105 results on '"Arsenović, Daniela"'
Search Results
2. The effects of summer ambient temperature on total mortality in Serbia
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Arsenović, Daniela, Lužanin, Zorana, Milošević, Dragan, Dunjić, Jelena, Nikitović, Vladimir, and Savić, Stevan
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- 2023
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3. Analysis of long- and short-term biometeorological conditions in the Republic of Serbia
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Milošević, Dragan, Dunjić, Jelena, Stojsavljević, Rastislav, Žgela, Matej, Savić, Stevan, and Arsenović, Daniela
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- 2023
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4. Hospital admission tendencies caused by day-to-day temperature changes during summer: a case study for the city of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić, Stevan, Arsenović, Daniela, Lužanin, Zorana, Milošević, Dragan, Dunjić, Jelena, Šećerov, Ivan, Kojić, Milena, Radić, Ivana, Harhaji, Sanja, and Arsić, Miodrag
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- 2023
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5. Excess mortality and Covid-19 deaths: Preliminary data from Serbia and comparison with European experience
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Arsenović Daniela
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excess mortality rate ,excess deaths ,covid-19 ,pandemic ,serbia ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Mortality statistics is underlay for public health measures and action and consequently it is one of the major indicator in measures of Covid-19 impact on population. This study aim to explore excess mortality during the Covid-19 pandemic in Serbia. Excess mortality compares expected and observed number of deaths during the given period. Analysis in this paper was based on excess deaths and excess mortality rate. Data was downloaded from the national COVID-19 database and obtained from a relevant source from the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. In order to provide better understanding of excess death, the excess mortality rate was calculated for the period January 2015-June 2022. For the period January 2015-February 2020, 38 months were observed without excess deaths, while in months with excess deaths, almost in all months excess mortality rate was below 12%. Since March 2020, the excess mortality rate has increased significantly, with highest values in December 2020 (91.4%), October (84.3) and November (67.8) 2021.
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- 2023
6. Demographic Profile of Serbia Serbia at the Turn of the Millennia
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Arsenović, Daniela, Nikitović, Vladimir, De Mulder, E. F. J., Series Editor, Manić, Emilija, editor, Nikitović, Vladimir, editor, and Djurović, Predrag, editor
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- 2022
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7. Analysis of air temperature dynamics in the “local climate zones” of Novi Sad (Serbia) based on long-term database from an urban meteorological network
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Milošević, Dragan, Savić, Stevan, Kresoja, Milena, Lužanin, Zorana, Šećerov, Ivan, Arsenović, Daniela, Dunjić, Jelena, and Matzarakis, Andreas
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- 2022
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8. Micrometeorological measurements and biometeorological survey in different urban settings of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Vasić Milica, Milošević Dragan, Savić Stevan, Bjelajac Dajana, Arsenović Daniela, and Dunjić Jelena
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thermal comfort ,biometeorological measurements ,biometeorological survey ,urban park ,novi sad ,serbia ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Due to rapid urbanisation, urban microclimate research has become increasingly popular in the last decade. Significant variation in microclimate conditions can be created due to diversity in urban geometry and it can affect outdoor thermal comfort. Biometeorological measurements and survey were conducted in different urban settings (square, park, street) of the city of Novi Sad during a warm autumn day in October 2019. Air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and globe temperature, but also outdoor thermal comfort indices such as Mean Radiant Temperature (Tmrt) and Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) were obtained for each location. The largest differences in the biometeorological conditions are noticed between the urban park and other urban areas. The maximum average value of Ta was at the city square with 27.9 oC, while in the urban park and street Ta were about 25 oC. The values of RH were the lowest at the city square. Globe temperature (Tg) had the highest values, on average, at the city square (about 40 oC), while the average values in the urban park and street were about 26-28 oC. The highest average PET values are registered at the city square (41.4 oC), followed by substantially lower average PET registered in urban park (27.1 oC) and urban street canyon (26.2 oC). The analysis showed that during about 70% of the time, urban dwellers experience extreme heat stress at the city square. Contrary to that, no extreme heat stress is noticed in urban park and street canyon.
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- 2022
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9. Impact of urban outdoor thermal conditions on selected hospital admissions in Novi Sad, Serbia
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary, Savić, Stevan, additional, Milošević, Dragan, additional, Lužanin, Zorana, additional, Kojić, Milena, additional, Radić, Ivana, additional, Harhaji, Sanja, additional, and Arsić, Miodrag, additional
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- 2024
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10. Demographic Profile of Serbia at the Turn of the Millennia
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary and Nikitović, Vladimir, additional
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- 2021
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11. Temperature Risk Assessment in Urban Environments During Heat Wave Periods: A Case Study on the City of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić, Stevan, Arsenović, Daniela, Marković, Vladimir, Milošević, Dragan, Leal Filho, Walter, Series Editor, Trbic, Goran, editor, and Filipovic, Dejan, editor
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- 2019
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12. Estimating excess winter mortality in Serbia
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary
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- 2024
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13. Heat-waves and mortality in Czech cities: A case study for the summers of 2015 and 2016
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Arsenović Daniela, Lehnert Michal, Fiedor David, Šimáček Petr, Středová Hana, Středa Tomáš, and Savić Stevan
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heat-wave ,urban population ,temperature-related mortality ,czech republic ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
The aim of this paper was to assess the impact of heat-waves on mortality in ten Czech cities, using data recorded during the summers of 2015 and 2016. Temperature-related mortality during heat-waves was investigated by comparing mortality figures on heat-wave days and those on other days by means of the Mann-Whitney U test. Results for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases (CVD+R) mortality, as well as for mortality in the over-65 age group, show statistically significant differences (p
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- 2019
14. Heat-related mortality as an indicator of population vulnerability in a mid-sized Central European city (Novi Sad, Serbia, summer 2015)
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Arsenović Daniela, Savić Stevan, Lužanin Zorana, Radić Ivana, Milošević Dragan, and Arsić Miodrag
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mortality ,heat waves ,high temperature ,urban population ,serbia ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Hot summers with several intensive heat waves lead to strong heat-related mortality in Central and Southeast European cities. Therefore, the aim of the study was to evaluate association between maximum temperature and mortality during the summer period in 2015 and to contribute to the future long-term assessment of heat-related mortality in urban population. The daily number of deaths of all causes and cause-specific mortality for the population of Novi Sad were used, as well as hourly air temperature data from the Novi Sad urban network (NSUNET) system. Four heat waves were detected using the Huth and Kysely methods. Three heat wave periods lasted longer than ten days. In July and August, 45% of days had a maximum temperature above 30 ºC, and more than 70% of days had a maximum temperature above 25 ºC. The average number of deaths was higher during the heat wave days. Significant association was found between Tmax and all-cause, cardiorespiratory, non-cardiorespiratory in total population, all-cause and cardiorespiratory mortality in the age group 65 and over. This study demonstrates a high magnitude of relation between mortality and temperature. Finally, the results show that population in urban areas is highly vulnerable during heat waves.
