 years had significantly higher risk of GIB (sHR: 1.73, 95% CI 1.07-2.79) than those not receiving aspirin. The risk of GIB started declining with the longer use of aspirin and becoming insignificant for ≥5 years' use (sHR: 0.79, 95% CI 0.19-3.21). Discussion Long-term aspirin use is associated with a lower risk of HCC in a duration-dependent manner in NA-treated CHB patients without a significant increase in the risk of gastrointestinal adverse effects.

Background & AIMS Antiviral treatment criteria are based on disease progression risk, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance recommendations for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) without cirrhosis is based on an annual incidence threshold of 0.2%. However, accurate and precise disease progression estimate data are limited. Thus, we aimed to determine rates of cirrhosis and HCC development stratified by age, sex, treatment status, and disease activity based on the 2018 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and 2017 European Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines. Methods We analyzed 18,338 patients (8914 treated, 9424 untreated) from 6 centers from the United States and 27 centers from Asia-Pacific countries. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate annual progression rates to cirrhosis or HCC in person-years. Results The cohort was 63% male, with a mean age of 46.19 years, with baseline cirrhosis of 14.3% and median follow up of 9.60 years. By American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases criteria, depending on age, sex, and disease activity, annual incidence rates ranged from 0.07% to 3.94% for cirrhosis, from 0.04% to 2.19% for HCC in patients without cirrhosis, and from 0.40% to 8.83% for HCC in patients with cirrhosis. Several subgroups of patients without cirrhosis including males younger than 40 years of age and females younger than 50 years of age had annual HCC risk near or exceeding 0.2%. Similar results were found using European Association for the Study of the Liver criteria. Conclusion There is great variability in CHB disease progression rates even among “lower-risk” populations. Future CHB modeling studies, public health planning, and HCC surveillance recommendation should be based on more precise disease progression rates based on sex, age, and disease activity, plus treatment status.

Background Long-term incidences and baseline determinants of functional cure (hepatitis B surface antigen [HBsAg] seroclearance) during entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment are incompletely understood. Methods This is an international multicenter cohort study of treatment-naive patients with chronic hepatitis B who started ETV or TDF treatment without baseline cancer. Patients were observed for HBsAg seroclearance until death or loss to follow-up. We calculated the incidences and explored the baseline determinants of HBsAg seroclearance using competing risk regression. Results The analysis included 4769 patients (median age, 50 years; 69.05% male), with a median follow-up of 5.16 years (26 614.47 person-years). HBsAg clearance occurred in 58 patients, yielding a 10-year cumulative incidence of 2.11% (95% confidence interval, 1.54%–2.88%) and an annual rate of 0.22% (.17%–.28%). Baseline predictors included low-level viremia with hepatitis B virus DNA 200 U/L (3.68 [2.07–6.53]), serum bilirubin (1.11 per mg/dL; [1.06–1.17 mg/dL]), and fatty liver (1.84 [1.03–3.29]). Conclusion HBsAg seroclearance rarely occurs in patients with chronic hepatitis B treated with ETV or TDF and is associated with low-level viremia, alanine aminotransferase flare, bilirubin level, and fatty liver. Functional cure of hepatitis B virus infection rarely occurred at an average annual rate of 0.22% during first-line oral antiviral treatment, with higher chances observed in patients with low-level viremia, high-level aminotransferase flare, elevation of serum bilirubin, and fatty liver.

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE) is a non-invasive assessment for diagnosing and staging liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Evidence on its role as a longitudinal monitoring tool is lacking. This study aims to evaluate the role of TE in monitoring NAFLD improvement following bariatric surgery. This study prospectively recruited 101 morbidly obese patients undergoing laparoscopic bariatric surgery for intraoperative liver biopsy. Thirty-seven patients of the cohort received perioperative TE. Postoperative anthropometric, biochemical and LSM data were collected annually for 5 years. In 101 patients receiving liver biopsy (mean age 40.0 ± 10.3 years, mean body-mass-index (BMI) 40.0 ± 5.7 kg/m2), NASH and liver fibrosis were diagnosed in 42 (41.6%) and 48 (47.5%) patients respectively. There were 29 (28.7%) stage 1, 11 (10.9%) stage 2, 7 (6.9%) stage 3, and 1 (1.0%) stage 4 fibrosis. In 37 patients receiving TE (mean age 38.9 ± 10.8 years, mean BMI 41.1 ± 5.6 kg/m2), the percentages of total weight loss were 21.1 ± 7.6% at 1 year, 19.7 ± 8.3% at 3 years, and 17.1 ± 7.0% at 5 years after surgery. The mean LSM reduced significantly from 9.8 ± 4.6 kPa at baseline to 6.9 ± 3.4 kPa at 1 year, 7.3 ± 3.0 kPa at 3 years, and 6.8 ± 2.6 kPa at 5 years (P = 0.002). Using pre-defined LSM cut-offs, the rates of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis being ruled out at 5 years improved from baseline values of 43.7 to 87.5% (P P P

Rationale: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The effects of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) on NAFLD in patients w...

