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Objective: There has been interest in a possible negative association between HIV and multiple sclerosis (MS). We aimed to compare the risk of MS in a cohort of individuals living with HIV to that in the general population. Methods: Population‐based health data were accessed for 2 cohorts of HIV‐positive persons from Sweden and British Columbia, Canada. Incident MS was identified using MS registries or a validated algorithm applied to administrative data. Individuals with HIV were followed from 1 year after the first clinical evidence of HIV or the first date of complete administrative health data (Canada = April 1, 1992 and Sweden = January 1, 2001) until the earliest of incident MS, emigration, death, or study end (Canada = March 31, 2020 and Sweden = December 31, 2018). The observed MS incidence rate in the HIV‐positive cohort was compared to the expected age‐, sex‐, calendar year‐, income‐specific, and region of birth‐specific rates in a randomly selected sample of >20% of each general population. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for MS following the first antiretroviral therapy exposure ("ART‐exposed") was also calculated. Results: The combined Sweden‐Canada cohort included 29,163 (75% men) HIV‐positive persons. During 242,248 person‐years of follow‐up, 14 incident MS cases were observed in the HIV‐positive cohort, whereas 26.19 cases were expected. The SIR for MS in the HIV‐positive population was 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.32–0.90). The SIR for MS following the first ART exposure was 0.55 (95% CI = 0.31–0.96). Interpretation: This international population‐based study demonstrated a lower risk of MS among HIV‐positive individuals, and HIV‐positive ART‐exposed individuals. These findings provide support for further exploration into the relationship among HIV, ART, and MS. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:487–494 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To investigate gastrointestinal (GI)‐related physician visits and drug dispensations in the 5 years preceding a first recorded demyelinating event or multiple sclerosis (MS) onset. Methods: Using linked administrative and clinical data from British Columbia (1996–2013), Canada, we identified an administrative cohort via a validated algorithm (n = 6863), a clinical cohort diagnosed at a MS clinic (n = 966), and matched controls (administrative cohort: n = 31,865; clinical cohort: n = 4534). In each cohort, the 5 years before a first demyelinating event or MS symptom onset (i.e., index date) were examined. We compared rates of GI‐related physician visits and risk of ≥1 GI‐related dispensation between MS cases and controls using negative binomial and robust Poisson models. Sex differences were tested using interaction terms. Results: The administrative cohort MS cases had higher rates of physician visits related to gastritis and duodenitis (adjusted rate/risk ratio (aRR):1.42, 95% CI: 1.10–1.83) and diseases of the esophagus (aRR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.06–2.02) prior to the index date. MS cases also had greater risk of at least one dispensation for several drug classes, including constipation‐related (aRR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.50–2.22), antiemetics/antinauseants (aRR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.43–1.89), and propulsives (promotility drugs; aRR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.47–1.79). Men had a disproportionally higher relative risk for propulsives than women (aRR: men = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.79–3.00; women = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.36–1.72). Several findings were similar in the smaller clinical cohort though none reached statistical significance. Interpretation: GI‐related physician visits and drug dispensations were more common in the 5 years before the first demyelinating event versus matched controls. GI symptoms are a measurable feature of the prodromal or early phase of MS, with a sex difference evident. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Little is known about polypharmacy and multiple sclerosis (MS). Objectives: To estimate polypharmacy prevalence in a population-based MS cohort and compare persons with/without polypharmacy. Methods: Using administrative and pharmacy data from Canada, we estimated polypharmacy prevalence (⩾5 concurrent medications for >30 consecutive days) in MS individuals in 2017. We compared the characteristics of persons with/without polypharmacy and described the number of polypharmacy days, the most common medication classes contributing to polypharmacy and hyper-polypharmacy prevalence (⩾10 medications). Results: Of 14,227 included individuals (75% women), mean age = 55.4 (standard deviation (SD): 13.2) years; 28% (n = 3995) met criteria for polypharmacy (median polypharmacy days = 273 (interquartile range (IQR): 120–345)). Odds of polypharmacy were higher for women (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.14; 