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- 2019
15. Seasonality in human mortality: results for the City of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Arsenović Daniela
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mortality ,seasonality changes ,Serbia ,average air temperature ,cardiovascular mortality ,Demography. Population. Vital events ,HB848-3697 - Abstract
Seasonal variation in mortality has long been recognized and confirmed in diverse studies by demographers, climatologists, medics, sociologists etc. Existing research suggests that most world regions experience increase in mortality during winter period and that countries and regions in temperate climate have higher winter mortality than regions in colder climate. As well, numerous studies have so far demonstrated temperature-related mortality associations with increased risk due to both heat-related and cold-related death. The objective of this paper is to research seasonal variations in mortality due to seasonal changes in average air temperature among urban population of Novi Sad (Serbia). The analysis covered the period between 1953 and 2013 for both total and old population (65 and over) by gender and for all-cause mortality, while causes of death were observed only for the 1998-2013 period. This paper considers only cardiovascular diseases I00-I99 (CVD) according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD, version 10). Seasonal changes in mortality were observed using the coefficient of seasonal variation in mortality (CSVM) while the data were split into five periods in order to research temporal changes. Results for CSVM indicated that mortality in winter period was higher than mortality in non-winter periods, whilst the analysis of the temperature-related mortality suggests that low temperature caused an increase in mortality over the entire year. Despite the confirmed seasonal changes in mortality and the evidence for temperature related mortality, this research has recognized a declining trend in population vulnerability over time.
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- 2018
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16. Climate and population in Central Europe: results for temperature-related mortality in Novi Sad
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary
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- 2019
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17. Temperature Risk Assessment in Urban Environments During Heat Wave Periods: A Case Study on the City of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić, Stevan, primary, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, Marković, Vladimir, additional, and Milošević, Dragan, additional
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- 2018
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18. Heat wave risk assessment and mapping in urban areas: case study for a midsized Central European city, Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić, Stevan, Marković, Vladimir, Šećerov, Ivan, Pavić, Dragoslav, Arsenović, Daniela, Milošević, Dragan, Dolinaj, Dragan, Nagy, Imre, and Pantelić, Milana
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- 2018
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19. Behavioral and Metabolic Risk Factors for Noncommunicable Diseases among Population in the Republic of Srpska (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
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Majić, Aleksandar, primary, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, and Čvokić, Dimitrije D., additional
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- 2023
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20. Progressing urban climate research using a high-density monitoring network system
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Šećerov, Ivan B., Savić, Stevan M., Milošević, Dragan D., Arsenović, Daniela M., Dolinaj, Dragan M., and Popov, Srdjan B.
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- 2019
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21. Cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions during different outdoor thermal conditions in urban areas – A case study of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić, Stevan, primary, Lužanin, Zorana, additional, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, Milošević, Dragan, additional, and Dunjić, Jelena, additional
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- 2022
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22. Micrometeorological measurements and biometeorological survey in different urban settings of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Vasić, Milica, Milošević, Dragan, Savić, Stevan, Bjelajac, Dajana, Arsenović, Daniela, Dunjić, Jelena, Vasić, Milica, Milošević, Dragan, Savić, Stevan, Bjelajac, Dajana, Arsenović, Daniela, and Dunjić, Jelena
- Abstract
Due to rapid urbanisation, urban microclimate research has become increasingly popular in the last decade. Significant variation in microclimate conditions can be created due to diversity in urban geometry and it can affect outdoor thermal comfort. Biometeoro-logical measurements and survey were conducted in different urban settings (square, park, street) of the city of Novi Sad during a warm autumn day in October 2019. Air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and globe temperature, but also outdoor thermal comfort indices such as Mean Radiant Temperature (Tmrt) and Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) were obtained for each location. The largest differences in the biometeorological conditions are noticed between the urban park and other urban areas. The maximum average value of Ta was at the city square with 27.9oC, while in the urban park and street Ta were about 25oC. The values of RH were the lowest at the city square. Globe temperature (Tg) had the highest values, on average, at the city square (about 40oC), while the average values in the urban park and street were about 26–28oC. The highest average PET values are registered at the city square (41.4oC), followed by substantially lower average PET registered in urban park (27.1oC) and urban street canyon (26.2oC). The analysis showed that during about 70% of the time, urban dwellers experience extreme heat stress at the city square. Contrary to that, no extreme heat stress is noticed in urban park and street canyon.
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- 2022
23. Classifying urban meteorological stations sites by 'local climate zones': Preliminary results for the city of Novi Sad (Serbia)
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Savić Stevan, Milošević Dragan, Lazić Lazar, Marković Vladimir, Arsenović Daniela, and Pavić Dragoslav
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local climate zone ,urban heat island ,urban metorological network ,site classification ,Novi Sad ,Serbia ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Conventional approach in the investigation of urban climate of Novi Sad has been done through simple urban-rural air temperature differences. These inter-urban air temperature differences showed how much is city warmer than its surroundings, so-called urban heat island (UHI) effect. Temperature differences exist inside the city as well. To get to know the intensity of these intra-urban temperature differences, installation of meteorological stations in different parts of the city or mobile measurements are needed. In 2012 started IPA HUSRB project made by Department of Climatology and Landscape Ecology (University of Szeged) and Faculty of Sciences (University of Novi Sad). The main goal of this project is the development and installation of wireless urban meteorological network (temperature and relative humidity sensors) in Szeged and Novi Sad. Before the deployment of sensors, necessary metadata about each potential urban meteorological station site needs to be collected. Field work, collected metadata and Stewart and Oke climate-based classification system from 2012 were used for defining the potential urban meteorological stations sites on the territory of the city of Novi Sad (Serbia) and its surroundings.
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- 2013
24. Quantification of artificial surfaces impact on Urban Heat Island of Novi Sad (Vojvodina, Serbia)
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Marković Vladimir, Savić Stevan, Arsenović Daniela, Stankov Uglješa, and Dolinaj Dragan
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Corine Land Cover ,Urban Heat Island ,GIS ,Novi Sad ,Serbia ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Within urban zones land cover, being the expression of human activities, could be greatly modificated by changes in urban surfaces. Land cover modifications can be measured with mathematical metrics that quantify different aspects of landscape pattern. This research examines land cover patches by a set of landscape metrics for area and size. (Number of patches - NP, CA - Class area, Mean patch size - MPS, % - class ratio). The classification of land cover patches was based on Corine Land Cover 2006 (CLC2006) seamless vector data. The main goal of the research is to investigate the impact of artificial surfaces on Urban Heat Island (UHI) in the City of Novi Sad. The methodology is based on crossing of landscape and geographical approach to UHI research. UHI metrics of Novi Sad reveal strong human impact indicating direct proportional relation between presence of artificial surface areas and increased air temperatures.
