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1. Exit-Knowledge About Dispensed Medications and Associated Factors Among Ambulatory Patients Attending Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Mekelle, Ethiopia

Author: Desta DM, Gebrehiwet WG, Kasahun GG, Asgedom SW, Atey TM, Wondafrash DZ, and Tsadik AG
Subjects: exit-knowledge, dispensing, ambulatory, patients, Medicine (General), R5-920
Abstract: Desilu Mahari Desta,1 Welday Gebremikeal Gebrehiwet,2 Gebremicheal Gebreslassie Kasahun,3 Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom,1 Tesfay Mehari Atey,1 Dawit Zewdu Wondafrash,4 Afewerki Gebremeskel Tsadik1 1Clinical Pharmacy Unit, School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia; 2School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia; 3Department of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Aksum University, Aksum, Tigray, Ethiopia; 4Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Desilu Mahari DestaClinical Pharmacy Unit, School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, P.O. Box: 1871, Mekelle, Tigray, EthiopiaTel +251-914681245Email desiluma45@gmail.comBackground: Optimizing exit-knowledge of ambulatory patients is a major professional responsibility of pharmacists to reassure safe and cost-effective medicines use. The study assessed the exit-knowledge of ambulatory patients on their dispensed medications and associated factors.Patients and Methods: Institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted among ambulatory patients who visited the outpatient pharmacy of Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (ACSH) from December 2019 to February 2020. Data were entered, cleaned, and analyzed using SPSS version 20. Binary logistic regression was employed to determine factors associated with exit-knowledge on their dispensed medications. At a 95% confidence interval (CI), p≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.Results: The study analyzed 400 patients; more than half of the participants were males (55.5%). The mean age of the participants was 41.3 years (mean ± standard deviation (SD), ± 13). Less than half of the patients did not recall the name (44.5%) and major side effects (31.2%) of each medication. Furthermore, the overall sufficient knowledge was found to be 81%. Patients with single marital status were 4.454 times to have sufficient exit-knowledge of their dispensed medications than widowed (p=0.050) participants. Besides, patients who responded neutral clarity of pharmacist instruction had 4.745 times sufficient exit-knowledge than those who responded not clear (p=0.049). On the other hand, participants who got “enough” (p< 0.0001) and “not enough” (p=0.006) information from the pharmacist were found to have a positive association with sufficient exit-knowledge than those who responded “I do not know”.Conclusion: The majority of patients had sufficient exit-knowledge of their dispensed medications. Martially single, neutral clarity of pharmacist’s instructions and adequacy of the information delivered by the pharmacist were positively associated with participants’ exit-knowledge of their dispensed medications. Hence, conducting a multicenter study, we recommend pharmacists to counsel their patients to underpin patients’ knowledge of their dispensed medications.Keywords: exit-knowledge, dispensing, ambulatory, patients
Published: 2020

2. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory infections in 195 countries, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Troeger, C, Blacker, BF, Khalil, IA, Rao, PC, Cao, S, Zimsen, SRM, Albertson, S, Stanaway, JD, Deshpande, A, Farag, T, Forouzanfar, MH, Abebe, Z, Adetifa, IMO, Adhikari, TB, Akibu, M, Lami, FH, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amoako, YA, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Asfaw, ET, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Attia, EF, Avokpaho, EFGA, Ayele, HT, Ayuk, TB, Balakrishnan, K, Barac, A, Bassat, Q, Behzadifar, M, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Brauer, M, Brown, A, Camargos, PAM, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Colombara, D, Conti, S, Dadi, AF, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Do, HP, Dubljanin, E, Edessa, D, Elkout, H, Endries, AY, Fijabi, DO, Foreman, KJ, Fullman, N, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gessner, BD, Gething, PW, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Hailu, GB, Hassen, HY, Hedayati, MT, Heidari, M, Hibstu, DT, Horita, N, Ilesanmi, OS, Jakovljevic, MB, Jamal, AA, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassa, DH, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, MN, Khang, Y-H, Kim, YJ, Kissoon, N, Knibbs, LD, Kochhar, S, Koul, PA, Kumar, GA, Lodha, R, Razek, HM, Malta, DC, Mathew, JL, Mengistu, DT, Mezgebe, HB, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, AM, Momeniha, F, Murthy, S, Nguyen, CT, Nielsen, KR, Ningrum, DNA, Nirayo, YL, Oren, E, Ortiz, JR, Mahesh, PA, Postma, MJ, Qorbani, M, Quansah, R, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Ranabhat, CL, Ray, SE, Rezai, MS, Ruhago, GM, Safiri, S, Salomon, JA, Sartorius, B, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, She, J, Sheikh, A, Shiferaw, MS, Shigematsu, M, Singh, JA, Somayaji, R, Sufiyan, MB, Taffere, GR, Temsah, M-H, Thompson, MJ, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Tran, TT, Tuem, KB, Ukwaja, KN, Vollset, SE, Walson, JL, Weldegebreal, F, Werdecker, A, West, TE, Yonemoto, N, Zaki, MES, Zhou, L, Zodpey, S, Vos, T, Lim, SS, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Hay, SI, Jr, RRC, and Infecti, GBDLR
Subjects: Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Adolescent, Incidence, Infant, Newborn, Infant, Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology, Biostatistics, Middle Aged, Global Health, Survival Analysis, Young Adult, Cost of Illness, Risk Factors, Child, Preschool, Prevalence, Humans, Female, Topography, Medical, Virus Diseases/epidemiology, Child, Epidemiologic Methods, Bacterial Infections/epidemiology, Aged
Abstract: Background Lower respiratory infections are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality around the world. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study 2016, provides an up-to-date analysis of the burden of lower respiratory infections in 195 countries. This study assesses cases, deaths, and aetiologies spanning the past 26 years and shows how the burden of lower respiratory infection has changed in people of all ages. Methods We used three separate modelling strategies for lower respiratory infections in GBD 2016: a Bayesian hierarchical ensemble modelling platform (Cause of Death Ensemble model), which uses vital registration, verbal autopsy data, and surveillance system data to predict mortality due to lower respiratory infections; a compartmental meta-regression tool (DisMod-MR), which uses scientific literature, population representative surveys, and healthcare data to predict incidence, prevalence, and mortality; and modelling of counterfactual estimates of the population attributable fraction of lower respiratory infection episodes due to Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae type b, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus. We calculated each modelled estimate for each age, sex, year, and location. We modelled the exposure level in a population for a given risk factor using DisMod-MR and a spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, and assessed the effectiveness of targeted interventions for each risk factor in children younger than 5 years. We also did a decomposition analysis of the change in LRI deaths from 2000–16 using the risk factors associated with LRI in GBD 2016. Findings In 2016, lower respiratory infections caused 652 572 deaths (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 586 475–720 612) in children younger than 5 years (under-5s), 1 080 958 deaths (943 749–1 170 638) in adults older than 70 years, and 2 377 697 deaths (2 145 584–2 512 809) in people of all ages, worldwide. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the leading cause of lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality globally, contributing to more deaths than all other aetiologies combined in 2016 (1 189 937 deaths, 95% UI 690 445–1 770 660). Childhood wasting remains the leading risk factor for lower respiratory infection mortality among children younger than 5 years, responsible for 61·4% of lower respiratory infection deaths in 2016 (95% UI 45·7–69·6). Interventions to improve wasting, household air pollution, ambient particulate matter pollution, and expanded antibiotic use could avert one under-5 death due to lower respiratory infection for every 4000 children treated in the countries with the highest lower respiratory infection burden. Interpretation Our findings show substantial progress in the reduction of lower respiratory infection burden, but this progress has not been equal across locations, has been driven by decreases in several primary risk factors, and might require more effort among elderly adults. By highlighting regions and populations with the highest burden, and the risk factors that could have the greatest effect, funders, policy makers, and programme implementers can more effectively reduce lower respiratory infections among the world’s most susceptible populations.
Published: 2019
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3. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrhoea in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Troeger, C, Blacker, BF, Khalil, IA, Rao, PC, Cao, S, Zimsen, SRM, Albertson, SB, Stanaway, JD, Deshpande, A, Abebe, Z, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Asgedom, SW, Anteneh, ZA, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Asfaw, ET, Atey, TM, Atique, S, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Ayele, HT, Barac, A, Barreto, ML, Bassat, Q, Belay, SA, Bensenor, IM, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Bizuneh, H, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Dadi, AF, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Do, HP, Dubey, M, Dubljanin, E, Edessa, D, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Farag, T, Feyissa, GT, Foreman, KJ, Forouzanfar, MH, Fullman, N, Gething, PW, Gishu, MD, Godwin, WW, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, R, Hailu, GB, Hassen, HY, Hibstu, DT, Ilesanmi, OS, Jonas, JB, Kahsay, A, Kang, G, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, MA, Khang, Y-H, Kissoon, N, Kochhar, S, Kotloff, KL, Koyanagi, A, Kumar, GA, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mehata, S, Mendoza, W, Mengistu, DT, Menota, BG, Mezgebe, HB, Mlashu, FW, Murthy, S, Naik, GA, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, TH, Ningrum, DNA, Ogbo, FA, Olagunju, AT, Paudel, D, Platts-Mills, JA, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Ranabhat, CL, Rasella, D, Ray, SE, Reis, C, Renzaho, AMN, Rezai, MS, Ruhago, GM, Safiri, S, Salomon, JA, Sanabria, JR, Sartorius, B, Sawhney, M, Sepanlou, SG, Shigematsu, M, Sisay, M, Somayaji, R, Sreeramareddy, CT, Sykes, BL, Taffere, GR, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Tuem, KB, Ukwaja, KN, Vollset, SE, Walson, JL, Weaver, MR, Weldegwergs, KG, Werdecker, A, Workicho, A, Yenesew, M, Yirsaw, BD, Yonemoto, N, El Sayed Zaki, M, Vos, T, Lim, SS, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Hay, SI, Reiner, RC, and Hay, S
Abstract: Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 provides an up-to-date analysis of the burden of diarrhoea in 195 countries. This study assesses cases, deaths, and aetiologies in 1990–2016 and assesses how the burden of diarrhoea has changed in people of all ages Methods We modelled diarrhoea mortality with a Bayesian hierarchical modelling platform that evaluates a wide range of covariates and model types on the basis of vital registration and verbal autopsy data. We modelled diarrhoea incidence with a compartmental meta-regression tool that enforces an association between incidence and prevalence, and relies on scientific literature, population representative surveys, and health-care data. Diarrhoea deaths and episodes were attributed to 13 pathogens by use of a counterfactual population attributable fraction approach. Diarrhoea risk factors are also based on counterfactual estimates of risk exposure and the association between the risk and diarrhoea. Each modelled estimate accounted for uncertainty. Findings In 2016, diarrhoea was the eighth leading cause of death among all ages (1 655 944 deaths, 95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1 244 073–2 366 552) and the fifth leading cause of death among children younger than 5 years (446 000 deaths, 390 894–504 613). Rotavirus was the leading aetiology for diarrhoea mortality among children younger than 5 years (128 515 deaths, 105 138–155 133) and among all ages (228 047 deaths, 183 526–292 737). Childhood wasting (low weight-for-height score), unsafe water, and unsafe sanitation were the leading risk factors for diarrhoea, responsible for 80·4% (95% UI 68·2–85·0), 72·1% (34·0–91·4), and 56·4% (49·3–62·7) of diarrhoea deaths in children younger than 5 years, respectively. Prevention of wasting in 1762 children (95% UI 1521–2170) could avert one death from diarrhoea. Interpretation Substantial progress has been made globally in reducing the burden of diarrhoeal diseases, driven by decreases in several primary risk factors. However, this reduction has not been equal across locations, and burden among adults older than 70 years requires attention.
Published: 2018

4. Global Mortality From Firearms, 1990-2016

Author: Global Burden of Disease 2016 Injury Collaborators, Naghavi M, Marczak LB, Kutz M, Shackelford KA, Arora M, Miller-Petrie M, Aichour MTE, Akseer N, Al-Raddadi RM, Alam K, Alghnam SA, Antonio CAT, Aremu O, Arora A, Asadi-Lari M, Assadi R, Atey TM, Avila-Burgos L, Awasthi A, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Behzadifar M, Bennett JR, Bhalla A, Bhutta ZA, Bilal AI, Borges G, Borschmann R, Brazinova A, Campuzano Rincon JC, Carvalho F, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dargan PI, De Leo D, Dharmaratne SD, Ding EL, Phuc Do H, Doku DT, Doyle KE, Driscoll TR, Edessa D, El-Khatib Z, Endries AY, Esteghamati A, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Feigin VL, Fischer F, Foreman KJ, Franklin RC, Fullman N, Futran ND, Gebrehiwot TT, Gutiérrez RA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Haghparast Bidgoli H, Hailu GB, Haro JM, Hassen HY, Hawley C, Hendrie D, Híjar M, Hu G, Ilesanmi OS, Jakovljevic M, James SL, Jayaraman S, Jonas JB, Kahsay A, Kasaeian A, Keiyoro PN, Khader Y, Khalil IA, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Ahmad Kiadaliri A, Kieling C, Kim YJ, Kosen S, Krohn KJ, Kumar GA, Lami FH, Lansingh VC, Larson HJ, Linn S, Lunevicius R, Magdy Abd El Razek H, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Malekzadeh R, Carvalho Malta D, Mason-Jones AJ, Matzopoulos R, Memiah PTN, Mendoza W, Meretoja TJ, Mezgebe HB, Miller TR, Mohammed S, Moradi-Lakeh M, Mori R, Nand D, Tat Nguyen C, Le Nguyen Q, Ningrum DNA, Akpojene Ogbo F, Olagunju AT, Patton GC, Phillips MR, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Qorbani M, Rahimi-Movaghar A, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman M, Rai RK, Ranabhat CL, Rawaf DL, Rawaf S, Rowhani-Rahbar A, Safdarian M, Safiri S, Sagar R, Salama JS, Sanabria J, Santric Milicevic MM, Sarmiento-Suárez R, Sartorius B, Satpathy M, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Shaikh MA, Sharew NT, Shiue I, Singh JA, Sisay M, Skirbekk V, Soares Filho AM, Stein DJ, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Swaroop M, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tadese F, Tran BX, Thanh Tran T, Ukwaja KN, Vasankari TJ, Vlassov V, Werdecker A, Ye P, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Zaidi Z, El Sayed Zaki M, Hay SI, Lim SS, Lopez AD, Mokdad AH, Vos T, and Murray CJL
Abstract: IMPORTANCE: Understanding global variation in firearm mortality rates could guide prevention policies and interventions. OBJECTIVE: To estimate mortality due to firearm injury deaths from 1990 to 2016 in 195 countries and territories. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This study used deidentified aggregated data including 13?812 location-years of vital registration data to generate estimates of levels and rates of death by age-sex-year-location. The proportion of suicides in which a firearm was the lethal means was combined with an estimate of per capita gun ownership in a revised proxy measure used to evaluate the relationship between availability or access to firearms and firearm injury deaths. EXPOSURES: Firearm ownership and access. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Cause-specific deaths by age, sex, location, and year. RESULTS: Worldwide, it was estimated that 251?000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 195?000-276?000) people died from firearm injuries in 2016, with 6 countries (Brazil, United States, Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela, and Guatemala) accounting for 50.5% (95% UI, 42.2%-54.8%) of those deaths. In 1990, there were an estimated 209?000 (95% UI, 172?000 to 235?000) deaths from firearm injuries. Globally, the majority of firearm injury deaths in 2016 were homicides (64.0% [95% UI, 54.2%-68.0%]; absolute value, 161?000 deaths [95% UI, 107?000-182?000]); additionally, 27% were firearm suicide deaths (67?500 [95% UI, 55?400-84?100]) and 9% were unintentional firearm deaths (23?000 [95% UI, 18?200-24?800]). From 1990 to 2016, there was no significant decrease in the estimated global age-standardized firearm homicide rate (-0.2% [95% UI, -0.8% to 0.2%]). Firearm suicide rates decreased globally at an annualized rate of 1.6% (95% UI, 1.1-2.0), but in 124 of 195 countries and territories included in this study, these levels were either constant or significant increases were estimated. There was an annualized decrease of 0.9% (95% UI, 0.5%-1.3%) in the global rate of age-standardized firearm deaths from 1990 to 2016. Aggregate firearm injury deaths in 2016 were highest among persons aged 20 to 24 years (for men, an estimated 34?700 deaths [95% UI, 24?900-39?700] and for women, an estimated 3580 deaths [95% UI, 2810-4210]). Estimates of the number of firearms by country were associated with higher rates of firearm suicide (P < .001; R2 = 0.21) and homicide (P < .001; R2 = 0.35). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study estimated between 195?000 and 276?000 firearm injury deaths globally in 2016, the majority of which were firearm homicides. Despite an overall decrease in rates of firearm injury death since 1990, there was variation among countries and across demographic subgroups.
Published: 2018

5. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: A systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Fullman, N, Yearwood, J, Abay, SM, Abbafati, C, Abd-Allah, F, Abdela, J, Abdelalim, A, Abebe, Z, Abebo, TA, Aboyans, V, Abraha, HN, Abreu, DMX, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Adane, AA, Adedoyin, RA, Adetokunboh, O, Adhikari, TB, Afarideh, M, Afshin, A, Agarwal, G, Agius, D, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Aichour, MTE, Akibu, M, Akinyemi, RO, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al Lami, FH, Alahdab, F, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, T, Alasfoor, D, Albittar, MI, Alene, KA, Al-Eyadhy, A, Ali, SD, Alijanzadeh, M, Aljunid, SM, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Alomari, MA, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amenu, K, Ammar, W, Amoako, YA, Anber, N, Andrei, CL, Androudi, S, Antonio, CAT, Araújo, VEM, Aremu, O, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asfaw, ET, Asgedom, SW, Asghar, RJ, Ashebir, MM, Asseffa, NA, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Atteraya, MS, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Ayalew, AA, Ayele, HT, Ayer, R, Ayuk, TB, Azzopardi, P, Azzopardi-Muscat, N, Babalola, TK, Badali, H, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Banerjee, A, Banstola, A, Barber, RM, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barquera, S, Barrero, LH, Bassat, Q, Basu, S, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, and Beghi, E
Subjects: General & Internal Medicine, Humans, Wounds and Injuries, Noncommunicable Diseases, Communicable Diseases, Health Services Accessibility, Quality of Health Care, Global Burden of Disease
Abstract: Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. Background A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016. Methods Drawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best); we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0-100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita. Findings In 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97·1 (95% UI 95·8-98·1) in Iceland, followed by 96·6 (94·9-97·9) in Norway and 96·1 (94·5-97·3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18·6 (13·1-24·4) in the Central African Republic, 19·0 (14·3-23·7) in Somalia, and 23·4 (20·2-26·8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91·5 (89·1-93·6) in Beijing to 48·0 (43·4-53·2) in Tibet (a 43·5-point difference), while India saw a 30·8-point disparity, from 64·8 (59·6-68·8) in Goa to 34·0 (30·3-38·1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4·8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20·9-point to 17·0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17·2-point to 20·4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle- SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage hinges upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view - and subsequent provision - of quality health care for all populations.
Published: 2018

6. Spending on health and HIV/AIDS: domestic health spending and development assistance in 188 countries, 1995–2015

Author: Dieleman, JL, Haakenstad, A, Micah, A, Moses, M, Abbafati, C, Acharya, P, Adhikari, TB, Adou, AK, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Ranabhat, CL, Ray, SE, Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network, Alkerwi, A, Ammar, W, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Ayer, R, Badali, H, Banach, M, Banstola, A, Barac, A, Belachew, AB, Birungi, C, Bragazzi, NL, Breitborde, NJK, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Car, J, Catalá-López, F, Chapin, A, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Dubey, M, Edessa, D, Eldrenkamp, E, Eshrati, B, Faro, A, Feigl, AB, Fenny, AP, Fischer, F, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Fullman, N, Ghimire, M, Goli, S, Hailu, AD, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Ikilezi, G, Javanbakht, M, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kaldjian, A, Kasaeian, A, Kates, J, Khalil, IA, Khang, YH, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinge, JM, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Lam, H, Listl, S, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mlashu, FW, Mohammed, E, Mohammed, S, Naghavi, M, Nangia, V, Ngalesoni, FN, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, TH, Niriayo, Y, Noroozi, M, Owolabi, MO, Pereira, DM, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rafiei, A, and Rahimi-Movaghar, V
Abstract: Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Background: Comparable estimates of health spending are crucial for the assessment of health systems and to optimally deploy health resources. The methods used to track health spending continue to evolve, but little is known about the distribution of spending across diseases. We developed improved estimates of health spending by source, including development assistance for health, and, for the first time, estimated HIV/AIDS spending on prevention and treatment and by source of funding, for 188 countries. Methods: We collected published data on domestic health spending, from 1995 to 2015, from a diverse set of international agencies. We tracked development assistance for health from 1990 to 2017. We also extracted 5385 datapoints about HIV/AIDS spending, between 2000 and 2015, from online databases, country reports, and proposals submitted to multilateral organisations. We used spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression to generate complete and comparable estimates for health and HIV/AIDS spending. We report most estimates in 2017 purchasing-power parity-adjusted dollars and adjust all estimates for the effect of inflation. Findings: Between 1995 and 2015, global health spending per capita grew at an annualised rate of 3·1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1 to 3·2), with growth being largest in upper-middle-income countries (5·4% per capita [UI 5·3–5·5]) and lower-middle-income countries (4·2% per capita [4·2–4·3]). In 2015, $9·7 trillion (9·7 trillion to 9·8 trillion) was spent on health worldwide. High-income countries spent $6·5 trillion (6·4 trillion to 6·5 trillion) or 66·3% (66·0 to 66·5) of the total in 2015, whereas low-income countries spent $70·3 billion (69·3 billion to 71·3 billion) or 0·7% (0·7 to 0·7). Between 1990 and 2017, development assistance for health increased by 394·7% ($29·9 billion), with an estimated $37·4 billion of development assistance being disbursed for health in 2017, of which $9·1 billion (24·2%) targeted HIV/AIDS. Between 2000 and 2015, $562·6 billion (531·1 billion to 621·9 billion) was spent on HIV/AIDS worldwide. Governments financed 57·6% (52·0 to 60·8) of that total. Global HIV/AIDS spending peaked at 49·7 billion (46·2–54·7) in 2013, decreasing to $48·9 billion (45·2 billion to 54·2 billion) in 2015. That year, low-income and lower-middle-income countries represented 74·6% of all HIV/AIDS disability-adjusted life-years, but just 36·6% (34·4 to 38·7) of total HIV/AIDS spending. In 2015, $9·3 billion (8·5 billion to 10·4 billion) or 19·0% (17·6 to 20·6) of HIV/AIDS financing was spent on prevention, and $27·3 billion (24·5 billion to 31·1 billion) or 55·8% (53·3 to 57·9) was dedicated to care and treatment. Interpretation: From 1995 to 2015, total health spending increased worldwide, with the fastest per capita growth in middle-income countries. While these national disparities are relatively well known, low-income countries spent less per person on health and HIV/AIDS than did high-income and middle-income countries. Furthermore, declines in development assistance for health continue, including for HIV/AIDS. Additional cuts to development assistance could hasten this decline, and risk slowing progress towards global and national goals. Funding: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2018