95% confidence intervals (CI):1.04–1.25), older individuals (aORs 50–64 years = 2.04; 95% CI:1.84–2.26; ⩾65 years = 3.26; 95% CI: 2.92–3.63 vs. <50 years), those with more comorbidities (e.g. ⩾3 vs. none, aOR = 6.03; 95% CI: 5.05–7.22) and lower socioeconomic status (SES) (e.g. most (SES-Q1) vs. least deprived (SES-Q5) aOR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.44–1.86). Medication classes most commonly contributing to polypharmacy were as follows: antidepressants (66% of polypharmacy days), antiepileptics (47%), and peptic ulcer drugs (41%). Antidepressants were most frequently co-prescribed with antiepileptics (34% of polypharmacy days) and peptic ulcer drugs (27%). Five percent of persons (716/14,227) experienced hyper-polypharmacy. Conclusion: More than one in four MS persons met criteria for polypharmacy. The odds of polypharmacy were higher for women, older persons, and those with more comorbidities, but lower SES. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Degenerative processes in neurodegenerative diseases can start years before clinical manifestation. We aimed to establish whether a multiple sclerosis prodromal period exists by examining patterns of health-care use before a first demyelinating event.Methods: In this matched cohort study, we used data from linked health administrative and clinical databases from four Canadian provinces (British Columbia, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Nova Scotia) to compare hospital, physician, and prescription use data from people with multiple sclerosis and matched general population controls in the 5 years before the first demyelinating disease claim (health administrative index date) or clinically reported symptom onset (clinical index date). Rate ratios (RRs) were estimated using negative binomial regression and combined across provinces using random effect models. The primary outcome was all-cause use of health care during each of the 5 years before the health administrative or clinical index date.Findings: The health administrative cohort included 14 428 multiple sclerosis cases and 72 059 matched controls for whom data were available between April, 1984, and April, 2014. Annual health-care use increased steadily between 5 years and 1 year before the first demyelinating disease claim in people with multiple sclerosis compared with controls (from RR 1·26 [95% CI 1·16-1·36] to 1·78 [1·50-2·10] for hospital admissions; from 1·24 [1·16-1·32] to 1·88 [1·72-2·07] for physician claims; and from 1·23 [1·06-1·41] to 1·49 [1·41-1·59] for prescriptions, assessed as drug classes). Similar patterns for physician claims and prescriptions were observed in the cohort with available clinical symptom onset (3202 individuals with multiple sclerosis and 16 006 controls), although the differences in use in each of the 5 years mostly did not reach statistical significance.Interpretation: More frequent use of health care in patients with multiple sclerosis than in controls in the 5 years before a first demyelinating event, according to health administrative data, suggests the existence of a measurable multiple sclerosis prodrome. These findings have clinical and research implications, including the establishment of an earlier window of opportunity to identify and potentially treat multiple sclerosis.Funding: National Multiple Sclerosis Society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives: It is not possible to fully establish the safety of a disease-modifying drug (DMD) for multiple sclerosis (MS) from randomized controlled trials as only very common adverse events occurring over the short-term can be captured, and the quality of reporting has been variable. We examined the relationship between the DMDs for MS and potential adverse events in a multiregion population-based study., Methods: We identified people with MS using linked administrative health data from 4 Canadian provinces. MS cases were followed from the most recent of first MS or related demyelinating disease event on January 1, 1996, until the earliest of emigration, death, or December 31, 2017. DMD exposure primarily comprised β-interferon, glatiramer acetate, natalizumab, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, and alemtuzumab. We examined associations between DMD exposure and infection-related hospitalizations and physician visits using recurrent events proportional means models and between DMD exposure and 15 broad categories of incident adverse events using stratified multivariate Cox proportional hazard models., Results: We identified 35,894 people with MS. While virtually all DMDs were associated with a 42%-61% lower risk of infection-related hospitalizations, there was a modest increase in infection-related physician visits by 10%-33% for select DMDs. For incident adverse events, most elevated risks involved a second-generation DMD, with alemtuzumab's hazard of thyroid disorders being 19.42 (95% CI 9.29-36.51), hypertension 4.96 (95% CI 1.78-13.84), and cardiovascular disease 3.72 (95% CI 2.12-6.53). Natalizumab's highest risk was for cardiovascular disease (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.61; 95% CI 1.24-2.10). For the oral DMDs, fingolimod was associated with higher hazards of cerebrovascular (aHR 2.04; 95% CI 1.27-3.30) and ischemic heart diseases (aHR 1.64; 95% CI 1.10-2.44) and hypertension (aHR 1.73; 95% CI 1.30-2.31); teriflunomide with higher hazards of thyroid disorders (aHR 2.30; 95% CI 1.11-4.74), chronic liver disease (aHR 1.94; 95% CI 1.19-3.18), hypertension (aHR 1.76; 95% CI 1.32-2.37), and hyperlipidemia (aHR 1.61; 95% CI 1.07-2.44); and from complementary analyses (in 1 province), dimethyl fumarate with acute liver injury (aHR 6.55; 95% CI 1.96-21.87)., Discussion: Our study provides an extensive safety profile of several different DMDs used to treat MS in the real-world setting. Our findings not only complement those observed in short-term clinical trials but also provide new insights that help inform the risk-benefit profile of the DMDs used to treat MS in clinical practice. The results of this study highlight the continued need for long-term, independent safety studies of the DMDs used to treat MS., Classification of Evidence: This study provides Class III evidence that for patients with MS, while DMD exposure reduces the risk of infection-related hospitalizations, there are increased risks of infection-related physician visits and incident adverse events for select DMDs.

Objective: To identify gut microbiome features associated with MRI lesion burden in persons with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (symptom onset <18 years)., Methods: A cross-sectional study involving the Canadian Paediatric Demyelinating Disease Network study participants. Gut microbiome features (alpha diversity, phylum- and genus-level taxa) were derived using 16S rRNA sequencing from stool samples. T1- and T2-weighted lesion volumes were measured on brain MRI obtained within 6 months of stool sample procurement. Associations between the gut microbiota and MRI metrics (cube-root-transformed) were assessed using standard and Lasso regression models., Results: Thirty-four participants were included; mean ages at symptom onset and MRI were 15.1 and 19.0 years, respectively, and 79% were female. The T1- and T2-weighted lesion volumes were not significantly associated with alpha diversity (age and sex-adjusted p > 0.08). At the phylum level, high Tenericutes (relative abundance) was associated with higher T1 and T2 volumes (β coefficient = 0.25, 0.37) and high Firmicutes, Patescibacteria or Actinobacteria with lower lesion volumes (β coefficient = -0.30 to -0.07). At the genus level, high Ruminiclostridium, whereas low Coprococcus 3 and low Erysipelatoclostridium were associated with higher lesion volumes., Interpretation: Our study characterized the gut microbiota features associated with MRI lesion burden in pediatric-onset MS, shedding light onto possible pathophysiological mechanisms., (© 2023 The Authors. Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.)

Objective: The relationship between multiple sclerosis and the gut microbiome has been supported by animal models in which commensal microbes are required for the development of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. However, observational study findings in humans have only occasionally converged when comparing multiple sclerosis cases and controls which may in part reflect confounding by comorbidities and disease duration. The study of microbiome in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis offers unique opportunities as it is closer to biological disease onset and minimizes confounding by comorbidities and environmental exposures., Methods: A multicenter case-control study in which 35 pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cases were 1:1 matched to healthy controls on age, sex, self-reported race, ethnicity, and recruiting site. Linear mixed effects models, weighted correlation network analyses, and PICRUSt2 were used to identify microbial co-occurrence networks and for predicting functional abundances based on marker gene sequences., Results: Two microbial co-occurrence networks (one reaching significance after adjustment for multiple comparisons; q < 0.2) were identified, suggesting interdependent bacterial taxa that exhibited association with disease status. Both networks indicated a potentially protective effect of higher relative abundance of bacteria observed in these clusters. Functional predictions from the significant network suggested a contribution of short-chain fatty acid producers through anaerobic fermentation pathways in healthy controls. Consistent family-level findings from an independent Canadian-US study (19 case/control pairs) included Ruminococaccaeae and Lachnospiraceae (p < 0.05). Macronutrient intake was not significantly different between cases and controls, minimizing the potential for dietary confounding., Interpretation: Our results suggest that short-chain fatty acid producers may be important contributors to multiple sclerosis onset., (© 2023 The Authors. Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.)