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- 2013
25. Geomorphological investigations and GIS approach of the Tamiš loess plateau, Banat region (northern Serbia)
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Popov Dragan, Marković Slobodan B., Jovanović Mlađen, Mesaroš Minučer, Arsenović Daniela, Stankov Uglješa, and Gubik Deneš
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loess plateau ,Tamiš River ,DEM ,morphology ,morphometry ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
The focus of this study was the loess plateau located in the Tamiš River valley in the central part of Banat region (northern Serbia). This morphologic unit has been formed by the loess accumulation process during the last two glacial periods. Digital elevation model (DEM) is based on the 1:25.000 scale topographic maps. Detailed geomorphologic and hypsometric maps are provided with selected cross sections. The borders of the plateau and spatial distribution of the micromorphology are precisely defined on DEM. The plateau rises gradually from the Upper Pleistocene terrace on the north and northwest, while to the east and south slopes and vertical bluffs were controlled by the lateral erosion process of surrounding channels and by the weathering process on the loess. The plateau has an atypical morphology characterized by reduced geomorphologic diversity. Loess topography is significantly flattened by human impact. Its micromorphology is characterised by shallow depressions and gullies.
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- 2012
26. Ecotourism: An alternative to mass tourism in nature park 'Stara planina'
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Stankov Uglješa, Stojanović Vladimir, Dragićević Vanja, and Arsenović Daniela
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Ecotourism ,mass tourism ,Nature Park ,Stara planina ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
Stara planina has great natural and anthropogenic potentials for tourism development that have not been recognized by tourism experts. Intensive state interest for tourism development started in 2006, when started building of the master plan for winter tourism development at Babin zub area. However, most of the central part of the mountain is part of Nature Park “Stara planina” that can be endangered by mass tourism development. Within this context, this paper researches potentials for ecotourism, as an alternative to future mass tourism development. Started projects of mass tourism development cannot be stopped, but also they do not have negative impacts to natural surroundings. The aim of this paper is to represent ecotourism as a “conscience”, a correction factor of mass tourism development.
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- 2011
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27. The ageing of population in Kanjiza municipality
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Arsenović Daniela, Đurđev Branislav S., and Ivkov-Džigurski Anđelija
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ageing population ,age structure ,middle age ,Kanjiza ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
The aging of population in Vojvodina Province is one of the main political, national and economical issues. This paper presents the demographic situation in municipality of Kanjiza, researching the age structure. The aging is one of the most important demographic characteristics, which analyses the stage of development of a certain population. The consequence of low birthrate and emigrations in municipality of Kanjiza during the last 30- 40 years, is that the population in 1971. was in fourth stage of demographic development. The age structure in this paper is presented through the ageing of population, ageing index, age ratio, age group up to 20 year (young population) and age groups over 60 (old population), part of fertile and active population. .
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- 2009
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28. Air humidity characteristics in “local climate zones” of Novi Sad (Serbia) based on long-term data
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Dunjić, Jelena, Milošević, Dragan, Kojić, Milena, Savić, Stevan, Lužanin, Zorana, Šećerov, Ivan, Arsenović, Daniela, Dunjić, Jelena, Milošević, Dragan, Kojić, Milena, Savić, Stevan, Lužanin, Zorana, Šećerov, Ivan, and Arsenović, Daniela
- Abstract
This study aims to investigate spatial and temporal dynamics and relationship between air temperature and five air humidity parameters (relative humidity, water vapor pressure, absolute humidity, specific humidity, and vapor pressure deficit) in Novi Sad, Serbia, based on two-year data (Dec 2015–Dec 2017). The analysis includes different urban areas of Novi Sad, which are delineated in five built (urban) types of local climate zones (LCZ) (LCZ 2, LCZ 5, LCZ 6, LCZ 8, and LCZ 9), and one land cover (natural) local climate zone (LCZ A) located outside the urban area. Temporal analysis included annual, seasonal, and monthly dynamics of air temperature and air humidity parameters, as well as their patterns during the extreme periods (heat and cold wave). The results showed that urban dry island (UDI) occurs in densely urbanized LCZ 2 from February to October, unlike other urban LCZs. The analysis of the air humidity dynamics during the heat wave shows that UDI intensity is most pronounced during the daytime, but also in the evening (approximately until midnight) in LCZ 2. However, lower UDI intensity is observed in the afternoon, in other urban LCZs (LCZ 6, LCZ 8, and LCZ 9) and occasionally in the later afternoon in LCZ 5. Regression analysis confirms the relationship between air temperature and each of the analyzed air humidity parameters.
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- 2021
29. Achieving high reliability in data acquisition
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Šećerov, Ivan, Popov, S., Sladojević, Đdan, Milin, Dragana, Lazić, Lazar, Milošević, Dragan, Arsenović, Daniela, Savić, Stevan, Šećerov, Ivan, Popov, S., Sladojević, Đdan, Milin, Dragana, Lazić, Lazar, Milošević, Dragan, Arsenović, Daniela, and Savić, Stevan
- Abstract
An urban environment defines a specific micro-climate which directly affects the quality of life in urbanized areas and often has a negative impact on urban populations. Phenomena like urban heat and surface heat islands are direct products of an urban lifestyle. Urban meteorological networks (UMNs) are a tool that can help to better understand and analyze the current situation and make the right decisions about future urban development. Deployed to monitor and record different objects and their states inside urban areas, UMNs build a long-term meteorological data time series database. The most commonly used systems for achieving this goal include wireless sensor networks (WSNs). This paper presents a combined experience in deploying three different WSN systems. During seven years of research in this field, the authors have recognized the importance of data reliability in data acquisition. More importantly, due to the lack of research addressing the reliability of the data received from WSNs by the core segment of the server (processes used in receiving, validating, parsing, and storing data into a database instance), the received data are used in scientific studies without questioning their reliability. To determine the possibility of shifting information provided by the data measured from sensor networks before it is stored in a desired form of database, this paper proposes a highly reliable socket server model. The model is built with high reliability and performance in mind and it includes three major processes, which use a combination of signals and control messages to pass information about their states. A case study is performed using high-end hardware, running a Linux operating system stressed to its limits. Repetition testing revealed inconsistency in the information provided by the operating system to the application layer, which could lead to the loss of information about short-term and rarely occurring monitored objects. The results lead to the conclusio
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- 2021
30. Achieving High Reliability in Data Acquisition
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Šećerov, Ivan, primary, Popov, Srđan, additional, Sladojević, Srđan, additional, Milin, Dragana, additional, Lazić, Lazar, additional, Milošević, Dragan, additional, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, and Savić, Stevan, additional
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- 2021
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31. Analysis of air temperature dynamics in the “local climate zones” of Novi Sad (Serbia) based on long-term database from an urban meteorological network
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Milošević, Dragan, primary, Savić, Stevan, additional, Kresoja, Milena, additional, Lužanin, Zorana, additional, Šećerov, Ivan, additional, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, Dunjić, Jelena, additional, and Matzarakis, Andreas, additional
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- 2021
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32. Social impacts of music festivals: A comparative study of Sziget (Hungary) and Exit (Serbia)
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Pavluković, Vanja, primary, Stankov, Uglješa, additional, and Arsenović, Daniela, additional
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- 2020
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33. Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?