7. Trends in future health financing and coverage: future health spending and universal health coverage in 188 countries, 2016–40

Author: Dieleman, JL, Sadat, N, Chang, AY, Fullman, N, Abbafati, C, Acharya, P, Adou, AK, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Rafay, A, Rafiei, A, Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network, Ammar, W, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Ayer, R, Badali, H, Banach, M, Banstola, A, Barac, A, Belachew, AB, Birungi, C, Bragazzi, NL, Breitborde, NJK, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Car, J, Catalá-López, F, Chapin, A, Chen, CS, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Dubey, M, Edessa, D, Eldrenkamp, E, Eshrati, B, Faro, A, Feigl, AB, Fenny, AP, Fischer, F, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Ghimire, M, Goli, S, Hailu, AD, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Ikilezi, G, Javanbakht, M, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kaldjian, A, Kasaeian, A, Kasahun, YC, Khalil, IA, Khang, YH, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinge, JM, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Lafranconi, A, Lam, H, Listl, S, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Martinez, G, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Micah, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mlashu, FW, Mohammed, E, Mohammed, S, Moses, M, Mousavi, SM, Naghavi, M, Nangia, V, Ngalesoni, FN, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, TH, Niriayo, Y, Noroozi, M, Owolabi, MO, Patel, T, Pereira, DM, Polinder, S, and Qorbani, M
Abstract: This online publication has been corrected. The corrected version first appeared at thelancet.com on May 3, 2018 © 2018 The Author(s). Background: Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) requires health financing systems that provide prepaid pooled resources for key health services without placing undue financial stress on households. Understanding current and future trajectories of health financing is vital for progress towards UHC. We used historical health financing data for 188 countries from 1995 to 2015 to estimate future scenarios of health spending and pooled health spending through to 2040. Methods: We extracted historical data on gross domestic product (GDP) and health spending for 188 countries from 1995 to 2015, and projected annual GDP, development assistance for health, and government, out-of-pocket, and prepaid private health spending from 2015 through to 2040 as a reference scenario. These estimates were generated using an ensemble of models that varied key demographic and socioeconomic determinants. We generated better and worse alternative future scenarios based on the global distribution of historic health spending growth rates. Last, we used stochastic frontier analysis to investigate the association between pooled health resources and UHC index, a measure of a country's UHC service coverage. Finally, we estimated future UHC performance and the number of people covered under the three future scenarios. Findings: In the reference scenario, global health spending was projected to increase from US$10 trillion (95% uncertainty interval 10 trillion to 10 trillion) in 2015 to $20 trillion (18 trillion to 22 trillion) in 2040. Per capita health spending was projected to increase fastest in upper-middle-income countries, at 4·2% (3·4–5·1) per year, followed by lower-middle-income countries (4·0%, 3·6–4·5) and low-income countries (2·2%, 1·7–2·8). Despite global growth, per capita health spending was projected to range from only $40 (24–65) to $413 (263–668) in 2040 in low-income countries, and from $140 (90–200) to $1699 (711–3423) in lower-middle-income countries. Globally, the share of health spending covered by pooled resources would range widely, from 19·8% (10·3–38·6) in Nigeria to 97·9% (96·4–98·5) in Seychelles. Historical performance on the UHC index was significantly associated with pooled resources per capita. Across the alternative scenarios, we estimate UHC reaching between 5·1 billion (4·9 billion to 5·3 billion) and 5·6 billion (5·3 billion to 5·8 billion) lives in 2030. Interpretation: We chart future scenarios for health spending and its relationship with UHC. Ensuring that all countries have sustainable pooled health resources is crucial to the achievement of UHC. The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2018

8. The burden of cardiovascular diseases among us states, 1990-2016

Author: Roth, GA, Johnson, CO, Abate, KH, Abd-Allah, F, Ahmed, M, Alam, K, Alam, T, Alvis-Guzman, N, Ansari, H, Ärnlöv, J, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Awoke, T, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Bedi, N, Bennett, D, Bensenor, I, Biadgilign, S, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Catalá-López, F, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, S, Ding, EL, Dubey, M, Faraon, EJA, Farid, T, Farvid, MS, Feigin, V, Fernandes, J, Frostad, J, Gebru, A, Geleijnse, JM, Gona, PN, Griswold, M, Hailu, GB, Hankey, GJ, Hassen, HY, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Heckbert, SR, Irvine, CMS, James, SL, Jara, D, Kasaeian, A, Khan, AR, Khera, S, Khoja, AT, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kolte, D, Lal, D, Larsson, A, Linn, S, Lotufo, PA, Razek, H, Mazidi, M, Meier, T, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Mezgebe, HB, Mirrakhimov, E, Mohammed, S, Moran, AE, Nguyen, G, Nguyen, M, Ong, KL, Owolabi, M, Pletcher, M, Pourmalek, F, Purcell, CA, Qorbani, M, Rahman, M, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Reitsma, MB, Renzaho, AMN, Rios-Blancas, MJ, Safiri, S, Salomon, JA, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Silva, D, Stranges, S, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Atnafu, N, Thakur, JS, Topor-Madry, R, Truelsen, T, Tuzcu, EM, Tyrovolas, S, Ukwaja, KN, Vasankari, T, Vlassov, V, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Weintraub, R, Wolfe, C, Workicho, A, Xu, G, Yadgir, S, Yano, Y, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, M, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zipkin, B, Afshin, A, Gakidou, E, Lim, SS, Mokdad, AH, Naghavi, M, Vos, T, and Murray, CJL
Subjects: Kardiologi, Nutrition and Disease, Voeding en Ziekte, Life Science, Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems, VLAG
Abstract: Importance Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in the United States, but regional variation within the United States is large. Comparable and consistent state-level measures of total CVD burden and risk factors have not been produced previously. Objective To quantify and describe levels and trends of lost health due to CVD within the United States from 1990 to 2016 as well as risk factors driving these changes. Design, Setting, and Participants Using the Global Burden of Disease methodology, cardiovascular disease mortality, nonfatal health outcomes, and associated risk factors were analyzed by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2016 for all residents in the United States using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling. Burden of disease was estimated for 10 groupings of CVD, and comparative risk analysis was performed. Data were analyzed from August 2016 to July 2017. Exposures Residing in the United States. Main Outcomes and Measures Cardiovascular disease disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). Results Between 1990 and 2016, age-standardized CVD DALYs for all states decreased. Several states had large rises in their relative rank ordering for total CVD DALYs among states, including Arkansas, Oklahoma, Alabama, Kentucky, Missouri, Indiana, Kansas, Alaska, and Iowa. The rate of decline varied widely across states, and CVD burden increased for a small number of states in the most recent years. Cardiovascular disease DALYs remained twice as large among men compared with women. Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of CVD DALYs in all states, but the second most common varied by state. Trends were driven by 12 groups of risk factors, with the largest attributable CVD burden due to dietary risk exposures followed by high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index, high total cholesterol level, high fasting plasma glucose level, tobacco smoking, and low levels of physical activity. Increases in risk-deleted CVD DALY rates between 2006 and 2016 in 16 states suggest additional unmeasured risks beyond these traditional factors. Conclusions and Relevance Large disparities in total burden of CVD persist between US states despite marked improvements in CVD burden. Differences in CVD burden are largely attributable to modifiable risk exposures.
Published: 2018

9. Erratum:Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (The Lancet (2017) 390(10100) (1423–1459) (S014067361732336X)(10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X))

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, and Brauer, M
Subjects: General & Internal Medicine, 11 Medical And Health Sciences
Abstract: GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390: 1423–59—In figure 8B of this Article (published Online First on Sept 12, 2017), the number of indicator targets has been changed from 1 to 9 for Turkmenistan, from 0 to 1 for Afghanistan, and from 1 to 2 for Yemen. Ettore Beghi, Neeraj Bhala, Hélène Carabin, Raimundas Lunevicius, Donald H Silberberg, and Caitlyn Steiner have been added to the list of GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Their affiliations, along with the affiliation of Soumya Swaminathan, have been added to the Affiliations section. These corrections have been made to the online version as of Sept 18, 2017, and the printed Article is correct.
Published: 2017

10. Erratum: Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (The Lancet (2017) 390(10100) (1423–1459) (S014067361732336X) (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X))

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, and Brauer, M
Subjects: General & Internal Medicine, 11 Medical And Health Sciences
Abstract: GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390: 1423–59—The full-text version of this Article has been updated so that the list of authors is displayed in the correct order, in line with the pdf version, rather than in alphabetical order. This correction has been made to the online version as of Oct 12, 2017.
Published: 2017

11. The global burden of tuberculosis: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Kyu, HH, Maddison, ER, Henry, NJ, Mumford, JE, Barber, R, Shields, C, Brown, JC, Nguyen, G, Carter, A, Wolock, TM, Wang, H, Liu, PY, Reitsma, M, Ross, JM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, K, Abera, M, Abera, SF, Hareri, HA, Ahmed, M, Alene, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amo-Adjei, J, Andrews, J, Ansari, H, Antonio, CA, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Atre, S, Barac, A, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bensenor, I, Beyene, AS, Butt, ZA, Cardona, PJ, Christopher, DJ, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Ehrenkranz, R, El Sayed Zaki, M, Endries, A, Feyissa, Tesfaye, Fischer, F, Gai, R, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gesesew, H, Getahun, B, Gona, P, Goodridge, A, Gugnani, H, Haghparast-Bidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Hassen, HY, Hilawe, E, Horita, N, Jacobsen, KH, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Sano Kedir, M, Kemmer, L, Khader, Y, Khan, E, Khang, YH, Khoja, AT, Kim, YJ, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Krohn, KJ, Anil Kumar, G, Kutz, M, Lodha, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Majdzadeh, R, Manyazewal, T, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mezgebe, HB, Mohammed, S, Ogbo, FA, Oh, IH, Oren, E, Osgood-Zimmerman, A, Pereira, D, Plass, D, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rai, RK, Rao, PC, Ray, SE, Reiner, R, Reinig, N, Safiri, S, Kyu, HH, Maddison, ER, Henry, NJ, Mumford, JE, Barber, R, Shields, C, Brown, JC, Nguyen, G, Carter, A, Wolock, TM, Wang, H, Liu, PY, Reitsma, M, Ross, JM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, K, Abera, M, Abera, SF, Hareri, HA, Ahmed, M, Alene, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amo-Adjei, J, Andrews, J, Ansari, H, Antonio, CA, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Atre, S, Barac, A, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bensenor, I, Beyene, AS, Butt, ZA, Cardona, PJ, Christopher, DJ, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Ehrenkranz, R, El Sayed Zaki, M, Endries, A, Feyissa, Tesfaye, Fischer, F, Gai, R, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gesesew, H, Getahun, B, Gona, P, Goodridge, A, Gugnani, H, Haghparast-Bidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Hassen, HY, Hilawe, E, Horita, N, Jacobsen, KH, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Sano Kedir, M, Kemmer, L, Khader, Y, Khan, E, Khang, YH, Khoja, AT, Kim, YJ, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Krohn, KJ, Anil Kumar, G, Kutz, M, Lodha, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Majdzadeh, R, Manyazewal, T, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mezgebe, HB, Mohammed, S, Ogbo, FA, Oh, IH, Oren, E, Osgood-Zimmerman, A, Pereira, D, Plass, D, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rai, RK, Rao, PC, Ray, SE, Reiner, R, Reinig, N, and Safiri, S
Published: 2018

12. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Elbcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Mirarefin, M, Nguyen, G, Wang, H, Zipkin, B, Abajobir, AA, Abouzeid, Marian, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmed, MB, Aksut, B, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Berhe, DF, Biadgilign, S, Butt, ZA, Carapetis, JR, Castro, RE, Chitheer, AA, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Do, HP, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, SW, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hsairi, M, Jee, SH, Jonas, JB, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Lal, DK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Magdyabdelrazek, H, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Meier, T, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, Nguyen, QL, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Elbcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Mirarefin, M, Nguyen, G, Wang, H, Zipkin, B, Abajobir, AA, Abouzeid, Marian, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmed, MB, Aksut, B, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Berhe, DF, Biadgilign, S, Butt, ZA, Carapetis, JR, Castro, RE, Chitheer, AA, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Do, HP, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, SW, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hsairi, M, Jee, SH, Jonas, JB, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Lal, DK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Magdyabdelrazek, H, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Meier, T, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, and Nguyen, QL
Abstract: Objectives: To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) during 1990–2015. Methods: We used the 2015 Global Burden of Disease study for estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of different CVD in 22 countries of EMR. Results: A total of 1.4 million CVD deaths (95% UI: 1.3–1.5) occurred in 2015 in the EMR, with the highest number of deaths in Pakistan (465,116) and the lowest number of deaths in Qatar (723). The age-standardized DALY rate per 100,000 decreased from 10,080 in 1990 to 8606 in 2015 (14.6% decrease). Afghanistan had the highest age-standardized DALY rate of CVD in both 1990 and 2015. Kuwait and Qatar had the lowest age-standardized DALY rates of CVD in 1990 and 2015, respectively. High blood pressure, high total cholesterol, and high body mass index were the leading risk factors for CVD. Conclusions: The age-standardized DALY rates in the EMR are considerably higher than the global average. These findings call for a comprehensive approach to prevent and control the burden of CVD in the region.
Published: 2018

13. Antihypertensive medication adherence and associated factors among adult hypertensive patients at Jimma University Specialized Hospital, southwest Ethiopia

Author: Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Desse, Tigestu Alemu, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, and Desse, Tigestu Alemu
Abstract: Background: Adherence to antihypertensive medications is a key component to control blood pressure levels. Poor adherence to these medications leads to the development of hypertensive complications and increase risk of cardiovascular events which in turn reduces the ultimate clinical outcome. The purpose of this study was to assess antihypertensive medication adherence and associated factors among adult hypertensive patients. A hospital-based cross-sectional study among adult hypertensive patients was conducted at hypertensive follow-up clinic of Jimma University Specialized Hospital from March 4, 2015 to April 3, 2015. A simple random sampling technique was used to select the study participants from the study population. The study patients were interviewed and their medical charts were reviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Adherence was assessed using Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-8 (MMAS-8) and MMAS-8 score less than 6 was considered as non-adherent and MMAS-8 score was ≥ 6 was declared as adherence. Factors associated with adherence were identified using binary and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Crude odds ratio, adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence interval of the odds ratio were calculated using SPSS version 21. Variables with p-value less than 0.05 were assumed as statistically significant factors. Results: Among 280 hypertensive patients, 61.8% of the study participants were found to be adherent. More than half (53.2%) of the participants were males and the mean age of the participants was 55.0 ± 12.7 years. Co-morbidity (AOR = 0.083, 95% CI = 0.033–0.207, p < 0.001), alcohol intake (AOR = 0.011, 95% CI = 0.002–0.079, p < 0.001), getting medications freely (AOR = 0.020, 95% CI = 0.003–0.117, p < 0.001), and combination of antihypertensive medications (AOR = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.144–0.712, p < 0.005) were inversely associated with antihypertensive medication adherence. Conclusion
Published: 2018

14. Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, Ali H., El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Wang, Haidong, Charara, Raghid, Khalil, Ibrahim, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Collison, Michael, Daoud, Farah, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J., Carter, Austin, Foreman, Kyle J., He, Fei, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Kutz, Michael, Mirarefin, Mojde, Nguyen, Grant, Silpakit, Naris, Sligar, Amber, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbas, Kaja M., Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Adane, K, Agarwal, A, Ahmadkiadaliri, A, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Ammar, W, Anber, N, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awokeayele, T, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bessong, PO, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Birungi, C, Butt, ZA, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Danawi, H, Dasneves, J, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Faraon, EJA, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gesesew, HA, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Gona, PN, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, R, Haghparastbidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Horita, N, Husseini, A, Ibrahim, A, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Mekonnen, Alemayehu, Mokdad, Ali H., El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Wang, Haidong, Charara, Raghid, Khalil, Ibrahim, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Afshin, Ashkan, Collison, Michael, Daoud, Farah, Chew, Adrienne, Krohn, Kristopher J., Carter, Austin, Foreman, Kyle J., He, Fei, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Kutz, Michael, Mirarefin, Mojde, Nguyen, Grant, Silpakit, Naris, Sligar, Amber, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbas, Kaja M., Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Adane, K, Agarwal, A, Ahmadkiadaliri, A, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Ammar, W, Anber, N, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awokeayele, T, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bessong, PO, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Birungi, C, Butt, ZA, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Danawi, H, Dasneves, J, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Faraon, EJA, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gesesew, HA, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Gona, PN, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, R, Haghparastbidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Horita, N, Husseini, A, Ibrahim, A, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, and Mekonnen, Alemayehu
Published: 2018

15. Global mortality from firearms, 1990-2016

Author: Naghavi, M, Marczak, LB, Kutz, M, Shackelford, KA, Arora, M, Miller-Petrie, M, Aichour, MTE, Akseer, N, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alam, K, Alghnam, SA, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Arora, A, Asadi-Lari, M, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, TW, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Behzadifar, M, Bennett, JR, Bhalla, A, Bhutta, ZA, Bilal, AI, Borges, G, Borschmann, R, Brazinova, A, Campuzano Rincon, JC, Carvalho, F, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, De Leo, D, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Phuc Do, H, Doku, DT, Doyle, KE, Driscoll, TR, Edessa, D, El-Khatib, Z, Endries, AY, Esteghamati, A, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Fischer, F, Foreman, KJ, Franklin, RC, Fullman, N, Futran, ND, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gutiérrez, RA, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haghparast Bidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Haro, JM, Hassen, HY, Hawley, C, Hendrie, D, Híjar, M, Hu, G, Ilesanmi, OS, Jakovljevic, M, James, SL, Jayaraman, S, Jonas, JB, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Keiyoro, PN, Khader, Y, Khalil, IA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Kieling, C, Kim, YJ, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Lami, FH, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Linn, S, Lunevicius, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Malekzadeh, R, Carvalho Malta, D, Mason-Jones, AJ, Matzopoulos, R, Memiah, PTN, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mohammed, S, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Mori, R, Nand, D, Tat Nguyen, C, Le Nguyen, Q, Ningrum, DNA, Akpojene Ogbo, F, Olagunju, AT, Patton, GC, Phillips, MR, Polinder, S, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rahimi-Movaghar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rai, RK, Ranabhat, CL, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Rowhani-Rahbar, A, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Salama, JS, Sanabria, J, Santric Milicevic, MM, Sarmiento-Suárez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Sharew, NT, Shiue, I, Singh, JA, Sisay, M, Skirbekk, V, Soares Filho, AM, Stein, DJ, Stokes, Mark Andrew, Sufiyan, MB, Swaroop, M, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tadese, F, Tran, BX, Thanh Tran, T, Ukwaja, KN, Vasankari, TJ, Vlassov, V, Werdecker, A, Ye, P, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Hay, SI, Lim, SS, Lopez, AD, Mokdad, AH, Vos, T, Murray, CJL, Naghavi, M, Marczak, LB, Kutz, M, Shackelford, KA, Arora, M, Miller-Petrie, M, Aichour, MTE, Akseer, N, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alam, K, Alghnam, SA, Antonio, CAT, Aremu, O, Arora, A, Asadi-Lari, M, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, TW, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Behzadifar, M, Bennett, JR, Bhalla, A, Bhutta, ZA, Bilal, AI, Borges, G, Borschmann, R, Brazinova, A, Campuzano Rincon, JC, Carvalho, F, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, De Leo, D, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Phuc Do, H, Doku, DT, Doyle, KE, Driscoll, TR, Edessa, D, El-Khatib, Z, Endries, AY, Esteghamati, A, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Fischer, F, Foreman, KJ, Franklin, RC, Fullman, N, Futran, ND, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gutiérrez, RA, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haghparast Bidgoli, H, Hailu, GB, Haro, JM, Hassen, HY, Hawley, C, Hendrie, D, Híjar, M, Hu, G, Ilesanmi, OS, Jakovljevic, M, James, SL, Jayaraman, S, Jonas, JB, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Keiyoro, PN, Khader, Y, Khalil, IA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Kieling, C, Kim, YJ, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Lami, FH, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Linn, S, Lunevicius, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Malekzadeh, R, Carvalho Malta, D, Mason-Jones, AJ, Matzopoulos, R, Memiah, PTN, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mohammed, S, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Mori, R, Nand, D, Tat Nguyen, C, Le Nguyen, Q, Ningrum, DNA, Akpojene Ogbo, F, Olagunju, AT, Patton, GC, Phillips, MR, Polinder, S, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rahimi-Movaghar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rai, RK, Ranabhat, CL, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Rowhani-Rahbar, A, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Salama, JS, Sanabria, J, Santric Milicevic, MM, Sarmiento-Suárez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Sharew, NT, Shiue, I, Singh, JA, Sisay, M, Skirbekk, V, Soares Filho, AM, Stein, DJ, Stokes, Mark Andrew, Sufiyan, MB, Swaroop, M, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tadese, F, Tran, BX, Thanh Tran, T, Ukwaja, KN, Vasankari, TJ, Vlassov, V, Werdecker, A, Ye, P, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Hay, SI, Lim, SS, Lopez, AD, Mokdad, AH, Vos, T, and Murray, CJL
Published: 2018