Background: The aim of this study was to examine the gut microbiome's metabolic potential in paediatric-onset MS patients (symptom onset <18 years)., Methods: We included 17 MS participants and 20 controls similar for sex, age, race, and stool consistency from the Canadian Paediatric Demyelinating Disease Network study. Stool-derived gut metagenome gene abundances were used to estimate relative abundances and turnover scores of individual microbial metabolites and the composition and diversity of carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes). MS participants and controls were compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, as were the disease-modifying drug (DMD) exposed and naïve MS participants., Results: The median age(s) at MS symptom onset=16.1 years (interquartile range [IQR]=1.7), and at stool sample procurement=16.9/15.8 years (IQR=2.0/1.4), for the MS participants/controls. Most MS and control participants were girls (80-82%). Five (29%) of the MS participants had never been exposed to a DMD pre-stool sample and 12 (71%) had (7 to beta-interferon and 5 glatiramer acetate). While the relative abundance of metabolites did not differ between MS participants and controls, turnover scores did. MS participants had a greater potential to metabolize lipopolysaccharides than controls (score difference=1.6E-04, p = 0.034) but lower potential to metabolize peptidoglycan molecules and starch (score differences<2.2E-02, p<0.040). Further, although CAZymes diversity did not differ (p>0.050), starch-degrading subfamilies were underrepresented in MS participants versus controls (relative abundance differences >-0.34, p<0.040) and in the DMD exposed verses DMD naïve MS participants (relative abundance differences>-0.20, p<0.049)., Conclusion: Paediatric-onset MS participants had an altered gut microbiome-related metabolic potential compared to controls, including higher breakdown of lipopolysaccharide molecules, but lower resistant starch metabolism., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Background and Objectives: We examined the association between the disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) for multiple sclerosis (MS) and survival in a multiregion population-based study., Methods: We accessed multiple administrative health databases from 4 Canadian provinces. Persons with MS were identified and followed from the most recent of the first MS or demyelinating event or January 1, 1996 (index date), until death, emigration, or December 31, 2017. Association between the first-generation and second-generation DMDs and all-cause mortality was examined using stratified Cox proportional hazard models, reported as adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs). Timing of DMD initiation was explored, with findings reported at 2, 5, or 10 years postindex date, representing very early, early, or late initiation., Results: We identified 35,894 persons with MS; 72% were female. The mean age at index date was 44.5 years (SD = 13.6). The total person-years of follow-up while DMD-exposed was 89,180, and total person-years while unexposed was 342,217. Compared with no exposure, exposure to any DMD or to any first-generation DMD was associated with a 26% lower hazard of mortality (both aHRs 0.74; 95% CI 0.56-0.98), while any second-generation DMD exposure was associated with a 33% lower hazard (aHR 0.67; 95% CI 0.46-0.98). Earlier DMD initiation (beta-interferon or glatiramer acetate vs no exposure) was associated with a significant mortality effect ( p < 0.05), while later initiation was not (95% CIs included 1). However, the survival advantage with earlier initiation diminished over time, no longer reaching statistical significance at 15 years postindex date., Discussion: Our study demonstrates an association between the DMDs for MS and improved survival in the real-world setting., (Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Academy of Neurology.)