INTRODUCTION Immunotherapy has dramatically improved the survival of patients with advanced or metastatic malignancies. Recent studies suggest that immunotherapy may increase the risk of hepatitis, whereas it may also induce functional cure of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. We evaluated the incidence of hepatitis flare, HBV reactivation, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance or seroreversion in patients with current or past HBV infection who had received immunotherapy. METHODS This was a territory-wide observational cohort study in Hong Kong. We identified patients through electronic medical records based on the prescriptions of immune checkpoint inhibitors from July 1, 2014, to December 31, 2019. Patients who were HBsAg positive or HBsAg negative with results for antibody to hepatitis B surface or core antigen (anti-HBs or anti-HBc) were included. RESULTS A total of 990 patients (397 HBsAg-positive, 593 HBsAg-negative with 482 anti-HBc and/or anti-HBs positive, and 111 both anti-HBc and anti-HBs negative) were identified. All of HBsAg-positive and 15.9% HBsAg-negative patients were put on oral antiviral treatment. Hepatitis flare (alanine aminotransferase >2 times of the upper limit of normal) occurred in 39.3% HBsAg-positive and 30.4% HBsAg-negative patients. High baseline alanine aminotransferase and combination of immunotherapy increased the risk of hepatitis. HBV reactivation (≥2 log increase in HBV DNA from baseline) occurred in 2 HBsAg-positive patients; HBsAg seroclearance and seroreversion was observed in 1 HBsAg-positive and 1 HBsAg-negative patient, respectively (

BACKGROUND & AIMS Lifestyle modification is the cornerstone for the management of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aim to understand lifestyle habits of NAFLD patients, compare across Asian regions and identify area of deficiency. METHODS In the multi-centre controlled attenuation parameter (CAP)-Asia study, we collected clinical data and lifestyle habit data of NAFLD patients from Singapore, mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Malaysia. Physical activity was assessed using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire. RESULTS A total of 555 patients were included in the final analysis (mean age 54.5 ± 11.2 years, 54.1% men and median liver stiffness 6.7 kPa). More patients from mainland China (27.4%) and Taipei (25.0%) were smokers. Modest drinking was more common in Taiwan (25.0%) and Hong Kong (18.2%); only 1.3% had binge drinking. Majority of patients drank coffee (64.0%) and tea (80.2%), with varying amounts and durations in different regions. Soft drinks consumption was most common in Singapore (62.2%) and Malaysia (57.7%). Only 29.7% of patients met the Physical Activity Guidelines Recommendations, with no major differences across regions. Patients with liver stiffness

Background Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are increasingly used in the treatment of cancers. We aimed to evaluate the incidence and prognostic impact of hepatic adverse events (AEs) in a territory‐wide cohort of patients who received ICIs. Methods Patients were identified from a territory‐wide database who received ICIs in 2014‐2018. Hepatic AEs were defined as any elevation of liver biochemistries including serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), or total bilirubin levels. Hepatic AEs were graded according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) v5.0. Results Total of 1480 patients were identified (mean age 60 years, male 65.5%) and the commonest malignancies being lung cancer (39.6%), liver cancer (16.5%), and gastrointestinal cancer (10.0%). Grade 1‐2 and grade 3‐4 hepatic AEs occurred in 41.3% and 14.9% of patients during ICI treatment, respectively. Patients with liver cancer had the highest rate of hepatic AEs (grade 1‐2:54.1%; grade 3‐4:32.8%). Among 711 patients with hepatic AEs, 383 (53.9%) had raised ALT/AST only, and 328 (46.1%) had concomitant raised ALT/AST and bilirubin levels. In the whole cohort, median overall survival of patients without any hepatic AEs, grade 1‐2 and grade 3‐4 hepatic AEs during ICI treatment was 9.0 months, 7.2 months, and 3.3 months (P, Hepatic adverse events are common and may occur in more than half of patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors for cancer treatment. Severe hepatic adverse events of grade 3‐4 occur in 15% and are associated with worse prognosis.

