1. Fast‐Forward to Perturbed Equilibrium Climate
- Author
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D. Saint‐Martin, O. Geoffroy, L. Watson, H. Douville, G. Bellon, A. Voldoire, J. Cattiaux, B. Decharme, and A. Ribes
- Subjects
climate sensitivity ,climate models ,global warming ,radiative forcing ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 - Abstract
Abstract The equilibrium climate sensitivity, that is, the global‐mean surface‐air temperature change in response to a doubling of the carbon dioxide concentration is a widely used metric in climate change studies. Its exact value is rarely known because its estimation requires a long integration time of several thousand years. We propose a method to estimate an accurate value of the equilibrium response from fully coupled climate models at a reasonable computational cost. Using this method, our state‐of‐the‐art climate model CNRM‐CM6‐1 reaches a stationary state after only few hundred of years of integration. This “Fast‐Forward” method consists of an optimal two‐step forcing pathway designed using the framework of a two‐layer energy balance model. It can be applied easily to any coupled climate model.
- Published
- 2019
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