Objective: We assessed the relationship between the multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) and healthcare use., Methods: Persons with MS (aged ⩾18 years) were identified using linked population-based health administrative data in four Canadian provinces and were followed from the most recent of their first MS/demyelinating event or 1 January 1996 until the earliest of death, emigration, or study end (31 December 2017 or 31 March 2018). Prescription records captured DMD exposure, examined as any DMD, then by generation (first-generation (the injectables) or second-generation (orals/infusions)) and individual DMD. The associations with subsequent all-cause hospitalizations and physician visits were examined using proportional means model and negative binomial regression., Results: Of 35,894 MS cases (72% female), mean follow-up was 12.0 years, with person-years of DMD exposure for any, or any first- or second-generation DMD being 63,290, 54,605 and 8685, respectively. Any DMD or any first-generation DMD exposure (versus non-exposure) was associated with a 24% lower hazard of hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR: 0.76; 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 0.71-0.82), rising to 29% for the second-generation DMDs (aHR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.58-0.88). This ranged from 18% for teriflunomide (aHR: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.67-1.00) to 44% for fingolimod (aHR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.36-0.87). In contrast, DMD exposure was generally not associated with substantial differences in physician visits., Conclusion: Findings provide real-world evidence of a beneficial relationship between DMD exposure and hospitalizations.

Background and Objectives: Little is known of the functional potential of the gut microbiome in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS). We performed metagenomic analyses using stool samples from individuals with pediatric-onset MS and unaffected controls., Methods: Persons ≤21 years old enrolled in the Canadian Pediatric Demyelinating Disease Network providing a stool sample were eligible. Twenty patients with MS (McDonald criteria) with symptom onset <18 years were matched to 20 controls by sex, age (±3 years), stool consistency, and race. Microbial taxonomy and functional potentials were estimated from stool sample-derived metagenomic reads and compared by disease status (MS vs controls) and disease-modifying drug (DMD) exposure using alpha diversity, relative abundance, and prevalence using Wilcoxon rank sum, ALDEx2, and Fisher exact tests, respectively., Results: Individuals with MS were aged 13.6 years (mean) at symptom onset and 8 were DMD-naive. Mean ages at stool sample were 16.1 and 15.4 years for MS and control participants, respectively; 80% were girls. Alpha diversity of enzymes and proteins did not differ by disease or DMD status ( p > 0.20), but metabolic pathways, gene annotations, and microbial taxonomy did. Individuals with MS (vs controls) exhibited higher methanogenesis prevalence (odds ratio 10, p = 0.044) and Methanobrevibacter abundance (log 2 fold change [LFC] 1.7, p = 0.0014), but lower homolactic fermentation abundance (LFC -0.48, p = 0.039). Differences by DMD status included lower phosphate butyryl transferase for DMD-naive vs exposed patients with MS (LFC -1.0, p = 0.033)., Discussion: The gut microbiome's functional potential and taxonomy differed between individuals with pediatric-onset MS vs controls, including higher prevalence of a methane-producing pathway from Archaea and depletion of the lactate fermentation pathway. DMD exposure was associated with butyrate-producing enzyme enrichment. Together these findings indicate that the gut microbiome of individuals with MS may have a disturbed functional potential., (© 2021 American Academy of Neurology.)

Objective: To examine the gut microbiota in individuals with and without pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS)., Methods: We compared stool-derived microbiota of Canadian Pediatric Demyelinating Disease Network study participants ≤21 years old, with MS (disease-modifying drug [DMD] exposed and naïve) or monophasic acquired demyelinating syndrome [monoADS] (symptom onset <18 years), and unaffected controls. All were ≥30 days without antibiotics or corticosteroids. V4 region 16S RNA gene-derived amplicon sequence variants (Illumina MiSeq) were assessed using negative binomial regression and network analyses; rate ratios were age- and sex-adjusted (aRR)., Results: Thirty-two MS, 41 monoADS (symptom onset [mean] = 14.0 and 6.9 years) and 36 control participants were included; 75%/56%/58% were female, with mean ages at stool sample = 16.5/13.8/15.1 years, respectively. Nine MS cases (28%) were DMD-naïve. Although microbiota diversity (alpha, beta) did not differ between participants (p > 0.1), taxa-level and gut community networks did. MS (vs. monoADS) exhibited > fourfold higher relative abundance of the superphylum Patescibacteria (aRR = 4.2;95%CI:1.6-11.2, p = 0.004, Q = 0.01), and lower abundances of short-chain fatty acid (SCFA)-producing Lachnospiraceae (Anaerosporobacter) and Ruminococcaceae (p, Q < 0.05). DMD-naïve MS cases were depleted for Clostridiales vadin-BB60 (unnamed species) versus either DMD-exposed, controls (p, Q < 0.01), or monoADS (p = 0.001, Q = 0.06) and exhibited altered community connectedness (p < 10 -9 Kruskal-Wallis), with SCFA-producing taxa underrepresented. Consistent taxa-level findings from an independent US Network of Pediatric MS Centers case/control (n = 51/42) cohort included >eightfold higher abundance for Candidatus Stoquefichus and Tyzzerella (aRR = 8.8-12.8, p < 0.05) in MS cases and 72%-80% lower abundance of SCFA-producing Ruminococcaceae-NK4A214 (aRR = 0.38-0.2, p ≤ 0.01)., Interpretation: Gut microbiota community structure, function and connectivity, and not just individual taxa, are of likely importance in MS., (© 2021 The Authors. Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.)