16. Maternal mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Khalil, I, Collison, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Colombara, D, Ehrenkranz, R, Kutz, M, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abd-Allah, F, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Ayele, TA, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Boneya, DJ, Borschmann, R, Breitborde, NJK, Butt, ZA, Catala-Lopez, F, Ciobanu, LG, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Faraon, EJA, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Fekadu, W, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Goulart, AC, Habtewold, TD, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Maria Haro, J, Hassanvand, MS, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Huang, H, Husseini, A, Jakovljevic, MB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kokubo, Y, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lee, PH, Leshargie, CT, Leung, R, Lo, L-T, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Martinez-Raga, J, Farid, HM, Mazidi, M, McGrath, JJ, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Palomares Castillo, E, Papachristou, C, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pereira, DM, Pervaiz, A, Phillips, MR, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiabadi, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Saylan, MI, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Santos Silva, DA, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stein, DJ, Abdulkader, RS, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Sufiyan, M, Tabb, KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Kassebaum, NJ, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Khalil, I, Collison, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Colombara, D, Ehrenkranz, R, Kutz, M, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abd-Allah, F, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Ayele, TA, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Boneya, DJ, Borschmann, R, Breitborde, NJK, Butt, ZA, Catala-Lopez, F, Ciobanu, LG, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Faraon, EJA, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Fekadu, W, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Goulart, AC, Habtewold, TD, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Maria Haro, J, Hassanvand, MS, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Huang, H, Husseini, A, Jakovljevic, MB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kokubo, Y, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lee, PH, Leshargie, CT, Leung, R, Lo, L-T, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Martinez-Raga, J, Farid, HM, Mazidi, M, McGrath, JJ, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Palomares Castillo, E, Papachristou, C, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pereira, DM, Pervaiz, A, Phillips, MR, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiabadi, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Saylan, MI, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Santos Silva, DA, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stein, DJ, Abdulkader, RS, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Sufiyan, M, Tabb, KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Kassebaum, NJ, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: Assessing the burden of maternal mortality is important for tracking progress and identifying public health gaps. This paper provides an overview of the burden of maternal mortality in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) by underlying cause and age from 1990 to 2015. METHODS: We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to explore maternal mortality in the EMR countries. RESULTS: The maternal mortality ratio in the EMR decreased 16.3% from 283 (241-328) maternal deaths per 100,000 live births in 1990 to 237 (188-293) in 2015. Maternal mortality ratio was strongly correlated with socio-demographic status, where the lowest-income countries contributed the most to the burden of maternal mortality in the region. CONCLUSION: Progress in reducing maternal mortality in the EMR has accelerated in the past 15 years, but the burden remains high. Coordinated and rigorous efforts are needed to make sure that adequate and timely services and interventions are available for women at each stage of reproductive life.
Published: 2018

17. Burden of vision loss in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Safi, S, Ahmadieh, H, Katibeh, M, Yaseri, M, Ramezani, A, Shahraz, S, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Khalil, I, El Bcheraoui, C, Collison, M, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Rankin, Z, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Olsen, HE, Stanaway, JD, Wang, H, Wilson, K, Yitayih, G, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bedi, N, Butt, ZA, Chitheer, AA, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, DP, Eshrati, B, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Higazi, TB, Hsairi, M, Jimenez-Corona, A, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Saleh, Y, Khan, EA, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, McAlinden, C, Memish, ZA, Miller, TR, Mohammadi, S-F, Nangia, V, Cuong, TN, Quyen, LN, Ogbo, FA, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Skiadaresi, E, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Taylor, HR, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Xuan, B, Tsilimbaris, M, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Wakayo, T, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Safi, S, Ahmadieh, H, Katibeh, M, Yaseri, M, Ramezani, A, Shahraz, S, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Khalil, I, El Bcheraoui, C, Collison, M, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Rankin, Z, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Olsen, HE, Stanaway, JD, Wang, H, Wilson, K, Yitayih, G, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bedi, N, Butt, ZA, Chitheer, AA, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, DP, Eshrati, B, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Higazi, TB, Hsairi, M, Jimenez-Corona, A, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Saleh, Y, Khan, EA, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, McAlinden, C, Memish, ZA, Miller, TR, Mohammadi, S-F, Nangia, V, Cuong, TN, Quyen, LN, Ogbo, FA, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Skiadaresi, E, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Taylor, HR, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Xuan, B, Tsilimbaris, M, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Wakayo, T, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: To report the estimated trend in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) due to vision loss (VL) in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. METHODS: The estimated trends in age-standardized prevalence and the YLDs rate due to VL in 22 EMR countries were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 study. The association of Socio-demographic Index (SDI) with changes in prevalence and YLDs of VL was evaluated using a multilevel mixed model. RESULTS: The age-standardized prevalence of VL in the EMR was 18.2% in 1990 and 15.5% in 2015. The total age-standardized YLDs rate attributed to all-cause VL in EMR was 536.9 per 100,000 population in 1990 and 482.3 per 100,000 population in 2015. For each 0.1 unit increase in SDI, the age-standardized prevalence and YLDs rate of VL showed a reduction of 1.5% (p < 0.001) and 23.9 per 100,000 population (p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of VL is high in the EMR; however, it shows a descending trend over the past 25 years. EMR countries need to establish comprehensive eye care programs in their health care systems.
Published: 2018

18. The burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990-2015: findings from the global burden of disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Charara, R, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Charlson, FJ, Colombara, D, Degenhardt, L, Ehrenkranz, R, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Kutz, M, Leung, J, Santomauro, D, Wang, H, Whiteford, HA, Abajobir, AA, Abd-Allah, F, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Yimam, K, Beshir, M, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Ayele, TA, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Boneya, DJ, Borschmann, R, Breitborde, NJK, Butt, ZA, Catala-Lopez, F, Ciobanu, LG, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Faraon, EJA, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Fekadu, W, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Carvalho, A, Habtewold, TD, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Huang, H, Husseini, A, Jakovljevic, MB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kokubo, Y, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lee, PH, Leshargie, CT, Leung, R, Lo, L-T, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Martinez-Raga, J, Farid, HM, Mazidi, M, McGrath, JJ, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Castillo, EP, Papachristou, C, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pervaiz, A, Phillips, MR, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiabadi, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Saylan, MI, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Silva, DAS, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Stein, DJ, Abdulkader, RS, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Charara, R, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Charlson, FJ, Colombara, D, Degenhardt, L, Ehrenkranz, R, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Kutz, M, Leung, J, Santomauro, D, Wang, H, Whiteford, HA, Abajobir, AA, Abd-Allah, F, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Yimam, K, Beshir, M, Al Lami, FH, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Atey, TM, Ayele, TA, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Boneya, DJ, Borschmann, R, Breitborde, NJK, Butt, ZA, Catala-Lopez, F, Ciobanu, LG, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Doyle, KE, Endries, AY, Faraon, EJA, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Fekadu, W, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Carvalho, A, Habtewold, TD, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Huang, H, Husseini, A, Jakovljevic, MB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kokubo, Y, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lee, PH, Leshargie, CT, Leung, R, Lo, L-T, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Martinez-Raga, J, Farid, HM, Mazidi, M, McGrath, JJ, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Castillo, EP, Papachristou, C, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pervaiz, A, Phillips, MR, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiabadi, M, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Saylan, MI, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Silva, DAS, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Stein, DJ, Abdulkader, RS, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: Mental disorders are among the leading causes of nonfatal burden of disease globally. METHODS: We used the global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors study 2015 to examine the burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR). We defined mental disorders according to criteria proposed in the diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders IV and the 10th International Classification of Diseases. RESULTS: Mental disorders contributed to 4.7% (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 3.7-5.6%) of total disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), ranking as the ninth leading cause of disease burden. Depressive disorders and anxiety disorders were the third and ninth leading causes of nonfatal burden, respectively. Almost all countries in the EMR had higher age-standardized mental disorder DALYs rates compared to the global level, and in half of the EMR countries, observed mental disorder rates exceeded the expected values. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of mental disorders in the EMR is higher than global levels, particularly for women. To properly address this burden, EMR governments should implement nationwide quality epidemiological surveillance of mental disorders and provide adequate prevention and treatment services.
Published: 2018

19. Burden of lower respiratory infections in the Eastern Mediterranean Region between 1990 and 2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Colombara, D, Ehrenkranz, R, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Godwin, WW, Kutz, M, Rao, PC, Reiner, R, Troeger, C, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abbas, KM, Abera, SF, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Adane, K, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Beshir, M, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Arthur, EFG, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Michael, B, Butt, ZA, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Danawi, H, Djalalinia, S, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, KT, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Hassanvand, MS, Hedayati, MT, Horita, N, Husseini, A, Spencer, LJ, Javanbakht, M, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khoja, ATA, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kissoon, N, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Leshargie, CT, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Farid, HM, Mehari, A, Memish, ZA, Mengistu, DT, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Nakamura, S, Oren, E, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Vafa, R-M, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roba, HS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Shigematsu, M, Singh, JA, Sufiyan, MB, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Wijeratne, T, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Colombara, D, Ehrenkranz, R, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Godwin, WW, Kutz, M, Rao, PC, Reiner, R, Troeger, C, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abbas, KM, Abera, SF, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Adane, K, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Beshir, M, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Maskari, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Arthur, EFG, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Michael, B, Butt, ZA, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Danawi, H, Djalalinia, S, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebrehiwot, KT, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Hassanvand, MS, Hedayati, MT, Horita, N, Husseini, A, Spencer, LJ, Javanbakht, M, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khoja, ATA, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kissoon, N, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Leshargie, CT, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Farid, HM, Mehari, A, Memish, ZA, Mengistu, DT, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Nakamura, S, Oren, E, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Vafa, R-M, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Roba, HS, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Shigematsu, M, Singh, JA, Sufiyan, MB, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Wijeratne, T, Yaghoubi, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study (GBD) to calculate the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) in the 22 countries of the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) from 1990 to 2015. METHODS: We conducted a systematic analysis of mortality and morbidity data for LRI and its specific etiologic factors, including pneumococcus, Haemophilus influenzae type b, Respiratory syncytial virus, and influenza virus. We used modeling methods to estimate incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). We calculated burden attributable to known risk factors for LRI. RESULTS: In 2015, LRIs were the fourth-leading cause of DALYs, causing 11,098,243 (95% UI 9,857,095-12,396,566) DALYs and 191,114 (95% UI 170,934-210,705) deaths. The LRI DALY rates were higher than global estimates in 2015. The highest and lowest age-standardized rates of DALYs were observed in Somalia and Lebanon, respectively. Undernutrition in childhood and ambient particulate matter air pollution in the elderly were the main risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings call for public health strategies to reduce the level of risk factors in each age group, especially vulnerable child and elderly populations.
Published: 2018

20. Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015

Author: Mokdad, AH, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Biryukov, S, Casey, D, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Cornaby, L, Dicker, D, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Fitzmaurice, C, Foreman, KJ, Fraser, M, Frostad, J, Godwin, WW, Griswold, M, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Leung, J, Liu, P, Mikesell, J, Nguyen, G, Olsen, HE, Reiner, R, Reitsma, M, Roth, G, Santomauro, D, Smith, A, Stanaway, JD, Sur, P, Wang, H, Whiteford, HA, Afifi, R, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadieh, H, Alam, K, Alam, N, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Bacha, U, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Bisanzio, D, Butt, ZA, Deribew, A, Djalalinia, S, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Chan, HTH, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hotez, PJ, Hsairi, M, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khoja, ATA, Khoja, TAM, Khubchandani, J, Kopec, JA, Larson, HJ, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Memish, ZA, Mensah, GA, Nasher, JT, Obermeyer, CM, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Werdecker, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Biryukov, S, Casey, D, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Cornaby, L, Dicker, D, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Fitzmaurice, C, Foreman, KJ, Fraser, M, Frostad, J, Godwin, WW, Griswold, M, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Leung, J, Liu, P, Mikesell, J, Nguyen, G, Olsen, HE, Reiner, R, Reitsma, M, Roth, G, Santomauro, D, Smith, A, Stanaway, JD, Sur, P, Wang, H, Whiteford, HA, Afifi, R, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadieh, H, Alam, K, Alam, N, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Anber, N, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Bacha, U, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Bisanzio, D, Butt, ZA, Deribew, A, Djalalinia, S, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Chan, HTH, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hotez, PJ, Hsairi, M, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khoja, ATA, Khoja, TAM, Khubchandani, J, Kopec, JA, Larson, HJ, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Memish, ZA, Mensah, GA, Nasher, JT, Obermeyer, CM, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Refaat, AH, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shamsizadeh, M, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Topor-Madry, R, Uthman, OA, Vollset, SE, Werdecker, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: The Eastern Mediterranean Region faces several health challenges at a difficult time with wars, unrest, and economic change. METHODS: We used the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to present the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region from 1990 to 2015. RESULTS: Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of death in the region in 2015, followed by cerebrovascular disease. Changes in total deaths ranged from a reduction of 25% for diarrheal diseases to an increase of about 42% for diabetes and tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer. Collective violence and legal intervention increased by 850% during the time period. Diet was the leading risk factor for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for men compared to maternal malnutrition for females. Childhood undernutrition was the leading risk factor for DALYs in 1990 and 2005, but the second in 2015 after high blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that the region is facing several health challenges and calls for global efforts to stabilise the region and to address the current and future burden of disease.
Published: 2018

21. Burden of cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 2005-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study

Author: Fitzmaurice, C, Alsharif, U, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Daoud, F, Dicker, D, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kutz, M, Wang, H, Abyu, GY, Adedeji, IA, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, E, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Artaman, A, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Saleem, HOB, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Butt, ZA, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Chitheer, AA, Danawi, H, das Neves, J, Davitoiu, DV, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Ekwueme, DU, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gopalani, SV, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hareri, HA, Hay, RJ, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Kim, D, Kinfu, Y, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Markos, D, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mohammed, S, Nangia, V, Quyen, LN, Trang, HN, Ogbo, FA, Mahesh, PA, Park, E-K, Patel, T, Pereira, DM, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roba, KT, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shrime, MG, Stathopoulou, V, Sufiyan, MB, Abdulkader, RS, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Temsah, M-H, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Weiderpass, E, Werdecker, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Zaki, MES, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Fitzmaurice, C, Alsharif, U, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Daoud, F, Dicker, D, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kutz, M, Wang, H, Abyu, GY, Adedeji, IA, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Al-Eyadhy, A, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, E, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Artaman, A, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Saleem, HOB, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bedi, N, Bhutta, ZA, Butt, ZA, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Chitheer, AA, Danawi, H, das Neves, J, Davitoiu, DV, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Ekwueme, DU, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gopalani, SV, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hareri, HA, Hay, RJ, Horita, N, Hsairi, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Kim, D, Kinfu, Y, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Markos, D, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mohammed, S, Nangia, V, Quyen, LN, Trang, HN, Ogbo, FA, Mahesh, PA, Park, E-K, Patel, T, Pereira, DM, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roba, KT, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shrime, MG, Stathopoulou, V, Sufiyan, MB, Abdulkader, RS, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Temsah, M-H, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Weiderpass, E, Werdecker, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Zaki, MES, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, and Mokdad, AH
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: To estimate incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 2005 and 2015. METHODS: Vital registration system and cancer registry data from the EMR region were analyzed for 29 cancer groups in 22 EMR countries using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 methodology. RESULTS: In 2015, cancer was responsible for 9.4% of all deaths and 5.1% of all DALYs. It accounted for 722,646 new cases, 379,093 deaths, and 11.7 million DALYs. Between 2005 and 2015, incident cases increased by 46%, deaths by 33%, and DALYs by 31%. The increase in cancer incidence was largely driven by population growth and population aging. Breast cancer, lung cancer, and leukemia were the most common cancers, while lung, breast, and stomach cancers caused most cancer deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer is responsible for a substantial disease burden in the EMR, which is increasing. There is an urgent need to expand cancer prevention, screening, and awareness programs in EMR countries as well as to improve diagnosis, treatment, and palliative care services.
Published: 2018

22. Diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Charara, R, Afshin, A, Wang, H, Collison, M, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Blosser, CD, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Zipkin, B, Arnlov, J, Abate, KH, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Alkerwi, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, E, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Berhe, DF, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Birhanu, MM, Butt, ZA, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Carpenter, DO, Carrero, JJ, Choi, J-YJJ, Danawi, H, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Djalalinia, S, Doyle, KE, Ebrahimi, H, Endries, AY, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gona, PN, Gopalani, SV, Gyawali, B, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Horino, M, Hsairi, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Jimenez-Corona, A, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kengne, AP, Ketema, EB, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kinfu, Y, Kissimova-Skarbek, KA, Koyanagi, A, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Li, Y, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mazidi, M, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mohammed, MSK, Mohammed, S, Mueller, UO, Nagel, G, Cuong, TN, Quyen, LN, Vuong, MN, Noubiap, JJN, Ogbo, FA, Ortiz, A, Ota, E, Patel, T, Pearson-Stuttard, J, Perico, N, Petzold, M, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Bacher, DR, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Dolores Sanchez-Nino, M, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Santos Silva, DA, Alves Silveira, DG, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zhang, AL, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Khalil, I, Charara, R, Afshin, A, Wang, H, Collison, M, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Daoud, F, Blosser, CD, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Zipkin, B, Arnlov, J, Abate, KH, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkaabi, JM, Alkerwi, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, E, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Drew, CR, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Berhe, DF, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Birhanu, MM, Butt, ZA, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Carpenter, DO, Carrero, JJ, Choi, J-YJJ, Danawi, H, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Djalalinia, S, Doyle, KE, Ebrahimi, H, Endries, AY, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gona, PN, Gopalani, SV, Gyawali, B, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Horino, M, Hsairi, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Jimenez-Corona, A, John, D, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Kengne, AP, Ketema, EB, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kinfu, Y, Kissimova-Skarbek, KA, Koyanagi, A, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Li, Y, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mazidi, M, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mohammed, MSK, Mohammed, S, Mueller, UO, Nagel, G, Cuong, TN, Quyen, LN, Vuong, MN, Noubiap, JJN, Ogbo, FA, Ortiz, A, Ota, E, Patel, T, Pearson-Stuttard, J, Perico, N, Petzold, M, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Bacher, DR, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Dolores Sanchez-Nino, M, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Santos Silva, DA, Alves Silveira, DG, Sobaih, BHA, Abdulkader, RS, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zhang, AL, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Hay, SI, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: We used findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to update our previous publication on the burden of diabetes and chronic kidney disease due to diabetes (CKD-DM) during 1990-2015. METHODS: We extracted GBD 2015 estimates for prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of diabetes (including burden of low vision due to diabetes, neuropathy, and amputations and CKD-DM for 22 countries of the EMR from the GBD visualization tools. RESULTS: In 2015, 135,230 (95% UI 123,034-148,184) individuals died from diabetes and 16,470 (95% UI 13,977-18,961) from CKD-DM, 216 and 179% increases, respectively, compared to 1990. The total number of people with diabetes was 42.3 million (95% UI 38.6-46.4 million) in 2015. DALY rates of diabetes in 2015 were significantly higher than the expected rates based on Socio-demographic Index (SDI). CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed a large and increasing burden of diabetes in the region. There is an urgency in dealing with diabetes and its consequences, and these efforts should be at the forefront of health prevention and promotion.
Published: 2018

23. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Mirarefin, M, Nguyen, G, Wang, H, Zipkin, B, Abajobir, AA, Abouzeid, M, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Aksut, B, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Berhe, DF, Biadgilign, S, Butt, ZA, Carapetis, JR, Estanislao Castro, R, Chitheer, AA, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, SW, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hsairi, M, Jee, SH, Jonas, JB, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Lal, DK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Meier, T, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, Quyen, LN, Vuong, MN, Pearson-Stuttard, J, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roba, KT, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Santos Silva, DA, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Stroumpoulis, K, Abdulkader, RS, Szoeke, CEI, Temsah, M-H, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vasankari, T, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Weintraub, RG, Wessly, PR, Wijeratne, T, Wolfe, CDA, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Roth, GA, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Khalil, I, Afshin, A, Collison, M, Daoud, F, Krohn, KJ, Chew, A, Cornaby, L, Foreman, KJ, Frostad, J, Kassebaum, NJ, Kemmer, L, Kutz, M, Liu, P, Mirarefin, M, Nguyen, G, Wang, H, Zipkin, B, Abajobir, AA, Abouzeid, M, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Aksut, B, Alam, K, Alasfoor, D, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Awasthi, A, Baernighausen, T, Bacha, U, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Berhe, DF, Biadgilign, S, Butt, ZA, Carapetis, JR, Estanislao Castro, R, Chitheer, AA, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Dubey, M, Ebrahimi, H, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, SW, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hsairi, M, Jee, SH, Jonas, JB, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Kim, D, Lal, DK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Linn, S, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Meier, T, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, Quyen, LN, Vuong, MN, Pearson-Stuttard, J, Pishgar, F, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Rana, SM, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roba, KT, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Safi, S, Safiri, S, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Milicevic, MMS, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Santos Silva, DA, Singh, JA, Sobaih, BHA, Stroumpoulis, K, Abdulkader, RS, Szoeke, CEI, Temsah, M-H, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Vasankari, T, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Weintraub, RG, Wessly, PR, Wijeratne, T, Wolfe, CDA, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Roth, GA, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: To report the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) during 1990-2015. METHODS: We used the 2015 Global Burden of Disease study for estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of different CVD in 22 countries of EMR. RESULTS: A total of 1.4 million CVD deaths (95% UI: 1.3-1.5) occurred in 2015 in the EMR, with the highest number of deaths in Pakistan (465,116) and the lowest number of deaths in Qatar (723). The age-standardized DALY rate per 100,000 decreased from 10,080 in 1990 to 8606 in 2015 (14.6% decrease). Afghanistan had the highest age-standardized DALY rate of CVD in both 1990 and 2015. Kuwait and Qatar had the lowest age-standardized DALY rates of CVD in 1990 and 2015, respectively. High blood pressure, high total cholesterol, and high body mass index were the leading risk factors for CVD. CONCLUSIONS: The age-standardized DALY rates in the EMR are considerably higher than the global average. These findings call for a comprehensive approach to prevent and control the burden of CVD in the region.
Published: 2018