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Nikitović, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, Sekulić, Aleksandar, Bajat, Branislav, Nikitović, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, Sekulić, Aleksandar, and Bajat, Branislav
- Abstract
Gaps in comprehension of demographic change in the region of ex-Yugoslavia after 1990, caused by a lack of reliable data series, frequent change of borders, and distinctive historical and cultural tradition in comparison to other post-communist societies, motivated us to contribute to the understanding of the spatial diffusion of recent profound fertility changes in South-Eastern Europe. We analysed changes in the spatial pattern and distribution of typical fertility indicators of the second demographic transition at the sub-national level in Serbia in order to find out whether these demographic shifts could be interpreted to be similar to those in Central and Eastern Europe. We found that differences in economic, historical, and cultural development between sub-regions of the country strongly affect spatial patterns of fertility change. Also, this paper suggests that the sub-regions forerunners of the first demographic transition could be considered as the cores of diffusion for the second demographic transition.
- Published
- 2019
34. Heat-related Mortality as an Indicator of Population Vulnerability in a Mid-sized Central European City (Novi Sad, Serbia, summer 2015)
- Author
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Arsenović, Daniela, Savić, Stevan, Lužanin, Zorana, Radić, Ivana, Milošević, Dragan, Arsić, Miodrag, Arsenović, Daniela, Savić, Stevan, Lužanin, Zorana, Radić, Ivana, Milošević, Dragan, and Arsić, Miodrag
- Abstract
Hot summers with several intensive heat waves lead to strong heat-related mortality in Central and Southeast European cities. Therefore, the aim of the study was to evaluate association between maximum temaprature and mortality during the summer period in 2015 and to contribute to the future long-term assessment of heat-related mortality in urban population. The daily number of deaths of all causes and cause-specific mortality for the population of Novi Sad were used, as well as hourly air temperature data from the Novi Sad urban network (NSUNET) system. Four heat waves were detected using the Huth and Kysely methods. Three heat wave periods lasted longer than ten days. In July and August, 45% of days had a maximum temperature above 30 $$C, and more than 70% of days had a maximum temperature above 25 $$C. The average number of deaths was higher during the heat wave days. Significant association was found between Tmax and all-cause, cardiorespiratory, non-cardiorespiratory in total population, all-cause and cardiorespiratory mortality in the age group 65 and over. This study demonstrates a high magnitude of relation between mortality and temperature. Finally, the results show that population in urban areas is highly vulnerable during heat waves.
- Published
- 2019
35. Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?
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Nikitović, Vladimir, primary, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, Sekulić, Aleksandar, additional, and Bajat, Branislav, additional
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- 2019
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36. Demografske promene i populaciona politika
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Nikitović, Vladimir, primary and Arsenović, Daniela, additional
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- 2016
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37. Разлике у смртности становништва Србије по полу
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Đurđev, Branislav, Arsenović, Daniela, Rašević, Mirjana, Radivojević, Biljana, Маринковић, Иван, Đurđev, Branislav, Arsenović, Daniela, Rašević, Mirjana, Radivojević, Biljana, and Маринковић, Иван
- Abstract
Предмет истраживања докторске дисертације јесте разлика у смртности по полу у периоду 1950-2012. година, са посебним освртом на факторе који условљавају разлику. Одређивање њиховог утицаја на основу модела који су примењивани у литератури и сагледавање последица недовољног напретка у продужењу чекиваног трајања живота код оба пола (нарочито код мушкараца), основни је задатак докторске дисертације. Резултати истраживања су показали да кретање разлике у смртности по полу у Србији не одговара ни западноевропском ни источноевропском моделу. Разлика у очекиваном трајању живота при живорођењу мушкараца и жена је последњих 20 година стабилна и у европским оквирима умерено ниска (износи око пет година). Анализа морталитета по полу показала је да су вредности специфичних стопа смртности међу највишима у Европи и да су посебно средовечни мушкарци у Србији вулнерабилна категорија становништва. Резултати су показали да се разлике у смртности по полу смањују са старошћу, одражавајући чињеницу да се у најстаријим годинама живота утицај социо-економских фактора губи, а расте значај фактора биолошке природе. У раду је потврђено да су пушење и алкохолизам значајни фактори веће смртности мушког становништва у Србији. Такође је наглашено да постоје извесне тенденције у порасту конзумације дувана код жена и да се скандинавски модел понашања све више прихвата и то нарочито код младих. Анализа појединих фактора смртности на разлику у очекиваном трајању живота по полу у Србији, показала је да се пушење издваја као појединачно најзначајнији фактор више смртности мушкараца. Елиминисањем пушења постиже се значајна промена у смртности мушкараца и жена, а разлика у очекиваном трајању живота новорођених би тада износила свега половину тренутне. У Србији су стопе смртности код становништва које је у браку значајно ниже него код оних ван брака. То се нарочито односи на мушкарце, који просечно у браку имају за 6-7 година дужи животни век. На основу разлике у стопама смртности по, Predmet istraživanja doktorske disertacije jeste razlika u smrtnosti po polu u periodu 1950-2012. godina, sa posebnim osvrtom na faktore koji uslovljavaju razliku. Određivanje njihovog uticaja na osnovu modela koji su primenjivani u literaturi i sagledavanje posledica nedovoljnog napretka u produženju čekivanog trajanja života kod oba pola (naročito kod muškaraca), osnovni je zadatak doktorske disertacije. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali da kretanje razlike u smrtnosti po polu u Srbiji ne odgovara ni zapadnoevropskom ni istočnoevropskom modelu. Razlika u očekivanom trajanju života pri živorođenju muškaraca i žena je poslednjih 20 godina stabilna i u evropskim okvirima umereno niska (iznosi oko pet godina). Analiza mortaliteta po polu pokazala je da su vrednosti specifičnih stopa smrtnosti među najvišima u Evropi i da su posebno sredovečni muškarci u Srbiji vulnerabilna kategorija stanovništva. Rezultati su pokazali da se razlike u smrtnosti po polu smanjuju sa starošću, odražavajući činjenicu da se u najstarijim godinama života uticaj socio-ekonomskih faktora gubi, a raste značaj faktora biološke prirode. U radu je potvrđeno da su pušenje i alkoholizam značajni faktori veće smrtnosti muškog stanovništva u Srbiji. Takođe je naglašeno da postoje izvesne tendencije u porastu konzumacije duvana kod žena i da se skandinavski model ponašanja sve više prihvata i to naročito kod mladih. Analiza pojedinih faktora smrtnosti na razliku u očekivanom trajanju života po polu u Srbiji, pokazala je da se pušenje izdvaja kao pojedinačno najznačajniji faktor više smrtnosti muškaraca. Eliminisanjem pušenja postiže se značajna promena u smrtnosti muškaraca i žena, a razlika u očekivanom trajanju života novorođenih bi tada iznosila svega polovinu trenutne. U Srbiji su stope smrtnosti kod stanovništva koje je u braku značajno niže nego kod onih van braka. To se naročito odnosi na muškarce, koji prosečno u braku imaju za 6-7 godina duži životni vek. Na osnovu razlike, The research topic of the doctoral dissertation is the difference in mortality by sex in