Background: Existing severity measurements in multiple sclerosis (MS) are often cross-sectional, making longitudinal comparisons of disease course between individuals difficult., Objective: The objective of this study is to create a severity metric that can reliably summarize a patient's disease course., Methods: We developed the nARMSS - normalized ARMSS (age-related MS severity score) over follow-up, using the deviation of individual ARMSS scores from the expected value and integrated over the corresponding time period. The nARMSS scales from -5 to +5; a positive value indicates a more severe disease course for a patient when compared to other patients with similar disease timings., Results: Using Swedish MS registry data, the nARMSS was tested using data at 2 and 4 years of follow-up to predict the most severe quartile during the subsequent period up to 10 years total follow-up. The metric used was area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC). This resulted in measurements of 0.929 and 0.941. In an external Canadian validation cohort, the equivalent AUC-ROCs were 0.901 and 0.908., Conclusion: The nARMSS provides a reliable, generalizable and easily measurable metric which makes longitudinal comparison of disease course between individuals feasible.

Background : Relatively little is known about the use of disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) for multiple sclerosis (MS) in the population-based universal healthcare setting. This study aimed to describe the characteristics of a population-based cohort with MS and their DMD exposure in four Canadian provinces. Methods : We identified all adults (aged ≥18 years) with MS using linked population-based health administrative data. Individuals were followed from the most recent of their first MS or demyelinating event or 1 January 1996(study entry), to the earliest of death, emigration, or 31 March 2018(study end). Cohort characteristics examined included sex, age, socioeconomic status, and comorbidity burden. Results : Overall, 10,418/35,894 (29%) of MS cases filled a DMD prescription during the 22-year study period. Most were women (n = 7,683/10,418;74%), and 17% (n = 1,745/10,418) had some comorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index≥1) at study entry. Nearly 20% (n = 1,745/10,418) were aged ≥50 when filling their first DMD; the mean age was 39.6 years. Conclusions : Almost 1 in 6 people with MS had at least some comorbidity, and nearly 1 in 6 were ≥50 years old at the time of their first DMD. As these individuals are typically excluded from clinical trials, findings illustrate the need to understand the harms and benefits of DMD use in these understudied groups.

Background: Although multiple sclerosis (MS) confers an elevated risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), little is known about how it influences management of AMI., Methods: Using population-based administrative (health) data from two Canadian provinces, we conducted a retrospective matched cohort study. We identified people with MS who had an incident AMI, and up to five AMI controls without MS matched on age, sex, and region. We compared the likelihood of undergoing cardiac catheterization within 30 days of AMI, time to revascularization, use of recommended pharmacotherapy post-AMI, and mortality at 30 and 365 days post-AMI using multivariable regression models adjusting for potential confounders. We pooled findings across provinces using meta-analysis., Results: We identified 559 MS cases and 2523 matched controls. In the matched cohort, the MS cohort was less likely to undergo cardiac catheterization within 30 days of admission (odds ratio (OR) = 0.61; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.49-0.77), revascularization (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.69-0.88), or to fill a prescription for recommended therapy. Mortality risk was higher in the MS cohort than in the matched cohort at 30 and 365 days post-AMI., Conclusion: Rates of diagnostic and therapeutic care, and survival after AMI were lower in the MS population than in a matched population.