24. Burden of diarrhea in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2015: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Author: Mokdad, AH, Khalil, I, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Daoud, F, Colombara, D, Foreman, KJ, Godwin, WW, Kutz, M, Mirarefin, M, Rao, PC, Reiner, R, Troeger, C, Wang, H, Abraha, HN, Abu-Elyazeed, R, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Bacha, U, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bessong, PO, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Buckle, GC, Butt, ZA, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Djalalinia, S, Dubey, M, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gugnani, HC, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Husseini, A, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khubchandani, J, Kissoon, N, Kopec, JA, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengistu, DT, Mohammed, S, Murthy, S, Ngunjiri, JW, Ogbo, FA, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shigematsu, M, Sobaih, BHA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Sykes, BL, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Tiruye, TY, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Wiysonge, CS, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Yenesew, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Zodpey, S, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Mokdad, AH, Khalil, I, El Bcheraoui, C, Charara, R, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Afshin, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Collison, M, Chew, A, Krohn, KJ, Daoud, F, Colombara, D, Foreman, KJ, Godwin, WW, Kutz, M, Mirarefin, M, Rao, PC, Reiner, R, Troeger, C, Wang, H, Abraha, HN, Abu-Elyazeed, R, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Al-Raddadi, R, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Anwari, P, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Bacha, U, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Geffen, D, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bessong, PO, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Buckle, GC, Butt, ZA, Danawi, H, Deribew, A, Djalalinia, S, Dubey, M, Endries, AY, Eshrati, B, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gugnani, HC, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Husseini, A, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khubchandani, J, Kissoon, N, Kopec, JA, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Larson, HJ, Latif, AA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengistu, DT, Mohammed, S, Murthy, S, Ngunjiri, JW, Ogbo, FA, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Rawaf, DL, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezaei, S, Roshandel, G, Safdarian, M, Sahraian, MA, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sartorius, B, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shigematsu, M, Sobaih, BHA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Sykes, BL, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Tiruye, TY, Topor-Madry, R, Ukwaja, KN, Vollset, SE, Wakayo, T, Werdecker, A, Wiysonge, CS, Workicho, A, Yaghoubi, M, Yaseri, M, Yenesew, M, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Zaki, MES, Zodpey, S, Zein, B, Jumaan, AO, Vos, T, Hay, SI, Naghavi, M, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: Diarrheal diseases (DD) are an important cause of disease burden, especially in children in low-income settings. DD can also impact children's potential livelihood through growth faltering, cognitive impairment, and other sequelae. METHODS: As part of the Global Burden of Disease study, we estimated DD burden, and the burden attributable to specific risk factors and etiologies, in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) between 1990 and 2015. We calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)-the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability-for both sexes and all ages. RESULTS: We estimate that over 103,692 diarrhea deaths occurred in the EMR in 2015 (95% uncertainty interval: 87,018-124,692), and the mortality rate was 16.0 deaths per 100,000 persons (95% UI: 13.4-19.2). The majority of these deaths occurred in children under 5 (63.3%) (65,670 deaths, 95% UI: 53,640-79,486). DALYs per 100,000 ranged from 304 (95% UI 228-400) in Kuwait to 38,900 (95% UI 25,900-54,300) in Somalia. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings will guide evidence-based health policy decisions for interventions to achieve the ultimate goal of reducing the DD burden.
Published: 2018

25. Evolution and patterns of global health financing 1995-2014: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries

Author: Dieleman, J, Campbell, M, Chapin, A, Eldrenkamp, E, Fan, VY, Haakenstad, A, Kates, J, Liu, YY, Matyasz, T, Micah, A, Reynolds, A, Sadat, N, Schneider, MT, Sorensen, R, Evans, T, Evans, D, Kurowski, C, Tandon, A, Abbas, KM, Abera, SF, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Antonio, CAT, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Barac, A, Bernal, OA, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Birungi, C, Bizuayehu, HM, Breitborde, NJK, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Dalal, K, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Jager, P, Dharmaratne, SD, Dubey, M, Sofia e Sa Farinha, C, Faro, A, Feigl, AB, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Foigt, N, Giref, AZ, Gupta, R, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Horino, M, Jurisson, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, John, D, Jonas, JB, Karimi, SM, Khang, YH, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinge, JM, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Masiye, F, Meier, T, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, Nangia, V, Olgiati, S, Osman, AS, Owolabi, MO, Patel, T, Caicedo, AJP, Pereira, DM, Perelman, J, Polinder, Suzanne, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Ranabhat, CL, Roba, HS, Salama, J, Savic, M, Sepanlou, SG, Shrime, MG, Talongwa, RT, Te Ao, BJ, Tediosi, F, Tesema, AG, Thomson, AJ, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Undurraga, EA, Vasankari, T, Violante, FS, Werdecker, A, Wijeratne, T, Xu, G, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, CH, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, ME, Murray, CJL, Global Burden D Hlth, F, and Public Health
Published: 2017

26. Future and potential spending on health 2015-40: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries

Author: Dieleman, JL, Campbell, M, Chapin, A, Eldrenkamp, E, Fan, VY, Haakenstad, A, Kates, J, Li, ZY, Matyasz, T, Micah, A, Reynolds, A, Sadat, N, Schneider, MT, Sorensen, R, Abbas, KM, Abera, SF, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Alam, K, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Antonio, CAT, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Barac, A, Berheto, TM, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Birungi, C, Bizuayehu, HM, Breitborde, NJK, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Dalal, K, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Dubey, M, Faro, A, Feigl, AB, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Foigt, N, Giref, AZ, Gupta, R, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Horino, M, Jurisson, M, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, John, D, Jonas, JB, Karimi, SM, Khang, YH, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinge, JM, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Leung, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mohammed, S, Molla, G, Nangia, V, Olgiati, S, Owolabi, MO, Patel, T, Caicedo, AJP, Pereira, DM, Perelman, J, Polinder, Suzanne, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Ranabhat, CL, Roba, HS, Savic, M, Sepanlou, SG, Te Ao, BJ, Tesema, AG, Thomson, AJ, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Undurraga, EA, Vargas, V, Vasankari, T, Violante, FS, Wijeratne, T, Xu, GL, Yonemoto, N, Younis, MZ, Yu, CH, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, ME, Murray, CJL, Global Burden D Hlth, F, and Public Health
Published: 2017

27. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders during 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Feigin, VL, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abyu, GY, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Akinyemi, RO, Alabed, S, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Azarpazhooh, MR, Barac, A, Barboza, M, Barker-Collo, SL, Baernighausen, T, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Betsu, BD, Bhaumik, S, Birlik, SM, Biryukov, S, Boneya, DJ, Bulto, LN, Carabin, H, Casey, D, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Catala-Lopez, F, Chen, H, Chitheer, AA, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, deVeber, GA, Dharmaratne, SD, Do, HP, Dokova, K, Dorsey, ER, Ellenbogen, RG, Eskandarieh, S, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fischer, F, Foreman, KJ, Geleijnse, JM, Gillum, RF, Giussani, G, Goldberg, EM, Gona, PN, Goulart, AC, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, R, Hachinski, V, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, M, Hankey, GJ, Hareri, HA, Havmoeller, R, Hay, SI, Heydarpour, P, Hotez, PJ, Jakovljevic, MMB, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, Jonas, JB, Kalkonde, Y, Kandel, A, Karch, A, Kasaeian, A, Kastor, A, Keiyoro, PN, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khoja, AT, Khubchandani, J, Kulkarni, C, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kivimaki, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, RV, Defo, BK, Kumar, GA, Kumar, R, Kyu, HH, Larsson, A, Lavados, PM, Li, Y, Liang, X, Liben, ML, Lo, WD, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, PA, Loy, CT, Mackay, MT, Abd El Razek, HM, Abd El Razek, MM, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Manhertz, T, Mantovani, LG, Massano, J, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, MM, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mishra, SR, Ibrahim, NM, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, KE, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Velasquez, IM, Musa, KI, Naghavi, M, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, G, Nguyen, QL, Nguyen, TH, Nichols, E, Ningrum, DN, Nong, VM, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Ogbo, FA, Owolabi, MO, Pandian, JD, Parmar, PG, Pereira, DM, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Piradov, MA, Poulton, RG, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rahman, MH, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ranta, A, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, AMN, Rezai, MS, Roth, GA, Roshandel, G, Rubagotti, E, Sachdev, P, Safiri, S, Sahathevan, R, Sahraian, MA, Samy, AM, Santalucia, P, Santos, IS, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, MI, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Shakir, R, Shamsizadeh, M, Sheth, KN, Shigematsu, M, Shoman, H, Silva, DA, Smith, M, Sobngwi, E, Sposato, LA, Stanaway, JD, Stein, DJ, Steiner, TJ, Stovner, LJ, Abdulkader, RS, Szoeke, CEI, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tanne, D, Theadom, AM, Thrift, AG, Tirschwell, DL, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Truelsen, T, Tuem, KB, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Varakin, YY, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, VV, Wadilo, F, Wakayo, T, Wallin, MT, Weiderpass, E, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wiysonge, CS, Woldu, MA, Wolfe, CDA, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yano, Y, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zunt, JR, Murray, CJL, Vos, T, Disorders, GBDN, Feigin, V, Abajobir, A, Abate, K, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, A, Abera, S, Abyu, G, Ahmed, M, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Akinyemi, R, Alabed, S, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, A, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, S, Atey, T, Avila-Burgos, L, Frinel, E, Avokpaho, G, Barac, A, Barboza, M, Barker-Collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bennett, D, Bensenor, I, Berhane, A, Betsu, B, Bhaumik, S, Birlik, S, Biryukov, S, Boneya, D, Bulto, L, Carabin, H, Casey, D, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Catalá-López, F, Chen, H, Chitheer, A, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Veber, G, Dharmaratne, S, Do, H, Dokova, K, Dorsey, E, Ellenbogen, R, Eskandarieh, S, Farvid, M, Fereshtehnejad, S, Fischer, F, Foreman, K, Geleijnse, J, Gillum, R, Giussani, G, Gona, P, Goulart, A, Gugnani, H, Gupta, R, Hamadeh, R, Hambisa, M, Hankey, G, Hareri, H, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Heydarpour, P, Hotez, P, Jakovljevic, M, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, Jonas, J, Kalkonde, Y, Kandel, A, Karch, A, Kasaeian, A, Kastor, A, Keiyoro, P, Khader, Y, Khalil, I, Khan, E, Khang, Y, Tawfih, A, Khoja, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, Y, Kivimaki, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, R, Defo, B, Kumar, G, Kumar, R, Kyu, H, Larsson, A, Lavados, P, Li, Y, Liang, X, Liben, M, Lo, W, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, P, Loy, C, Mackay, M, El Razek, H, El Razek, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Manhertz, T, Mantovani, L, Massano, J, Mazidi, M, Mcalinden, C, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, M, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, M, Mensah, G, Meretoja, A, Mezgebe, H, Miller, T, Mishra, S, Ibrahim, N, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, K, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Velasquez, I, Musa, K, Naghavi, M, Ngunjiri, J, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, G, Le Nguyen, Q, Nguyen, T, Nichols, E, Ningrum, D, Nong, V, Norrving, B, Noubiap, J, Ogbo, F, Owolabi, M, Pandian, J, Petzold, M, Phillips, M, Piradov, M, Poulton, R, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rai, R, Rajsic, S, Ranta, A, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, A, Rezai, M, Roshandel, G, Rubagotti, E, Sachdev, P, Safiri, S, Sahathevan, R, Sahraian, M, Samy, A, Santalucia, P, Santos, I, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, M, Sepanlou, S, Shaikh, M, Shakir, R, Shamsizadeh, M, Sheth, K, Shigematsu, M, Shoman, H, Silva, D, Smith, M, Sobngwi, E, Sposato, L, Stein, D, Steiner, T, Stovner, L, Abdulkader, R, EI Szoeke, C, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tanne, D, Theadom, A, Thrift, A, Tirschwell, D, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, B, Truelsen, T, Tuem, K, Ukwaja, K, Uthman, O, Varakin, Y, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, V, Wadilo, F, Wakayo, T, Wallin, M, Weiderpass, E, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wiysonge, C, Woldu, M, Wolfe, C, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yano, Y, Yimam, H, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zunt, J, Murray, C, and Vos, T
Subjects: Cost of Illness, Nutrition and Disease, GBD, Voeding en Ziekte, Humans, Life Science, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Nervous System Diseases, Global Health, Article, Global Burden of Disease, VLAG
Abstract: Background Comparable data on the global and country-specific burden of neurological disorders and their trends are\ud crucial for health-care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors\ud (GBD) Study provides such information but does not routinely aggregate results that are of interest to clinicians\ud specialising in neurological conditions. In this systematic analysis, we quantified the global disease burden due to\ud neurological disorders in 2015 and its relationship with country development level.\ud \ud Methods We estimated global and country-specific prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years\ud of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) for various neurological disorders that in the GBD classification\ud have been previously spread across multiple disease groupings. The more inclusive grouping of neurological\ud disorders included stroke, meningitis, encephalitis, tetanus, Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, Parkinson’s\ud disease, epilepsy, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron disease, migraine, tension-type headache, medication overuse\ud headache, brain and nervous system cancers, and a residual category of other neurological disorders. We also analysed\ud results based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a compound measure of income per capita, education, and\ud fertility, to identify patterns associated with development and how countries fare against expected outcomes relative\ud to their level of development.\ud \ud Findings Neurological disorders ranked as the leading cause group of DALYs in 2015 (250·7 [95% uncertainty interval\ud (UI) 229·1 to 274·7] million, comprising 10·2% of global DALYs) and the second-leading cause group of deaths (9·4\ud [9·1 to 9·7] million], comprising 16·8% of global deaths). The most prevalent neurological disorders were tensiontype\ud headache (1505·9 [UI 1337·3 to 1681·6 million cases]), migraine (958·8 [872·1 to 1055·6] million), medication\ud overuse headache (58·5 [50·8 to 67·4 million]), and Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias (46·0\ud [40·2 to 52·7 million]). Between 1990 and 2015, the number of deaths from neurological disorders increased by\ud 36·7%, and the number of DALYs by 7·4%. These increases occurred despite decreases in age-standardised rates of\ud death and DALYs of 26·1% and 29·7%, respectively; stroke and communicable neurological disorders were\ud responsible for most of these decreases. Communicable neurological disorders were the largest cause of DALYs in\ud countries with low SDI. Stroke rates were highest at middle levels of SDI and lowest at the highest SDI. Most of the\ud changes in DALY rates of neurological disorders with development were driven by changes in YLLs.\ud \ud Interpretation Neurological disorders are an important cause of disability and death worldwide. Globally, the burden\ud of neurological disorders has increased substantially over the past 25 years because of expanding population numbers\ud and ageing, despite substantial decreases in mortality rates from stroke and communicable neurological disorders.\ud The number of patients who will need care by clinicians with expertise in neurological conditions will continue to\ud grow in coming decades. Policy makers and health-care providers should be aware of these trends to provide adequate\ud services.\ud \ud Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2017

28. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Antonio, CAT, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Arthur Avokpaho, EFG, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Breitborde, NJK, Brugha, TS, Bulto, LNB, Degenhardt, Louisa ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8513-2218, Resnikoff, Serge ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4446, Naidoo, Kovin ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8261-9779, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, Leung, Janni ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5816-2959, Marks, Guy ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8976-8053, Jha, Vivekanand ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9470, Ye, Pengpeng ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2924-1436, Pesudovs, Konrad ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Antonio, CAT, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Arthur Avokpaho, EFG, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Breitborde, NJK, Brugha, TS, Bulto, LNB, Degenhardt, Louisa ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8513-2218, Resnikoff, Serge ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4446, Naidoo, Kovin ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8261-9779, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, Leung, Janni ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5816-2959, Marks, Guy ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8976-8053, Jha, Vivekanand ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9470, Ye, Pengpeng ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2924-1436, Pesudovs, Konrad ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, and Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937
Abstract: Background: The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods: We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 25th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 975th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 567 (IQR 319-668) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (868, 95% uncertainty interval 846-889), Iceland (860, 841-876), and Sweden (856, 818-878) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (109, 96-119), the Central African Republic (110, 88-138), and Somalia (113, 95-131) recording the lowest. Between
Published: 2017

29. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases for 10 Causes, 1990 to 2015

Author: Roth, GA, Johnson, C, Abajobir, A, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abyu, G, Ahmed, M, Aksut, B, Alam, T, Alam, K, Alla, F, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amrock, S, Ansari, H, Ärnlöv, J, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Barregard, L, Bedi, N, Belay Ketema, E, Bennett, D, Berhe, G, Bhutta, Z, Bitew, S, Carapetis, J, Carrero, JJ, Malta, DC, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Castillo-Rivas, J, Catalá-López, F, Choi, JY, Christensen, H, Cirillo, M, Cooper, L, Criqui, M, Cundiff, D, Damasceno, A, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, S, Dorairaj, P, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, El Sayed Zaki, M, Faraon, EJA, Esteghamati, A, Farid, T, Farvid, M, Feigin, V, Ding, EL, Fowkes, G, Gebrehiwot, T, Gillum, R, Gold, A, Gona, P, Gupta, R, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hailu, T, Hailu, GB, Hankey, G, Hassen, HY, Abate, KH, Havmoeller, R, Hay, SI, Horino, M, Hotez, PJ, Jacobsen, K, James, S, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, John, D, Jonas, J, Kalkonde, Y, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, Y, Khan, A, Khang, YH, Khera, S, Khoja, AT, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kolte, D, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Kwan, GF, Lal, DK, Larsson, A, Linn, S, Lopez, A, Lotufo, PA, El Razek, HMA, Neal, Bruce ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0490-7465, Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Roth, GA, Johnson, C, Abajobir, A, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abyu, G, Ahmed, M, Aksut, B, Alam, T, Alam, K, Alla, F, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amrock, S, Ansari, H, Ärnlöv, J, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Barregard, L, Bedi, N, Belay Ketema, E, Bennett, D, Berhe, G, Bhutta, Z, Bitew, S, Carapetis, J, Carrero, JJ, Malta, DC, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Castillo-Rivas, J, Catalá-López, F, Choi, JY, Christensen, H, Cirillo, M, Cooper, L, Criqui, M, Cundiff, D, Damasceno, A, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Davletov, K, Dharmaratne, S, Dorairaj, P, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, El Sayed Zaki, M, Faraon, EJA, Esteghamati, A, Farid, T, Farvid, M, Feigin, V, Ding, EL, Fowkes, G, Gebrehiwot, T, Gillum, R, Gold, A, Gona, P, Gupta, R, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hailu, T, Hailu, GB, Hankey, G, Hassen, HY, Abate, KH, Havmoeller, R, Hay, SI, Horino, M, Hotez, PJ, Jacobsen, K, James, S, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, John, D, Jonas, J, Kalkonde, Y, Karimkhani, C, Kasaeian, A, Khader, Y, Khan, A, Khang, YH, Khera, S, Khoja, AT, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kolte, D, Kosen, S, Krohn, KJ, Kumar, GA, Kwan, GF, Lal, DK, Larsson, A, Linn, S, Lopez, A, Lotufo, PA, El Razek, HMA, Neal, Bruce ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0490-7465, and Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937
Abstract: Background The burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remains unclear in many regions of the world. Objectives The GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2015 study integrated data on disease incidence, prevalence, and mortality to produce consistent, up-to-date estimates for cardiovascular burden. Methods CVD mortality was estimated from vital registration and verbal autopsy data. CVD prevalence was estimated using modeling software and data from health surveys, prospective cohorts, health system administrative data, and registries. Years lived with disability (YLD) were estimated by multiplying prevalence by disability weights. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated by multiplying age-specific CVD deaths by a reference life expectancy. A sociodemographic index (SDI) was created for each location based on income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility. Results In 2015, there were an estimated 422.7 million cases of CVD (95% uncertainty interval: 415.53 to 427.87 million cases) and 17.92 million CVD deaths (95% uncertainty interval: 17.59 to 18.28 million CVD deaths). Declines in the age-standardized CVD death rate occurred between 1990 and 2015 in all high-income and some middle-income countries. Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of CVD health lost globally, as well as in each world region, followed by stroke. As SDI increased beyond 0.25, the highest CVD mortality shifted from women to men. CVD mortality decreased sharply for both sexes in countries with an SDI >0.75. Conclusions CVDs remain a major cause of health loss for all regions of the world. Sociodemographic change over the past 25 years has been associated with dramatic declines in CVD in regions with very high SDI, but only a gradual decrease or no change in most regions. Future updates of the GBD study can be used to guide policymakers who are focused on reducing the overall burden of noncommunicable disease and achieving specific global health targets for CVD.
Published: 2017