the period 1950-2012, with the particular emphasis on the factors that influence the difference. The main task of the doctoral dissertation is to determine their impact based on the models applied in relevant literature and to consider the consequences of the lack of progress in extending life expectancy for both sexes (especially in men). The research results show that the trends in difference in mortality by sex in Serbiacorrespond to neither the Western European nor the Eastern European model. The difference in life expectancy at birth for men and women has been stable over the last 20 years and moderately low in terms of the European framework (approximately five years). The analysis of mortality by sex has shown that the values of the specific mortality rates are among the highest in Europe and that the middle-aged men in Serbia in particular are vulnerable categories of the population. The results has shown that difference in mortality by sex decreases with age, reflecting the fact that in the oldest age the impact of socio-economic factors declines and the importance of factors of biological nature grows. The paper confirms that smoking and alcoholism are significant factors of increased mortality of the male population in Serbia. It also emphasises that there are certain tendencies in increasing consumption of tobacco among women and that the Scandinavian model of behaviour has been increasingly accepted, particularly among young people. The analysis of certain mortality factors that influence the difference in life expectancy by sex in Serbia has shown that smoking stands out as the single most important factor in more deaths in men. By eliminating smoking a significant change in mortality between men and women is achieved, and the difference in life expectancy for the newborn would then be only half of the current one. In Serbia, the mortality rate of the married pop
- Published
- 2016
38. Outdoor human thermal comfort in local climate zones of Novi Sad (Serbia) during heat wave period
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Milošević, Dragan D., Savić, Stevan M., Marković, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, Šećerov, Ivan, Milošević, Dragan D., Savić, Stevan M., Marković, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, and Šećerov, Ivan
- Abstract
Urban climate monitoring system (UCMS) was established in Novi Sad (Serbia) in 2014 based on the Local Climate Zones (LCZs) classification system, GIS model calculations and field work. Seven built and two land cover LCZ types were delineated and 27 stations equipped with air temperature and relative humidity sensors were distributed across all LCZs. Suitability of the developed monitoring system for human outdoor thermal comfort research in different LCZs of the city and its surroundings was investigated during a heat wave period using Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (PET) index. During the daytime (night-time) the highest thermal loads are present in open midrise (compact midrise) LCZ, while the most comfortable is LCZ A (dense trees) during the whole day. In general, the highest thermal loads are obtained in midrise, followed by low-rise, sparsely built, low plants and dense trees LCZs. All LCZs (except LCZ A-dense trees) had higher PET when compared to LCZ D (LCZ D-low plants) during evening and nocturnal hours with maximum difference of 7.1 °C (00 UTC) between LCZ 2 (compact midrise) and LCZ D (low plants). Contrary to this, LCZ D (low plants) had higher PET compared to the majority of LCZs during the daytime with maximum difference of 8.5 °C (9 UTC) when compared to LCZ A (dense trees). Furthermore, the smallest thermal comfort differences during heat wave occurred between LCZs with similar structure (i.e. open low-rise and large low-rise, compact midrise and compact low-rise) and cover (i.e. sparsely built and low plants).
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- 2016
39. Uticaj temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta u Novom Sadu
- Author
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Arsenović, Daniela, Đurđev, Branislav, Lužanin, Zorana, Simić, Milan, Marinković, Draško, and Savić, Stevan
- Subjects
Novi Sad, human mortality, air temperature, seasonality ,Novi Sad, mortalitet stanovništva, temperatura vazduha, sezonalnost ,Нови Сад, морталитет становништва, температура ваздуха, сезоналност - Abstract
Основни циљ ове дисертације је истраживање утицаја температуре ваздуха насезоналност морталитета становништва у Новом Саду. Однос између температуреваздуха и морталитета становништва истраживан је у периоду од 1897. до 2009. године.Током анализе, а у циљу бољег уочавања сезоналних промена морталитетастановништва, посматрана временска серија је подељена на неколико периода. Првипериод се односи на крај 19. и прву половину 20. века (1897-1952), други периодобухвата другу половину 20. века (1953-1997), а трећи период чини 1998-2009. година.У раду је анализиран утицај температуре ваздуха на морталитет укупногстановништва, морталитет становништва према полу и морталитет становништва старог65 и више година, а у периоду 1998-2009. године, у анализу су укључени и узроци смртистановништва. Посебно је анализиран кардиоваскуларни морталитет и морталитетстановништва изазван респираторним болестима, док су остали узроци смртипосматрани заједно.За анализу утицаја температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета коришћене суразличите статистичке методе као што су корелациона и регресиона анализа (графичкиприказане на дијаграму растурања), t-тест, релативни ризик и коефицијент сезоналневаријације морталитета. Код анализе морталитета према полу коришћен је и односшанси.Резултати добијени у овом раду показују да је морталитет становништва у НовомСаду већи током зимског периода године. У периоду 1897-1952. године није пронађенастатистички значајна повезаност између температуре ваздуха и морталитетастановништва, док је у другој половини 20. века (1953-1997) и у периоду 1998-2009.године уочена статистички значајна негативна корелација између температуре ваздуха иморталитета становништва, а регресиона анализа показује да се са растом температуреваздуха морталитет становништва смањује. У периоду 1998-2009. године пронађена је истатистички значајна негативна корелација између морталитета кардиоваскуларнихболести и температуре ваздуха, као и између морталитета респираторних болести итемпературе ваздуха, док код осталих узрока смрти није уочена статистички значајнавеза. Код анализе утицаја температуре ваздуха на морталитет становништва према полунису уочене велике разлике између мушкараца и жена. За разлику од морталитета укупног становништва, код старог становништва (65+), као најугроженије категорије, статистички значајна негативна корелација јавља се од почетка посматране временске серије, а регресиона анализа такође показује да са растом температуре ваздуха морталитет старог становништва опада.