INTRODUCTION Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease is common, with fibrosis the major determinant of adverse outcomes. Population-based screening tools with high diagnostic accuracy for the staging of fibrosis are lacking. METHODS Three independent cohorts, 2 with both liver biopsy and liver stiffness measurements (LSMs, n = 254 and 65) and a population sample (n = 713), were studied. The performance of a recently developed noninvasive algorithm (ADAPT [age, diabetes, PRO-C3 and platelets panel]) as well as aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, fibrosis-4, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, and LSM was used to stage patients for significant (≥F2) and advanced (≥F3) fibrosis. RESULTS In the hospital-based cohorts, the N-terminal propeptide of type 3 collagen (Pro-C3) increased with fibrosis stage (P < 0.0001) and independently associated with advanced fibrosis (odds ratio = 1.091, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.053-1.113, P = 0.0001). ADAPT showed areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.831 (95% CI: 0.779-0.875) in the derivation and 0.879 (95% CI: 0.774-0.946) in the validation cohort for advanced fibrosis. This was superior to the existing fibrosis scores, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, fibrosis-4, BARD (BMI, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio [AAR], diabetes), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score in most comparisons and comparable with LSM. Serial use of ADAPT and LSM had diagnostic accuracy of 92.5%, with 98% and 100% negative predictive value in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. In the population cohort, PRO-C3 associated with advanced fibrosis (P = 0.04), while ADAPT had a negative predictive value of 98% for excluding advanced fibrosis. DISCUSSION PRO-C3 and ADAPT reliably exclude advanced fibrosis in low-risk populations. The serial combination of ADAPT with LSM has high diagnostic accuracy with a low requirement for liver biopsy. The proposed algorithm would help stratify those who need biopsies and narrow down those patients who would need to be referred to specialty clinics.

Background Because of high-risk behaviours, sedentary lifestyle and side effects of medications, psychiatric patients are at risk of viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. We aimed to study the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhotic complications in psychiatric patients. Methods We identified consecutive adult patients in all public hospitals and clinics in Hong Kong with psychiatric diagnoses between year 2003 and 2007 using the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System, which represents in-patient and out-patient data of approximately 80% of the 7.4-million local population. The patients were followed for liver-related events (HCC and cirrhotic complications) and deaths until December 2017. Age- and sex-standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of HCC in psychiatric patients to the general population was estimated by Poisson model. Results We included 105,763 psychiatric patients without prior liver-related events in the final analysis. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 12.4 (11.0–13.7) years, 1461 (1.4%) patients developed liver-related events; 472 (0.4%) patients developed HCC. Compared with the general population, psychiatric patients had increased incidence of HCC (SIR 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.57, P P P P P = 0.047). Liver disease was the fifth most common cause of death in this population, accounting for 595 of 10,614 (5.6%) deaths. Importantly, 569 (38.9%) patients were not known to have liver diseases at the time of liver-related events. The median age at HCC diagnosis (61 [range 26–83] years) was older and the median overall survival (8.0 [95% CI 5.0–10.9] months) after HCC diagnosis was shorter in this cohort of psychiatric patients than other reports from Hong Kong. Conclusions HCC, cirrhotic complications, and liver-related deaths are common in psychiatric patients, but liver diseases are often undiagnosed. More efforts are needed to identify liver diseases in the psychiatric population so that treatments and screening for HCC and varices can be provided to patients in need.

Hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is a novel serum viral marker. Recent studies showed that its level correlates with the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of serum HBsAg and HBcrAg levels at baseline to predict HCC. 1400 CHB patients who received nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA) treatment since December 2005 were included. Their stored serum samples at baseline were retrieved to measure HBsAg and HBcrAg levels. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of HCC. 85 (6.1%) patients developed HCC during a mean (± SD) follow-up duration of 45 ± 20 months. Serum HBcrAg level above 2.9 log10 U/mL at baseline was an independent factor for HCC in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients by multivariable analysis (adjusted hazard ratio 2.13, 95% CI 1.10–4.14, P = 0.025). HBcrAg above 2.9 log10 U/mL stratified the risk of HCC in HBeAg-negative patients with high PAGE-B score (P = 0.024 by Kaplan–Meier analysis), and possibly in cirrhotic patients (P = 0.08). Serum HBsAg level did not show any correlation with the risk of HCC in all patients or any subgroups. Serum HBcrAg level predicts the risk of HCC accurately in NA-treated HBeAg-negative CHB patients.

OBJECTIVES Previous exposure to hepatitis B virus (HBV) may increase the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C. We aim to study the impact of previous HBV infection on the severity and outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS This was a multicenter study of 489 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and 69 patients with NAFLD-related or cryptogenic HCC. Antihepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) was used to detect the previous HBV infection. RESULTS In the biopsy cohort, positive anti-HBc was associated with lower steatosis grade but higher fibrosis stage. 18.8% and 7.5% of patients with positive and negative anti-HBc had cirrhosis, respectively (P < 0.001). The association between anti-HBc and cirrhosis remained significant after adjusting for age and metabolic factors (adjusted odds ratio 2.232; 95% confidence interval, 1.202-4.147). At a mean follow-up of 6.2 years, patients with positive anti-HBc had a higher incidence of HCC or cirrhotic complications (6.5% vs 2.2%; P = 0.039). Among patients with NAFLD-related or cryptogenic HCC, 73.9% had positive anti-HBc. None of the patients had positive serum HBV DNA. By contrast, antihepatitis B surface antibody did not correlate with histological severity. DISCUSSION Positive anti-HBc is associated with cirrhosis and possibly HCC and cirrhotic complications in patients with NAFLD. Because a significant proportion of NAFLD-related HCC may develop in noncirrhotic patients, future studies should define the role of anti-HBc in selecting noncirrhotic patients with NAFLD for HCC surveillance.

