1. Radio-biologically motivated modeling of radiation risks of mortality from ischemic heart diseases in the Canadian fluoroscopy cohort study.
- Author
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Schöllnberger H, Kaiser JC, Eidemüller M, and Zablotska LB
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Canada, Child, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Tuberculosis diagnostic imaging, Young Adult, Fluoroscopy adverse effects, Myocardial Ischemia mortality, Radiation Injuries mortality
- Abstract
Recent analyses of the Canadian fluoroscopy cohort study reported significantly increased radiation risks of mortality from ischemic heart diseases (IHD) with a linear dose-response adjusted for dose fractionation. This cohort includes 63,707 tuberculosis patients from Canada who were exposed to low-to-moderate dose fractionated X-rays in 1930s-1950s and were followed-up for death from non-cancer causes during 1950-1987. In the current analysis, we scrutinized the assumption of linearity by analyzing a series of radio-biologically motivated nonlinear dose-response models to get a better understanding of the impact of radiation damage on IHD. The models were weighted according to their quality of fit and were then mathematically superposed applying the multi-model inference (MMI) technique. Our results indicated an essentially linear dose-response relationship for IHD mortality at low and medium doses and a supra-linear relationship at higher doses (> 1.5 Gy). At 5 Gy, the estimated radiation risks were fivefold higher compared to the linear no-threshold (LNT) model. This is the largest study of patients exposed to fractionated low-to-moderate doses of radiation. Our analyses confirm previously reported significantly increased radiation risks of IHD from doses similar to those from diagnostic radiation procedures.
- Published
- 2020
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