Анализа у раду показала је да се уочени сезонални образац морталитета постепеномења. Разлике између морталитета становништва у зимском пероду у односу на периодепре и после зиме, се постепено смањују. Ове промене праћене су и променом просечнетемпературе ваздуха. На основу добијених резултата може се закључити да променепросечне температуре ваздуха утичу на промену и баланс морталитета по месецима утоку године., Osnovni cilj ove disertacije je istraživanje uticaja temperature vazduha nasezonalnost mortaliteta stanovništva u Novom Sadu. Odnos između temperaturevazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva istraživan je u periodu od 1897. do 2009. godine.Tokom analize, a u cilju boljeg uočavanja sezonalnih promena mortalitetastanovništva, posmatrana vremenska serija je podeljena na nekoliko perioda. Prviperiod se odnosi na kraj 19. i prvu polovinu 20. veka (1897-1952), drugi periodobuhvata drugu polovinu 20. veka (1953-1997), a treći period čini 1998-2009. godina.U radu je analiziran uticaj temperature vazduha na mortalitet ukupnogstanovništva, mortalitet stanovništva prema polu i mortalitet stanovništva starog65 i više godina, a u periodu 1998-2009. godine, u analizu su uključeni i uzroci smrtistanovništva. Posebno je analiziran kardiovaskularni mortalitet i mortalitetstanovništva izazvan respiratornim bolestima, dok su ostali uzroci smrtiposmatrani zajedno.Za analizu uticaja temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta korišćene surazličite statističke metode kao što su korelaciona i regresiona analiza (grafičkiprikazane na dijagramu rasturanja), t-test, relativni rizik i koeficijent sezonalnevarijacije mortaliteta. Kod analize mortaliteta prema polu korišćen je i odnosšansi.Rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu pokazuju da je mortalitet stanovništva u NovomSadu veći tokom zimskog perioda godine. U periodu 1897-1952. godine nije pronađenastatistički značajna povezanost između temperature vazduha i mortalitetastanovništva, dok je u drugoj polovini 20. veka (1953-1997) i u periodu 1998-2009.godine uočena statistički značajna negativna korelacija između temperature vazduha imortaliteta stanovništva, a regresiona analiza pokazuje da se sa rastom temperaturevazduha mortalitet stanovništva smanjuje. U periodu 1998-2009. godine pronađena je istatistički značajna negativna korelacija između mortaliteta kardiovaskularnihbolesti i temperature vazduha, kao i između mortaliteta respiratornih bolesti itemperature vazduha, dok kod ostalih uzroka smrti nije uočena statistički značajnaveza. Kod analize uticaja temperature vazduha na mortalitet stanovništva prema polunisu uočene velike razlike između muškaraca i žena. Za razliku od mortaliteta ukupnog stanovništva, kod starog stanovništva (65+), kao najugroženije kategorije, statistički značajna negativna korelacija javlja se od početka posmatrane vremenske serije, a regresiona analiza takođe pokazuje da sa rastom temperature vazduha mortalitet starog stanovništva opada.Analiza u radu pokazala je da se uočeni sezonalni obrazac mortaliteta postepenomenja. Razlike između mortaliteta stanovništva u zimskom perodu u odnosu na periodepre i posle zime, se postepeno smanjuju. Ove promene praćene su i promenom prosečnetemperature vazduha. Na osnovu dobijenih rezultata može se zaključiti da promeneprosečne temperature vazduha utiču na promenu i balans mortaliteta po mesecima utoku godine., The main aim of this dissertation is to investigate the temperature-related humanmortality in Novi Sad, for the period from 1897 until 2009. In order to detect temporal sesonalchanges during time, research period was split in three parts. First period is related to the endof 19th century and first half of 20th century (1897-1953), second period covers second half of20th century (1953-1997) and third period is related to 1998-2009.In this dissertation impact of air temerature on human mortality of total population,than mortality by sex and mortality of old population (population aged 65 and over) isscrutinised. In the period 1998-2009 in analyses and causes of death are included. Three groupof cause of death are investigated: cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease and all othercauses of death are observed together.Several different statistical methods were used for analysis of impact of air temperatureon seasonal variation of human mortality: correlation and regression analysis (presented atscatter diagram), t-test, relative risk and coefficient of seasonal variation of mortality. Theodds-ratio was used in the chapter related to mortality by sex.Results for Novi Sad, show that human mortality in higher during winter period. In theperiod 1897-1952 statistical analysis does not show significant relation between airtemperature and human mortality, while in the period of second half of 20th century (1953-1997) and period 1998-2009 statistical analysis indicated strong negative correlation betweenair temperature and human mortality and according to results of regression analysis increasingof air temperature is related with decreasing mortality. In the period from 1998 to 2009statistical analysis show significant and negative correlation between cardiovascular mortalityand air temperature, as well as mortality from respiratory disease and air temperature. Analysisof relation between other causes of death and air temperature does not show any significantcorrelation. There is no clear difference between male and female in the temperature-relatedmortality patterns. The most vulnerable group is population aged 65 and over. From thebeginning of the observed period, statistical analysis indicates strong negative correlationbetween mortality of old population and air temeprature and regression coefficient demonstratethat increasing air temperature is followed with decreasing mortality.Analysis in this thesis shows changes of seasonal pattern of mortality. Differencesbetween mortality in winter and non-winter period (preceding and following period) aredecreasing. During the time, this changes are followed by fluctuation of air temperature.According to results presented in this dissertation it can be concluded that changes of airtemperature are connected with changes of distribution of mortality by month, during the year.
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- 2014
40. Утицај температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета у Новом Саду
- Author
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Arsenović, Daniela, Đurđev, Branislav, Lužanin, Zorana, Simić, Milan, Marinković, Draško, and Savić, Stevan
- Subjects
Novi Sad ,mortalitet stanovništva ,air temperature ,сезоналност ,морталитет становништва ,seasonality ,температура ваздуха ,human mortality ,Нови Сад ,temperatura vazduha ,sezonalnost - Abstract
Основни циљ ове дисертације је истраживање утицаја температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета становништва у Новом Саду. Однос између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва истраживан је у периоду од 1897. до 2009. године. Током анализе, а у циљу бољег уочавања сезоналних промена морталитета становништва, посматрана временска серија је подељена на неколико периода. Први период се односи на крај 19. и прву половину 20. века (1897-1952), други период обухвата другу половину 20. века (1953-1997), а трећи период чини 1998-2009. година. У раду је анализиран утицај температуре ваздуха на морталитет укупног становништва, морталитет становништва према полу и морталитет становништва старог 65 и више година, а у периоду 1998-2009. године, у анализу су укључени и узроци смрти становништва. Посебно је анализиран кардиоваскуларни морталитет и морталитет становништва изазван респираторним болестима, док су остали узроци смрти посматрани заједно. За анализу утицаја температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета коришћене су различите статистичке методе као што су корелациона и регресиона анализа (графички приказане на дијаграму растурања), t-тест, релативни ризик и коефицијент сезоналне варијације морталитета. Код анализе морталитета према полу коришћен је и однос шанси. Резултати добијени у овом раду показују да је морталитет становништва у Новом Саду већи током зимског периода године. У периоду 1897-1952. године није пронађена статистички значајна повезаност између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва, док је у другој половини 20. века (1953-1997) и у периоду 1998-2009. године уочена статистички значајна негативна корелација између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва, а регресиона анализа показује да се са растом температуре ваздуха морталитет становништва смањује. У периоду 1998-2009. године пронађена је и статистички значајна негативна корелација између морталитета кардиоваскуларних болести и температуре ваздуха, као и између морталитета респираторних болести и температуре ваздуха, док код осталих узрока смрти није уочена статистички значајна веза. Код анализе утицаја температуре ваздуха на морталитет становништва према полу нису уочене велике разлике између мушкараца и жена. За разлику од морталитета укупног