Background & Aims: Functional cure, defined based on hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss, is rare during nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy and guidelines on finite NA therapy have not been well established. We aim to analyze off-therapy outcomes after NA cessation in a large, international, multicenter, multiethnic cohort of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Methods: This cohort study included patients with virally suppressed CHB who were hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)–negative and stopped NA therapy. Primary outcome was HBsAg loss after NA cessation, and secondary outcomes included virologic, biochemical, and clinical relapse, alanine aminotransferase flare, retreatment, and liver-related events after NA cessation. Results: Among 1552 patients with CHB, cumulative probability of HBsAg loss was 3.2% at 12 months and 13.0% at 48 months of follow-up. HBsAg loss was higher among Whites (vs Asians: subdistribution hazard ratio, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 2.7–16.8; P < .001) and among patients with HBsAg levels 30%). Incidence rate of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma was 0.48 per 1000 person-years and 0.29 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Death occurred in 7/19 decompensated patients and 2/14 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Conclusions: The best candidates for NA withdrawal are virally suppressed, HBeAg- negative, noncirrhotic patients with CHB with low HBsAg levels, particularly Whites with

Nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA) are effective in suppressing hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication, but most patients require long-term treatment. This study aimed to investigate switching to peginterferon as a strategy to stop NA. Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B patients who developed HBeAg seroconversion during NA treatment were studied. All patients received open-label peginterferon alfa-2a 180 μg/wk for 48 weeks, and NA was stopped at week 4 of peginterferon treatment. The primary endpoint was sustained response, which was defined as negative HBeAg, positive anti-HBe and HBV DNA

To study the long-term outcome after cessation of antiviral therapy in immune-tolerant patients.Experience in the treatment of immune-tolerant chronic hepatitis B is scanty. Some immune-tolerant patients may receive temporary antiviral therapy, such as for prevention of vertical transmission at pregnancy or prophylaxis for chemotherapy.This was a follow-up study of a phase 2 trial at 2 centers. Immune-tolerant patients received tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and/or emtricitabine for 4 years and were followed for another 4 years after treatment cessation. Virological relapse was defined as hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA2000 IU/mL; clinical relapse was defined as HBV DNA2000 IU/mL; and alanine aminotransferase (ALT)2 times the upper limit of normal.In total, 20 patients stopped treatment and were followed up for 206±14 weeks. All patients developed virological relapse at posttreatment week 4 (HBV DNA, 7.07±1.45 log IU/mL). A total of 10 (50%) patients developed clinical relapse at 15±11 weeks (highest ALT, 1149 U/L). In total, 11 (55%) patients were restarted on antiviral therapy; 4 achieved complete HBV DNA suppression and 1 achieved hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion. Among the 9 patients not restarted on therapy, 2 patients had HBeAg seroconversion with normal ALT and HBV DNA of 7.12 and 1.62 IU/mL, respectively. The remaining 7 untreated patients continued to have positive HBeAg, high HBV DNA, and normal ALT.Rapid virological relapse is universal and clinical relapse is common after stopping antiviral therapy in patients with immune-tolerant chronic hepatitis B. HBeAg seroconversion is rare regardless of treatment reinitiation.

Objectives It is unclear if anti-hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment can eliminate incident hepatic decompensation. Here we report the incidence and predictors of hepatic decompensation among cirrhotic patients receiving antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B. Methods This is a post hoc analysis of two prospective HBV cohorts from Hong Kong and South Korea. Patients with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥10 kPa and compensated liver disease at baseline were included. The primary endpoint was incident hepatic decompensation (jaundice or cirrhotic complications) with competing risk analysis. Results 818 patients (mean age, 54.9 years; 519 male [63.4%]) were included in the final analysis. During a mean follow-up of 58.1 months, 32 (3.9%) patients developed hepatic decompensation, among whom 34% were secondary to HCC. Three (0.4%) patients experienced variceal bleeding alone, 27 (3.3%) had non-bleeding decompensation and 13 (1.6%) had more than 2 decompensating events Baseline LSM, diabetes, alanine aminotransferase, platelet, total bilirubin, albumin, prothrombin time, and eGFR were independent predictors of hepatic decompensation. 30/506 (5.9%) patients fulfilling the Baveno VI criteria (LSM ≥20 kPa and/or platelet count Conclusions Hepatic decompensation is uncommon but not eliminated in patients receiving antiviral therapy for HBV-related cirrhosis, and only a third of decompensating events are secondary to HCC. The Baveno VI criteria, which was originally designed to detect varices needing treatment, can be effectively applied in this population to identify patients at risk of decompensation.

