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Discusses long-term simulations of temporal rainfall and temperature under transient global climate conditions of atmospheric inputs at the basin scale in the Arno River in central Italy. Discussion of a global circulation model (GCM), simulating climate changes due to an increase in the greenhouse effect; How one can infer future changes in storm duration and depth from GCM trend variables; Data suggesting that this approach provides local precipitation that, together with temperature scenarios, can be used for hydrological simulation of basin water fluxes in the Arno River.