Background: To establish whether a unique multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome exists by comparing health care utilization in the five-year period before initial presentation with optic neuritis (ON) or transverse myelitis (TM) among those who were and were not subsequently diagnosed with MS., Methods: Using population-based administrative health data we conducted a retrospective cohort study in three Canadian provinces. We identified individuals with a clinically isolated syndrome (ON or TM), who were eventually diagnosed with MS (CIS-MS) or not (CIS-non MS), and a control cohort matched on age, sex and region without a CIS. We compared rates of hospitalization, physician services use and prescription drug use in the five years before the first ON or TM claim (labeled years -1,-2,-3,-4,-5) using negative binomial regression models adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status and index year., Results: We identified 1,155 CIS-MS cases, 20,638 CIS-non MS cases, and 108,726 matched controls. Compared to matched controls, the CIS-MS cohort had a higher hospitalization rate (years -5 and -1), physician visits (all years) and prescription drug use (years -4 and -1). Compared to matched controls, the CIS-non MS cohort had a higher rate of hospitalizations (all years), physician visits (all years) and prescription drug use (all years)., Conclusion: Health care use was higher in individuals with a CIS than without a CIS in the five years before an incident demyelinating event, regardless of whether they were subsequently diagnosed with MS. This suggests that there is a prodromal period before CIS which is not unique to MS., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: We aimed at designing a nomogram, a prediction tool, to predict the individual's risk of conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) at the time of multiple sclerosis (MS) onset., Methods: One derivation and three validation cohorts were established. The derivation cohort included 8825 relapsing-onset MS patients in Sweden. A nomogram was built based on a survival model with the best statistical fit and prediction accuracy. The nomogram was validated using data from 3967 patients in the British Columbia cohort, 176 patients in the ACROSS and 2355 patients in FREEDOMS/FREEDOMS II extension studies., Results: Sex, calendar year of birth, first-recorded Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, age at the first EDSS and age at disease onset showed significant predictive ability to estimate the risk of SPMS conversion at 10, 15 and 20 years. The nomogram reached 84% (95% confidence intervals (CIs): 83-85) internal and 77% (95% CI: 76-78), 77% (95% CI: 70-85) and 87% (95% CI: 84-89) external accuracy., Conclusions: The SPMS nomogram represents a much-needed complementary tool designed to assist in decision-making and patient counselling in the early phase of MS. The SPMS nomogram may improve outcomes by prompting timely and more efficacious treatment for those with a worse prognosis.

Background: The multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome is poorly characterized., Objective: To phenotype the MS prodrome via health care encounters., Methods: Using data from a population-based cohort study linking administrative and clinical data in four Canadian provinces, we compared physician and hospital encounters and prescriptions filled (via International Classification of Diseases chapters, physician specialty or drug classes) for MS subjects in the 5 years before the first demyelinating claim in an administrative cohort or the clinical symptom onset in an MS clinic-derived cohort, to age-, sex- and geographically matched controls. Rate ratios (RRs), 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) and proportions were estimated., Results: The administrative and clinical cohorts included 13,951/66,940 and 3202/16,006 people with and without MS (cases/controls). Compared to controls, in the 5 years before the first demyelinating claim or symptom onset, cases had more physician and hospital encounters for the nervous (RR (range) = 2.31; 95% CI: 1.05-5.10 to 4.75; 95% CI: 3.11-7.25), sensory (RR (range) = 1.40; 95% CI: 1.34-1.46 to 2.28; 95% CI: 1.72-3.02), musculoskeletal (RR (range) = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.07-1.33 to 1.70; 95% CI: 1.57-1.85) and genito-urinary systems (RR (range) = 1.17; 95% CI: 1.05-1.30 to 1.59; 95% CI: 1.48-1.70). Cases had more psychiatrist and urologist encounters (RR (range) = 1.48; 95% CI: 1.36-1.62 to 1.80; 95% CI: 1.61-2.01), and higher proportions of musculoskeletal, genito-urinary or hormonal-related prescriptions (1.1-1.5 times higher, all p  < 0.02). However, cases had fewer pregnancy-related encounters than controls (RR = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.71-0.86 to 0.88; 95% CI: 0.84-0.92)., Conclusion: Phenotyping the prodrome 5 years before clinical recognition of MS is feasible.