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE) has been shown to predict outcomes in patients with liver disease. While controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) measurement can accurately quantify hepatic steatosis, its prognostic value is unknown. We aim to determine if CAP is predictive for liver-related events (LRE), non-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cancers, and cardiovascular events (CVE).Consecutive patients with both a reliable LSM and ≥10 successful CAP measurements by TE from August 2012 to March 2016 were included in the analysis. LRE were defined as HCC or hepatic decompensation. CVE were defined as acute coronary syndrome (ACS), cerebrovascular accident (CVA), or coronary intervention (stenting or bypass).Of the 5,848 patients that were examined, 4,282 (56.7% male, median age 57 years) had adequate follow-up, reliable LSM (median 6.1 kPa), and ≥10 CAP measurements (median 250 dB/m). Indications for TE were: suspected non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (40.7%), hepatitis B (HBV) (37.0%), hepatitis C (2.9%), and others (19.4%). During 8,540 patient-years of follow-up, there were 45 patients with LRE (34 HCC, 33 decompensations), 73 with newly diagnosed non-HCC cancers, and 65 with CVE (27 ACS, 25 CVA, and 35 coronary interventions). CAP did not predict LRE, non-HCC cancer, or CVE on univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, LSM, male sex, platelet count, serum albumin, and HBV etiology independently predicted LRE; age was the only independent predictor of non-HCC cancer; while age, fasting blood glucose, total cholesterol, and creatinine predicted for CVE. Subgroup analyses of viral hepatitis and NAFLD patients revealed similar results.Neither the presence nor the severity of hepatic steatosis as measured by CAP predict LRE, cancer, or CVE in the short term.

Background and Aims Previous studies suggested spontaneous seroclearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) was still associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), in patients ⩾50years of age. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of HCC after HBsAg seroclearance and the impact of gender on HCC. Methods All chronic hepatitis B patients under medical care in Hospital Authority, Hong Kong who had cleared HBsAg between January 2000 and August 2016 were identified. The age of the patient at HBsAg seroclearance, gender, and subsequent development of HCC were analyzed. Results A total of 4,568 patients with HBsAg seroclearance were identified; 793 (17.4%) were treated by nucleos(t)ide analogues and 60 (1.3%) had received interferon treatment. At a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 3.4 (1.5–5.0)years, 54 patients developed HCC; cumulative incidences of HCC at 1, 3 and 5years were 0.9%, 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively. Age above 50years (adjusted hazard ratio 4.31, 95% confidence interval 1.72–10.84; p =0.002) and male gender (2.47, 1.24–4.91; p =0.01) were two independent risk factors of HCC. Female patients aged ⩽50years (n=545) had zero risk of HCC within 5years of follow-up. Male patients aged ⩽50years (n=769), female patients aged >50years (n=1,149) and male patients aged >50years (n=2,105) had a 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC 0.7%, 1.0% and 2.5%, respectively. Similar findings were observed in patients with spontaneous and antiviral treatment-induced HBsAg seroclearance. Conclusions Female patients aged 50years or below have zero risk of HCC after HBsAg seroclearance, whereas female patients aged above 50years and all male patients are still at risk of HCC. Lay summary: We investigated 4,568 patients with hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance. Female patients aged 50years or below have zero risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after HBsAg seroclearance, whereas female patients aged above 50years and all male patients are still at risk of HCC.

SummaryBackground Decompensated liver disease due to portal hypertension leads to significant morbidity and mortality. Statins can modulate intrahepatic vascular tone, but the clinical significance remains uncertain. Aim To determine the effects of statin use on the risk of liver decompensation and death among patients with chronic viral hepatitis. Methods We conducted a population wide cohort study using a hospital based database from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Adults with chronic viral hepatitis without prior liver decompensation were identified from 2000 to 2012 by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification, diagnostic codes. Statin use was defined as a cumulative defined daily dose of >28. Landmark analysis was used to overcome immortal time bias. Propensity score weighting was further performed to minimise baseline confounders. Primary outcome was a composite of portal hypertension related liver decompensation events, with adjustment for death as a competing risk. Results A total of 69 184 patients with chronic viral hepatitis (2053 statin users and 67 131 statin non-users) were identified for the 2-year landmark analysis. After propensity score weighting of 23 baseline covariates, statin use was associated with a significant reduction in composite liver decompensation events (HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.36-0.83; P = .005), ascites (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.36-0.92; P = .02), and a dose-dependent decrease in death (HR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.76-0.99; P = .035) relative to no statin use. Conclusions Patients with chronic viral hepatitis who used statins have a reduced risk of liver decompensation and death compared to non-users in this propensity score weighted landmark analysis.