становништва, код старог становништва (65+), као најугроженије категорије, статистички значајна негативна корелација јавља се од почетка посматране временске серије, а регресиона анализа такође показује да са растом температуре ваздуха морталитет старог становништва опада. Анализа у раду показала је да се уочени сезонални образац морталитета постепено мења. Разлике између морталитета становништва у зимском пероду у односу на периоде пре и после зиме, се постепено смањују. Ове промене праћене су и променом просечне температуре ваздуха. На основу добијених резултата може се закључити да промене просечне температуре ваздуха утичу на промену и баланс морталитета по месецима у току године. Osnovni cilj ove disertacije je istraživanje uticaja temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta stanovništva u Novom Sadu. Odnos između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva istraživan je u periodu od 1897. do 2009. godine. Tokom analize, a u cilju boljeg uočavanja sezonalnih promena mortaliteta stanovništva, posmatrana vremenska serija je podeljena na nekoliko perioda. Prvi period se odnosi na kraj 19. i prvu polovinu 20. veka (1897-1952), drugi period obuhvata drugu polovinu 20. veka (1953-1997), a treći period čini 1998-2009. godina. U radu je analiziran uticaj temperature vazduha na mortalitet ukupnog stanovništva, mortalitet stanovništva prema polu i mortalitet stanovništva starog 65 i više godina, a u periodu 1998-2009. godine, u analizu su uključeni i uzroci smrti stanovništva. Posebno je analiziran kardiovaskularni mortalitet i mortalitet stanovništva izazvan respiratornim bolestima, dok su ostali uzroci smrti posmatrani zajedno. Za analizu uticaja temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta korišćene su različite statističke metode kao što su korelaciona i regresiona analiza (grafički prikazane na dijagramu rasturanja), t-test, relativni rizik i koeficijent sezonalne varijacije mortaliteta. Kod analize mortaliteta prema polu korišćen je i odnos šansi. Rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu pokazuju da je mortalitet stanovništva u Novom Sadu veći tokom zimskog perioda godine. U periodu 1897-1952. godine nije pronađena statistički značajna povezanost između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva, dok je u drugoj polovini 20. veka (1953-1997) i u periodu 1998-2009. godine uočena statistički značajna negativna korelacija između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva, a regresiona analiza pokazuje da se sa rastom temperature vazduha mortalitet stanovništva smanjuje. U periodu 1998-2009. godine pronađena je i statistički značajna negativna korelacija između mortaliteta kardiovaskularnih bolesti i temperature vazduha, kao i između mortaliteta respiratornih bolesti i temperature vazduha, dok kod ostalih uzroka smrti nije uočena statistički značajna veza. Kod analize uticaja temperature vazduha na mortalitet stanovništva prema polu nisu uočene velike razlike između muškaraca i žena. Za razliku od mortaliteta ukupnog stanovništva, kod starog stanovništva (65+), kao najugroženije kategorije, statistički značajna negativna korelacija javlja se od početka posmatrane vremenske serije, a regresiona analiza takođe pokazuje da sa rastom temperature vazduha mortalitet starog stanovništva opada. Analiza u radu pokazala je da se uočeni sezonalni obrazac mortaliteta postepeno menja. Razlike između mortaliteta stanovništva u zimskom perodu u odnosu na periode pre i posle zime, se postepeno smanjuju. Ove promene praćene su i promenom prosečne temperature vazduha. Na osnovu dobijenih rezultata može se zaključiti da promene prosečne temperature vazduha utiču na promenu i balans mortaliteta po mesecima u toku godine. The main aim of this dissertation is to investigate the temperature-related human mortality in Novi Sad, for the period from 1897 until 2009. In order to detect temporal sesonal changes during time, research period was split in three parts. First period is related to the end of 19th century and first half of 20th century (1897-1953), second period covers second half of 20th century (1953-1997) and third period is related to 1998-2009. In this dissertation impact of air temerature on human mortality of total population, than mortality by sex and mortality of old population (population aged 65 and over) is scrutinised. In the period 1998-2009 in analyses and causes of death are included. Three group of cause of death are investigated: cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease and all other causes of death are observed together. Several different statistical methods were used for analysis of impact of air temperature on seasonal variation of human mortality: correlation and regression analysis (presented at scatter diagram), t-test, relative risk and coefficient of seasonal variation of mortality. The odds-ratio was used in the chapter related to mortality by sex. Results for Novi Sad, show that human mortality in higher during winter period. In the period 1897-1952 statistical analysis does not show significant relation between air temperature and human mortality, while in the period of second half of 20th century (1953-1997) and period 1998-2009 statistical analysis indicated strong negative correlation between air temperature and human mortality and according to results of regression analysis increasing of air temperature is related with decreasing mortality. In the period from 1998 to 2009 statistical analysis show significant and negative correlation between cardiovascular mortality and air temperature, as well as mortality from respiratory disease and air temperature. Analysis of relation between other causes of death and air temperature does not show any significant correlation. There is no clear difference between male and female in the temperature-related mortality patterns. The most vulnerable group is population aged 65 and over. From the beginning of the observed period, statistical analysis indicates strong negative correlation between mortality of old population and air temeprature and regression coefficient demonstrate that increasing air temperature is followed with decreasing mortality. Analysis in this thesis shows changes of seasonal pattern of mortality. Differences between mortality in winter and non-winter period (preceding and following period) are decreasing. During the time, this changes are followed by fluctuation of air temperature. According to results presented in this dissertation it can be concluded that changes of air temperature are connected with changes of distribution of mortality by month, during the year.
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- 2014
41. Outdoor human thermal comfort in local climate zones of Novi Sad (Serbia) during heat wave period
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Milošević, Dragan D., primary, Savić, Stevan m., additional, Marković, Vladimir, additional, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, and Šećerov, Ivan, additional
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- 2016
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42. Promena obrazaca mortaliteta i morbiditeta: starosna, vremenska, uzročna i kohortna perspektiva
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary
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- 2015
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43. Seasonality of Marriages in the Sajkaska Region (North Serbia), 1869 to 2011
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary, Djurdjev, Branislav, additional, Pajtić, Bojan, additional, Marinković, Draško, additional, and Ivanović-Bibić, Ljubica, additional
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- 2015
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44. Contemporary problems in studying population of Vojvodina province: Sodobni problemi pri preučvanju prebivalstva v Vojvodini
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Arsenović, Daniela, Djurdjev, Branislav S., and Dragin, Aleksandra S.