30. Healthcare Access and Quality Index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal health care in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a novel analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Barber, RM, Fullman, N, Sorensen, RJD, Bollyky, T, McKee, M, Nolte, E, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abdurahman, AA, Abera, SF, Abraham, B, Abreha, GF, Adane, K, Adelekan, AL, Adetifa, IMO, Afshin, A, Agarwal, A, Agarwal, SK, Agarwal, S, Agrawal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Akinyemi, RO, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, SS, Alemu, ZA, Alene, KA, Alexander, L, Ali, R, Ali, SD, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amo-Adjei, J, Amoako, YA, Anderson, BO, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Asayesh, H, Assadi, R, Astatkie, A, Atey, TM, Atique, S, Atnafu, NT, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Quintanilla, BPA, Awasthi, A, Ayele, NN, Azzopardi, P, Saleem, HOB, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Baune, BT, Baye, K, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabé, E, Bernal, OA, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bose, D, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Butt, ZA, Cárdenas, R, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Carrero, JJ, Casey, D, Caso, V, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catalá-López, F, Cecilio, P, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Chen, AZ, Chew, A, Chibalabala, M, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coggeshall, MS, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Crump, JA, Dalal, K, Danawi, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, De Leo, D, Del Gobbo, LC, del Pozo-Cruz, B, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, D, Ding, EL, Dokova, K, Dorsey, ER, Doyle, KE, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Enayati, A, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fürst, T, Faghmous, IDA, Fanuel, FBB, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Feigl, AB, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Forouzanfar, MH, Franklin, RC, Frostad, J, G/hiwot, TT, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gao, W, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremichael, MW, Gebru, AA, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Genova-Maleras, R, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Giussani, G, Godwin, WW, Gold, A, Goldberg, EM, Gona, PN, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Greaves, F, Griswold, M, Guban, PI, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haile, D, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hakuzimana, A, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-8053, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huntley, BM, Huynh, C, Iburg, KM, Ileanu, BV, Innos, K, Irenso, AA, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, James, P, James, SL, Javanbakht, M, Jayaraman, SP, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9470, John, D, Johnson, C, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Juel, K, Kabir, Z, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Kasaeian, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kerbo, AA, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khoja, ATA, Khonelidze, I, Khubchandani, J, Kibret, GD, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kissoon, N, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kolk, A, Kolte, D, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnaswami, S, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Lager, ACJ, Lal, A, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Lan, Q, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Latif, AA, Lawrynowicz, AEB, Leasher, JL, Leigh, J, Leinsalu, M, Leshargie, CT, Leung, J ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5816-2959, Leung, R, Levi, M, Liang, X, Lim, SS, Lind, M, Linn, S, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, P, Liu, Y, Lo, L-T, Logroscino, G, Lopez, AD, Lorch, SA, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Macarayan, ERK, Mackay, MT, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Mahdavi, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mantovani, LG, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Marks, GB ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8976-8053, Marquez, N, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Massano, J, Mathur, MR, Maulik, PK ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6835-6175, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, McGrath, JJ, McNellan, C, Meaney, PA, Mehari, A, Mehndiratta, MM, Meier, T, Mekonnen, AB, Meles, KG, Memish, ZA, Mengesha, MM, Mengiste, DT, Mengistie, MA, Menota, BG, Mensah, GA, Mereta, ST, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Micha, R, Millear, A, Mills, EJ, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mock, CN, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mohanty, SK, Mokdad, AH, Mola, GLD, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Moses, M, Mueller, UO, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Nachega, JB, Nagata, C, Nagel, G, Naghavi, M, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Negoi, I, Neupane, SP, Newton, CR, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, FN, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, G, Ningrum, DNA, Nolte, S, Nomura, M, Norheim, OF, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Okoro, A, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, AT, Olivares, PR, Olsen, HE, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Osborne, RH, Osman, M, Owolabi, MO, PA, M, Pain, AW, Pakhale, S, Castillo, EP, Pana, A, Papachristou, C, Parsaeian, M, Patel, T, Patton, GC, Paudel, D, Paul, VK, Pearce, N, Pereira, DM, Perez-Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pigott, DM, Pillay, JD, Pinho, C, Polinder, S, Pond, CD, Prakash, V, Purwar, M, Qorbani, M, Quistberg, DA, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rankin, Z, Rao, PV, Rao, PC, Rawaf, S, Rego, MAS, Reitsma, M, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Resnikoff, S ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4446, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Ribeiro, AL, Roba, HS, Rokni, MB, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roth, GA, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, NK, Sachdev, PS ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-3220, Sackey, BB, Saeedi, MY, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Saleh, MM, Salomon, JA, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sanchez-Niño, MD, Sandar, L, Santos, IS, Santos, JV, Milicevic, MMS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, MI, Schöttker, B, Schutte, AE ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Seid, AM, Seifu, CN, Sepanlou, SG, Serdar, B, Servan-Mori, EE, Setegn, T, Shackelford, KA, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, MA, Shakh-Nazarova, M, Shamsipour, M, Islam, SMS, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shi, P, Shigematsu, M, Shin, M-J, Shiri, R, Shoman, H, Shrime, MG, Sibamo, ELS, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silva, DAS, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinke, AH, Sinshaw, AE, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Smith, A, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sousa, TCM, Sposato, LA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Steiner, C, Steinke, S, Stokes, MA, Stranges, S, Strong, M, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sun, J, Sur, P, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taffere, GR, Talongwa, RT, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Teeple, S, Tegegne, TK, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, AG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0618-4499, Thakur, JS, Thomson, AJ, Tillmann, T, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Tortajada, M, Troeger, C, Truelsen, T, Tura, AK, Uchendu, US, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Van Dingenen, R, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Wagner, JA, Wakayo, T, Waller, SG, Walson, JL, Wang, H, Wang, Y-P, Watkins, DA, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Wen, C-P, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Westerman, R, Whiteford, HA, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Wubshet, M, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zambrana-Torrelio, C, Zapata, T, Zenebe, ZM, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, Murray, CJL, Barber, RM, Fullman, N, Sorensen, RJD, Bollyky, T, McKee, M, Nolte, E, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abdurahman, AA, Abera, SF, Abraham, B, Abreha, GF, Adane, K, Adelekan, AL, Adetifa, IMO, Afshin, A, Agarwal, A, Agarwal, SK, Agarwal, S, Agrawal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Akinyemi, RO, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, SS, Alemu, ZA, Alene, KA, Alexander, L, Ali, R, Ali, SD, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amo-Adjei, J, Amoako, YA, Anderson, BO, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Asayesh, H, Assadi, R, Astatkie, A, Atey, TM, Atique, S, Atnafu, NT, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Quintanilla, BPA, Awasthi, A, Ayele, NN, Azzopardi, P, Saleem, HOB, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Baune, BT, Baye, K, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabé, E, Bernal, OA, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bose, D, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Butt, ZA, Cárdenas, R, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Carrero, JJ, Casey, D, Caso, V, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catalá-López, F, Cecilio, P, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Chen, AZ, Chew, A, Chibalabala, M, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coggeshall, MS, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Crump, JA, Dalal, K, Danawi, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, De Leo, D, Del Gobbo, LC, del Pozo-Cruz, B, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, D, Ding, EL, Dokova, K, Dorsey, ER, Doyle, KE, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Enayati, A, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fürst, T, Faghmous, IDA, Fanuel, FBB, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Feigl, AB, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Forouzanfar, MH, Franklin, RC, Frostad, J, G/hiwot, TT, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gao, W, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremichael, MW, Gebru, AA, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Genova-Maleras, R, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Giussani, G, Godwin, WW, Gold, A, Goldberg, EM, Gona, PN, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Greaves, F, Griswold, M, Guban, PI, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haile, D, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hakuzimana, A, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-8053, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huntley, BM, Huynh, C, Iburg, KM, Ileanu, BV, Innos, K, Irenso, AA, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, James, P, James, SL, Javanbakht, M, Jayaraman, SP, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9470, John, D, Johnson, C, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Juel, K, Kabir, Z, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Kasaeian, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kerbo, AA, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khoja, ATA, Khonelidze, I, Khubchandani, J, Kibret, GD, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kissoon, N, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kolk, A, Kolte, D, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnaswami, S, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Lager, ACJ, Lal, A, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Lan, Q, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Latif, AA, Lawrynowicz, AEB, Leasher, JL, Leigh, J, Leinsalu, M, Leshargie, CT, Leung, J ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5816-2959, Leung, R, Levi, M, Liang, X, Lim, SS, Lind, M, Linn, S, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, P, Liu, Y, Lo, L-T, Logroscino, G, Lopez, AD, Lorch, SA, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Macarayan, ERK, Mackay, MT, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Mahdavi, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mantovani, LG, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Marks, GB ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8976-8053, Marquez, N, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Massano, J, Mathur, MR, Maulik, PK ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6835-6175, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, McGrath, JJ, McNellan, C, Meaney, PA, Mehari, A, Mehndiratta, MM, Meier, T, Mekonnen, AB, Meles, KG, Memish, ZA, Mengesha, MM, Mengiste, DT, Mengistie, MA, Menota, BG, Mensah, GA, Mereta, ST, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Micha, R, Millear, A, Mills, EJ, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mock, CN, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mohanty, SK, Mokdad, AH, Mola, GLD, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Moses, M, Mueller, UO, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Nachega, JB, Nagata, C, Nagel, G, Naghavi, M, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Negoi, I, Neupane, SP, Newton, CR, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, FN, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, G, Ningrum, DNA, Nolte, S, Nomura, M, Norheim, OF, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Okoro, A, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, AT, Olivares, PR, Olsen, HE, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Osborne, RH, Osman, M, Owolabi, MO, PA, M, Pain, AW, Pakhale, S, Castillo, EP, Pana, A, Papachristou, C, Parsaeian, M, Patel, T, Patton, GC, Paudel, D, Paul, VK, Pearce, N, Pereira, DM, Perez-Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pigott, DM, Pillay, JD, Pinho, C, Polinder, S, Pond, CD, Prakash, V, Purwar, M, Qorbani, M, Quistberg, DA, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rankin, Z, Rao, PV, Rao, PC, Rawaf, S, Rego, MAS, Reitsma, M, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Resnikoff, S ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4446, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Ribeiro, AL, Roba, HS, Rokni, MB, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roth, GA, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, NK, Sachdev, PS ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-3220, Sackey, BB, Saeedi, MY, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Saleh, MM, Salomon, JA, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sanchez-Niño, MD, Sandar, L, Santos, IS, Santos, JV, Milicevic, MMS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, MI, Schöttker, B, Schutte, AE ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Seid, AM, Seifu, CN, Sepanlou, SG, Serdar, B, Servan-Mori, EE, Setegn, T, Shackelford, KA, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, MA, Shakh-Nazarova, M, Shamsipour, M, Islam, SMS, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shi, P, Shigematsu, M, Shin, M-J, Shiri, R, Shoman, H, Shrime, MG, Sibamo, ELS, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silva, DAS, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinke, AH, Sinshaw, AE, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Smith, A, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sousa, TCM, Sposato, LA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Steiner, C, Steinke, S, Stokes, MA, Stranges, S, Strong, M, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sun, J, Sur, P, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taffere, GR, Talongwa, RT, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Teeple, S, Tegegne, TK, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, AG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0618-4499, Thakur, JS, Thomson, AJ, Tillmann, T, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Tortajada, M, Troeger, C, Truelsen, T, Tura, AK, Uchendu, US, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Van Dingenen, R, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Wagner, JA, Wakayo, T, Waller, SG, Walson, JL, Wang, H, Wang, Y-P, Watkins, DA, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Wen, C-P, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Westerman, R, Whiteford, HA, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Wubshet, M, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zambrana-Torrelio, C, Zapata, T, Zenebe, ZM, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: Background National levels of personal health-care access and quality can be approximated by measuring mortality rates from causes that should not be fatal in the presence of effective medical care (ie, amenable mortality). Previous analyses of mortality amenable to health care only focused on high-income countries and faced several methodological challenges. In the present analysis, we use the highly standardised cause of death and risk factor estimates generated through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015. Methods We mapped the most widely used list of causes amenable to personal health care developed by Nolte and McKee to 32 GBD causes. We accounted for variations in cause of death certification and misclassifications through the extensive data standardisation processes and redistribution algorithms developed for GBD. To isolate the effects of personal health-care access and quality, we risk-standardised cause-specific mortality rates for each geography-year by removing the joint effects of local environmental and behavioural risks, and adding back the global levels of risk exposure as estimated for GBD 2015. We employed principal component analysis to create a single, interpretable summary measure-the Healthcare Quality and Access (HAQ) Index-on a scale of 0 to 100. The HAQ Index showed strong convergence validity as compared with other health-system indicators, including health expenditure per capita (r=0·88), an index of 11 universal health coverage interventions (r=0·83), and human resources for health per 1000 (r=0·77). We used free disposal hull analysis with bootstrapping to produce a frontier based on the relationship between the HAQ Index and the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a measure of overall development consisting of income per capita, average years of education, and total fertilit
Published: 2017

31. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adedoyin, RA, Adetifa, IMO, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Aggarwal, R, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Aiyar, S, Akanda, S, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al Lami, FH, Alabed, S, Alahdab, F, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Aldridge, RW, Alene, KA, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Aljunid, SM, Alkaabi, JM, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allam, SD, Allebeck, P, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Ameh, EA, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amoako, YA, Anber, N, Andrei, CL, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Arora, M, Al, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Babalola, TK, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Balalla, S, Barac, A, Barber, RM, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barnighausen, T, Barquera, S, Barregard, L, Barrero, LH, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bejot, Y, Bekele, BB, Bell, ML, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Benson, J, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabe, E, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhaumik, S ; 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https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9579-4453, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bjerregaard, P, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Boufous, S ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5686-1729, Bourne, RRA, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Brugha, TS, Bukhman, G, Negesa, L, Bulto, B, Bumgarner, BR, Burch, M, Butt, ZA, Cahill, LE, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Car, M, Crdenas, R, Carpenter, DO, Carrero, JJ, Carter, A, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Castro, FF, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Chen, H, Chiang, PP-C, Chibalabala, M, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Choi, J-YJ, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Cohen, AJ, Colquhoun, SM, Coresh, J, Criqui, MH, Cromwell, EA, Crump, JA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, de Courten, B, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8513-2218, Deiparine, S, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dherani, MK, Diaz-Torne, C, Ding, EL, Dixit, P, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Doku, DT, Donnelly, CA, Priscila, K, dos Santos, B, Douwes-Schultz, D, Driscoll, TR, Duan, L, Dubey, M, Duncan, BB, Dwivedi, LK, Ebrahimi, H, El Bcheraoui, C, Ellingsen, CL, Enayati, A, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshetie, S, Eshrati, B, Eskandarieh, S, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fanuel, BBF, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Frank, T, Franklin, RC, Fraser, M, Friedman, J, Frostad, JJ, Fullman, N, Furst, T, Furtado, JM, Futran, ND, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gankpe, FG, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebregergs, GB, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gebrekidan, KG, Gebremichael, MW, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gemechu, BL, Gemechu, KS, Genova-Maleras, R, Gesesew, HA, Gething, PW, Gibney, KB, Gill, PS, Gillum, RF, Giref, AZ, Girma, BW, Giussani, G, Goenka, S, Gomez, B, Gona, PN, Gopalani, SV, Goulart, AC, Graetz, N, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Haagsma, JA, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Bidgoli, HH, Hakuzimana, A, Halasa, YA, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-8053, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hancock, J, Handal, AJ, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Harikrishnan, S, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, He, F, Heredia-Pi, IB, Herteliu, C, Hilawe, EH, Hoek, HW, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hostiuc, S, Hotez, PJ, Hoy, DG, Hsairi, M, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Iburg, KM, Igumbor, EU, Ileanu, BV, Inoue, M, Irenso, AA, Irvine, CMS, Islam, N, Jacobsen, KH, Jaenisch, T, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jensen, PN, Jha, V ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9470, Jin, Y, John, D, John, O ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9008-1726, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Jurisson, M, Kabir, Z, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Karthikeyan, G, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, SG, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Keren, A, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Ketema, EB, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khera, S, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, MH, Kibret, GD, Kieling, C, Kim, C-I, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, S, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kishawi, S, Kissimova-Skarbek, KA, Kissoon, N, Kivimaki, M, Knudsen, AK, Kokubo, Y, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulikoff, XR, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumar, P, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Lachat, C, Lagat, AK, Lager, ACJ, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lambert, N, Lan, Q, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Lavados, PM, Laxmaiah, A, Lee, PH, Leigh, J, Leung, J ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5816-2959, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, Y, Liao, Y, Liben, ML, Lim, SS, Linn, S, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, S, Lodha, R, Logroscino, G, Lorch, SA, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Ma, S, Macarayan, ERK, Machado, IE, Mackay, MT, Abd el Razek, MM, Magis-Rodriguez, C, Mahdavi, M, Majdan, M, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malhotra, R, Malta, DC, Mantovani, LG, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, CC, Marczak, LB, Marks, GB ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8976-8053, Martinez-Raga, J, Martins-Melo, FR, Massano, J, Maulik, PK ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6835-6175, Mayosi, BM, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, McGarvey, ST, McGrath, JJ, Mckee, M, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, MM, Mehta, KM, Meier, T, Mekonnen, TC, Meles, KG, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Tadese, D, Menon, MGR, Menota, BG, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Micha, R, Mikesell, J, Miller, TR, Mills, EJ, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Misganaw, A, Mishra, SR, Mohammad, KA, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, KESM, Mohan, MBV, Mohanty, SK, Mokdad, AH, Assaye, AM, Mollenkopf, SK, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Hernandez, JCM, Montico, M, Mooney, MD, Moore, AR, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Velasquez, IM, Mori, R, Morrison, SD, Mruts, KB, Mueller, UO, Mullany, E, Muller, K, Venkata, G, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Nachega, JB, Nagata, C, Nagel, G, Naghavi, M, Naidoo, KS ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8261-9779, Nanda, L, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Natarajan, G, Negoi, I, Cuong, TN, Ningrum, DNA, Nisar, MI, Nomura, M, Vuong, MN, Norheim, OF, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Nyakarahuka, L, Obermeyer, CM, O'Donnell, MJ, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Okoro, A, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, AT, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Osgood-Zimmerman, A, Ota, E, Owolabi, MO, Oyekale, AS, Pa, M, Pacella, RE, Pakhale, S, Pana, A, Panda, BK, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E-K, Parsaeian, M, Patel, T, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Paudel, D, Pereira, DM, Perez-Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pervaiz, A, Pesudovs, K ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Peterson, CB, Petri, WA, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Piel, FB, Pigott, DM, Pishgar, F, Plass, D, Polinder, S, Popova, S, Postma, MJ, Poulton, RG, Pourmalek, F, Prasad, N, Purwar, M, Qorbani, M, Rabiee, RHS, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Ranabhat, CL, Rao, PV, Rawaf, S, Ray, SE, Rego, MAS, Rehm, J, Reiner, RC, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Resnikoff, S ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4446, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Ribeiro, AL, Rokni, MB, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roth, GA, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, A, Rubagotti, E, Ruhago, GM, Saadat, S, Sabde, YD, Sachdev, PS ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-3220, Sadat, N, Safdarian, M, Safiri, SSS, Sagar, R, Sahathevan, R, Sahebkar, A, Sahraian, MA, Salama, J, Salamati, P, Salomon, JA, Salvi, SS, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sanchez-Nino, MD, Santos, IS, Milicevic, MMS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saxena, S, Saylan, MI, Schmidt, MI, Schneider, IJC, Schutte, AE ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Schwebel, DC, Schwendicke, F, Seedat, S, Seid, AM, Sepanlou, SG, Servan-Mori, EE, Shackelford, KA, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, MA, Shamsipour, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Islam, SMS, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Shen, J, Shetty, BP, Shi, P, Shibuya, K, Shigematsu, M, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Shrime, MG, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silberberg, DH, Silpakit, N, Silva, DAS, Silva, JP, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinha, DN, Skiadaresi, E, Sligar, A, Smith, DL, Sobaih, BHA, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sreeramareddy, CT, Srinivasan, V, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Stein, DJ, Steiner, C, Stockl, H, Stokes, MA, Strong, M, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sunguya, BF, Sur, PJ, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Szoeke, CEI, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tadakamadla, SK, Tadese, F, Tandon, N, Tanne, D, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, CL, Tesssema, B, Theis, A, Thomas, N, Thompson, AH, Thomson, AJ, Thrift, AG, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Topouzis, F, Tortajada, M, Tran, BX, Trujillo, TTU, Tsilimparis, N, Tuem, KB, Tuzcu, EM, Tyrovolas, S, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uthman, OA, Uzochukwu, BSC, van Boven, JFM, Varakin, YY, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Vasconcelos, AMN, Venketasubramanian, N, Vidavalur, R, Violante, FS, Vishnu, A, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Waid, JL, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Ye, P ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2924-1436, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yirsaw, BD, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yotebieng, M, Younis, MZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zeeb, H, Zenebe, ZM, Zerfu, TA, Zhang, AL, Zhang, X, Zodpey, S, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: Background: Detailed assessments of mortality patterns, particularly age-specific mortality, represent a crucial input that enables health systems to target interventions to specific populations. Understanding how all-cause mortality has changed with respect to development status can identify exemplars for best practice. To accomplish this, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) estimated age-specific and sex-specific all-cause mortality between 1970 and 2016 for 195 countries and territories and at the subnational level for the five countries with a population greater than 200 million in 2016. Methods: We have evaluated how well civil registration systems captured deaths using a set of demographic methods called death distribution methods for adults and from consideration of survey and census data for children younger than 5 years. We generated an overall assessment of completeness of registration of deaths by dividing registered deaths in each location-year by our estimate of all-age deaths generated from our overall estimation process. For 163 locations, including subnational units in countries with a population greater than 200 million with complete vital registration (VR) systems, our estimates were largely driven by the observed data, with corrections for small fluctuations in numbers and estimation for recent years where there were lags in data reporting (lags were variable by location, generally between 1 year and 6 years). For other locations, we took advantage of different data sources available to measure under-5 mortality rates (U5MR) using complete birth histories, summary birth histories, and incomplete VR with adjustments; we measured adult mortality rate (the probability of death in individuals aged 15-60 years) using adjusted incomplete VR, sibling histories, and household death recall. We used the U5MR and adult mortality rate, together with crude death rate due to HIV in the GBD model life table system, to
Published: 2017

32. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders during 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Feigin, V, Abajobir, A, Abate, K, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, A, Abera, S, Abyu, G, Ahmed, M, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Akinyemi, R, Alabed, S, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, A, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, S, Atey, T, Avila-Burgos, L, Frinel, E, Avokpaho, G, Barac, A, Barboza, M, Barker-Collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bennett, D, Bensenor, I, Berhane, A, Betsu, B, Bhaumik, S, Birlik, S, Biryukov, S, Boneya, D, Bulto, L, Carabin, H, Casey, D, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Catalá-López, F, Chen, H, Chitheer, A, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Veber, G, Dharmaratne, S, Do, H, Dokova, K, Dorsey, E, Ellenbogen, R, Eskandarieh, S, Farvid, M, Fereshtehnejad, S, Fischer, F, Foreman, K, Geleijnse, J, Gillum, R, Giussani, G, Gona, P, Goulart, A, Gugnani, H, Gupta, R, Hamadeh, R, Hambisa, M, Hankey, G, Hareri, H, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Heydarpour, P, Hotez, P, Jakovljevic, M, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, Jonas, J, Kalkonde, Y, Kandel, A, Karch, A, Kasaeian, A, Kastor, A, Keiyoro, P, Khader, Y, Khalil, I, Khan, E, Khang, Y, Tawfih, A, Khoja, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, Y, Kivimaki, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, R, Defo, B, Kumar, G, Kumar, R, Kyu, H, Larsson, A, Lavados, P, Li, Y, Liang, X, Liben, M, Lo, W, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, P, Loy, C, Mackay, M, El Razek, H, El Razek, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Manhertz, T, Mantovani, L, Massano, J, Mazidi, M, Mcalinden, C, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, M, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, M, Mensah, G, Meretoja, A, Mezgebe, H, Miller, T, Mishra, S, Ibrahim, N, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, K, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Velasquez, I, Musa, K, Naghavi, M, Ngunjiri, J, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, G, Le Nguyen, Q, Nguyen, T, Nichols, E, Ningrum, D, Nong, V, Norrving, B, Noubiap, J, Ogbo, F, Owolabi, M, Pandian, J, Petzold, M, Phillips, M, Piradov, M, Poulton, R, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rai, R, Rajsic, S, Ranta, A, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, A, Rezai, M, Roshandel, G, Rubagotti, E, Sachdev, P, Safiri, S, Sahathevan, R, Sahraian, M, Samy, A, Santalucia, P, Santos, I, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, M, Sepanlou, S, Shaikh, M, Shakir, R, Shamsizadeh, M, Sheth, K, Shigematsu, M, Shoman, H, Silva, D, Smith, M, Sobngwi, E, Sposato, L, Stein, D, Steiner, T, Stovner, L, Abdulkader, R, EI Szoeke, C, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tanne, D, Theadom, A, Thrift, A, Tirschwell, D, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, B, Truelsen, T, Tuem, K, Ukwaja, K, Uthman, O, Varakin, Y, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, V, Wadilo, F, Wakayo, T, Wallin, M, Weiderpass, E, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wiysonge, C, Woldu, M, Wolfe, C, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yano, Y, Yimam, H, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zunt, J, Murray, C, Vos, T, Feigin, VL, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abyu, GY, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, MTE, Akinyemi, RO, Amare, AT, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, GA, Barker-Collo, SL, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Betsu, BD, Birlik, SM, Boneya, DJ, Bulto, LNB, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Chitheer, AA, Veber, GA, Dharmaratne, SD, Do, HP, Dorsey, ER, Ellenbogen, RG, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Foreman, KJ, Geleijnse, JM, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Goulart, AC, Gugnani, HC, Hamadeh, RR, Hankey, GJ, Hareri, HA, Hay, SI, Hotez, PJ, Jakovljevic, MMB, Jonas, JB, Keiyoro, PN, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khang, YH, Kim, YJ, Krishnamurthi, RV, Defo, BK, Kumar, GA, Kyu, HH, Lavados, PM, Liben, ML, Lo, WD, Lotufo, PA, Loy, CT, Mackay, MT, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Mantovani, LG, McAlinden, C, Mehndiratta, MM, Memish, ZA, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mishra, SR, Ibrahim, NM, Mohammed, KE, Mokdad, AH, Velasquez, IM, Musa, KI, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, TH, Ningrum, DNA, Nong, VM, Noubiap, JJN, Ogbo, FA, Owolabi, MO, Pandian, JD, Phillips, MR, Piradov, MA, Poulton, RG, Rahman, MH, Rai, RK, Renzaho, AMN, Rezai, MS, Sahraian, MA, Samy, AM, Santos, IS, Saylan, MI, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Sheth, KN, Silva, DAS, Sposato, LA, Stein, DJ, Steiner, TJ, Stovner, LJ, Abdulkader, RS, Theadom, AM, Thrift, AG, Tirschwell, DL, Tran, BX, Tuem, KB, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Varakin, YY, Vlassov, VV, Wallin, MT, Wiysonge, CS, Woldu, MA, Wolfe, CDA, Yimam, HH, Zunt, JR, Murray, CJL, Feigin, V, Abajobir, A, Abate, K, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, A, Abera, S, Abyu, G, Ahmed, M, Aichour, A, Aichour, I, Aichour, M, Akinyemi, R, Alabed, S, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, A, Ansari, H, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, S, Atey, T, Avila-Burgos, L, Frinel, E, Avokpaho, G, Barac, A, Barboza, M, Barker-Collo, S, Bärnighausen, T, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bennett, D, Bensenor, I, Berhane, A, Betsu, B, Bhaumik, S, Birlik, S, Biryukov, S, Boneya, D, Bulto, L, Carabin, H, Casey, D, Castañeda-Orjuela, C, Catalá-López, F, Chen, H, Chitheer, A, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Veber, G, Dharmaratne, S, Do, H, Dokova, K, Dorsey, E, Ellenbogen, R, Eskandarieh, S, Farvid, M, Fereshtehnejad, S, Fischer, F, Foreman, K, Geleijnse, J, Gillum, R, Giussani, G, Gona, P, Goulart, A, Gugnani, H, Gupta, R, Hamadeh, R, Hambisa, M, Hankey, G, Hareri, H, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Heydarpour, P, Hotez, P, Jakovljevic, M, Javanbakht, M, Jeemon, P, Jonas, J, Kalkonde, Y, Kandel, A, Karch, A, Kasaeian, A, Kastor, A, Keiyoro, P, Khader, Y, Khalil, I, Khan, E, Khang, Y, Tawfih, A, Khoja, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, D, Kim, Y, Kivimaki, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, R, Defo, B, Kumar, G, Kumar, R, Kyu, H, Larsson, A, Lavados, P, Li, Y, Liang, X, Liben, M, Lo, W, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, P, Loy, C, Mackay, M, El Razek, H, El Razek, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Manhertz, T, Mantovani, L, Massano, J, Mazidi, M, Mcalinden, C, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, M, Memish, Z, Mendoza, W, Mengistie, M, Mensah, G, Meretoja, A, Mezgebe, H, Miller, T, Mishra, S, Ibrahim, N, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, K, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Velasquez, I, Musa, K, Naghavi, M, Ngunjiri, J, Nguyen, C, Nguyen, G, Le Nguyen, Q, Nguyen, T, Nichols, E, Ningrum, D, Nong, V, Norrving, B, Noubiap, J, Ogbo, F, Owolabi, M, Pandian, J, Petzold, M, Phillips, M, Piradov, M, Poulton, R, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahman, M, Rai, R, Rajsic, S, Ranta, A, Rawaf, S, Renzaho, A, Rezai, M, Roshandel, G, Rubagotti, E, Sachdev, P, Safiri, S, Sahathevan, R, Sahraian, M, Samy, A, Santalucia, P, Santos, I, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, M, Sepanlou, S, Shaikh, M, Shakir, R, Shamsizadeh, M, Sheth, K, Shigematsu, M, Shoman, H, Silva, D, Smith, M, Sobngwi, E, Sposato, L, Stein, D, Steiner, T, Stovner, L, Abdulkader, R, EI Szoeke, C, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tanne, D, Theadom, A, Thrift, A, Tirschwell, D, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, B, Truelsen, T, Tuem, K, Ukwaja, K, Uthman, O, Varakin, Y, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, V, Wadilo, F, Wakayo, T, Wallin, M, Weiderpass, E, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wiysonge, C, Woldu, M, Wolfe, C, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yano, Y, Yimam, H, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zunt, J, Murray, C, Vos, T, Feigin, VL, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abyu, GY, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, MTE, Akinyemi, RO, Amare, AT, Asgedom, SW, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, GA, Barker-Collo, SL, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Betsu, BD, Birlik, SM, Boneya, DJ, Bulto, LNB, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Chitheer, AA, Veber, GA, Dharmaratne, SD, Do, HP, Dorsey, ER, Ellenbogen, RG, Farvid, MS, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Foreman, KJ, Geleijnse, JM, Gillum, RF, Gona, PN, Goulart, AC, Gugnani, HC, Hamadeh, RR, Hankey, GJ, Hareri, HA, Hay, SI, Hotez, PJ, Jakovljevic, MMB, Jonas, JB, Keiyoro, PN, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khang, YH, Kim, YJ, Krishnamurthi, RV, Defo, BK, Kumar, GA, Kyu, HH, Lavados, PM, Liben, ML, Lo, WD, Lotufo, PA, Loy, CT, Mackay, MT, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Mantovani, LG, McAlinden, C, Mehndiratta, MM, Memish, ZA, Mengistie, MA, Mensah, GA, Mezgebe, HB, Miller, TR, Mishra, SR, Ibrahim, NM, Mohammed, KE, Mokdad, AH, Velasquez, IM, Musa, KI, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, TH, Ningrum, DNA, Nong, VM, Noubiap, JJN, Ogbo, FA, Owolabi, MO, Pandian, JD, Phillips, MR, Piradov, MA, Poulton, RG, Rahman, MH, Rai, RK, Renzaho, AMN, Rezai, MS, Sahraian, MA, Samy, AM, Santos, IS, Saylan, MI, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Sheth, KN, Silva, DAS, Sposato, LA, Stein, DJ, Steiner, TJ, Stovner, LJ, Abdulkader, RS, Theadom, AM, Thrift, AG, Tirschwell, DL, Tran, BX, Tuem, KB, Ukwaja, KN, Uthman, OA, Varakin, YY, Vlassov, VV, Wallin, MT, Wiysonge, CS, Woldu, MA, Wolfe, CDA, Yimam, HH, Zunt, JR, and Murray, CJL
Abstract: Background Comparable data on the global and country-specific burden of neurological disorders and their trends are crucial for health-care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study provides such information but does not routinely aggregate results that are of interest to clinicians specialising in neurological conditions. In this systematic analysis, we quantified the global disease burden due to neurological disorders in 2015 and its relationship with country development level. Methods We estimated global and country-specific prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) for various neurological disorders that in the GBD classification have been previously spread across multiple disease groupings. The more inclusive grouping of neurological disorders included stroke, meningitis, encephalitis, tetanus, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, epilepsy, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron disease, migraine, tension-type headache, medication overuse headache, brain and nervous system cancers, and a residual category of other neurological disorders. We also analysed results based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a compound measure of income per capita, education, and fertility, to identify patterns associated with development and how countries fare against expected outcomes relative to their level of development. Findings Neurological disorders ranked as the leading cause group of DALYs in 2015 (250·7 [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 229·1 to 274·7] million, comprising 10·2% of global DALYs) and the second-leading cause group of deaths (9·4 [9·1 to 9·7] million], comprising 16·8% of global deaths). The most prevalent neurological disorders were tension-type headache (1505·9 [UI 1337·3 to 1681·6 million cases]), migraine (958·8 [872·1 to 1055·6] million), medication overuse headache (58·5 [50·8 to 67·4 mil
Published: 2017

33. Erratum: Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (The Lancet (2017) 390(10100) (1423–1459) (S

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Stokes, Mark, Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, and Stokes, Mark
Published: 2017

34. Erratum:Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (The Lancet (2017) 390(10100) (1423–1459) (S0

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Stokes, Mark, Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, and Stokes, Mark
Published: 2017

35. Department of Error.

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, and Brauer, M
Published: 2017

36. Global, regional, and national deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years, and years lived with disability for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Soriano, JB, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abera, SF, Agrawal, A, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amberbir, A, Amoako, YA, Ansha, MG, Anto, JM, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Barac, A, Basu, S, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Biryukov, S, Boneya, DJ, Brauer, M, Carpenter, DO, Casey, D, Christopher, DJ, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Huyen, PD, Fischer, F, Geleto, A, Ghoshal, AG, Gillum, RF, Ginawi, IAM, Gupta, V, Hay, SI, Hedayati, MT, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Jakovljevic, MMB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Knibbs, LD, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Kumar, GA, Leshargie, CT, Liang, X, Abd El Razek, HM, Majeed, A, Malta, DC, Manhertz, T, Marquez, N, Mehari, A, Mensah, GA, Miller, TR, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, KE, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Naghavi, M, Cuong, TN, Nguyen, G, Quyen, LN, Trang, HN, Ningrum, DNA, Vuong, MN, Obi, JI, Odeyemi, YE, Ogbo, FA, Oren, E, Mahesh, PA, Park, E-K, Patton, GC, Paulson, K, Qorbani, M, Quansah, R, Rafay, A, Rahman, MHU, Rai, RK, Rawaf, S, Reinig, N, Safiri, S, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Shigematsu, M, Smith, M, Tadese, F, Thurston, GD, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, van Boven, JFM, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wan, X, Werdecker, A, Hanson, SW, Yano, Y, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Murray, CJL, Vos, T, Soriano, JB, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abera, SF, Agrawal, A, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alkaabi, JM, Al-Maskari, F, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amberbir, A, Amoako, YA, Ansha, MG, Anto, JM, Asayesh, H, Atey, TM, Avokpaho, EFGA, Barac, A, Basu, S, Bedi, N, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Beyene, AS, Bhutta, ZA, Biryukov, S, Boneya, DJ, Brauer, M, Carpenter, DO, Casey, D, Christopher, DJ, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Huyen, PD, Fischer, F, Geleto, A, Ghoshal, AG, Gillum, RF, Ginawi, IAM, Gupta, V, Hay, SI, Hedayati, MT, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Jakovljevic, MMB, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Knibbs, LD, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Kumar, GA, Leshargie, CT, Liang, X, Abd El Razek, HM, Majeed, A, Malta, DC, Manhertz, T, Marquez, N, Mehari, A, Mensah, GA, Miller, TR, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, KE, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Naghavi, M, Cuong, TN, Nguyen, G, Quyen, LN, Trang, HN, Ningrum, DNA, Vuong, MN, Obi, JI, Odeyemi, YE, Ogbo, FA, Oren, E, Mahesh, PA, Park, E-K, Patton, GC, Paulson, K, Qorbani, M, Quansah, R, Rafay, A, Rahman, MHU, Rai, RK, Rawaf, S, Reinig, N, Safiri, S, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Shigematsu, M, Smith, M, Tadese, F, Thurston, GD, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Ukwaja, KN, van Boven, JFM, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wan, X, Werdecker, A, Hanson, SW, Yano, Y, Yimam, HH, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Murray, CJL, and Vos, T
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma are common diseases with a heterogeneous distribution worldwide. Here, we present methods and disease and risk estimates for COPD and asthma from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 study. The GBD study provides annual updates on estimates of deaths, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a summary measure of fatal and non-fatal disease outcomes, for over 300 diseases and injuries, for 188 countries from 1990 to the most recent year. METHODS: We estimated numbers of deaths due to COPD and asthma using the GBD Cause of Death Ensemble modelling (CODEm) tool. First, we analysed data from vital registration and verbal autopsy for the aggregate category of all chronic respiratory diseases. Subsequently, models were run for asthma and COPD relying on covariates to predict rates in countries that have incomplete or no vital registration data. Disease estimates for COPD and asthma were based on systematic reviews of published papers, unpublished reports, surveys, and health service encounter data from the USA. We used the Global Initiative of Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease spirometry-based definition as the reference for COPD and a reported diagnosis of asthma with current wheeze as the definition of asthma. We used a Bayesian meta-regression tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, to derive estimates of prevalence and incidence. We estimated population-attributable fractions for risk factors for COPD and asthma from exposure data, relative risks, and a theoretical minimum exposure level. Results were stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite measure of income per capita, mean years of education over the age of 15 years, and total fertility rate. FINDINGS: In 2015, 3·2 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1 million to 3·3 million) died from COPD worldwide, an increase of 11·6% (95% UI 5·3 to 19·8) compared with 1990. There was a decrease in age-stan
Published: 2017

37. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 (vol 390, pg 1423, 2017)

Author: Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, Brauer, M, Fullman, N, Barber, RM, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulkader, RS, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Ahmad Kiadaliri, A, Ahmadieh, H, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, MTE, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aiyar, S, Akinyemi, RO, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Alene, KA, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Ansari, H, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arora, M, Artaman, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Bannick, MS, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, T, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Battle, KE, Baune, BT, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabé, E, Betsu, BD, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhatt, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bicer, BK, Bidgoli, HH, Bikbov, B, Bilal, AI, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bizuayehu, HM, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Bose, D, Bou-Orm, IR, and Brauer, M
Published: 2017

38. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Nancy, Fullman, Jamal, Yearwood, Solomon, M, Abay, Cristiana, Abbafati, Foad, Abd-Allah, Jemal, Abdela, Ahmed, Abdelalim, Zegeye, Abebe, Teshome, Abuka, Abebo, Victor, Aboyans, Haftom, Niguse, Abraha, Daisy, M, X, Abreu, Laith, Abu-Raddad, J, Akilew, Awoke, Adane, Rufus, Adesoji, Adedoyin, Olatunji, Adetokunboh, Tara, Ballav, Adhikari, Mohsen, Afarideh, Ashkan, Afshin, Gina, Agarwal, Dominic, Agius, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Agrawal, Aliasghar, Ahmad, Kiadaliri, Miloud, Taki, Eddine, Aichour, Mohammed, Akibu, Rufus, Olusola, Akinyemi, Tomi, Akinyemiju, F, Nadia, Akseer, Faris, Hasan, Lami, Al, Fares, Alahdab, Ziyad, Al-Aly, Khurshid, Alam, Tahiya, Alam, Deena, Alasfoor, Mohammed, I, Albittar, Kefyalew, Addis, Alene, Ayman, Al-Eyadhy, Syed, Danish, Ali, Mehran, Alijanzadeh, Syed, M, Aljunid, Ala’A, Alkerwi, François, Alla, Peter, Allebeck, Christine, Allen, Mahmoud, A, Alomari, Rajaa, Al-Raddadi, Ubai, Alsharif, Khalid, A, Altirkawi, Nelson, Alvis-Guzman, Azmeraw, T, Amare, Kebede, Amenu, Walid, Ammar, Yaw, Ampem, Amoako, Nahla, Anber, Catalina, Liliana, Andrei, Sofia, Androudi, Carl, Abelardo, Antonio, T, Valdelaine, E, Araújo, M, Olatunde, Aremu, Johan, Ärnlöv, Artaman, Al, Krishna, Kumar, Aryal, Hamid, Asayesh, Ephrem, Tsegay, Asfaw, Solomon, Weldegebreal, Asgedom, Rana, Jawad, Asghar, Mengistu, Mitiku, Ashebir, Netsanet, Abera, Asseffa, Tesfay, Mehari, Atey, Sachin, R, Atre, Madhu, Atteraya, S, Leticia, Avila-Burgos, Euripide, Frinel, Arthur, G, Avokpaho, Ashish, Awasthi, Beatriz, Paulina, Ayala, Quintanilla, Animut, Alebel, Ayalew, Henok, Tadesse, Ayele, Rakesh, Ayer, Tambe, Betrand, Ayuk, Peter, Azzopardi, Natasha, Azzopardi-Muscat, Tesleem, Kayode, Babalola, Hamid, Badali, Alaa, Badawi, Maciej, Banach, Amitava, Banerjee, Amrit, Banstola, Ryan, M, Barber, Miguel, Barboza, A, Suzanne, L, Barker-Collo, Till, Bärnighausen, Simon, Barquera, Lope, H, Barrero, Quique, Bassat, Sanjay, Basu, Bernhard, T, Baune, Shahrzad, Bazargan-Hejazi, Neeraj, Bedi, Ettore, Beghi, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Behzadifar, Bayu, Begashaw, Bekele, Abate, Bekele, Belachew, Saba, Abraham, Belay, Yihalem, Abebe, Belay, Michelle, L, Bell, Aminu, Bello, K, Derrick, A, Bennett, James, Bennett, R, Isabela, M, Bensenor, Derbew, Fikadu, Berhe, Eduardo, Bernabé, Robert, Steven, Bernstein, Mircea, Beuran, Ashish, Bhalla, Paurvi, Bhatt, Soumyadeep, Bhaumik, Zulfiqar, A, Bhutta, Belete, Biadgo, Ali, Bijani, Boris, Bikbov, Charles, Birungi, Stan, Biryukov, Hailemichael, Bizuneh, Ian, W, Bolliger, Kaylin, Bolt, Ibrahim, R, Bou-Orm, Kayvan, Bozorgmehr, Oliver, Jerome, Brady, Alexandra, Brazinova, Nicholas, J, Breitborde, K, Hermann, Brenner, Gabrielle, Britton, Traolach, S, Brugha, Zahid, Butt, A, Lucero, Cahuana-Hurtado, Ismael, Ricardo, Campos-Nonato, Julio, Cesar, Campuzano, Josip, Car, Mate, Car, Rosario, Cárdenas, Juan, Jesus, Carrero, Felix, Carvalho, Carlos, A, Castañeda-Orjuela, Jacqueline, Castillo, Rivas, Ferrán, Catalá-López, Kelly, Cercy, Julian, Chalek, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-Chen, Chang, Aparajita, Chattopadhyay, Pankaj, Chaturvedi, Peggy, Pei-Chia, Chiang, Vesper, Hichilombwe, Chisumpa, Jee-Young, J, Choi, Hanne, Christensen, Devasahayam, Jesudas, Christopher, Sheng-Chia, Chung, Liliana, G, Ciobanu, Cirillo, Massimo, Danny, Colombara, Sara, Conti, Cyrus, Cooper, Leslie, Cornaby, Paolo, Angelo, Cortesi, Monica, Cortinovis, Alexandre, Costa, Pereira, Ewerton, Cousin, Michael, H, Criqui, Elizabeth, Cromwell, A, Christopher, Stephen, Crowe, John, Crump, A, Alemneh, Kabeta, Daba, Berihun, Assefa, Dachew, Abel, Fekadu, Dadi, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Dandona, Paul, I, Dargan, Ahmad, Daryani, Maryam, Daryani, Jai, Das, Siddharth, Kumar, Das, José, Das, Neves, Nicole, Davis, Weaver, Kairat, Davletov, Barbora, De, Courten, Diego, Leo, De, Jan-Walter, De, Neve, Robert, Dellavalle, P, Gebre, Demoz, Kebede, Deribe, Don, C, Des, Jarlais, Subhojit, Dey, Samath, D, Dharmaratne, Meghnath, Dhimal, Shirin, Djalalinia, David, Teye, Doku, Kate, Dolan, Ray, E, Dorsey, Kadine, Priscila, Bender, Dos, Santos, Kerrie, E, Doyle, Tim, Driscoll, R, Manisha, Dubey, Eleonora, Dubljanin, Bruce, Bartholow, Duncan, Michelle, Echko, Dumessa, Edessa, David, Edvardsson, Joshua, R, Ehrlich, Erika, Eldrenkamp, Ziad, El-Khatib, Matthias, Endres, Aman, Yesuf, Endries, Babak, Eshrati, Sharareh, Eskandarieh, Alireza, Esteghamati, Mahdi, Fakhar, Tamer, Farag, Mahbobeh, Faramarzi, Emerito, Jose, Aquino, Faraon, André, Faro, Farshad, Farzadfar, Adesegun, Fatusi, Mir, Sohail, Fazeli, Valery, Feigin, L, Andrea, B, Feigl, Netsanet, Fentahun, Seyed-Mohammad, Fereshtehnejad, Eduarda, Fernandes, João, C, Fernandes, Daniel, Obadare, Fijabi, Irina, Filip, Florian, Fischer, Christina, Fitzmaurice, Abraham, D, Flaxman, Luisa, Sorio, Flor, Nataliya, Foigt, Kyle, J, Foreman, Joseph, Frostad, J, Thomas, Fürst, Neal, D, Futran, Emmanuela, Gakidou, Silvano, Gallus, Ketevan, Gambashidze, Amiran, Gamkrelidze, Morsaleh, Ganji, Abadi, Kahsu, Gebre, Tsegaye, Tewelde, Gebrehiwot, Amanuel, Tesfay, Gebremedhin, Yalemzewod, Assefa, Gelaw, Johanna, M, Geleijnse, Demeke, Geremew, Peter, W, Gething, Reza, Ghadimi, Khalil, Ghasemi, Falavarjani, Maryam, Ghasemi-Kasman, Paramjit, Singh, Gill, Ababi, Zergaw, Giref, Maurice, Giroud, Melkamu, Dedefo, Gishu, Giorgia, Giussani, William, W, Godwin, Srinivas, Goli, Hector, Gomez-Dantes, Philimon, N, Gona, Amador, Goodridge, Sameer, Vali, Gopalani, Yevgeniy, Goryakin, Alessandra, Carvalho, Goulart, Ayman, Grada, Max, Griswold, Giuseppe, Grosso, Harish, Chander, Gugnani, Yuming, Guo, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Tanush, Gupta, Tarun, Gupta, Vipin, Gupta, Juanita, A, Haagsma, Vladimir, Hachinski, Nima, Hafezi-Nejad, Gessessew, Bugssa, Hailu, Randah, Ribhi, Hamadeh, Samer, Hamidi, Graeme, J, Hankey, Hilda, Harb, L, Heather, C, Harewood, Sivadasanpillai, Harikrishnan, Josep, Maria, Haro, Hamid, Yimam, Hassen, Rasmus, Havmoeller, Caitlin, Hawley, Simon, I, Hay, Jiawei, He, Stephen, J, Hearps, C, Mohamed, I, Hegazy, Behzad, Heibati, Mohsen, Heidari, Delia, Hendrie, Nathaniel, J, Henry, Victor, Hugo, Herrera, Ballesteros, Claudiu, Herteliu, Desalegn, Tsegaw, Hibstu, Molla, Kahssay, Hiluf, Hans, W, Hoek, Enayatollah, Homaie, Rad, Nobuyuki, Horita, Dean, H, Hosgood, Mostafa, Hosseini, Seyed, Reza, Hosseini, Mihaela, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hostiuc, Damian, G, Hoy, Mohamed, Hsairi, Aung, Soe, Htet, Guoqing, Hu, John, J, Huang, Kim, Moesgaard, Iburg, Fachmi, Idris, Ehimario, Uche, Igumbor, Chad, Ikeda, Bogdan, Vasile, Ileanu, Olayinka, Ilesanmi, S, Kaire, Innos, Seyed, Sina, Naghibi, Irvani, Caleb, M, Irvine, S, Farhad, Islami, Troy, A, Jacobs, Kathryn, Jacobsen, H, Nader, Jahanmehr, Rajesh, Jain, Sudhir, Kumar, Jain, Mihajlo, Jakovljevic, M, Moti, Tolera, Jalu, Amr, Jamal, A, Mehdi, Javanbakht, Achala, Upendra, Jayatilleke, Panniyammakal, Jeemon, Ravi, Prakash, Jha, Vivekanand, Jha, Jacek, Józwiak, Oommen, John, Sarah, Charlotte, Johnson, Jost, Jonas, B, Vasna, Joshua, Mikk, Jürisson, Zubair, Kabir, Rajendra, Kadel, Amaha, Kahsay, Rizwan, Kalani, Chittaranjan, Kar, Marina, Karanikolos, André, Karch, Corine, Kakizi, Karema, Seyed, Karimi, M, Amir, Kasaeian, Dessalegn, Haile, Kassa, Getachew, Mullu, Kassa, Tesfaye, Dessale, Kassa, Nicholas, Kassebaum, J, Srinivasa, Vittal, Katikireddi, Anil, Kaul, Norito, Kawakami, Konstantin, Kazanjan, Seifu, Kebede, Peter, Njenga, Keiyoro, Grant, Rodgers, Kemp, Andre, Pascal, Kengne, Maia, Kereselidze, Ezra, Belay, Ketema, Yousef, Saleh, Khader, Morteza, Abdullatif, Khafaie, Alireza, Khajavi, Ibrahim, A, Khalil, Ejaz, Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Nuruzzaman, Md, Khan, Muhammad, Ali, Khan, Mukti, Nath, Khanal, Young-Ho, Khang, Mona, M, Khater, Abdullah, Tawfih, Abdullah, Khoja, Ardeshir, Khosravi, Jagdish, Khubchandani, Getiye, Dejenu, Kibret, Daniel, Ngari, Kiirithio, Daniel, Kim, Yun, Jin, Kim, Ruth, Kimokoti, W, Yohannes, Kinfu, Sanjay, Kinra, Adnan, Kisa, Niranjan, Kissoon, Sonali, Kochhar, Yoshihiro, Kokubo, Jacek, A, Kopec, Soewarta, Kosen, Parvaiz, A, Koul, Koyanagi, Ai, Michael, Kravchenko, Kewal, Krishan, Kristopher, J, Krohn, Barthelemy, Kuate, Defo, Anil, G, Kumar, Pushpendra, Kumar, Michael, Kutz, Igor, Kuzin, Hmwe, H, Kyu, Deepesh, Pravinkumar, Lad, Alessandra, Lafranconi, Dharmesh, Kumar, Lal, Ratilal, Lalloo, Hilton, Lam, Qing, Lan, Justin, J, Lang, Van, Lansingh, C, Sonia, Lansky, Anders, Larsson, Arman, Latifi, Jeffrey, Victor, Lazarus, Janet, Leasher, L, Paul, H, Lee, Yirga, Legesse, James, Leigh, Cheru, Tesema, Leshargie, Samson, Leta, Janni, Leung, Ricky, Leung, Miriam, Levi, Yongmei, Li, Juan, Liang, Misgan, Legesse, Liben, Lee-Ling, Lim, Stephen, S, Lim, Margaret, Lind, Shai, Linn, Stefan, Listl, Patrick, Y, Liu, Shiwei, Liu, Rakesh, Lodha, Alan, D, Lopez, Scott, Lorch, A, Stefan, Lorkowski, Paulo, A, Lotufo, Timothy, C, D, Lucas, Raimundas, Lunevicius, Grégoire, Lurton, Ronan, A, Lyons, Fadi, Maalouf, Erlyn, Rachelle, King, Macarayan, Mark, T, Mackay, Emilie, Maddison, R, Fabiana, Madotto, Hassan, Magdy, Abd, El, Razek, Mohammed, Magdy, Abd, Razek, El, Marek, Majdan, Reza, Majdzadeh, Azeem, Majeed, Reza, Malekzadeh, Rajesh, Malhotra, Deborah, Carvalho, Malta, Abdullah, Mamun, A, Helena, Manguerra, Treh, Manhertz, Mohammad, Ali, Mansournia, Lorenzo, Mantovani, G, Tsegahun, Manyazewal, Chabila, C, Mapoma, Christopher, Margono, Jose, Martinez-Raga, Sheila, Cristina, Ouriques, Martins, Francisco, Rogerlândio, Martins-Melo, Ira, Martopullo, Winfried, März, Benjamin, Ballard, Massenburg, Manu, Raj, Mathur, Pallab, K, Maulik, Mohsen, Mazidi, Colm, Mcalinden, Mcgrath, Martin, Mckee, Suresh, Mehata, Ravi, Mehrotra, Kala, M, Mehta, Varshil, Mehta, Toni, Meier, Fabiola, Mejia-Rodriguez, Kidanu, Gebremariam, Meles, Mulugeta, Melku, Peter, Memiah, Ziad, A, Memish, Walter, Mendoza, Degu, Abate, Mengiste, Desalegn, Tadese, Mengistu, Bereket, Gebremichael, Menota, George, Mensah, A, Atte, Meretoja, Tuomo, J, Meretoja, Haftay, Berhane, Mezgebe, Tomasz, Miazgowski, Renata, Micha, Robert, Milam, Anoushka, Millear, Ted, R, Miller, Mini, Gk, Shawn, Minnig, Andreea, Mirica, Erkin, M, Mirrakhimov, Awoke, Misganaw, Philip, B, Mitchell, Fitsum, Weldegebreal, Mlashu, Babak, Moazen, Karzan, Abdulmuhsin, Mohammad, Roghayeh, Mohammadibakhsh, Ebrahim, Mohammed, Mohammed, A, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohammed, Ali, H, Mokdad, Glen, Liddell, D, Mola, Mariam, Molokhia, Fatemeh, Momeniha, Lorenzo, Monasta, Julio, Cesar, Montañez, Hernandez, Mahmood, Moosazadeh, Maziar, Moradi-Lakeh, Paula, Moraga, Lidia, Morawska, Ilais, Moreno, Velasquez, Rintaro, Mori, Shane, D, Morrison, Mark, Moses, Seyyed, Meysam, Mousavi, Ulrich, Mueller, O, Manoj, Murhekar, Gudlavalleti, Venkata, Satyanarayana, Murthy, Srinivas, Murthy, Jonah, Musa, Kamarul, Imran, Musa, Ghulam, Mustafa, Saravanan, Muthupandian, Chie, Nagata, Gabriele, Nagel, Mohsen, Naghavi, Aliya, Naheed, Gurudatta, A, Naik, Nitish, Naik, Farid, Najafi, Luigi, Naldi, Vinay, Nangia, Jobert, Richie, Njingang, Nansseu, K, M, Venkat, Narayan, Bruno, Ramos, Nascimento, Ionut, Negoi, 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Sd, Aljunid, Sm, Alomari, Ma, Altirkawi, Ka, Amare, At, Amoako, Ya, Andrei, Cl, Antonio, Cat, Araújo, Vem, Aryal, Kk, Asfaw, Et, Asgedom, Sw, Asghar, Rj, Ashebir, Mm, Asseffa, Na, Atey, Tm, Atre, Sr, Avokpaho, Efga, Ayala Quintanilla, Bp, Ayalew, Aa, Ayele, Ht, Ayuk, Tb, Babalola, Tk, Barber, Rm, Barboza, Ma, Barker-Collo, Sl, Barrero, Lh, Baune, Bt, Bekele, Bb, Belachew, Ab, Belay, Sa, Belay, Ya, Bell, Ml, Bello, Ak, Bennett, Da, Bennett, Jr, Bensenor, Im, Berhe, Df, Bhutta, Za, Bolliger, Iw, Bou-Orm, Ir, Brady, Oj, Breitborde, Njk, Butt, Za, Campos-Nonato, Ir, Campuzano, Jc, Carrero, Jj, Castañeda-Orjuela, Ca, Chang, Hy, Chang, Jc, Chiang, Pp, Chisumpa, Vh, Choi, Jj, Christopher, Dj, Chung, Sc, Ciobanu, Lg, Cortesi, Pa, Criqui, Mh, Cromwell, Ea, Crump, Ja, Daba, Ak, Dachew, Ba, Dadi, Af, Dargan, Pi, Das, Sk, De Neve, Jw, Dellavalle, Rp, Des Jarlais, Dc, Dharmaratne, Sd, Doku, Dt, Dorsey, Er, Dos Santos, Kpb, Doyle, Ke, Driscoll, Tr, Duncan, Bb, Ehrlich, Jr, El-Khatib, Zz, Endries, 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Subjects: Peformance, Coverage, Dánartíðni, Lífslíkur, Life expectancy, GBD, Background A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016. Methods Drawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0–100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best), universal health coverage, Article, access quality health care, health care access and quality index, Nations, Healthcare Acce, Cause-specific mortality, Psychology, Healthcare Access and Quality Index, Mælitæki, States, Medicine (all), Health care, Þjóðir, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Quality, Heilbrigðisþjónusta, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Sálfræði, Indicator, Amenable mortality, Transition, we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0–100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita. Findings In 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97·1 (95% UI 95·8–98·1) in Iceland, followed by 96·6 (94·9–97·9) in Norway and 96·1 (94·5–97·3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18·6 (13·1–24·4) in the Central African Republic, 19·0 (14·3–23·7) in Somalia, and 23·4 (20·2–26·8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91·5 (89·1–93·6) in Beijing to 48·0 (43·4–53·2) in Tibet (a 43·5-point difference), while India saw a 30·8-point disparity, from 64·8 (59·6–68·8) in Goa to 34·0 (30·3–38·1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4·8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20·9-point to 17·0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17·2-point to 20·4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle-SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage hinges upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view—and subsequent provision—of quality health care for all populations, Trends, Inequalities
Abstract: Background A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016. Methods Drawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best); we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0-100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita. Findings In 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97.1 (95% UI 95.8-98.1) in Iceland, followed by 96.6 (94.9-97.9) in Norway and 96.1 (94.5-97.3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18.6 (13.1-24.4) in the Central African Republic, 19.0 (14.3-23.7) in Somalia, and 23.4 (20.2-26.8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91.5 (89.1-936) in Beijing to 48.0 (43.4-53.2) in Tibet (a 43.5-point difference), while India saw a 30.8-point disparity, from 64.8 (59.6-68.8) in Goa to 34.0 (30.3-38.1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4.8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20.9-point to 17.0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17.2-point to 20.4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle-SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view and subsequent provision of quality health care for all populations., Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Barbora de Courten is supported by a National Heart Foundation Future Leader Fellowship (100864). Ai Koyanagi’s work is supported by the Miguel Servet contract financed by the CP13/00150 and PI15/00862 projects, integrated into the National R + D + I and funded by the ISCIII —General Branch Evaluation and Promotion of Health Research—and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF-FEDER). Alberto Ortiz was supported by Spanish Government (Instituto de Salud Carlos III RETIC REDINREN RD16/0019 FEDER funds). Ashish Awasthi acknowledges funding support from Department of Science and Technology, Government of India through INSPIRE Faculty scheme Boris Bikbov has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 703226. Boris Bikbov acknowledges that work related to this paper has been done on the behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group. Panniyammakal Jeemon acknowledges support from the clinical and public health intermediate fellowship from the Wellcome Trust and Department of Biotechnology, India Alliance (2015–20). Job F M van Boven was supported by the Department of Clinical Pharmacy & Pharmacology of the University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Netherlands. Olanrewaju Oladimeji is an African Research Fellow hosted by Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC), South Africa and he also has honorary affiliations with Walter Sisulu University (WSU), Eastern Cape, South Africa and School of Public Health, University of Namibia (UNAM), Namibia. He is indeed grateful for support from HSRC, WSU and UNAM. EUI is supported in part by the South African National Research Foundation (NRF UID: 86003). Ulrich Mueller acknowledges funding by the German National Cohort Study grant No 01ER1511/D, Gabrielle B Britton is supported by Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación and Sistema Nacional de Investigación de Panamá. Giuseppe Remuzzi acknowledges that the work related to this paper has been done on behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group. Behzad Heibati would like to acknowledge Air pollution Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences (IUMS), Tehran, Iran. Syed Aljunid acknowledges the National University of Malaysia for providing the approval to participate in this GBD Project. Azeem Majeed and Imperial College London are grateful for support from the Northwest London National Insititute of Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research & Care. Tambe Ayuk acknowledges the Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plant Studies for office space provided. José das Neves was supported in his contribution to this work by a Fellowship from Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal (SFRH/BPD/92934/2013). João Fernandes gratefully acknowledges funding from FCT–Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (grant number UID/Multi/50016/2013). Jan-Walter De Neve was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation. Kebede Deribe is funded by a Wellcome Trust Intermediate Fellowship in Public Health and Tropical Medicine (201900). Kazem Rahimi was supported by grants from the Oxford Martin School, the NIHR Oxford BRC and the RCUK Global Challenges Research Fund. Laith J Abu-Raddad acknowledges the support of Qatar National Research Fund (NPRP 9-040-3-008) who provided the main funding for generating the data provided to the GBD-IHME effort. Liesl Zuhlke is funded by the national research foundation of South Africa and the Medical Research Council of South Africa. Monica Cortinovis acknowledges that work related to this paper has been done on the behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group. Chuanhua Yu acknowleges support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number 81773552 and grant number 81273179) Norberto Perico acknowledges that work related to this paper has been done on behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group. Charles Shey Wiysonge’s work is supported by the South African Medical Research Council and the National Research Foundation of South Africa (grant numbers 106035 and 108571). John J McGrath is supported by grant APP1056929 from the John Cade Fellowship from the National Health and Medical Research Council and the Danish National Research Foundation (Niels Bohr Professorship). Quique Bassat is an ICREA (Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies) research professor at ISGlobal. Richard G White is funded by the UK MRC and the UK Department for International Development (DFID) under the MRC/DFID Concordat agreement that is also part of the EDCTP2 programme supported by the European Union (MR/P002404/1), the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (TB Modelling and Analysis Consortium: OPP1084276/OPP1135288, CORTIS: OPP1137034/OPP1151915, Vaccines: OPP1160830), and UNITAID (4214-LSHTM-Sept15; PO 8477-0-600). Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos was supported in part by grant number PROMETEOII/2015/021 from Generalitat Valenciana and the national grant PI17/00719 from ISCIII-FEDER. Mihajlo Jakovljevic acknowleges contribution from the Serbian Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (grant OI 175 014). Shariful Islam is funded by a Senior Fellowship from Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University and received career transition grants from High Blood Pressure Research Council of Australia. Sonia Saxena is funded by various grants from the NIHR. Stefanos Tyrovolas was supported by the Foundation for Education and European Culture, the Sara Borrell postdoctoral program (reference number CD15/00019 from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII–Spain) and the Fondos Europeo de Desarrollo Regional. Stefanos was awarded with a 6 months visiting fellowship funding at IHME from M-AES (reference no. MV16/00035 from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III). S Vittal Katikreddi was funded by a NHS Research Scotland Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the MRC (MC_UU_12017/13 & MC_ UU_12017/15) and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU13 & SPHSU15). Traolach S Brugha has received funding from NHS Digital UK to collect data used in this study. The work of Hamid Badali was financially supported by Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran. The work of Stefan Lorkowski is funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (nutriCARD, Grant agreement number 01EA1411A). Mariam Molokhia’s research was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre at Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust and King’s College London. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health. We also thank the countless individuals who have contributed to GBD 2016 in various capacities.
Published: 2018

39. Prevalence of vicarious trauma, depression, anxiety, stress, post-traumatic stress disorder, and resilience among the Tigrayan diaspora in Australia: A cross-sectional study following the Tigray conflict.