SummaryBackground The accuracy of available non-invasive tools for staging severe fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is still limited. Aim To assess the diagnostic performance of paired or serial combination of non-invasive tools in NAFLD patients. Methods We analysed data from 741 patients with a histological diagnosis of NAFLD. The GGT/PLT, APRI, AST/ALT, BARD, FIB-4, and NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS) scores were calculated according to published algorithms. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was performed by FibroScan. Results LSM, NFS and FIB-4 were the best non-invasive tools for staging F3-F4 fibrosis (AUC 0.863, 0.774, and 0.792, respectively), with LSM having the highest sensitivity (90%), and the highest NPV (94%), and NFS and FIB-4 the highest specificity (97% and 93%, respectively), and the highest PPV (73% and 79%, respectively). The paired combination of LSM or NFS with FIB-4 strongly reduced the likelihood of wrongly classified patients (ranging from 2.7% to 2.6%), at the price of a high uncertainty area (ranging from 54.1% to 58.2%), and of a low overall accuracy (ranging from 43% to 39.1%). The serial combination with the second test used in patients in the grey area of the first test and in those with high LSM values (>9.6 KPa) or low NFS or FIB-4 values (

Summary Background Present guidelines are conflicting for patients at high risk of both cardiovascular and gastrointestinal events who continue to require non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). We hypothesised that a cyclooxygenase-2-selective NSAID plus proton-pump inhibitor is superior to a non-selective NSAID plus proton-pump inhibitor for prevention of recurrent ulcer bleeding in concomitant users of aspirin with previous ulcer bleeding. Methods For this industry-independent, double-blind, double-dummy, randomised trial done in one academic hospital in Hong Kong, we screened patients with arthritis and cardiothrombotic diseases who were presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding, were on NSAIDs, and require concomitant aspirin. After ulcer healing, an independent staff member randomly assigned (1:1) patients who were negative for Helicobacter pylori with a computer-generated list of random numbers to receive oral administrations of either celecoxib 100 mg twice per day plus esomeprazole 20 mg once per day or naproxen 500 mg twice per day plus esomeprazole 20 mg once per day for 18 months. All patients resumed aspirin 80 mg once per day. Both patients and investigators were masked to their treatments. The primary endpoint was recurrent upper gastrointestinal bleeding within 18 months. The primary endpoint and secondary safety endpoints were analysed in the modified intention-to-treat population. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00153660. Findings Between May 24, 2005, and Nov 28, 2012, we enrolled 514 patients, assigning 257 patients to each study group, all of whom were included in the intention-to-treat population. Recurrent upper gastrointestinal bleeding occurred in 14 patients in the celecoxib group (nine gastric ulcers and five duodenal ulcers) and 31 patients in the naproxen group (25 gastric ulcers, three duodenal ulcers, one gastric ulcer and duodenal ulcer, and two bleeding erosions). The cumulative incidence of recurrent bleeding in 18 months was 5·6% (95% CI 3·3–9·2) in the celecoxib group and 12·3% (8·8–17·1) in the naproxen group (p=0·008; crude hazard ratio 0·44, 95% CI 0·23–0·82; p=0·010). Excluding patients who reached study endpoints, 21 (8%) patients in the celecoxib group and 17 (7%) patients in the naproxen group had adverse events leading to discontinuation of treatment. No treatment-related deaths occurred during the study. Interpretation In patients at high risk of both cardiovascular and gastrointestinal events who require concomitant aspirin and NSAID, celecoxib plus proton-pump inhibitor is the preferred treatment to reduce the risk of recurrent upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Naproxen should be avoided despite its perceived cardiovascular safety. Funding The Research Grant Council of Hong Kong.

SummaryBackground Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) need long-term antiviral treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA). Animal studies suggest that some NA may increase cancer risk, but human data are lacking. Aim To investigate cancer risks in patients with or without NA treatment. Methods We conducted a territory-wide cohort study using the database from Hospital Authority in Hong Kong. The diagnosis of CHB and various malignancies was based on the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) diagnosis codes between 2000 and 2012. Patients exposed to any of the oral NA for CHB were included. The primary outcome was incident cancers. A 3-year landmark analysis, with follow-up up to 7 years, was used to evaluate the relative risk of cancers in treated and untreated patients. Results A total of 44 494 patients (39 712 untreated and 4782 treated) were included in the analysis. During 194 890 patient-years of follow-up, hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 402 (1.0%) untreated patients and 179 (3.7%) treated patients, while other cancers developed in 528 (1.3%) and 128 (2.7%) patients respectively. After propensity score weighting, treated patients had similar risks of all malignancies [weighted hazard ratio (wHR): 1.01, 95% CI: 0.82–1.25, P = 0.899], lung/pleural cancers (wHR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.52–1.31, P = 0.409) and urinary/renal malignancies (wHR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.38–2.81, P = 0.944) when compared with untreated patients. Conclusions Oral nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment does not appear to increase cancer risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B. Given the beneficial effect on liver outcomes, our data support the current practice of long-term anti-viral therapy.