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- 2010
45. Утицај температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета у Новом Саду
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Đurđev, Branislav, Lužanin, Zorana, Simić, Milan, Marinković, Draško, Savić, Stevan, Arsenović, Daniela, Đurđev, Branislav, Lužanin, Zorana, Simić, Milan, Marinković, Draško, Savić, Stevan, and Arsenović, Daniela
- Abstract
Основни циљ ове дисертације је истраживање утицаја температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета становништва у Новом Саду. Однос између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва истраживан је у периоду од 1897. до 2009. године. Током анализе, а у циљу бољег уочавања сезоналних промена морталитета становништва, посматрана временска серија је подељена на неколико периода. Први период се односи на крај 19. и прву половину 20. века (1897-1952), други период обухвата другу половину 20. века (1953-1997), а трећи период чини 1998-2009. година. У раду је анализиран утицај температуре ваздуха на морталитет укупног становништва, морталитет становништва према полу и морталитет становништва старог 65 и више година, а у периоду 1998-2009. године, у анализу су укључени и узроци смрти становништва. Посебно је анализиран кардиоваскуларни морталитет и морталитет становништва изазван респираторним болестима, док су остали узроци смрти посматрани заједно. За анализу утицаја температуре ваздуха на сезоналност морталитета коришћене су различите статистичке методе као што су корелациона и регресиона анализа (графички приказане на дијаграму растурања), t-тест, релативни ризик и коефицијент сезоналне варијације морталитета. Код анализе морталитета према полу коришћен је и однос шанси. Резултати добијени у овом раду показују да је морталитет становништва у Новом Саду већи током зимског периода године. У периоду 1897-1952. године није пронађена статистички значајна повезаност између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва, док је у другој половини 20. века (1953-1997) и у периоду 1998-2009. године уочена статистички значајна негативна корелација између температуре ваздуха и морталитета становништва, а регресиона анализа показује да се са растом температуре ваздуха морталитет становништва смањује. У периоду 1998-2009. године пронађена је и статистички значајна негативна корелација између морталитета кардиоваскуларних болести и температуре ваздуха, као и између морталитета респ, Osnovni cilj ove disertacije je istraživanje uticaja temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta stanovništva u Novom Sadu. Odnos između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva istraživan je u periodu od 1897. do 2009. godine. Tokom analize, a u cilju boljeg uočavanja sezonalnih promena mortaliteta stanovništva, posmatrana vremenska serija je podeljena na nekoliko perioda. Prvi period se odnosi na kraj 19. i prvu polovinu 20. veka (1897-1952), drugi period obuhvata drugu polovinu 20. veka (1953-1997), a treći period čini 1998-2009. godina. U radu je analiziran uticaj temperature vazduha na mortalitet ukupnog stanovništva, mortalitet stanovništva prema polu i mortalitet stanovništva starog 65 i više godina, a u periodu 1998-2009. godine, u analizu su uključeni i uzroci smrti stanovništva. Posebno je analiziran kardiovaskularni mortalitet i mortalitet stanovništva izazvan respiratornim bolestima, dok su ostali uzroci smrti posmatrani zajedno. Za analizu uticaja temperature vazduha na sezonalnost mortaliteta korišćene su različite statističke metode kao što su korelaciona i regresiona analiza (grafički prikazane na dijagramu rasturanja), t-test, relativni rizik i koeficijent sezonalne varijacije mortaliteta. Kod analize mortaliteta prema polu korišćen je i odnos šansi. Rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu pokazuju da je mortalitet stanovništva u Novom Sadu veći tokom zimskog perioda godine. U periodu 1897-1952. godine nije pronađena statistički značajna povezanost između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva, dok je u drugoj polovini 20. veka (1953-1997) i u periodu 1998-2009. godine uočena statistički značajna negativna korelacija između temperature vazduha i mortaliteta stanovništva, a regresiona analiza pokazuje da se sa rastom temperature vazduha mortalitet stanovništva smanjuje. U periodu 1998-2009. godine pronađena je i statistički značajna negativna korelacija između mortaliteta kardiovaskularnih bolesti i temperature vazduha, kao i između mortali, The main aim of this dissertation is to investigate the temperature-related human mortality in Novi Sad, for the period from 1897 until 2009. In order to detect temporal sesonal changes during time, research period was split in three parts. First period is related to the end of 19th century and first half of 20th century (1897-1953), second period covers second half of 20th century (1953-1997) and third period is related to 1998-2009. In this dissertation impact of air temerature on human mortality of total population, than mortality by sex and mortality of old population (population aged 65 and over) is scrutinised. In the period 1998-2009 in analyses and causes of death are included. Three group of cause of death are investigated: cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease and all other causes of death are observed together. Several different statistical methods were used for analysis of impact of air temperature on seasonal variation of human mortality: correlation and regression analysis (presented at scatter diagram), t-test, relative risk and coefficient of seasonal variation of mortality. The odds-ratio was used in the chapter related to mortality by sex. Results for Novi Sad, show that human mortality in higher during winter period. In the period 1897-1952 statistical analysis does not show significant relation between air temperature and human mortality, while in the period of second half of 20th century (1953-1997) and period 1998-2009 statistical analysis indicated strong negative correlation between air temperature and human mortality and according to results of regression analysis increasing of air temperature is related with decreasing mortality. In the period from 1998 to 2009 statistical analysis show significant and negative correlation between cardiovascular mortality and air temperature, as well as mortality from respiratory disease and air temperature. Analysis of relation between other causes of death and air temperature does not show any si
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- 2014
46. Peti međunarodni simpozijum "Akademik Berislav Beta Berić"
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Arsenović, Daniela, primary and Đurđev, Branislav S., additional
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- 2014
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47. Intra-urban temperature observations in two Central European cities: a summer study.
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Lelovics, Enikő, Unger, János, Savić, Stevan, Gál, Tamás, Miloević, Dragan, Gulyás, Ágnes, Marković, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, and Gál, Csilla V.
- Subjects
URBAN climatology ,URBAN temperature ,ENVIRONMENTAL monitoring ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,URBAN heat islands ,CITIES & towns & the environment - Abstract
This paper presents an urban climatological application of the urban monitoring systems - recently implemented in Szeged, Hungary and Novi Sad, Serbia - using the first set of data collected during the summer of 2014. In order to ensure a representative number and placement of stations, the selection of measurement sites was based on Local Climate Zone (LCZ) maps developed for both cities. Present paper concentrates only on the intra-urban temperature pattern characteristics expressed by the thermal reactions of the different LCZ classes in both cities. The daily temperature indices (e.g., summer days) have the highest values in the densely built up LCZs. The diurnal cycle of surplus temperatures by LCZ classes under anticyclonic weather conditions were found to be similar in the two cities with higher absolute values in the case of Novi Sad. During summer, the diurnal variation of conventional heat island intensity confirms the general knowledge that it remains positive with highest values at night, while negative values occur predominantly during the day. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2016
48. Temperature-related Mortality in Belgrade in the Period 1888–2008
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Djurdjev, Branislav S., primary, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, and Savić, Stevan, additional
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- 2012
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49. Contemporary problems in studying population of Vojvodina Province
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Djurdjev, Branislav S., primary, Arsenović, Daniela, additional, and Dragin, Aleksandra, additional
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- 2010
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50. CHANGING PATTERNS OF MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY: AGE-, TIME-, CAUSE- AND COHORT-PERSPECTIVES.
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Arsenović, Daniela
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- 2015
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