Background: Previous studies suggest the existence of a prodromal period in multiple sclerosis, but little is known about the phenotypic characteristics. This study aims to characterize the multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome using data mining analytics in the healthcare setting., Methods: We identified people with MS and matched general population controls using health administrative data in two Canadian provinces (British Columbia and Saskatchewan). Using a training dataset (66.6% of British Columbia's cohort), L1 penalized logistic regression models were fitted to predict MS from physician and hospital encounters (via International Classification of Diseases [ICD] codes) and prescriptions filled (as drug classes) during the five years before the MS case's first demyelinating event. Internal and external validation of identified predictors was performed using logistic regression on the remaining British Columbia (33.4%) and Saskatchewan data. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and Area under the Curve (AUC) metrics for the models' predictive performance were reported., Results: We identified 8,669 MS cases and 40,867 controls. Good predictive performance was observed for physician data (internal/external validation AUC = 0.81/0.79). Physician-generated ICD codes that were associated with MS and validated in both provinces included disorders of the central and peripheral nervous system, disorders of the eye, and cerebrovascular disease (aOR = 1.3-7.0). Overall, hospital and prescription data showed very poor and poor predictive performance (internal/external validation AUCs = 0.54/0.55 and 0.66/0.61, respectively). However, hospitalizations related to the urinary system or spinal cord diseases, or prescriptions for urinary antispasmodics or anti-vertigo preparations, were associated with 2 to 3-fold higher odds of MS (aOR = 2.3-3.3)., Conclusions: Findings provide insight into the clinical characteristics of the MS prodrome. Diagnostic codes from physician encounters were capable of differentiating between MS cases and controls., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To examine the association between physical comorbidities and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS)., Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked health administrative and clinical databases in 2 Canadian provinces. Participants included adults with incident MS between 1990 and 2010 who entered the cohort at their MS symptom onset date. Comorbidity status was identified with validated algorithms for health administrative data and was measured during the 1 year before study entry and throughout the study period. The outcome was the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score as recorded at each clinic visit. We used generalized estimating equations to examine the association between physical comorbidities and EDSS scores over time, adjusting for sex, age, cohort entry year, use of disease-modifying drugs, disease course, and socioeconomic status. Meta-analyses were used to estimate overall effects across the 2 provinces., Results: We identified 3,166 individuals with incident MS. Physical comorbidity was associated with disability; with each additional comorbidity, there was a mean increase in the EDSS score of 0.18 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.09-0.28). Among specific comorbidities, the presence of ischemic heart disease (IHD) or epilepsy was associated with higher EDSS scores (IHD 0.31, 95% CI 0.01-0.61; epilepsy 0.68, 95% CI 0.11-1.26)., Conclusions: Physical comorbidities are associated with an apparent increase in MS disability progression. Appropriate management of comorbidities needs to be determined to optimize outcomes., (© 2018 American Academy of Neurology.)

Objective: To evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of Canada split influenza virus vaccine., Methods: Cluster samples were by randomly chosen and divided into split vaccination group and homoimported influenza vaccination group., Results: After injection, fever-reaction and local reaction rates of 'trial' group were found as 3.69% and 1.75% respectively, but no statistical significance was found when compared with 'control' group. However the antibody positive rates of 'trail' and 'control' groupsappeared statistically significant (H1N1: 96.8% vs. 92.3%, H3N2: 95.8% vs. 90.2%, B: 52.3% vs. 62.3%). For geometric mean titer (GMT) of type H1N1, H3H2 and B antibody, 'trial' group and 'control' group increased 22.4, 16.8, 8.2 and 21.2, 12.5 and 7.4 times respectively. The antibody protective rates of type H1N1, H3N2 and B were 99%, 99% and 53.9% for 'trial' group, and 96.2%, 98.4% and 62.3% for 'control' but with no statistically significant difference., Conclusion: Influenza split vaccine made in Shire company in Canada was safe and with good immunogenicity.