Background and aim Male sex is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with a doubled risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We examined the relationship between serum total testosterone and HCC risk in male CHB patients with DM. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of male CHB patients with DM between 2000 and 2017 using a territory-wide electronic health-care database in Hong Kong. DM was defined by use of anti-diabetic medications, hemoglobin A1c ≥ 6.5%, and/or fasting glucose ≥ 7 mmol/L in two measurements or ≥ 11.1 mmol/L in one measurement. Results Of 928 male CHB patients with DM, 83 (8.9%) developed HCC at a median (interquartile range) of 10.7 (6.1-14.6) years. Higher testosterone was associated with an elevated risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] per 1 SD increase 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.46, P = 0.024). The upper tertile of testosterone (aHR 1.86, 95% CI 1.02-3.39, P = 0.043), but not middle tertile (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.41-1.69 P = 0.620), was associated with a higher risk of HCC than the lower tertile. The cumulative incidence (95% CI) of HCC at 5, 10, and 15 years was 4.4% (2.5-7.2%), 12.4% (8.7-16.7%), and 19.1% (14.2-24.5%), respectively, in patients in the upper tertile of testosterone. By subgroup analysis, the association between testosterone and HCC was stronger in patients aged ≥ 50 years and those not receiving antiviral therapy. Conclusion Higher serum testosterone is associated with a higher incidence of HCC in male CHB patients with DM.

Background The rates of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA) in European (19% in 2 years) and Asian (13% in 6 years) patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) vary dramatically. We evaluated the incidence of hepatitis flare and HBsAg seroclearance in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative Chinese CHB patients who had stopped NA. Methods This was a territory-wide retrospective study in Hong Kong. We identified HBeAg-negative CHB patients from January 2000 to December 2017 who had stopped NA treatment for more than 3 months. Hepatitis flare was defined as ALT >2×ULN. Results The 1076 patients were predominantly middle-aged men (mean age 52 years, male 74.8%) when starting NA; they stopped NA after 82 ± 35 months of treatment. At 44.3 ± 24.6 months after stopping NA, 147 (13.6%) patients had hepatitis flare, which led to resumption of NA; whereas 77 (7.2%) patients had flare but did not resume NA. Decompensation occurred in 7/914 (0.8%) patients. A total of 695 (64.6%) patients remained on NA treatment at the last visit. Eleven patients had achieved HBsAg seroclearance (6 of them had hepatitis flare and 1 of these 6 patients achieved HBsAg seroclearance after NA was restarted). Hepatic events developed in 75/695 (10.8%) patients who had NA resumed vs 43/381 (11.3%) patients who did not resume NA (P = .677). Conclusions Hepatitis flare and retreatment were common in HBeAg-negative CHB patients who stopped NA treatment; whereas HBsAg seroclearance rarely occurred. Stopping NA to achieve functional cure should not be recommended at this moment.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS In non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), fibrosis is the strongest prognostic factor and can be assessed by non-invasive methods. We evaluated the ability of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) to predict overall survival and liver, cardiovascular and oncologic complications. METHODS We prospectively collected data on 2251 consecutive NAFLD patients (mean age 59 years, male 53%, mean body mass index 28 kg/m2 ) in two centres. At inclusion, all patients had LSM, clinical and biological evaluation. During follow-up, we recorded cardiovascular events, cancers, liver complications, liver transplantation and death. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Survival curves according to LSM were first performed using Kaplan-Meier method for the primary endpoint, and Aalen-Johansen method for secondary outcomes to take into account competitive risks. In a second step, a Cox proportional hazard model analysis was done to identify independent predictors of overall survival. RESULTS Median follow-up was 27 months [IQR: 25-38]. Fifty-five patients died and three patients had liver transplantation. Overall survival significantly decreased as baseline LSM increased. Twenty-one patients (0.9%) had a liver event, 142 (6.3%) developed cancer (excluding HCC) and 151 (6.7%) had a cardiovascular event during follow-up. By multivariable analysis, independent predictors of overall survival were as follows: baseline LSM (adjusted HR (aHR) = 2.85 [1.65-4.92], P = .0002), age (aHR = 1.11 [1.08-1.13], P

BACKGROUND Lamivudine and entecavir reduce hepatic events and death in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis, but the impact of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is less well studied. AIM To investigate the effectiveness of TDF therapy in CHB patients with cirrhosis. METHODS We studied TDF-treated and untreated CHB patients with cirrhosis from three tertiary centres. TDF cohort included consecutive patients who received TDF for ≥12 months while the untreated cohort were historical controls receiving routine clinical care prior to the availability of anti-viral therapy. The primary outcome was 5-year cumulative probability of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with secondary outcomes being hepatic decompensation and death or liver transplantation (LT). RESULTS A total of 1088 (291 untreated and 797 TDF-treated) patients were included in the study. Five-year cumulative probabilities in untreated vs TDF-treated cohorts were 14.9% vs 9.8% for HCC (P = .07), 22.3% vs 5.9% for decompensation (P

