1. Variations and future projections of glacial discharge of Urumqi River Headwaters, eastern Tien Shan (1980s–2017)
- Author
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Hui Zhang, Fei-Teng Wang, Ping Zhou, and Yi-Da Xie
- Subjects
Observed glacial discharge ,Temporal variations ,Urumqi River Headwaters ,Eastern Tien Shan ,Simulation and projection ,Meteorology. Climatology ,QC851-999 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
To address data scarcity on long-term glacial discharge and inadequacies in simulating and predicting hydrological processes in the Tien Shan, this study analysed the observed discharge at multiple timescales over 1980s–2017 and projected changes within a representative glacierized high-mountain region: eastern Tien Shan, Central Asia. Hydrological processes were simulated to predict changes under four future scenarios (SSP1, SSP2, SSP3, and SSP5) using a classical hydrological model coupled with a glacier dynamics module. Discharge rates at annual, monthly (June, July, August) and daily timescales were obtained from two hydrological gauges: Urumqi Glacier No.1 hydrological station (UGH) and Zongkong station (ZK). Overall, annual and summer discharge increased significantly (p
- Published
- 2024
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