Author: Gesesew HA, Tesfamicael KG, Mwanri L, Atey TM, Gebremedhin A, Gebremariam K, Tesema AG, Hailu S, Tesfay FH, Miruts K, Musker M, Tekle D, Woldegiorgis M, and Ward P
Subjects: Humans, Male, Female, Cross-Sectional Studies, Adult, Australia epidemiology, Prevalence, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Stress, Psychological psychology, Stress, Psychological epidemiology, Compassion Fatigue epidemiology, Compassion Fatigue psychology, Adolescent, Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic epidemiology, Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic psychology, Resilience, Psychological, Anxiety epidemiology, Anxiety psychology, Depression epidemiology, Depression psychology, Refugees psychology, Refugees statistics & numerical data
Abstract: Ethiopia's Tigray in 2020. This war has had a detrimental impact on the mental health and overall wellbeing of Tigrayans living in other countries and abroad. The present study investigated the state of mental health and wellbeing among Tigrayan diaspora living in Australia, many of whom are migrants, but most are refugees., Methods: We employed a cross-sectional survey gathered through Qualtrics-designed hybrid data collection techniques. We assessed vicarious trauma using the secondary traumatic stress scale (STSS), depression, anxiety, and stress using the Depression Anxiety and Stress Scale-21 (DASS-21), PTSD using PTSD Checklist- Civilian Version (PCLC), and resilience using the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC-10). We calculated the psychometric properties of these tools among the population. We employed binary logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with the outcomes of interest., Findings: 241 people participated in the survey. Intrusion symptoms of vicarious trauma were prevalent among 85.6 % (172/201) of participants, avoidance symptoms of vicarious trauma among 87.6 % (176/201) of participants, and arousal vicarious trauma among 83.6 % (168/201) of participants. Extremely severe depression was prevalent among 38.2 % (81/212) of participants, extremely severe anxiety among 47.6 % (101/212) of participants, and extremely severe stress among (26.9 % (57/212) of participants. PTSD symptoms were prevalent among 75 % (151/204) of participants. Resilience was reduced among 67.5 % (135/200) of participants., Interpretation: The study implies that conflict occurring in one's home country can have a profound impact on the mental wellbeing of individuals residing abroad., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors have no competing interest to declare., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
Published: 2025
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40. Nexus of Quality Use of Medicines, Pharmacists' Activities, and the Emergency Department: A Narrative Review.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, and Wimmer BC
Abstract: Acute care provided in the hospital's emergency department (ED) is a key component of the healthcare system that serves as an essential bridge between outpatient and inpatient care. However, due to the emergency-driven nature of presenting problems and the urgency of care required, the ED is more prone to unintended medication regimen changes than other departments. Ensuring quality use of medicines (QUM), defined as "choosing suitable medicines and using them safely and effectively", remains a challenge in the ED and hence requires special attention. The role of pharmacists in the ED has evolved considerably, transitioning from traditional inventory management to delivering comprehensive clinical pharmacy services, such as medication reconciliation and review. Emerging roles for ED pharmacists now include medication charting and prescribing and active participation in resuscitation efforts. Additionally, ED pharmacists are involved in research and educational initiatives. However, the ED setting is still facing heightened service demands in terms of the number of patients presenting to EDs and longer ED stays. Addressing these challenges necessitates innovation and reform in ED care to effectively manage the complex, rising demand for ED care and to meet government-imposed service quality indicators. An example is redesigning the medication use process, which could necessitate a shift in skill mix or an expansion of the roles of ED pharmacists, particularly in areas such as medication charting and prescribing. Collaborative efforts between pharmacists and physicians have demonstrated positive outcomes and should thus be adopted as the standard practice in improving the quality use of medicines in the ED.
Published: 2024
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41. Redesigning Medication Management in the Emergency Department: The Impact of Partnered Pharmacist Medication Charting on the Time to Administer Pre-Admission Time-Critical Medicines, Medication Order Completeness, and Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, Simpson T, Boland CM, Anderson E, and Wimmer BC
Abstract: In order to enhance interdisciplinary collaboration and promote better medication management, a partnered pharmacist medication charting (PPMC) model was piloted in the emergency department (ED) of an Australian referral hospital. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of PPMC on the timeliness of time-critical medicines (TCMs), completeness of medication orders, and assessment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. This concurrent controlled retrospective pragmatic trial involved individuals aged 18 years and older presenting to the ED from 1 June 2020 to 17 May 2021. The study compared the PPMC approach (PPMC group) with traditional medical officer-led medication charting approaches in the ED, either an early best-possible medication history (BPMH) group or the usual care group. In the PPMC group, a BPMH was documented promptly soon after arrival in the ED, subsequent to which a collaborative discussion, co-planning, and co-charting of medications were undertaken by both a PPMC-credentialled pharmacist and a medical officer. In the early BPMH group, the BPMH was initially obtained in the ED before proceeding with the traditional approach of medication charting. Conversely, in the usual care group, the BPMH was obtained in the inpatient ward subsequent to the traditional approach of medication charting. Three outcome measures were assessed -the duration from ED presentation to the TCM's first dose administration (e.g., anti-Parkinson's drugs, hypoglycaemics and anti-coagulants), the completeness of medication orders, and the conduct of VTE risk assessments. The analysis included 321 TCMs, with 107 per group, and 1048 patients, with 230, 230, and 588 in the PPMC, early BPMH, and usual care groups, respectively. In the PPMC group, the median time from ED presentation to the TCM's first dose administration was 8.8 h (interquartile range: 6.3 to 16.3), compared to 17.5 h (interquartile range: 7.8 to 22.9) in the early BPMH group and 15.1 h (interquartile range: 8.2 to 21.1) in the usual care group ( p < 0.001). Additionally, PPMC was associated with a higher proportion of patients having complete medication orders and receiving VTE risk assessments in the ED (both p < 0.001). The implementation of the PPMC model not only expedited the administration of TCMs but also improved the completeness of medication orders and the conduct of VTE risk assessments in the ED.
Published: 2024
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42. Efficacy of eHealth Technologies on Medication Adherence in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Author: Bhagavathula AS, Aldhaleei WA, Atey TM, Assefa S, and Tesfaye W
Abstract: Background: Suboptimal adherence to cardiac pharmacotherapy, recommended by the guidelines after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has been recognized and is associated with adverse outcomes. Several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have shown that eHealth technologies are useful in reducing cardiovascular risk factors. However, little is known about the effect of eHealth interventions on medication adherence in patients following ACS., Objective: The aim of this study is to examine the efficacy of the eHealth interventions on medication adherence to selected 5 cardioprotective medication classes in patients with ACS., Methods: A systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science was conducted between May and October 2022, with an update in October 2023 to identify RCTs that evaluated the effectiveness of eHealth technologies, including texting, smartphone apps, or web-based apps, to improve medication adherence in patients after ACS. The risk of bias was evaluated using the modified Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for RCTs. A pooled meta-analysis was performed using a fixed-effect Mantel-Haenszel model and assessed the medication adherence to the medications of statins, aspirin, P2Y12 inhibitors, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, and β-blockers., Results: We identified 5 RCTs, applicable to 4100 participants (2093 intervention vs 2007 control), for inclusion in the meta-analysis. In patients who recently had an ACS, compared to the control group, the use of eHealth intervention was not associated with improved adherence to statins at different time points (risk difference [RD] -0.01, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.03 at 6 months and RD -0.02, 95% CI -0.05 to 0.02 at 12 months), P2Y12 inhibitors (RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.02 and RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.02), aspirin (RD 0.00, 95% CI -0.06 to 0.07 and RD -0.00, 95% CI -0.07 to 0.06), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.02 and RD 0.01, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.05), and β-blockers (RD 0.00, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.03 and RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.05 to 0.03). The intervention was also not associated with improved adherence irrespective of the adherence assessment method used (self-report or objective)., Conclusions: This review identified limited evidence on the effectiveness of eHealth interventions on adherence to guideline-recommended medications after ACS. While the pooled analyses suggested a lack of effectiveness of such interventions on adherence improvement, further studies are warranted to better understand the role of different eHealth approaches in the post-ACS context., (©Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Wafa Ali Aldhaleei, Tesfay Mehari Atey, Solomon Assefa, Wubshet Tesfaye. Originally published in JMIR Cardio (https://cardio.jmir.org), 19.12.2023.)
Published: 2023
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43. Clinical and economic impact of partnered pharmacist medication charting in the emergency department.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, Simpson T, Boland CM, Anderson E, and Wimmer BC
Abstract: Introduction: Partnered pharmacist medication charting (PPMC), a process redesign hypothesised to improve medication safety and interdisciplinary collaboration, was trialed in a tertiary hospital's emergency department (ED). Objective: To evaluate the health-related impact and economic benefit of PPMC. Methods: A pragmatic, controlled study compared PPMC to usual care in the ED. PPMC included a pharmacist-documented best-possible medication history (BPMH), followed by a clinical conversation between a pharmacist and a medical officer to jointly develop a treatment plan and chart medications. Usual care included medical officer-led traditional medication charting in the ED, without a pharmacist-obtained BPMH or clinical conversation. Outcome measures, assessed after propensity score matching, were length of hospital or ED stay, relative stay index (RSI), in-hospital mortality, 30-day hospital readmissions or ED revisits, and cost. Results: A total of 309 matched pairs were analysed. The median RSI was reduced by 15.4% with PPMC ( p = 0.029). There were no significant differences between the groups in the median length of ED stay (8 vs . 10 h, p = 0.52), in-hospital mortality (1.3% vs . 1.3%, p > 0.99), 30-day readmission rates (21% vs . 17%; p = 0.35) and 30-day ED revisit rates (21% vs . 19%; p = 0.68). The hospital spent approximately $138.4 for the cost of PPMC care per patient to avert at least one medication error bearing high/extreme risk. PPMC saved approximately $1269 on the average cost of each admission. Conclusion: Implementing the ED-based PPMC model was associated with a significantly reduced RSI and admission costs, but did not affect clinical outcomes, noting that there was an additional focus on medication reconciliation in the usual care group relative to current practice at our study site., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. The author(s) declared that they were an editorial board member of Frontiers (MS), at the time of submission. This had no impact on the peer review process and the final decision., (Copyright © 2023 Atey, Peterson, Salahudeen, Simpson, Boland, Anderson and Wimmer.)
Published: 2023
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44. The impact of partnered pharmacist medication charting in the emergency department on the use of potentially inappropriate medications in older people.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, and Wimmer BC
Abstract: Introduction: A process redesign, partnered pharmacist medication charting (PPMC), was recently piloted in the emergency department (ED) of a tertiary hospital. The PPMC model was intended to improve medication safety and interdisciplinary collaboration by having pharmacists work closely with medical officers to review and chart medications for patients. This study, therefore, aimed to evaluate the impact of PPMC on potentially inappropriate medication (PIM) use. Methods: A pragmatic concurrent controlled study compared a PPMC group to both early best-possible medication history (BPMH) and usual care groups. In the PPMC group, pharmacists initially documented the BPMH and collaborated with medical officers to co-develop treatment plans and chart medications in ED. The early BPMH group included early BPMH documentation by pharmacists, followed by traditional medication charting by medical officers in ED. The usual care group followed the traditional charting approach by medical officers, without a pharmacist-collected BPMH or collaborative discussion in ED. Included were older people (≥65 years) presenting to the ED with at least one regular medication with subsequent admission to an acute medical unit. PIM outcomes (use of at least one PIM, PIMs per patient and PIMs per medication prescribed) were assessed at ED presentation, ED departure and hospital discharge using Beers criteria. Results: Use of at least one PIM on ED departure was significantly lower for the PPMC group than for the comparison groups (χ 2 , p = 0.040). However, PIM outcomes at hospital discharge were not statistically different between groups. PIM outcomes on ED departure or hospital discharge did not differ from baseline within the comparison groups. Discussion: In conclusion, PIM use on leaving ED, but not at hospital discharge, was reduced with PPMC. Close interprofessional collaboration, as in ED, needs to continue on the wards., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. The author(s) declared that they were an editorial board member of Frontiers (MS), at the time of submission. This had no impact on the peer review process and the final decision., (Copyright © 2023 Atey, Peterson, Salahudeen and Wimmer.)
Published: 2023
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45. Patients' satisfaction with post-operative pain management in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia: a cross-sectional study.

Author: Alema NM, Asgedom SW, Welegebrial BG, Atey TM, Araya EM, Gebremedhin H, Demsie DG, Werid WM, Araya H, Mulu A, and Hailesilase GG
Subjects: Humans, Cross-Sectional Studies, Ethiopia, Prospective Studies, Hospitals, Patient Satisfaction, Pain, Postoperative therapy
Abstract: Introduction: surgical patients often suffer from inadequate treatment of post-operative pain which potentially results in numerous adverse medical consequences and is a recurring source of patients' dissatisfaction. Thus, this study aimed to investigate patient's satisfaction with their post-operative pain management and its determinants among surgically treated patients in a specialized hospital within Ethiopia., Methods: an institutional-based prospective cross-sectional study was conducted in the surgical ward of Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital. Data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire, which was an adoption of the 2010 version of the American Pain Society Patient Outcome Questionnaire, and by reviewing the medical charts of the patients. A stepwise linear regression model was used to analyze the data., Results: among the 144 patients approached in this study, 112 (77.8%) of them categorized their postoperative pain as moderate to severe. The mean patient satisfaction with their pain management was 7±2.3 on 0-10 numerical rating scale. Despite high levels of pain, the majority of patients (90.3%, n=131) were moderately or completely satisfied with their pain management. Stepwise linear regression analysis found that the determinants of patients' satisfaction were prior chronic pain, prior surgical history, and substance use (F (3,140) = 5.364, adjusted R 2 = 0.084, P=0.02)., Conclusion: the patients were moderately and completely satisfied with their pain management in spite of expressing moderate and severe level of pain intensity. Pain still remains a concern among surgical patients, and effective pain management strategies should be practiced to manage pain and its functional interferences more effectively., Competing Interests: The authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright: Niguse Meles Alema et al.)
Published: 2023
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46. Impact of pharmacist interventions provided in the emergency department on quality use of medicines: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, Bereznicki LR, and Wimmer BC
Subjects: Adult, Humans, Emergency Service, Hospital, Pharmacists, Medication Errors prevention & control
Abstract: Background: Pharmacists have an increasing role as part of the emergency department (ED) team. However, the impact of ED-based pharmacy interventions on the quality use of medicines has not been well characterised., Objective: This systematic review aimed to synthesise evidence from studies examining the impact of interventions provided by pharmacists on the quality use of medicines in adults presenting to ED., Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE and CINAHL. Two independent reviewers screened titles/abstracts and reviewed full texts. Studies that compared the impact of interventions provided by pharmacists with usual care in ED and reported medication-related primary outcomes were included. Cochrane Risk of Bias-2 and Newcastle-Ottawa tools were used to assess the risk of bias. Summary estimates were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis, along with sensitivity and sub-group analyses., Results: Thirty-one studies involving 13 242 participants were included. Pharmacists were predominantly involved in comprehensive medication review, advanced pharmacotherapy assessment, staff and patient education, identification of medication discrepancies and drug-related problems, medication prescribing and co-prescribing, and medication preparation and administration. The activities reduced the number of medication errors by a mean of 0.33 per patient (95% CI -0.42 to -0.23, I 2 =51%) and the proportion of patients with at least one error by 73% (risk ratio (RR)=0.27, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.40, I 2 =85.3%). The interventions were also associated with more complete and accurate medication histories, increased appropriateness of prescribed medications by 58% (RR=1.58, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.06, I 2 =95%) and quicker initiation of time-critical medications., Conclusion: The evidence indicates improved quality use of medicines when pharmacists are included in ED care teams., Prospero Registration Number: CRD42020165234., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
Published: 2023
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47. Impact of Partnered Pharmacist Medication Charting (PPMC) on Medication Discrepancies and Errors: A Pragmatic Evaluation of an Emergency Department-Based Process Redesign.

Author: Atey TM, Peterson GM, Salahudeen MS, Bereznicki LR, Simpson T, Boland CM, Anderson E, Burgess JR, Huckerby EJ, Tran V, and Wimmer BC
Subjects: Humans, Prospective Studies, Emergency Service, Hospital, Pharmacists, Medication Errors prevention & control
Abstract: Medication errors are more prevalent in settings with acutely ill patients and heavy workloads, such as in an emergency department (ED). A pragmatic, controlled study compared partnered pharmacist medication charting (PPMC) (pharmacist-documented best-possible medication history [BPMH] followed by clinical discussion between a pharmacist and medical officer to co-develop a treatment plan and chart medications) with early BPMH (pharmacist-documented BPMH followed by medical officer-led traditional medication charting) and usual care (traditional medication charting approach without a pharmacist-collected BPMH in ED). Medication discrepancies were undocumented differences between medication charts and medication reconciliation. An expert panel assessed the discrepancies' clinical significance, with 'unintentional' discrepancies deemed 'errors'. Fewer patients in the PPMC group had at least one error (3.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1% to 5.8%) than in the early BPMH (49.4%; 95% CI: 42.5% to 56.3%) and usual care group (61.4%; 95% CI: 56.3% to 66.7%). The number of patients who need to be treated with PPMC to prevent at least one high/extreme error was 4.6 (95% CI: 3.4 to 6.9) and 4.0 (95% CI: 3.1 to 5.3) compared to the early BPMH and usual care group, respectively. PPMC within ED, incorporating interdisciplinary discussion, reduced clinically significant errors compared to early BPMH or usual care.
Published: 2023
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48. Magnitude and predictors of first-line antiretroviral therapy regimen change among HIV infected adults: A retrospective cross sectional study.

Author: Alema NM, Asgedom SW, Maru M, Berihun B, Gebrehiwet T, Atey TM, Demsie DG, Bantie AT, Yehualaw A, Taferre C, Seid SA, Girma T, Allene MD, and Tamru SM
Abstract: Background: Regimen change remains a significant challenge towards the achievement of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment success. In developing countries where limited treatment options are available, strategies are required to ensure the sustainability and durability of the starting regimens. Nevertheless, information regarding the rate and predictors of regimen change is limited in these settings., Objective: This study was undertaken to determine the prevalence and predictors of changes in ART regimens among patients initiating highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) at XX., Materials and Methods: An institutional based retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted among adult naïve HIV patients who had initiated HAART at XX between 2010. Data were extracted by reviewing their medical charts using a pretested structured check-list. The Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used to describe the probability of ARV regimen changes while Cox proportional hazard regression models were employed to identify the predictors of ARV regimen modifications. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 21 software, and statistical significant was deemed at p < 0.05., Results: A total of 770 patients were enrolled in this study of these 165 (21.43%) had their ART regimen modified at least once. Drug toxicity was the main reason for regimen change followed by TB comorbidity, and treatment failure. Positive baseline TB symptoms (aHR = 1.63, p = 0.037), and Zidovudine based regimen (aHR = 1.76, p = 0.011) as compared to Stavudine based regimen were at higher risk of ART modification. Conversely, urban residence, baseline World Health organization (WHO) stage 2 as compared to WHO stage 1, baseline CD4 count ≥301 as compared to CD4 count ≤200 were at lower risk of ART modification., Conclusion: The rate of initial HAART regimen change was found to be high. Thus, less toxic and better tolerated HIV treatment options should be available and used more frequently. Moreover, early detection and initiation of ART by the government is highly demanded to maximize the benefit and reduce risk of ART modifications., (© 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of IJS Publishing Group Ltd.)
Published: 2022
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49. Knowledge of Anticoagulation Among Saudi Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Author: Alajami HN, Alshammari SA, Al-Dossari DS, Alajmi AN, Alsaikhan AS, Alessa MS, Alessa HS, Khalaf Alhothaly S, Alnami MI, Atey TM, Alnajrani RH, and Ali S
Abstract: Background Knowledge about oral anticoagulant treatment can impact treatment outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, evidence is scarce regarding the knowledge of oral anticoagulants among Saudi patients with atrial fibrillation. Hence, this study aimed to assess the level of anticoagulation knowledge among patients with atrial fibrillation taking oral anticoagulants. Methodology A survey using a cross-sectional study design was conducted among patients with a confirmed diagnosis of atrial fibrillation in a tertiary care setting. The Oral Anticoagulation Knowledge Tool (AKT), a 33-item, self-administered questionnaire, was used to assess the knowledge of anticoagulation. Results A total of 290 patients with a median age of 67 years participated in the survey. More than half of those surveyed (56.2%) were females. Overall, 195 (67.2%) patients had an overall adequate anticoagulation knowledge. The median knowledge score of participants on warfarin was significantly higher than those on direct-acting oral anticoagulants ( p < 0.001). Only age was found to be a predictor of AKT. Increasing age was associated with fewer odds of adequate AKT. For every one-year increase in age, the knowledge score decreased by 0.08 (95% confidence interval: -0.13 to -0.04). Conclusions This study found significant knowledge gaps among Saudi patients with atrial fibrillation taking oral anticoagulants. Advancing age was inversely associated with oral anticoagulation knowledge., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright © 2021, Alajami et al.)
Published: 2021
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50. Correction: Treatment outcome of acute coronary syndrome patients admitted to Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Mekelle, Ethiopia; A retrospective cross-sectional study.

Author: Desta DM, Nedi T, Hailu A, Atey TM, Tsadik AG, Asgedom SW, Kasahun GG, and Ayalew E
Abstract: [This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0228953.].
Published: 2021
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