BackgroundPatients on oral antiviral (OAV) therapy remain at hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. Risk prediction tools distinguishing treated patients with residual HCC risk are limited. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate, precise, simple-to-use HCC risk score using routine clinical variables among a treated Asian cohort.MethodsAdult Asian chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients on OAV were recruited from 25 centers in the United States and the Asia-Pacific region. Excluded persons were coinfected with hepatitis C, D, or human immunodeficiency virus, had HCC before or within 1 year of study entry, or their follow-up was ResultsA total of 8048 patients were randomized to the derivation (n = 5365) or validation group (n = 2683). The REAL-B model included 7 variables (male gender, age, alcohol use, diabetes, baseline cirrhosis, platelet count, and alpha fetoprotein), and scores were categorized as follows: 0–3 low risk, 4–7 moderate risk, and 8–13 high risk. Area under receiver operating characteristics were >0.80 for HCC risk at 3, 5, and 10 years, and these were significantly higher than other risk models (p < .001).ConclusionsThe REAL-B score provides 3 distinct risk categories for HCC development in Asian CHB patients on OAV guiding HCC surveillance strategy.

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) are aging because of improved survival under better health care. This has an important implication on the choice of antiviral treatment (AVT), given that long-term safety would be a concern in the presence of multiple comorbidities. We aimed to determine the prevalence of key comorbidities and concomitant medications in a territory-wide CHB cohort in Hong Kong in 2000-2017. CHB patients who have been under the care at primary, secondary, and tertiary medical centers in the public sector were identified through the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System of the Hospital Authority, Hong Kong. The demographics and prevalence of key comorbidities, including diabetes mellitus, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, osteopenia/osteoporosis based on diagnosis codes, relevant medications, and/or laboratory parameters, were determined according to CHB patients' first appearance in four time periods: 2000-2004, 2005-2009, 2010-2013, and 2014-2017. In the final analysis, 135,395 CHB patients were included; the mean age increased with time: 41 ± 15 years in 2000-2004; 46 ± 17 years in 2005-2009; 51 ± 16 years in 2010-2013; and 55 ± 15 years in 2014-2017. There was a trend of increasing prevalence of several common comorbidities over the four periods: hypertension 25.5%, 23.8%, 27.2%, and 28.6%; diabetes mellitus 10.6%, 12.5%, 16.1%, and 20.1%; cardiovascular disease 12.5%, 16.9%, 20.9%, and 22.2%; and malignancy 7.0%, 13.2%, 17.3%, and 23.6%, respectively (all P < 0.001). Conclusion: CHB patients are getting older with increasing prevalence of common comorbidities. These comorbidities should be taken into account when choosing AVT.

Some evidence suggests an interference of obesity and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels on the diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis of noninvasive tools such as liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by FibroScan, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). We assessed whether the diagnostic accuracy of LSM, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and NFS and strategies based on the combination of these tools is affected by obesity and/or ALT levels.METHODS:We analyzed data from 968 patients with a histological diagnosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. FIB-4, NFS, and LSM by FibroScan were measured.RESULTS:LSM was better than both FIB-4 and NFS for staging F3-F4 fibrosis area under the receiver operating characteristic curve test (AUC) 0.863, 0.777, and 0.765, respectively; P < 0.001 for both), showing higher accuracy and higher negative predictive value (NPV), but lower positive predictive value (PPV). LSM worked less well in high ALT (>100 IU) (AUC 0.811 vs 0.877, P = 0.04; PPV 57.5% vs 62.4%; NPV 90.7% vs 94%) or obese patients (AUC 0.786 vs 0.902, P < 0.001; PPV 58.7% vs 64.8%; NPV 88.3% vs 95.2%), the latter not being affected by the M or XL probe. Consistently, LSM worked better in terms of AUC and accuracy compared with both FIB-4 and NFS only in nonobese or high ALT patients, even with always keeping a slightly lower PPV. A serial combination of FIB-4 or NFS with LSM as the second test in patients in the gray area of the first test retained - in most scenarios - similar PPV and NPV compared with LSM alone. These strategies also increased the diagnostic accuracy of about 20% in all groups of patients, even if with a lower overall accuracy in obese patients (71.3% and 67.1% for FIB-4 and NFS as the first test, respectively) compared to nonobese patients (81.9% and 82.4% for FIB-4 and NFS as the first test, respectively).CONCLUSIONS:All tested noninvasive tools have overall better NPV than PPV. LSM has a better diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis than both FIB-4 and NFS only in nonobese and/or low ALT patients. Serial combination strategies are better than a single tool strategy, regardless of obesity and ALT levels, although the accuracy is lower in obese patients.