1. Survival Benefit of Primary Tumor Treatment in Uveal Melanoma: A Re-Analysis of the Collaborative Ocular Melanoma Study (COMS) and Natural History Study (NHS) Cohorts.
- Author
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Witzenhausen, Hans and Stalhammar, Gustav
- Subjects
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RISK assessment , *DATA analysis , *RESEARCH funding , *CAUSES of death , *DESCRIPTIVE statistics , *METASTASIS , *KAPLAN-Meier estimator , *LOG-rank test , *STATISTICS , *PATIENT refusal of treatment , *CONFIDENCE intervals , *PROPORTIONAL hazards models - Abstract
Simple Summary: Uveal melanoma is a life-threatening cancer of the eye. There has been ongoing debate about whether treating the main tumor in the eye can actually help patients live longer. In our study, we compared previously published results from patients who received treatment for their eye tumor with those who chose not to receive treatment. By analyzing survival data from both groups, we discovered that patients who did not undergo treatment had a higher risk of death. This finding suggests that treating the primary eye tumor can provide a significant survival benefit for patients with uveal melanoma. Our results also emphasize the importance of timely treatment and may influence future medical guidelines and decisions, ultimately improving patient care for this serious eye cancer. Objective: To evaluate whether primary tumor treatment provides a survival benefit in uveal melanoma by comparing patients who declined treatment (Natural History Study, NHS) with those who received treatment in the Collaborative Ocular Melanoma Study (COMS) for medium-sized choroidal melanomas. Methods: Individual-level survival data were reverse-engineered from cumulative all-cause mortality curves in the original COMS and NHS publications. Censoring patterns were estimated from numbers at risk and descriptive statistics. A Bonferroni-corrected significance level of 0.017 was applied. Additionally, to ensure a conservative approach, NHS cohort data were iteratively adjusted by reducing the 8-year cumulative mortality by one percentage point if the Cox regression hazard ratio for all-cause mortality, the unadjusted risk ratio for death, and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the Kaplan–Meier curves did not show a smaller survival difference than originally reported. Results: Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed significantly higher cumulative mortality in the NHS cohort compared to the COMS cohort (log–rank p = 0.012). When restricting the analysis to the first 8 years to account for unclear censoring patterns beyond this period, the NHS cohort still demonstrated worse survival (p = 0.008). A sensitivity analysis, varying censoring times by ±25% over 1000 iterations, confirmed worse survival in the NHS cohort in 100% of cases. Conclusions: In this re-evaluation, patients who declined treatment for medium-sized choroidal melanomas had significantly worse survival, suggesting a potential survival benefit of primary tumor treatment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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